HashrateUp - A Bitcoin Mining Podcast podcast

Hashprice Is Going to $80. Here’s Why.

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Is hashrate the next major commodity? Francisco Quadrio Monteiro (BD & Strategy at POW.RE) joins Jesse to break down how a Bitcoin hashrate OTC desk prices risk, who is buying hashrate today, and why hashprice could land around $70–80 within the next 12 months.


Since leaving Paraguay, POW.RE has shifted to trading physically delivered hashrate. Francisco explains why difficulty is now the only real risk factor in BTC-denominated contracts, why past data is a poor guide in today's market, and why Bitcoin treasury companies like Strategy should be deploying capital into mining.


TIMESTAMPS:

0:00 Introduction

1:21 How POW.RE got its name

2:15 From Paraguay to hashrate trading

3:37 Modeling difficulty: the secret sauce

4:33 Why past data can't predict hashrate anymore

6:07 The $100 hashprice thesis

8:11 Francisco's call: $70–80 hashprice in 12 months

8:49 Why each new megawatt moves difficulty less

10:02 Hashprice in BTC vs USD terms

10:55 Where unplugged ASICs are going

13:12 What matters most in a hashrate contract

14:51 Who's buying hashrate right now

16:22 Hosting providers buying hashrate for uptime

17:56 The eCash hard fork explained

20:10 Mining + DCA: lower-volatility accumulation

23:32 Why you should pay your hosting bill weekly

25:32 What asset managers can learn from mining

26:20 Treasury company growth assumptions vs cost to mine

29:20 Why Strategy should be mining Bitcoin

32:04 Why the ability to spend Bitcoin matters

34:38 Block space is as scarce as Bitcoin

35:29 Lightning, stablecoins & the security budget

36:39 Block space forward markets

37:23 Making solo mining more exciting

41:29 Lightning payouts straight from the pool

43:09 Orange-pilling Dad with an S9 heater

44:34 Business ideas & the future of FPPS pools

46:48 Outro


KEY TOPICS:

• Hashrate as a commodity and BTC-denominated contracts

• Hashprice outlook and difficulty modeling

• Who buys hashrate: fork speculators, political signaling, hosting providers

• Mining + DCA as a lower-volatility accumulation strategy

• Block space scarcity, Lightning payouts and the mining x gambling crossover


🔗 Francisco Quadrio Monteiro:

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/fquadriomonteiro

X: https://x.com/f_monteiro98

POW.RE Hashrate Desk: https://pow.re


🛠 Sponsored by:

Altair Technology – ASICs, parts, PSUs, PDUs & consulting | Code: HASHRATEUP | https://altairtech.io


📲 HashrateUp Hardware Deals: https://t.me/hashrateup

📩 Free 5-Day Bitcoin Mining Course: https://hashrateup.com/newsletter-sign-up/


#BitcoinMining #Hashrate #Hashprice #HashrateUp #BitcoinDerivatives

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