
Is hashrate the next major commodity? Francisco Quadrio Monteiro (BD & Strategy at POW.RE) joins Jesse to break down how a Bitcoin hashrate OTC desk prices risk, who is buying hashrate today, and why hashprice could land around $70–80 within the next 12 months.
Since leaving Paraguay, POW.RE has shifted to trading physically delivered hashrate. Francisco explains why difficulty is now the only real risk factor in BTC-denominated contracts, why past data is a poor guide in today's market, and why Bitcoin treasury companies like Strategy should be deploying capital into mining.
TIMESTAMPS:
0:00 Introduction
1:21 How POW.RE got its name
2:15 From Paraguay to hashrate trading
3:37 Modeling difficulty: the secret sauce
4:33 Why past data can't predict hashrate anymore
6:07 The $100 hashprice thesis
8:11 Francisco's call: $70–80 hashprice in 12 months
8:49 Why each new megawatt moves difficulty less
10:02 Hashprice in BTC vs USD terms
10:55 Where unplugged ASICs are going
13:12 What matters most in a hashrate contract
14:51 Who's buying hashrate right now
16:22 Hosting providers buying hashrate for uptime
17:56 The eCash hard fork explained
20:10 Mining + DCA: lower-volatility accumulation
23:32 Why you should pay your hosting bill weekly
25:32 What asset managers can learn from mining
26:20 Treasury company growth assumptions vs cost to mine
29:20 Why Strategy should be mining Bitcoin
32:04 Why the ability to spend Bitcoin matters
34:38 Block space is as scarce as Bitcoin
35:29 Lightning, stablecoins & the security budget
36:39 Block space forward markets
37:23 Making solo mining more exciting
41:29 Lightning payouts straight from the pool
43:09 Orange-pilling Dad with an S9 heater
44:34 Business ideas & the future of FPPS pools
46:48 Outro
KEY TOPICS:
• Hashrate as a commodity and BTC-denominated contracts
• Hashprice outlook and difficulty modeling
• Who buys hashrate: fork speculators, political signaling, hosting providers
• Mining + DCA as a lower-volatility accumulation strategy
• Block space scarcity, Lightning payouts and the mining x gambling crossover
🔗 Francisco Quadrio Monteiro:
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/fquadriomonteiro
X: https://x.com/f_monteiro98
POW.RE Hashrate Desk: https://pow.re
🛠 Sponsored by:
Altair Technology – ASICs, parts, PSUs, PDUs & consulting | Code: HASHRATEUP | https://altairtech.io
📲 HashrateUp Hardware Deals: https://t.me/hashrateup
📩 Free 5-Day Bitcoin Mining Course: https://hashrateup.com/newsletter-sign-up/
#BitcoinMining #Hashrate #Hashprice #HashrateUp #BitcoinDerivatives
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