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The Wirehouse Talent Battle: Winners, Losers and What’s Changing

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A Special Industry Update with Louis Diamond and Jason Diamond

Wirehouse advisor movement accelerated sharply in the first half of 2026. Louis and Jason Diamond unpack the numbers, the forces driving them, and what they reveal about an increasingly competitive advisor marketplace.

In Summary

Wirehouse advisor movement reached a notable pace in the first half of 2026. Across Merrill, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo, 1,449 experienced advisors left while 932 joined—a net decline of 517 advisors in just six months. Yet those aggregate numbers obscure four very different firm-level stories and a much broader shift in the competitive landscape. 

Louis and Jason Diamond unpack the findings from Diamond Consultants’ 2026 H1 Advisor Transition Report: Wirehouse-Focused Edition, looking beyond headcount to examine where advisors are going, why large teams are moving, what recruiting economics look like, and why wirehouses continue to win sophisticated advisors even as overall attrition rises.

The larger story may be one of expanding choice. More than 200 firms recruited at least one wirehouse advisor during the first half of the year, giving advisors more ways to match their business, economic, cultural, and client-service priorities with a model that fits. 

Want to go deeper into the data?

Download Diamond Consultants’ 2026 H1 Advisor Transition Report: Wirehouse-Focused Edition for the complete findings, firm-by-firm analysis, advisor destination data, recruiting economics, and representative transitions.

Download the Full Report →

The Storyline

Wirehouses remain home to some of the largest and most sophisticated financial advisor businesses in the industry. But the market competing for those advisors has changed dramatically.

That makes the movement captured in the first half of 2026 particularly revealing.

At first glance, the headline is attrition: The four wirehouses lost 517 advisors on a net basis in six months. Dig deeper, however, and the picture becomes far more nuanced. Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley were net winners, while Merrill and UBS experienced significant net losses. Nearly half of departing wirehouse advisors chose some form of independence, yet more than half remained within an employee model. And 41 teams managing more than $500mm left a wirehouse—including 20 managing $1B or more. 

Louis and Jason examine what is behind those numbers. Their discussion looks at the push factors driving some advisors to reconsider their firms and the increasingly diverse pull factors drawing them elsewhere. Jason describes a marketplace in which the four wirehouses no longer compete primarily with one another, but with regional firms, boutiques, independent broker dealers, RIAs, platform providers, and other emerging models. 

They also examine why the movement of the industry’s largest teams deserves particular attention. These advisors often have significant resources, strong economics, access to senior leadership, and well-served clients at their existing firms. Yet some are concluding that having more to lose can also mean having more to gain—whether through greater control, enterprise value, culture, branding, or another business priority. 

The result isn’t a simple story of wirehouses losing and independence winning. It is a story about a marketplace with more credible choices – and more competition for successful advisors – than ever before.

Topics Covered

  • H1 2026 wirehouse advisor movement and net attrition
  • Merrill, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo recruiting trends
  • Wirehouse-to-wirehouse movement vs. advisor independence
  • Large-team and $1B+ advisor transitions
  • Push and pull factors driving advisor movement
  • Wirehouse, regional, and boutique recruiting deals
  • RIA valuations and private equity-backed acquisitions
  • Enterprise value and advisor ownership
  • Retire-in-place programs and compensation changes
  • AI and technology as recruiting considerations
  • The expanding universe of advisor affiliation models

> Download a transcript of this episode…

Listen and Learn Highlights for Advisors

What does the headline wirehouse attrition number really tell us? (04:28)
Jason explains why the 517-advisor net decline is significant, but also why headcount alone provides an incomplete picture of advisor movement.

Why is wirehouse advisor movement accelerating? (06:33)
The discussion turns to the push factors creating frustration inside firms and the pull factors created by a far broader and more competitive marketplace of alternatives.

Why are Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley outperforming their wirehouse peers? (11:23)
Louis and Jason break down the four firms individually, including Morgan Stanley’s organic growth engine and Wells Fargo’s recruiting resurgence.

What’s behind the notable movement out of UBS? (16:25)
Jason looks beyond advisor count to the size and quality of the teams leaving UBS, while Louis considers the tension that can arise between corporate strategy and what individual advisors want from their firm.

Is the real story independence or the explosion of advisor choice? (20:46)
While 46% of departing wirehouse advisors chose independence, the conversation reveals an equally important trend: advisors are moving across a much broader range of W-2 and independent models.

Why does the movement of $500mm and $1B+ teams matter so much? (26:01)
Jason explains why these highly successful teams have both the greatest optionality and, potentially, the most to gain from reconsidering their model.

Why do wirehouses remain formidable recruiters? (30:42)
Brand, familiarity, investment capabilities, banking and lending, alternatives, and competitive recruiting deals continue to make the wirehouse model attractive to many sophisticated advisors.

What are firms paying to recruit top wirehouse teams? (36:02)
Louis and Jason compare current W-2 recruiting packages with independent transition economics and the increasingly significant valuations available through RIA and private equity-backed acquisitions.

What could shape advisor movement through 2027? (41:34)
Compensation changes, retire-in-place programs, RIA valuations and AI emerge as important forces to watch as advisors continue evaluating firms and models.

What should advisors ultimately take away from the data? (44:31)
The report isn’t intended as a case for changing firms. It’s a way to understand where the industry is heading, what advisors are looking for, and how the competitive landscape is evolving.

Key Takeaways

  • Wirehouse movement is elevated on both sides of the ledger. Firms are losing more advisors, but they are also recruiting aggressively, so net headcount is only one measure of what is happening.
  • The four wirehouses are experiencing very different recruiting environments. Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley were net positive during H1, while UBS and Merrill posted substantial net losses. 
  • Independence is gaining share, but this isn’t simply an independence story. While 46% of departing wirehouse advisors chose an independent model, 54% did not. Regional firms, boutiques, and alternative W-2 models are also attracting meaningful advisor talent. 
  • The movement of large teams may be more meaningful than overall advisor count. Twenty $1B+ teams left wirehouses during the first half of 2026, despite generally having significant resources and leverage at their existing firms.
  • More choice is changing the recruiting equation. More than 200 firms recruited a wirehouse advisor in H1, increasing the likelihood that advisors can find a model aligned with a highly specific set of priorities. 
  • Recruiting economics remain highly competitive. Traditional recruiting packages can exceed 400% of trailing production for select teams, while independent and acquisition models introduce very different ways to monetize and build enterprise value. 
  • AI is becoming part of firm evaluation. Advisors increasingly want to understand how prospective firms are approaching AI, whether through large-scale proprietary investment or the flexibility to select emerging third-party tools. 

https://youtu.be/OZrhTf4nfCU

Quotable Moments

“The number of big teams in motion is probably the more important number than surely just the number of advisors in motion.” — Jason 

“These teams that are this size…have the most to lose. What we’re seeing, though…is they flip that logic on its head.” — Jason 

“More choice means more leverage for advisors.” — Louis 

“Every firm is recruiting…Every firm is clearly losing advisors, some more than others. But the common through line is successful teams…have more credible destinations for their business than ever before.” — Louis 

FAQs

How many wirehouse advisors moved in the first half of 2026?


Across Merrill, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo, 1,449 experienced advisors left during the first six months of 2026, while 932 joined, resulting in net attrition of 517 advisors. 

Are all four wirehouses losing advisors?


No. The aggregate numbers mask meaningful differences among the firms. Wells Fargo finished H1 with a net gain of 46 advisors, Morgan Stanley gained 23, UBS lost 182, and Merrill lost 404 on a net basis. 

Where are departing wirehouse advisors going?


The destinations are increasingly diverse. In H1 2026, 46% chose an independent model, 24% moved to another wirehouse, and others selected regional, boutique, and alternative employee models. More than 200 firms recruited at least one wirehouse advisor during the period. 

Are large wirehouse teams also moving?


Yes. Forty-one teams managing more than $500mm left a wirehouse in the first half of 2026, including 20 teams managing $1B or more. Twelve of the 41 teams chose another wirehouse, reinforcing that sophisticated teams are evaluating both employee and independent alternatives. 

Why do advisors continue to choose wirehouses?


For many advisors, the appeal includes brand recognition, familiarity, banking and lending, investment capabilities, access to alternatives and SMAs, integrated infrastructure, and competitive recruiting economics. Louis and Jason also note that some perceived capability differences narrow considerably once advisors compare models more closely. 

What recruiting deals are wirehouses offering financial advisors in 2026?


Jason describes typical wirehouse recruiting packages around 325–350% of trailing production, with packages exceeding 400% available for particularly desirable teams. Louis also notes that upfront components for larger practices can reach approximately 175–200% or more, depending on the team and deal structure.  

Does the report suggest wirehouse advisors should change firms?


No. Jason explicitly describes the report as a source of industry and firm-level data rather than a sales pitch for movement. Its purpose is to help advisors understand where the marketplace is heading and the factors influencing advisor decisions. 

What trends could affect wirehouse advisor movement next?


Compensation-plan changes, retire-in-place programs, RIA and private equity valuations, and AI capabilities are among the factors Louis and Jason identify as potentially shaping advisor movement through the remainder of 2026 and into 2027. 

Across Merrill, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo, 1,449 experienced advisors left during the first six months of 2026, while 932 joined, resulting in net attrition of 517 advisors. 

No. The aggregate numbers mask meaningful differences among the firms. Wells Fargo finished H1 with a net gain of 46 advisors, Morgan Stanley gained 23, UBS lost 182, and Merrill lost 404 on a net basis. 

The destinations are increasingly diverse. In H1 2026, 46% chose an independent model, 24% moved to another wirehouse, and others selected regional, boutique, and alternative employee models. More than 200 firms recruited at least one wirehouse advisor during the period. 

Yes. Forty-one teams managing more than $500mm left a wirehouse in the first half of 2026, including 20 teams managing $1B or more. Twelve of the 41 teams chose another wirehouse, reinforcing that sophisticated teams are evaluating both employee and independent alternatives. 

For many advisors, the appeal includes brand recognition, familiarity, banking and lending, investment capabilities, access to alternatives and SMAs, integrated infrastructure, and competitive recruiting economics. Louis and Jason also note that some perceived capability differences narrow considerably once advisors compare models more closely. 

Jason describes typical wirehouse recruiting packages around 325–350% of trailing production, with packages exceeding 400% available for particularly desirable teams. Louis also notes that upfront components for larger practices can reach approximately 175–200% or more, depending on the team and deal structure.  

No. Jason explicitly describes the report as a source of industry and firm-level data rather than a sales pitch for movement. Its purpose is to help advisors understand where the marketplace is heading and the factors influencing advisor decisions. 

Compensation-plan changes, retire-in-place programs, RIA and private equity valuations, and AI capabilities are among the factors Louis and Jason identify as potentially shaping advisor movement through the remainder of 2026 and into 2027. 

Explore the Data Behind the Conversation

The podcast adds context and commentary to the findings. The full report provides the underlying data, analysis, and representative advisor moves.

Download the Wirehouse Advisor Transition Report →

NOTE: The views and opinions expressed by the guests on this podcast are their own and do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of Diamond Consultants. Neither Diamond Consultants nor the guests on this podcast are compensated in any way for their participation.

View the transcript of this episode…

The Wirehouse Talent Battle: Winners, Losers and What’s Changing

A Special Industry Update with Louis Diamond and Jason Diamond.

Louis Diamond:

Welcome to the latest episode of our podcast series for financial advisors. Today’s episode is The Wirehouse Talent Battle: Winners, Losers, and What’s Changing. It’s a conversation with my partner, Jason Diamond. I’m Louis Diamond, and this is the Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors.

Mindy Diamond:

At Diamond Consultants, we help elite advisors identify the right environment for their businesses to thrive, whether that’s at a wirehouse, boutique, or independent firm. With nearly three decades of experience, we’ve guided thousands of advisors and represented more than a quarter of a trillion dollars in assets transitioned. And each year, one in four advisors managing a billion dollars or more who change firms are our clients. Our process is education driven and based on building relationships, starting as your strategic partner well before you’re even thinking of a move. To schedule a confidential conversation, call us at 908-879-1002.

Wondering why advisors change firms and where they’re headed? Are transition deals going up or down? Those very questions and more inspired us to create our Annual Advisor Transition Report. It’s the award-winning data-driven resource designed for advisors that connects the dots between the motivations around movement and the firm’s appetite for top talent.

Arm yourself with the knowledge you need to make smart decisions. Download your copy at diamond-consultants.com/transitionreport.

Louis Diamond:

Advisor movement is nothing new, but the pace and perhaps more importantly, the nature of the movement we saw across the wirehouses during the first half of 2026 is worth paying attention to. And there’s a reason we chose to focus this report specifically on wirehouse advisors. The four wirehouses still represent an enormously important part of the wealth management industry, serving some of its largest and most sophisticated advisors and clients. At the same time, those advisors have more legitimate alternatives competing for their business than ever before. That makes their movement particularly instructive. Where they go, what they leave behind, and what they’re looking for tells us a lot about how the broader industry is evolving.

In just six months, 1,449 experienced advisors left Merrill, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo while 932 joined them. That represents net attrition of 517 advisors, more than the wirehouses lost on a net basis during all of 2025.

But those headline numbers don’t tell the whole story. Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo actually posted positive net advisor growth. Nearly a quarter of departing wirehouse advisors simply chose another wirehouse. At the same time, 46% chose an independent model, and perhaps most notable, 41 teams managing more than $500 million left to wirehouse in the first half of the year, including 20 managing one billion or more. There’s a lot happening beneath the surface. Jason is essentially the architect of our new 2026 first half advisor transition report, wirehouse focused edition. So I’ve asked him to join me to go beyond the numbers, what’s driving the movement, why the four firms are experiencing very different results, where advisors are going, what firms are paying to recruit them, and what all of this may tell us about the evolving competitive landscape. There’s a lot to unpack. Let’s get into it.

Jason Diamond:

Thanks, Louis. I’m thrilled to be here. I’m excited to discuss.

Louis Diamond:

Amazing. Yeah, I know these data-driven reports have really become your brainchild. They’re incredibly helpful, I know to me and to a number of advisors and just people in the industry. This report is of extra interest and importance just because of the pace of movement we’re seeing specifically in the wirehouse segment. So I know you looked at the first six months of advisor movement, so January one to the end of June 2026, of course not a full year. We publish that report in 2027, but let’s start with the headline number you have here, which is 517 advisors the wirehouse has lost on a net basis in the first six months. Can you comment how significant that is?

Jason Diamond:

A couple things. First of all, I’m always excited to write this report because you and I, we spend our day talking to financial advisors, and we think we have a pretty good sense of where the puck is heading and the pace of advisor movement, but it’s hard to tell because we know we only represent a small microcosm of the industry. So I think we had this feeling like advisor movement was up across the board, and this report helped to put numbers to just how elevated movement is. And you alluded to this, recruiting is a two-sided game. It’s part attrition and it’s part inbound, and we saw elevated numbers on both sides of the ledger for the wires. And we’ll talk about, to say the wires is probably a little bit overly generalizing. It’s probably worth breaking down on a firm by firm level, but we’re talking about 1,449 advisors who left a wirehouse versus 932 advisors that joined a wirehouse.

So just at a very simple level, when you talk about where is the puck heading, it’s heading away from the wirehouse channel. Overall, the channel is losing advisor talent, but, and this is an important but, there are also plenty of folks in our industry who will be quick to tell you that the wirehouse space is dying and that W-2 models are a thing of the past, that everybody’s going independent, and 932 advisors that joined a wirehouse would tell you something far to the contrary.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, numbers are numbers, but without context or grounding, it’s hard to square. Is that a lot? Is that a little? But I know from our 2025 report that if these numbers held that the net wirehouse attrition figures, it would already be far more than the wirehouse’s lost net in 2025. So can you talk a little bit about just the comparison to ’25 and what do you think this means for this year so far?

Jason Diamond:

You said it well. These would represent absolute records by not just a little, but by a long, long margin. And there is some seasonality to these numbers where it’s not necessarily fair just to double the first half numbers because as we know, very few advisors move in December, for example. But what it ultimately tells me is the things we’ve been talking about are starting to have an impact or continuing to have an impact on advisor mindset and advisor movement. And to rehash, that is to me a two-front story. It is a story of pushes and pulls. When we say pushes, we are talking about frustrations or limitations that people experience. And honestly, the wirehouses, all four of them are guiltier of frustrating or limiting their advisors than probably just about any other firm in the industry. That’s just a reality of life at the biggest firms on the street.

So we certainly hear plenty of push factors, but also excitingly from my seat, pull factors, meaning when advisors look out at the landscape today, I think we had a number in the report of 200 different firms recruited a wirehouse advisor in the first half. So you talk about diversity of choice, diversity of legitimate choice. That’s my biggest takeaway because I do think the headcount, while the numbers are eye-popping, what’s more telling to me, and you alluded to this a little bit in your introductory comments, the number of big teams in motion is probably the more important number than truly just the number of advisors in motion, in my opinion.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, no doubt. We always caveat in our report since we started doing it that even though we’re guilty now of we’re talking about headcount, that’s a pretty misleading number because a firm can add someone with LOS 4 saying that that washes out a one advisor with a billion who leaves the firm. So it is an imperfect science. It’s impossible for us to really get into granular detail on AUM per move. The only way we can is if there’s an AdvisorHub or news story or the team happened to be on Barron’s or Forbes or some sort of industry list. So we’ll give that caveat that headcount is definitely not the whole story. We focus more on the quality and the size, and we’ll get later into this episode into the number of larger scale teams that were in transition and how that tracks versus other years.

I think what’s also interesting is the fact that this net attrition number is so much higher than it’s been because I think probably beginning of this year, maybe end of last year was the first time since 2016, 2017 that we’ve seen all four wirehouses be competitively back into the recruiting market.

So you would think that with four really competitive deals from four great firms that that would keep more people in the channel, but it seems to have had the reverse impact in many cases.

Jason Diamond:

Look, what I think that speaks to partly is the four wirehouses know they’re no longer operating in a world where they’re competing exclusively against each other. They’re equally competing against regional firms, boutique firms, RIAs, broker dealers, platform firms and the like, and that is a reality that just means there’s going to be more churn quote/unquote in the industry because of the fact that advisors are more likely to find their version of perfect. When you look out and say, “Well, I don’t want another wirehouse, but I need to monetize the book and I want to maintain equity and I want X, Y, Z,” you might just find that in what the landscape looks like today. So I think it’s cause and effect. The wires are paying those deals because it is so difficult to recruit. That’s the first thing I’ll say.

The other caveat I’d give is recruiting is a wonderful thing, but firms, I’ll call this the Morgan Stanley argument, and they’re right, are quick to point out that same store sales, organic growth matters probably just as much if not more. And Morgan Stanley advisors and wirehouse advisors as a whole tend to grow faster than other advisors in the industry. And so the argument is they may be slowing down quote/unquote on the recruiting side, but if they can feed their advisors faster and their advisors can grow faster, that may ultimately be a winning formula in the long term. What are your thoughts on that?

Louis Diamond:

I completely agree. It’s way, way cheaper to acquire a new customer through organic means than through inorganic means. It’s better for valuations in the RA world, certainly better for stock prices for publicly traded companies. It also buys loyalty, creates stickiness. So I would agree. Any firm that has a mousetrap to help advisors grow organically, there’s no downside. There’s probably five or six benefits. So you mentioned Morgan Stanley in particular. Let’s zoom into the four wires in particular because I think the attrition numbers, the growth numbers for each of them, they tell wildly different stories. So in the report you talk about how Wells Fargo was net positive. They actually have the highest gains plus 46, and Morgan Stanley was second with positive 23 advisors with UBS negative 182, Merrill negative 404. So massive differences between the net attrition figures for all of them.

Can you give some color behind each of them and why you think those numbers are what they are?

Jason Diamond:

Yeah, so the first thing I do when I look at these numbers is I want to normalize them relative to each other. And so here’s what I mean. Think about the base advisor population at these firms. UBS is by far the smallest of the wires, a half to even a third probably of the size of their peers, Morgan and Merrill in particular. So you see almost 200 net advisors leaving UBS. That’s really more than 400 if you think about it on a normalized basis in terms of Merrill or Morgan. That’s the first thing. The second thing I want to do is I want to say, are there any real outlier events that are causing the data to be misleading? Did a portion of the firm get bought or sold? Was there one team of advisors that had a hundred people on it that left?

Is there something that’s skewing the numbers? And Merrill certainly has that. Over a hundred of the Merrill departures left for JP Morgan, and that tells us I think that a lot of those departures are bank advisors in nature. The data is difficult to parse through sometimes of what is a “financial advisor” for the purposes of tracking. So that gives me some confidence that the Merrill attrition story isn’t quite that dire. And then when they look at Morgan Stanley and Wells, no question, that’s one where the numbers match our anecdotal experience. Morgan Stanley to me is like the little engine that could kind of steady eddy, keeps chugging right along as the clear winner over the last five years, certainly in the wirehouse space. We talked about their advisor’s ability to grow organically. The funnel story seems to be working, this idea that they’re feeding their advisors referral relationships from workplace, from E-Trade, and they also seem to have done the best job in terms of just general advisor sentiment of this peer set.

Wells I think is an interesting story here. Wells to me, not really a platform or a capability change, but obviously they were hindered dramatically in the past several years by the consumer banking scandal. Really what I would call it is, excuse the expression, but advisors and clients were allergic to the firm name, and we’re just seeing that a beat where now advisors are at least willing to entertain the conversation, more than willing to entertain the conversation. You pair that with a really, really good deal in both channels. And I will caveat this Wells number does include both their PCG and their FiNet channels. So it is probably skewed slightly higher given some of the FiNet channels are technically not really wirehouse moves, but still no question if you think about who is the number one success story of this year in advisor recruiting land, maybe not even just the wires, maybe industry as a whole, I would argue it’s Wells Fargo.

Louis Diamond:

I would agree. Actually, it’s great to see that Wells has rebounded. Reputations ebb and flow. Who’s hot, who’s not certainly changes. Wells was on the negative side of the ledger for much longer than we’ve seen any firm for a long time. So it’s great to see that they’ve rebounded. And this data too, I mean, I think it’s purest. This does not count the internal moves of W-2, private client group advisors moving independent with FiNet. To us, that’s just net retention. It doesn’t tell an overall story. So that’s great to hear. Let’s drill it a bit more into UBS. I mean, you mentioned it’s the second biggest loser on a net basis, but based upon the size, you make the case that they’ve lost the largest percentage of their population of advisors. So what’s actually happening within UBS?

Jason Diamond:

The single most concerning data point and probably the most telling data point to me in all of this is the asset numbers that have left UBS in the first half of the year, massive outflows. Said another way, it’s not the number of teams necessarily that have left UBS, it’s the size of those teams. These are not little small bank teams that are going to the local regional bank on the corner. These are franchise marquee corner office teams. We can count certainly double digits of those types of teams. So whenever we see that, it certainly gets our attention because the question is what’s going on under the hood? Are there issues with the firm? I think UBS is an interesting one. They made the compensation plan changes, now it’s a year and a half ago, have realized that that is a difficult genie to put back in the bottle.

And I think what it shed light on is advisors just felt like the value they were getting from the firm is no longer worth the 50% of revenue that the firm is taking. The number of headaches that they’re running into, whether it’s I can’t hire support staff, compliance is overly onerous, it’s difficult to grow, it takes me too long to get simple answers, all of that just makes it so that it’s no longer worth it to justify the juice isn’t worth the squeeze. And there’s no question, I feel there is a real momentum trade with financial advisor movement. So advisors see their colleague from a market away, a huge team leaving, and it gets their attention, and then they see three other teams leaving, and they go, “Hmm.” And then almost they feel like they have permission, I think, like, “Hey, I feel this way too, and look, all these other teams are leaving as well.” I think we saw that flywheel.

The question is what inning are we in? I don’t think it’s over. I think you’re still going to see some big UBS teams leave. And on top of that, they have been able to recruit inbound. We have seen some teams go inbound into UBS, but it’s taken a really, really lofty deal to be able to do that. When that deal normalizes more, what is their ability to recruit? So I’m curious what your thoughts are.

Louis Diamond:

I would agree. Yeah, it felt like in 2025, UBS didn’t really recruit anyone, but definitely seeing them pop up more as a winner. So it’s telling that they’re paying a big deal. They have been relatively successful in bringing new advisors into the firm, but they’re still losing and on a pace to lose even more than how they can restock the pond. So I think it’s super interesting. To me, the distinction with UBS right now is fairly simple. It’s what may work for the corporation or for shareholders or for the management team in Switzerland is not what individuals want from their firm. It’s that push and pull or that tug of war of corporate agendas are one thing, corporate strategy, what they’re trying to do is great. It’s their prerogative, but a lot of times those decisions have downstream impacts on advisors, and a lot of times it’s a light bulb moment for advisors of, as long as I’m here, I’m not fully in control and either their changes are good enough for me, I can make peace with them, I can reconcile them.

Or it’s a reminder, a wake-up call that unless you’re independent or unless you’re at a firm that has a track record or history of not making compensation plan changes, really making decisions that are framed as far as what’s best for the advisor rather than for the shareholders, this is always going to be a dynamic that’s in play. So I think to me, that’s the short version of what’s happening with UBS. Still a great firm, not going out of business, but I think in a bit of purgatory right now as far as what their strategic play is to stop the outflows, increase the inflows, and really continue to build on a leading wealth management franchise.

This whole report, this stat that you pulled is probably the most interesting because it’s so different from how we usually see this data. And maybe once the dust settles on all of 2026, it’ll normalize.

But the report says that 46% of departing wirehouse advisors chose independence. To me, that’s a big, big number. I think it’s usually like 25%, 20%. I might be wrong, but this is a massive number. So can you dig into this a little bit more?

Jason Diamond:

So again, I think there is definitely some skew here based on size of teams because generally speaking, when you think about just in terms of number of moves, count of number of moves, it’s generally smaller independent moves that are the most common, meaning moves towards the independent space. It’s not that there was this massive wave of mega independent breakaways, although we certainly did see those types of moves. When I think about 46% of departing advisors choosing independence, to me, there’s two ways to think through that number. One is the 54% did not, and that is also telling to me that there is still a massive subset of advisors that choose some version of knowing that their life is not going to get better in every way, they still choose a version of captivity for some reason or another. They want the brand, they want the big deal, they worry about what their clients will think about independent.

So more than half of advisors still are not going that direction. Now that said, when you see a number like 46%, the other thing it says to me is we never see advisors really going the other way, meaning advisors who are independent very seldom move back towards captive models. So over time, this is a concerning story. The story that the big traditional firms are losing headcount slowly over time, they will need to combat that in some other way. And one way we already spoke about will be organic growth just growing faster than the rate at which their advisors leave.

Louis Diamond:

No doubt. I think the other piece of it is, so you have 46% who are going independent, that means 54% are on the other side. They’re moving within W2 world, but double click into that 54%. I know for the first half of this year, 24% of all the advisors who transition went to another wirehouse, and that alone is much lower than it’s been. I think usually it’s 50, 52, 54, 55% or so of all wirehouse advisors transition within their channel, move to another wirehouse. So for the first half of this year, to me, the analysis shows more interest in independence, less movement from wirehouse to wirehouse, but still a lot of interest in alternative W2 models. Would you think that’s accurate? Does that tell the story?

Jason Diamond:

100%. And that’s really the story that I think if you asked a lot of advisors or even people in the wealth management media, what is the story in your mind? Forget the data. I think it’s that. It’s that certainly independent has its place, but there is a whole slate of, I don’t want to say tier two because it makes it sound like they’re less than, but a whole slate of alternative W2 firms that aren’t the big wirehouses, whether that’s the regional firms like Raymond James and RBC or the boutique firms like Rockefeller that advisors are certainly moving to, which says to us, again, the model is not broken. It’s not an indictment of the W2 model where everybody’s like, “Yeah, this is a no-brainer if you’re not a 1099 or a K-1, it’s bust.” That’s not the story we’re really seeing play out.

Louis Diamond:

I think it’s honestly kind of the opposite. We’re actually seeing a lot of independent firms start W2 channels. LPL’s had a bunch of success with their Linsco W2 model. Cetera and Osaic now have W2 channels. So it seems like that the pendulum just swings back and forth, but to me, again, highlights number of choices. You said it in your opening, of the advisors who moved in the first half of this year, 200 different destinations. That’s absolutely crazy, considering we have four major firms we’re talking about that picked up about a quarter of those advisors. The fact that the other 75% or so moved to 196 or more different firms, that to me is the hero of this report. It really, really shows the amount of choices. And if you pick through the list, it’s hard to say there’s 200 legitimate options because there’s a lot of one-offs, and this guy was fired, there’s some hair on this. It’s hard to pull that out.

But the fact that that many firms have won a wirehouse advisor is incredibly, incredibly telling, and I think the best possible news for an advisor. More choice means more leverage for advisors. It means deals are better. They get better and better and better. And like you said earlier, it means that no matter what your list of items are, your must-haves, your nice-to-haves, you’re probably more likely than ever to be able to match that up with what’s available in the industry, which is very, very cool. So let’s talk a little bit about the quality. Like we said earlier, headcount, a bit of a misleading proxy for success and where the best advisors are voting with their feet. Can you talk a little bit about, let’s say, the teams managing 500 million or more or a billion or more, however you cut it?

Jason Diamond:

Yeah, and there was a lot of these. You don’t need to track the data to know there was a lot of these just because we saw these are the ones that make the front page of AdvisorHub, and we saw at least one a week really leaving the wirehouses. Now, some of those agreed did direct back towards a wirehouse. UBS even won their share of wirehouse advisors, but we highlight that number for a couple reasons. Number one, those teams have infinite choice. So you talk about all these different spectrum of options. That’s not necessarily true for every team on the landscape. If you’re running a business that’s 800,000 in revenue, you may not have the scale or size to go out and start an RIA, for example. These teams that are this size, we blow their mind sometimes, I think, when we talk about the degree of optionality they have in today’s landscape. That’s the first thing.

The second thing is, when you think about their setup at their current firm, these should be the advisors that are the best taken care of, the best compensated, a phoned to the top, their clients are super well-served, they’re growing fast. On paper, these are the people that should not be moving because they have the keys to the kingdom and they have the most to lose, frankly, by something going wrong. They know a transition is risky. What we’re seeing though in these teams moving 20 teams over a billion in assets leaving a wirehouse in the first half of the year, we’re seeing they flip that logic on its head. They say, “Yes, we have the most to lose in some sense, but we also have the most to gain.” And what that looks like can mean something different for every team. It can mean, for some, economically it means let’s recapture as much of our enterprise value as possible.

We want to own the economics, so we might be able to sell this someday. For others, it means culture. We just missed the Bank of America or the Merrill of old. We want to get back to that feeling that we had elsewhere. For others, it’s the ability to market or brand yourself. I want to run a podcast. So there’s no definition of what that has to look like, but these teams all for one reason or another, and I guarantee you every single one of those teams, the money might have been a part of it in some capacity. It was not first on the list. I say that hand to God. I think there’s sometimes a perception of like, “Well, yeah, of course these teams are leading because they can get 400% to do so.” Oftentimes, we see teams like this, in fact, taking no money.

They’ll say, “I’m going to launch a business and take no money up front because I believe in what I’m building, and I know I’ll be able to sell this thing on the back end.”

Louis Diamond:

No doubt about it. The valuation multiples for a 500 million or above or a billion dollar and above practice, they scale exponentially versus the production multiples, the 350%, the 400% deal that a W2 model firm pays, it stays stagnant. Of course, the base of the revenue increases, so the valuation increases, but you’re not seeing for a $5 billion team a 600% deal from Morgan Stanley. So I think there’s some of that dynamic, it’s just the valuations are absolutely crazy in other segments of the industry. So we’re seeing either teams jump for that right away, looking to sell their business out of a captive firm to a big RIA or private equity firm, or taking the first step in their play, which is let’s go build something and then in the future we’ll monetize it. So of these big teams, do you know, and I might be putting you on the spot, how many of them move to another wirehouse?

So trying to highlight or drill into this trend. So 20 teams over a billion move, which is a big number. I think it’s on par with what we see for a typical year. Do you know how many or what percentage of these stayed within the wirehouse channel?

Jason Diamond:

Yeah, of the 41 teams over 500 million, 12. So right on par, I think with those, I’ll call it roughly a quarter staying within the wirehouse channel. And those are significant wins for the wirehouses, which again, the fact that we’re seeing 500 million plus teams choosing a wirehouse, these are not fools. These people do extensive due diligence on their life’s work. It shows again the degree to which a wirehouse is a legitimate home for a wealth management business in this day and age.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, perfect. So the numbers here, like you said, headcount could be misleading. I think just showing the quality of advisors who are moving and also the quality of advisors staying within the channel is telling. So let’s flip the equation on its head. If advisors are leaving wirehouses at an elevated level like we talked about, why are we still seeing the wirehouse be formable recruiters? Why are they still showing up in virtually every conversation we have with the wirehouse team?

Jason Diamond:

I think the easy answer to this is a degree of inertia or the easy button, if you will, where advisors, the fact that there’s 200 firms that an advisor might go to is not necessarily a good thing. That also means overwhelm, and it’s sometimes just daunting to even consider all of that. And the wirehouse world is like the cocoon in which a lot of these advisors grew up. It’s like, “I know that world, it’s comfortable, and my clients know that world more importantly.” So I think that’s part of it. I think there is a capability story here to an extent, and some of this might be misconceptions. So to the extent you consider brand a capability, you have to concede that point to the wirehouses. They have the best brands on the street, and clients ultimately may care about brand. I think this gets overstated a little bit, but brand would certainly be one.

SMA and alternative platforms are two of the others that get commonly floated. So high net worth focused products that the wirehouses have just done the best job at from an access perspective and from a pricing perspective. And because of that, a lot of wirehouse advisors are pretty heavy users of these types of products. And so what happens is they find it difficult to move the book of business to a firm that’s less competent in that area. We’re seeing a lot of firms bridge that gap from a capability perspective. Banking and lending might be another one. I’m an advisor at Merrill. I have the kid in the candy store mentality. I have access to everything I need all within one house versus if I go independent, that’s a major mindset change to have to shop the street. All of that, plus these are some of the top deals on the street as far as W-2 deals go.

It’s easy to see why there are some advisors who just say, “This is the route I’m going to go.”

Louis Diamond:

Absolutely. Yeah, man, I think you’re right. Especially on the SMA side, we see UBS has these free SMA strategies, so that’s really hard to reconcile or to account for in a transition. I think too, and I’ll see if you agree, that access to SMAs, access to alternatives, access to banking and lending, that’s available everywhere. Is it more so that the wires just do a better job of positioning it or selling it? Or it’s more so just like it’s what these advisors are used to. They’re used to the way it works that I pick up the phone, I call my Bank of America banker, I need an alternative, I click here versus more of an unbundled approach in other segments of the industry. You think that’s part of it too, is it’s not that they access necessarily better at the wires, but it’s easier to digest and it’s just more familiar the way that it all comes together?

Jason Diamond:

I think it’s 90% what you’re describing. 90%, it’s just a matter of apples here and oranges here, and if you translate the language, you end up in the same spot. That 10% is a legitimate capability gap. It might be a pricing gap. Oh, they actually can access that manager, but Morgan Stanley has $80 trillion in assets with them, so they’re going to get leaner pricing than this independent firm. That 10% is purely a test of an advisor’s mindset. Do you have that growth mindset of, is that a deal breaker for you? Can you find a way, either that means having to have a conversation with clients about switching products, about eating the cost for a period of time, or some advisors will let things like that be a deal breaker? And in our opinion, that’s fine as long as you’re not letting the tail wag the dog, meaning don’t be held hostage because you’re using a lot of QGar at UBS.

Louis Diamond:

Well said. Do you think this report draws out the fact that wirehouses are in fact becoming more selective about the type of advisor that they actually want to target? If you just follow the pay grid changes, the comp plan changes that all these firms make on an annual basis or semi-annual basis, it seems like they keep pushing up the grid thresholds where there’s certain incentives for larger teams or for teaming. Do you think that some of the wirehouses not recruiting as many of advisors on a net basis is because they’re in fact actually becoming more selective? They’re saying no to someone with a hundred million, 50 million, et cetera, or is that just an oversimplification?

Jason Diamond:

I think that’s the narrative that they are perpetuating. What does saying no look like? I think it’s almost the equivalent of, we used to call this quiet quitting where they’re not telling these advisors, we don’t want you, but they’re making policies that say to these advisors, we don’t really want you. I think there’s definitely some of that. So meaning if you’re a small advisor, Morgan Stanley’s payout grid is among the worst on the street of their peer set. So you may be ruled out. That’s not Morgan Stanley saying to you, we don’t want you here. I think in a lot of cases, these firms know how competitive the recruiting environment is, and they will take advisors more often than not. So that’s why I’m always not so quick to be like, “Yeah, they’re super selective. They’re saying no to all these $1 and $2 million advisors because that’s just not the world we live in.”

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, I would tend to agree. Maybe there’s some truth to it. It explains some of it, but not all of it. Let’s talk a little bit about deals. I know it changes a lot of time, very much dependent upon size of the business, quality of the business, competitive dynamics, et cetera. But in general, if you’re a wirehouse advisor who’s considering another W2 model, what’s the typical range we’re seeing?

Jason Diamond:

So this may be where, to use your point, maybe where we see firms getting more selective is in deal structure where they’ll say, “Here’s our rack rate deal.” So in the case of wirehouse firms, I would put that number at 325 to 350%-ish, but, and it’s a big but, they have the ability, every single one of them in my mind has the ability to get north of 400% for the right team. Wells and UBS are north of 400% right out of the gates. The regional firms too, you think about RBC, Raymond James, even Stifel to a lesser extent, they’re right there when they want to be. But that’s the story to me is if I had to quote a deal, I’d probably quote something fairly conservative, like 325-ish percent, knowing that for the right teams that show well, have a lot of advisory or invested in growth, et cetera, we can do substantially better than that.

But firms are absolutely being more selective in that regard, and part of that just capital’s gotten more expensive.

Louis Diamond:

Yep, exactly. I think too, headline numbers are great to share with your friend at the golf course and, “Oh, Jimmy got this.” But really what matters more is the structure. So what we’ve seen over the last couple of years is the upfront portion of the deal has increased, probably not the same rate as the overall deals have, but we’re definitely seeing for a larger practice, 175% at a minimum upfront. In some cases 200% or more is fairly commonplace, and different options as far as weighting of the backends, easier to hit certain bonuses, carving out assets, the fact that backends are based on AUM now for the most part instead of production, they’re all things that in a competitive market have gotten better for the advisor, even if the overall headline deals and the upfronts I think have gone up, but they’re not going up or changing to keep pace with all the competitive dynamics in the industry.

Let’s talk briefly about if a wire team wants to go independent, do they get a deal? What does that look like?

Jason Diamond:

Maybe, probably they get something. It depends on the version of independence. So the way I think about this is there’s four different paths a wirehouse advisor might walk. One is they might just launch an RIA with one of the major custodians. We see Goldman in this space commonly for wirehouse teams. In that instance, not really. They might get some benefit or startup expense dollars, but they’re not really getting a transition deal. Another path though might be affiliating with an independent broker dealer. So this would be like an LPL, and those absolutely come with a recruiting deal, 100% in some cases of revenue, a hundred basis points on assets, maybe even just north of that. Another path might be these support players or platform firms. So this would be firms like Sanctuary who in many cases do indeed pay transition deals, and the pitch is fairly straightforward.

It’s basically, we can help you to look and feel like an RIA, but we take off a lot of the heavy lift from your plate. So things like compliance and cobbling together your tech stack, you don’t have to do. And then the last flavor I would mention briefly, it’s arguably not even independence, but you spoke about it for a second. We’re seeing advisors sell their businesses directly to independent firms, acquirers, private equity firms, roll-ups, et cetera. Those advisors are not independent on the other side. Typically, they get purchased and become W2 employees of the buyer, but those deal structures are eye-popping. You’re talking about multiples. Oftentimes it’s not a revenue multiple, but if I had to quote a revenue multiple, I’d probably say five to 6X top line, maybe 5X top line, so big numbers.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, that’s the part that I’m always so interested in because the math for selling your business out of a wire to typically a large PE-backed RIA, the math is so, so, so compelling. Get equity as part of it, which if you run it out over 10 years is potentially even more valuable than the cash. It’s capital gains, either all of it or most of it. Yeah, five and a half, six, sometimes more. I know this report in this episode is about the first half of 2026, but a recent example in September of this year was Eddie Ventrice and Mike Bober down in Boca ran a $20 million plus UBS private wealth team. They sold their practice to Cresset, who’s been on this episode. So that’s a live, really tangible example. We’ve been saying this for years, hasn’t quite picked up yet, but I do think that’s the undiscovered terrain of this recruiting dynamic.

I think that has more potential leverage for deals to increase or stay the same than what Raymond James is paying relative to UBS or what Rockefeller is paying relative to Morgan Stanley. I think it’s this X factor of these very aggressive, very well capitalized buyers coming in and taking a dent out of wirehouse recruiting. So again, might be early. We started our breakaway bank with Dynasty to capture this trend, and I’d say it’s early in it, but we’re very bullish it’s going to happen.

Let’s talk a little bit forward-looking. What do you think are the biggest forces that will shape advisor movement through the rest of 2026 and even into 2027?

Jason Diamond:

Compensation plan changes always pop up in this bucket right around this time of year because they do seem to always spur just a little bit of movement, good, bad or indifferent. It’s oftentimes just I think an excuse for advisors to reevaluate. I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention retire in place deals. This is not a new dynamic, nothing to do with the end of the year, but to me, the single biggest determinant of when we run this report next year, what are these numbers going to look like? I would turn that question on its head and say how widespread does adaption of retire in place deals become? Or how much more widespread, I guess I should say. I think it’s a huge determinant about whether advisors can and will move because it represents the most compelling alternative. Compelling, I might put in quotes.

You mentioned this private equity valuation story. I’m keeping my eye on that because we have now seen a couple of teams. We were not wrong, we were early, shall we say, to this prediction here, but we’ve now seen a couple of teams where I think you could start to see this come true a little bit more. So meaning the Mariners and Mercers and Beacon Pointe of the world start to acquire more directly from wirehouses. And then lastly, I would certainly mention AI. I don’t think any one firm has figured this out necessarily, but this has become question one on advisors’ due diligence checklist is how are firms addressing this? What are firms doing about this? And we are seeing a number of firms really lean into this from a recruiting perspective. Savvy Wealth, Altruist, I think even Morgan Stanley and LPL to a lesser extent. So those are some of the things I’m watching.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, I think those are very accurate. Yeah, this on the AI point, I don’t think right now there’s a clear consensus on whether one type of firm is the right play for someone who’s trying to insulate themselves from the risk of AI or stay ahead of the trends. I see plenty of advisors who say, “I’m trusting that my captive firm, be it Morgan Stanley, Ed Jones, LPL, whoever it is spending billions of dollars on technology, I’m trusting them that they’re boiling the ocean, integrating this stuff, developing their own platforms, and that I’m going to trust them as my partner.” On the flip side, you have advisors that say, “This pace of AI is changing so quickly,” as a future-proof in September, and there’s hundreds of AI FinTech booths that are just all these companies are popping up. So there’s plenty of advisors who say, “I want to be as independent as possible or have the ability to pick and choose AI vendors as they come to market so I can stay ahead of the trend.” So I don’t know.

I feel like there isn’t a right or wrong answer, but AI is absolutely becoming and has become a push factor, pushing people to consider change and a pull factor, meaning it’s how advisors are oftentimes evaluating their top destination, especially with younger advisors or folks with a longer runway.

So let’s do one more question, and then we’ll wrap here. So we’ve shared a lot of numbers, a lot of information, and thank you for that. And we will link this report in the show notes. It will be on our website. So definitely give it a read, run it through your AI system to unpack it. There’s a lot of information in there. But what should an advisor listening really take from this episode if they take a step back from it?

Jason Diamond:

A couple things. I think first of all, I hope that the data does not come across in any way as a sales pitch because it’s not supposed to be. It’s not supposed to suggest that advisors need to move in order to achieve their best business life. It’s supposed to show advisors where the puck is heading at an industry level, at a firm level. And I hope that’s how people use it is just to be empowered with that data. And also we try to sprinkle in our commentary. I think we speak to as many or more advisors than anybody and just try to conclude the things that come up the most as pain points, so meaning why are advisors leaving? But then also on the flip side, when advisors are evaluating or joining a firm, what are the things they’re looking to achieve, and what are they really looking for?

That’s what I hope advisors will take from the report. And then I’d be remiss if didn’t mention, always seems to be the most popular section is the representative deals where we highlight a couple of the major moves from the year. So I won’t run through them here, you’ll have to read the report, but one that I did find interesting that I’ll talk about for two seconds was Twin Harbor Private Wealth going from Merrill to Wells Fargo FiNet. These are the types of deals we highlight, and we just provide some rationale as to why a team might leave a big wirehouse like Merrill to join the independent channel of Wells Fargo, reasons like continuing to operate under a big brand. You mentioned a big recruiting deal, I’m sure was certainly a part of it and more. So the representative deals I think have become a really good lens into advisor mindset via real firsthand stories.

Louis Diamond:

There’s a lot of cool takeaways from this, but I think one of my biggest ones to sum it up is every firm is recruiting, gunning for similar types of advisors. Every firm is clearly losing advisors, some more than others, but the common through line is successful teams, advisors in general have more credible destinations for their business than ever before. So there’s going to be pluses, there’s going to be minuses. Who’s going to win in the end? It’s the advisor. And that’s what makes our job great is advisors I think are always in the influence control position. Those who control the gross control the game I’ve heard people say. And I think this report and over 200 different firms won a wirehouse team in the first half of the year, and just seeing the quality of teams in transition should be really good news for any advisor listening to this episode.

So thank you for being our resident data expert and data scientist and for giving some really good takeaways on this data and making it interesting and not boring. And we’ll invite everyone to download the report. Again, it’ll be in the show notes. It’s on our website or reach out to Jason or I, and we’re happy to send it to you personally. So, Jason, thanks for doing this today.

Jason Diamond:

Thank you. This was great, Louis. Really appreciate it.

Mindy Diamond:

As a financial advisor, you hold yourself to the highest standards of integrity, honesty, and credibility. You are successful because you take your professional responsibility seriously and are dedicated to your clients. But are you living your best business life? Are your goals aligned with your firms or could a better option exist? Should I Stay or Should I Go? Is a book written with you in mind? It’s a self-guided journey that walks you through the key steps that we take with our advisor clients. This strategic thought process and roadmap to professional self-discovery is designed to help you ask the right questions and think critically and objectively whether you’re considering change or not. Learn how to get your copy at diamond-consultants.com/thebook.

The Wirehouse Talent Battle: Winners, Losers and What’s Changing

A Special Industry Update with Louis Diamond and Jason Diamond.

Louis Diamond:

Welcome to the latest episode of our podcast series for financial advisors. Today’s episode is The Wirehouse Talent Battle: Winners, Losers, and What’s Changing. It’s a conversation with my partner, Jason Diamond. I’m Louis Diamond, and this is the Diamond Podcast for Financial Advisors.

Mindy Diamond:

At Diamond Consultants, we help elite advisors identify the right environment for their businesses to thrive, whether that’s at a wirehouse, boutique, or independent firm. With nearly three decades of experience, we’ve guided thousands of advisors and represented more than a quarter of a trillion dollars in assets transitioned. And each year, one in four advisors managing a billion dollars or more who change firms are our clients. Our process is education driven and based on building relationships, starting as your strategic partner well before you’re even thinking of a move. To schedule a confidential conversation, call us at 908-879-1002.

Wondering why advisors change firms and where they’re headed? Are transition deals going up or down? Those very questions and more inspired us to create our Annual Advisor Transition Report. It’s the award-winning data-driven resource designed for advisors that connects the dots between the motivations around movement and the firm’s appetite for top talent.

Arm yourself with the knowledge you need to make smart decisions. Download your copy at diamond-consultants.com/transitionreport.

Louis Diamond:

Advisor movement is nothing new, but the pace and perhaps more importantly, the nature of the movement we saw across the wirehouses during the first half of 2026 is worth paying attention to. And there’s a reason we chose to focus this report specifically on wirehouse advisors. The four wirehouses still represent an enormously important part of the wealth management industry, serving some of its largest and most sophisticated advisors and clients. At the same time, those advisors have more legitimate alternatives competing for their business than ever before. That makes their movement particularly instructive. Where they go, what they leave behind, and what they’re looking for tells us a lot about how the broader industry is evolving.

In just six months, 1,449 experienced advisors left Merrill, Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Wells Fargo while 932 joined them. That represents net attrition of 517 advisors, more than the wirehouses lost on a net basis during all of 2025.

But those headline numbers don’t tell the whole story. Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo actually posted positive net advisor growth. Nearly a quarter of departing wirehouse advisors simply chose another wirehouse. At the same time, 46% chose an independent model, and perhaps most notable, 41 teams managing more than $500 million left to wirehouse in the first half of the year, including 20 managing one billion or more. There’s a lot happening beneath the surface. Jason is essentially the architect of our new 2026 first half advisor transition report, wirehouse focused edition. So I’ve asked him to join me to go beyond the numbers, what’s driving the movement, why the four firms are experiencing very different results, where advisors are going, what firms are paying to recruit them, and what all of this may tell us about the evolving competitive landscape. There’s a lot to unpack. Let’s get into it.

Jason Diamond:

Thanks, Louis. I’m thrilled to be here. I’m excited to discuss.

Louis Diamond:

Amazing. Yeah, I know these data-driven reports have really become your brainchild. They’re incredibly helpful, I know to me and to a number of advisors and just people in the industry. This report is of extra interest and importance just because of the pace of movement we’re seeing specifically in the wirehouse segment. So I know you looked at the first six months of advisor movement, so January one to the end of June 2026, of course not a full year. We publish that report in 2027, but let’s start with the headline number you have here, which is 517 advisors the wirehouse has lost on a net basis in the first six months. Can you comment how significant that is?

Jason Diamond:

A couple things. First of all, I’m always excited to write this report because you and I, we spend our day talking to financial advisors, and we think we have a pretty good sense of where the puck is heading and the pace of advisor movement, but it’s hard to tell because we know we only represent a small microcosm of the industry. So I think we had this feeling like advisor movement was up across the board, and this report helped to put numbers to just how elevated movement is. And you alluded to this, recruiting is a two-sided game. It’s part attrition and it’s part inbound, and we saw elevated numbers on both sides of the ledger for the wires. And we’ll talk about, to say the wires is probably a little bit overly generalizing. It’s probably worth breaking down on a firm by firm level, but we’re talking about 1,449 advisors who left a wirehouse versus 932 advisors that joined a wirehouse.

So just at a very simple level, when you talk about where is the puck heading, it’s heading away from the wirehouse channel. Overall, the channel is losing advisor talent, but, and this is an important but, there are also plenty of folks in our industry who will be quick to tell you that the wirehouse space is dying and that W-2 models are a thing of the past, that everybody’s going independent, and 932 advisors that joined a wirehouse would tell you something far to the contrary.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, numbers are numbers, but without context or grounding, it’s hard to square. Is that a lot? Is that a little? But I know from our 2025 report that if these numbers held that the net wirehouse attrition figures, it would already be far more than the wirehouse’s lost net in 2025. So can you talk a little bit about just the comparison to ’25 and what do you think this means for this year so far?

Jason Diamond:

You said it well. These would represent absolute records by not just a little, but by a long, long margin. And there is some seasonality to these numbers where it’s not necessarily fair just to double the first half numbers because as we know, very few advisors move in December, for example. But what it ultimately tells me is the things we’ve been talking about are starting to have an impact or continuing to have an impact on advisor mindset and advisor movement. And to rehash, that is to me a two-front story. It is a story of pushes and pulls. When we say pushes, we are talking about frustrations or limitations that people experience. And honestly, the wirehouses, all four of them are guiltier of frustrating or limiting their advisors than probably just about any other firm in the industry. That’s just a reality of life at the biggest firms on the street.

So we certainly hear plenty of push factors, but also excitingly from my seat, pull factors, meaning when advisors look out at the landscape today, I think we had a number in the report of 200 different firms recruited a wirehouse advisor in the first half. So you talk about diversity of choice, diversity of legitimate choice. That’s my biggest takeaway because I do think the headcount, while the numbers are eye-popping, what’s more telling to me, and you alluded to this a little bit in your introductory comments, the number of big teams in motion is probably the more important number than truly just the number of advisors in motion, in my opinion.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, no doubt. We always caveat in our report since we started doing it that even though we’re guilty now of we’re talking about headcount, that’s a pretty misleading number because a firm can add someone with LOS 4 saying that that washes out a one advisor with a billion who leaves the firm. So it is an imperfect science. It’s impossible for us to really get into granular detail on AUM per move. The only way we can is if there’s an AdvisorHub or news story or the team happened to be on Barron’s or Forbes or some sort of industry list. So we’ll give that caveat that headcount is definitely not the whole story. We focus more on the quality and the size, and we’ll get later into this episode into the number of larger scale teams that were in transition and how that tracks versus other years.

I think what’s also interesting is the fact that this net attrition number is so much higher than it’s been because I think probably beginning of this year, maybe end of last year was the first time since 2016, 2017 that we’ve seen all four wirehouses be competitively back into the recruiting market.

So you would think that with four really competitive deals from four great firms that that would keep more people in the channel, but it seems to have had the reverse impact in many cases.

Jason Diamond:

Look, what I think that speaks to partly is the four wirehouses know they’re no longer operating in a world where they’re competing exclusively against each other. They’re equally competing against regional firms, boutique firms, RIAs, broker dealers, platform firms and the like, and that is a reality that just means there’s going to be more churn quote/unquote in the industry because of the fact that advisors are more likely to find their version of perfect. When you look out and say, “Well, I don’t want another wirehouse, but I need to monetize the book and I want to maintain equity and I want X, Y, Z,” you might just find that in what the landscape looks like today. So I think it’s cause and effect. The wires are paying those deals because it is so difficult to recruit. That’s the first thing I’ll say.

The other caveat I’d give is recruiting is a wonderful thing, but firms, I’ll call this the Morgan Stanley argument, and they’re right, are quick to point out that same store sales, organic growth matters probably just as much if not more. And Morgan Stanley advisors and wirehouse advisors as a whole tend to grow faster than other advisors in the industry. And so the argument is they may be slowing down quote/unquote on the recruiting side, but if they can feed their advisors faster and their advisors can grow faster, that may ultimately be a winning formula in the long term. What are your thoughts on that?

Louis Diamond:

I completely agree. It’s way, way cheaper to acquire a new customer through organic means than through inorganic means. It’s better for valuations in the RA world, certainly better for stock prices for publicly traded companies. It also buys loyalty, creates stickiness. So I would agree. Any firm that has a mousetrap to help advisors grow organically, there’s no downside. There’s probably five or six benefits. So you mentioned Morgan Stanley in particular. Let’s zoom into the four wires in particular because I think the attrition numbers, the growth numbers for each of them, they tell wildly different stories. So in the report you talk about how Wells Fargo was net positive. They actually have the highest gains plus 46, and Morgan Stanley was second with positive 23 advisors with UBS negative 182, Merrill negative 404. So massive differences between the net attrition figures for all of them.

Can you give some color behind each of them and why you think those numbers are what they are?

Jason Diamond:

Yeah, so the first thing I do when I look at these numbers is I want to normalize them relative to each other. And so here’s what I mean. Think about the base advisor population at these firms. UBS is by far the smallest of the wires, a half to even a third probably of the size of their peers, Morgan and Merrill in particular. So you see almost 200 net advisors leaving UBS. That’s really more than 400 if you think about it on a normalized basis in terms of Merrill or Morgan. That’s the first thing. The second thing I want to do is I want to say, are there any real outlier events that are causing the data to be misleading? Did a portion of the firm get bought or sold? Was there one team of advisors that had a hundred people on it that left?

Is there something that’s skewing the numbers? And Merrill certainly has that. Over a hundred of the Merrill departures left for JP Morgan, and that tells us I think that a lot of those departures are bank advisors in nature. The data is difficult to parse through sometimes of what is a “financial advisor” for the purposes of tracking. So that gives me some confidence that the Merrill attrition story isn’t quite that dire. And then when they look at Morgan Stanley and Wells, no question, that’s one where the numbers match our anecdotal experience. Morgan Stanley to me is like the little engine that could kind of steady eddy, keeps chugging right along as the clear winner over the last five years, certainly in the wirehouse space. We talked about their advisor’s ability to grow organically. The funnel story seems to be working, this idea that they’re feeding their advisors referral relationships from workplace, from E-Trade, and they also seem to have done the best job in terms of just general advisor sentiment of this peer set.

Wells I think is an interesting story here. Wells to me, not really a platform or a capability change, but obviously they were hindered dramatically in the past several years by the consumer banking scandal. Really what I would call it is, excuse the expression, but advisors and clients were allergic to the firm name, and we’re just seeing that a beat where now advisors are at least willing to entertain the conversation, more than willing to entertain the conversation. You pair that with a really, really good deal in both channels. And I will caveat this Wells number does include both their PCG and their FiNet channels. So it is probably skewed slightly higher given some of the FiNet channels are technically not really wirehouse moves, but still no question if you think about who is the number one success story of this year in advisor recruiting land, maybe not even just the wires, maybe industry as a whole, I would argue it’s Wells Fargo.

Louis Diamond:

I would agree. Actually, it’s great to see that Wells has rebounded. Reputations ebb and flow. Who’s hot, who’s not certainly changes. Wells was on the negative side of the ledger for much longer than we’ve seen any firm for a long time. So it’s great to see that they’ve rebounded. And this data too, I mean, I think it’s purest. This does not count the internal moves of W-2, private client group advisors moving independent with FiNet. To us, that’s just net retention. It doesn’t tell an overall story. So that’s great to hear. Let’s drill it a bit more into UBS. I mean, you mentioned it’s the second biggest loser on a net basis, but based upon the size, you make the case that they’ve lost the largest percentage of their population of advisors. So what’s actually happening within UBS?

Jason Diamond:

The single most concerning data point and probably the most telling data point to me in all of this is the asset numbers that have left UBS in the first half of the year, massive outflows. Said another way, it’s not the number of teams necessarily that have left UBS, it’s the size of those teams. These are not little small bank teams that are going to the local regional bank on the corner. These are franchise marquee corner office teams. We can count certainly double digits of those types of teams. So whenever we see that, it certainly gets our attention because the question is what’s going on under the hood? Are there issues with the firm? I think UBS is an interesting one. They made the compensation plan changes, now it’s a year and a half ago, have realized that that is a difficult genie to put back in the bottle.

And I think what it shed light on is advisors just felt like the value they were getting from the firm is no longer worth the 50% of revenue that the firm is taking. The number of headaches that they’re running into, whether it’s I can’t hire support staff, compliance is overly onerous, it’s difficult to grow, it takes me too long to get simple answers, all of that just makes it so that it’s no longer worth it to justify the juice isn’t worth the squeeze. And there’s no question, I feel there is a real momentum trade with financial advisor movement. So advisors see their colleague from a market away, a huge team leaving, and it gets their attention, and then they see three other teams leaving, and they go, “Hmm.” And then almost they feel like they have permission, I think, like, “Hey, I feel this way too, and look, all these other teams are leaving as well.” I think we saw that flywheel.

The question is what inning are we in? I don’t think it’s over. I think you’re still going to see some big UBS teams leave. And on top of that, they have been able to recruit inbound. We have seen some teams go inbound into UBS, but it’s taken a really, really lofty deal to be able to do that. When that deal normalizes more, what is their ability to recruit? So I’m curious what your thoughts are.

Louis Diamond:

I would agree. Yeah, it felt like in 2025, UBS didn’t really recruit anyone, but definitely seeing them pop up more as a winner. So it’s telling that they’re paying a big deal. They have been relatively successful in bringing new advisors into the firm, but they’re still losing and on a pace to lose even more than how they can restock the pond. So I think it’s super interesting. To me, the distinction with UBS right now is fairly simple. It’s what may work for the corporation or for shareholders or for the management team in Switzerland is not what individuals want from their firm. It’s that push and pull or that tug of war of corporate agendas are one thing, corporate strategy, what they’re trying to do is great. It’s their prerogative, but a lot of times those decisions have downstream impacts on advisors, and a lot of times it’s a light bulb moment for advisors of, as long as I’m here, I’m not fully in control and either their changes are good enough for me, I can make peace with them, I can reconcile them.

Or it’s a reminder, a wake-up call that unless you’re independent or unless you’re at a firm that has a track record or history of not making compensation plan changes, really making decisions that are framed as far as what’s best for the advisor rather than for the shareholders, this is always going to be a dynamic that’s in play. So I think to me, that’s the short version of what’s happening with UBS. Still a great firm, not going out of business, but I think in a bit of purgatory right now as far as what their strategic play is to stop the outflows, increase the inflows, and really continue to build on a leading wealth management franchise.

This whole report, this stat that you pulled is probably the most interesting because it’s so different from how we usually see this data. And maybe once the dust settles on all of 2026, it’ll normalize.

But the report says that 46% of departing wirehouse advisors chose independence. To me, that’s a big, big number. I think it’s usually like 25%, 20%. I might be wrong, but this is a massive number. So can you dig into this a little bit more?

Jason Diamond:

So again, I think there is definitely some skew here based on size of teams because generally speaking, when you think about just in terms of number of moves, count of number of moves, it’s generally smaller independent moves that are the most common, meaning moves towards the independent space. It’s not that there was this massive wave of mega independent breakaways, although we certainly did see those types of moves. When I think about 46% of departing advisors choosing independence, to me, there’s two ways to think through that number. One is the 54% did not, and that is also telling to me that there is still a massive subset of advisors that choose some version of knowing that their life is not going to get better in every way, they still choose a version of captivity for some reason or another. They want the brand, they want the big deal, they worry about what their clients will think about independent.

So more than half of advisors still are not going that direction. Now that said, when you see a number like 46%, the other thing it says to me is we never see advisors really going the other way, meaning advisors who are independent very seldom move back towards captive models. So over time, this is a concerning story. The story that the big traditional firms are losing headcount slowly over time, they will need to combat that in some other way. And one way we already spoke about will be organic growth just growing faster than the rate at which their advisors leave.

Louis Diamond:

No doubt. I think the other piece of it is, so you have 46% who are going independent, that means 54% are on the other side. They’re moving within W2 world, but double click into that 54%. I know for the first half of this year, 24% of all the advisors who transition went to another wirehouse, and that alone is much lower than it’s been. I think usually it’s 50, 52, 54, 55% or so of all wirehouse advisors transition within their channel, move to another wirehouse. So for the first half of this year, to me, the analysis shows more interest in independence, less movement from wirehouse to wirehouse, but still a lot of interest in alternative W2 models. Would you think that’s accurate? Does that tell the story?

Jason Diamond:

100%. And that’s really the story that I think if you asked a lot of advisors or even people in the wealth management media, what is the story in your mind? Forget the data. I think it’s that. It’s that certainly independent has its place, but there is a whole slate of, I don’t want to say tier two because it makes it sound like they’re less than, but a whole slate of alternative W2 firms that aren’t the big wirehouses, whether that’s the regional firms like Raymond James and RBC or the boutique firms like Rockefeller that advisors are certainly moving to, which says to us, again, the model is not broken. It’s not an indictment of the W2 model where everybody’s like, “Yeah, this is a no-brainer if you’re not a 1099 or a K-1, it’s bust.” That’s not the story we’re really seeing play out.

Louis Diamond:

I think it’s honestly kind of the opposite. We’re actually seeing a lot of independent firms start W2 channels. LPL’s had a bunch of success with their Linsco W2 model. Cetera and Osaic now have W2 channels. So it seems like that the pendulum just swings back and forth, but to me, again, highlights number of choices. You said it in your opening, of the advisors who moved in the first half of this year, 200 different destinations. That’s absolutely crazy, considering we have four major firms we’re talking about that picked up about a quarter of those advisors. The fact that the other 75% or so moved to 196 or more different firms, that to me is the hero of this report. It really, really shows the amount of choices. And if you pick through the list, it’s hard to say there’s 200 legitimate options because there’s a lot of one-offs, and this guy was fired, there’s some hair on this. It’s hard to pull that out.

But the fact that that many firms have won a wirehouse advisor is incredibly, incredibly telling, and I think the best possible news for an advisor. More choice means more leverage for advisors. It means deals are better. They get better and better and better. And like you said earlier, it means that no matter what your list of items are, your must-haves, your nice-to-haves, you’re probably more likely than ever to be able to match that up with what’s available in the industry, which is very, very cool. So let’s talk a little bit about the quality. Like we said earlier, headcount, a bit of a misleading proxy for success and where the best advisors are voting with their feet. Can you talk a little bit about, let’s say, the teams managing 500 million or more or a billion or more, however you cut it?

Jason Diamond:

Yeah, and there was a lot of these. You don’t need to track the data to know there was a lot of these just because we saw these are the ones that make the front page of AdvisorHub, and we saw at least one a week really leaving the wirehouses. Now, some of those agreed did direct back towards a wirehouse. UBS even won their share of wirehouse advisors, but we highlight that number for a couple reasons. Number one, those teams have infinite choice. So you talk about all these different spectrum of options. That’s not necessarily true for every team on the landscape. If you’re running a business that’s 800,000 in revenue, you may not have the scale or size to go out and start an RIA, for example. These teams that are this size, we blow their mind sometimes, I think, when we talk about the degree of optionality they have in today’s landscape. That’s the first thing.

The second thing is, when you think about their setup at their current firm, these should be the advisors that are the best taken care of, the best compensated, a phoned to the top, their clients are super well-served, they’re growing fast. On paper, these are the people that should not be moving because they have the keys to the kingdom and they have the most to lose, frankly, by something going wrong. They know a transition is risky. What we’re seeing though in these teams moving 20 teams over a billion in assets leaving a wirehouse in the first half of the year, we’re seeing they flip that logic on its head. They say, “Yes, we have the most to lose in some sense, but we also have the most to gain.” And what that looks like can mean something different for every team. It can mean, for some, economically it means let’s recapture as much of our enterprise value as possible.

We want to own the economics, so we might be able to sell this someday. For others, it means culture. We just missed the Bank of America or the Merrill of old. We want to get back to that feeling that we had elsewhere. For others, it’s the ability to market or brand yourself. I want to run a podcast. So there’s no definition of what that has to look like, but these teams all for one reason or another, and I guarantee you every single one of those teams, the money might have been a part of it in some capacity. It was not first on the list. I say that hand to God. I think there’s sometimes a perception of like, “Well, yeah, of course these teams are leading because they can get 400% to do so.” Oftentimes, we see teams like this, in fact, taking no money.

They’ll say, “I’m going to launch a business and take no money up front because I believe in what I’m building, and I know I’ll be able to sell this thing on the back end.”

Louis Diamond:

No doubt about it. The valuation multiples for a 500 million or above or a billion dollar and above practice, they scale exponentially versus the production multiples, the 350%, the 400% deal that a W2 model firm pays, it stays stagnant. Of course, the base of the revenue increases, so the valuation increases, but you’re not seeing for a $5 billion team a 600% deal from Morgan Stanley. So I think there’s some of that dynamic, it’s just the valuations are absolutely crazy in other segments of the industry. So we’re seeing either teams jump for that right away, looking to sell their business out of a captive firm to a big RIA or private equity firm, or taking the first step in their play, which is let’s go build something and then in the future we’ll monetize it. So of these big teams, do you know, and I might be putting you on the spot, how many of them move to another wirehouse?

So trying to highlight or drill into this trend. So 20 teams over a billion move, which is a big number. I think it’s on par with what we see for a typical year. Do you know how many or what percentage of these stayed within the wirehouse channel?

Jason Diamond:

Yeah, of the 41 teams over 500 million, 12. So right on par, I think with those, I’ll call it roughly a quarter staying within the wirehouse channel. And those are significant wins for the wirehouses, which again, the fact that we’re seeing 500 million plus teams choosing a wirehouse, these are not fools. These people do extensive due diligence on their life’s work. It shows again the degree to which a wirehouse is a legitimate home for a wealth management business in this day and age.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, perfect. So the numbers here, like you said, headcount could be misleading. I think just showing the quality of advisors who are moving and also the quality of advisors staying within the channel is telling. So let’s flip the equation on its head. If advisors are leaving wirehouses at an elevated level like we talked about, why are we still seeing the wirehouse be formable recruiters? Why are they still showing up in virtually every conversation we have with the wirehouse team?

Jason Diamond:

I think the easy answer to this is a degree of inertia or the easy button, if you will, where advisors, the fact that there’s 200 firms that an advisor might go to is not necessarily a good thing. That also means overwhelm, and it’s sometimes just daunting to even consider all of that. And the wirehouse world is like the cocoon in which a lot of these advisors grew up. It’s like, “I know that world, it’s comfortable, and my clients know that world more importantly.” So I think that’s part of it. I think there is a capability story here to an extent, and some of this might be misconceptions. So to the extent you consider brand a capability, you have to concede that point to the wirehouses. They have the best brands on the street, and clients ultimately may care about brand. I think this gets overstated a little bit, but brand would certainly be one.

SMA and alternative platforms are two of the others that get commonly floated. So high net worth focused products that the wirehouses have just done the best job at from an access perspective and from a pricing perspective. And because of that, a lot of wirehouse advisors are pretty heavy users of these types of products. And so what happens is they find it difficult to move the book of business to a firm that’s less competent in that area. We’re seeing a lot of firms bridge that gap from a capability perspective. Banking and lending might be another one. I’m an advisor at Merrill. I have the kid in the candy store mentality. I have access to everything I need all within one house versus if I go independent, that’s a major mindset change to have to shop the street. All of that, plus these are some of the top deals on the street as far as W-2 deals go.

It’s easy to see why there are some advisors who just say, “This is the route I’m going to go.”

Louis Diamond:

Absolutely. Yeah, man, I think you’re right. Especially on the SMA side, we see UBS has these free SMA strategies, so that’s really hard to reconcile or to account for in a transition. I think too, and I’ll see if you agree, that access to SMAs, access to alternatives, access to banking and lending, that’s available everywhere. Is it more so that the wires just do a better job of positioning it or selling it? Or it’s more so just like it’s what these advisors are used to. They’re used to the way it works that I pick up the phone, I call my Bank of America banker, I need an alternative, I click here versus more of an unbundled approach in other segments of the industry. You think that’s part of it too, is it’s not that they access necessarily better at the wires, but it’s easier to digest and it’s just more familiar the way that it all comes together?

Jason Diamond:

I think it’s 90% what you’re describing. 90%, it’s just a matter of apples here and oranges here, and if you translate the language, you end up in the same spot. That 10% is a legitimate capability gap. It might be a pricing gap. Oh, they actually can access that manager, but Morgan Stanley has $80 trillion in assets with them, so they’re going to get leaner pricing than this independent firm. That 10% is purely a test of an advisor’s mindset. Do you have that growth mindset of, is that a deal breaker for you? Can you find a way, either that means having to have a conversation with clients about switching products, about eating the cost for a period of time, or some advisors will let things like that be a deal breaker? And in our opinion, that’s fine as long as you’re not letting the tail wag the dog, meaning don’t be held hostage because you’re using a lot of QGar at UBS.

Louis Diamond:

Well said. Do you think this report draws out the fact that wirehouses are in fact becoming more selective about the type of advisor that they actually want to target? If you just follow the pay grid changes, the comp plan changes that all these firms make on an annual basis or semi-annual basis, it seems like they keep pushing up the grid thresholds where there’s certain incentives for larger teams or for teaming. Do you think that some of the wirehouses not recruiting as many of advisors on a net basis is because they’re in fact actually becoming more selective? They’re saying no to someone with a hundred million, 50 million, et cetera, or is that just an oversimplification?

Jason Diamond:

I think that’s the narrative that they are perpetuating. What does saying no look like? I think it’s almost the equivalent of, we used to call this quiet quitting where they’re not telling these advisors, we don’t want you, but they’re making policies that say to these advisors, we don’t really want you. I think there’s definitely some of that. So meaning if you’re a small advisor, Morgan Stanley’s payout grid is among the worst on the street of their peer set. So you may be ruled out. That’s not Morgan Stanley saying to you, we don’t want you here. I think in a lot of cases, these firms know how competitive the recruiting environment is, and they will take advisors more often than not. So that’s why I’m always not so quick to be like, “Yeah, they’re super selective. They’re saying no to all these $1 and $2 million advisors because that’s just not the world we live in.”

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, I would tend to agree. Maybe there’s some truth to it. It explains some of it, but not all of it. Let’s talk a little bit about deals. I know it changes a lot of time, very much dependent upon size of the business, quality of the business, competitive dynamics, et cetera. But in general, if you’re a wirehouse advisor who’s considering another W2 model, what’s the typical range we’re seeing?

Jason Diamond:

So this may be where, to use your point, maybe where we see firms getting more selective is in deal structure where they’ll say, “Here’s our rack rate deal.” So in the case of wirehouse firms, I would put that number at 325 to 350%-ish, but, and it’s a big but, they have the ability, every single one of them in my mind has the ability to get north of 400% for the right team. Wells and UBS are north of 400% right out of the gates. The regional firms too, you think about RBC, Raymond James, even Stifel to a lesser extent, they’re right there when they want to be. But that’s the story to me is if I had to quote a deal, I’d probably quote something fairly conservative, like 325-ish percent, knowing that for the right teams that show well, have a lot of advisory or invested in growth, et cetera, we can do substantially better than that.

But firms are absolutely being more selective in that regard, and part of that just capital’s gotten more expensive.

Louis Diamond:

Yep, exactly. I think too, headline numbers are great to share with your friend at the golf course and, “Oh, Jimmy got this.” But really what matters more is the structure. So what we’ve seen over the last couple of years is the upfront portion of the deal has increased, probably not the same rate as the overall deals have, but we’re definitely seeing for a larger practice, 175% at a minimum upfront. In some cases 200% or more is fairly commonplace, and different options as far as weighting of the backends, easier to hit certain bonuses, carving out assets, the fact that backends are based on AUM now for the most part instead of production, they’re all things that in a competitive market have gotten better for the advisor, even if the overall headline deals and the upfronts I think have gone up, but they’re not going up or changing to keep pace with all the competitive dynamics in the industry.

Let’s talk briefly about if a wire team wants to go independent, do they get a deal? What does that look like?

Jason Diamond:

Maybe, probably they get something. It depends on the version of independence. So the way I think about this is there’s four different paths a wirehouse advisor might walk. One is they might just launch an RIA with one of the major custodians. We see Goldman in this space commonly for wirehouse teams. In that instance, not really. They might get some benefit or startup expense dollars, but they’re not really getting a transition deal. Another path though might be affiliating with an independent broker dealer. So this would be like an LPL, and those absolutely come with a recruiting deal, 100% in some cases of revenue, a hundred basis points on assets, maybe even just north of that. Another path might be these support players or platform firms. So this would be firms like Sanctuary who in many cases do indeed pay transition deals, and the pitch is fairly straightforward.

It’s basically, we can help you to look and feel like an RIA, but we take off a lot of the heavy lift from your plate. So things like compliance and cobbling together your tech stack, you don’t have to do. And then the last flavor I would mention briefly, it’s arguably not even independence, but you spoke about it for a second. We’re seeing advisors sell their businesses directly to independent firms, acquirers, private equity firms, roll-ups, et cetera. Those advisors are not independent on the other side. Typically, they get purchased and become W2 employees of the buyer, but those deal structures are eye-popping. You’re talking about multiples. Oftentimes it’s not a revenue multiple, but if I had to quote a revenue multiple, I’d probably say five to 6X top line, maybe 5X top line, so big numbers.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, that’s the part that I’m always so interested in because the math for selling your business out of a wire to typically a large PE-backed RIA, the math is so, so, so compelling. Get equity as part of it, which if you run it out over 10 years is potentially even more valuable than the cash. It’s capital gains, either all of it or most of it. Yeah, five and a half, six, sometimes more. I know this report in this episode is about the first half of 2026, but a recent example in September of this year was Eddie Ventrice and Mike Bober down in Boca ran a $20 million plus UBS private wealth team. They sold their practice to Cresset, who’s been on this episode. So that’s a live, really tangible example. We’ve been saying this for years, hasn’t quite picked up yet, but I do think that’s the undiscovered terrain of this recruiting dynamic.

I think that has more potential leverage for deals to increase or stay the same than what Raymond James is paying relative to UBS or what Rockefeller is paying relative to Morgan Stanley. I think it’s this X factor of these very aggressive, very well capitalized buyers coming in and taking a dent out of wirehouse recruiting. So again, might be early. We started our breakaway bank with Dynasty to capture this trend, and I’d say it’s early in it, but we’re very bullish it’s going to happen.

Let’s talk a little bit forward-looking. What do you think are the biggest forces that will shape advisor movement through the rest of 2026 and even into 2027?

Jason Diamond:

Compensation plan changes always pop up in this bucket right around this time of year because they do seem to always spur just a little bit of movement, good, bad or indifferent. It’s oftentimes just I think an excuse for advisors to reevaluate. I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention retire in place deals. This is not a new dynamic, nothing to do with the end of the year, but to me, the single biggest determinant of when we run this report next year, what are these numbers going to look like? I would turn that question on its head and say how widespread does adaption of retire in place deals become? Or how much more widespread, I guess I should say. I think it’s a huge determinant about whether advisors can and will move because it represents the most compelling alternative. Compelling, I might put in quotes.

You mentioned this private equity valuation story. I’m keeping my eye on that because we have now seen a couple of teams. We were not wrong, we were early, shall we say, to this prediction here, but we’ve now seen a couple of teams where I think you could start to see this come true a little bit more. So meaning the Mariners and Mercers and Beacon Pointe of the world start to acquire more directly from wirehouses. And then lastly, I would certainly mention AI. I don’t think any one firm has figured this out necessarily, but this has become question one on advisors’ due diligence checklist is how are firms addressing this? What are firms doing about this? And we are seeing a number of firms really lean into this from a recruiting perspective. Savvy Wealth, Altruist, I think even Morgan Stanley and LPL to a lesser extent. So those are some of the things I’m watching.

Louis Diamond:

Yeah, I think those are very accurate. Yeah, this on the AI point, I don’t think right now there’s a clear consensus on whether one type of firm is the right play for someone who’s trying to insulate themselves from the risk of AI or stay ahead of the trends. I see plenty of advisors who say, “I’m trusting that my captive firm, be it Morgan Stanley, Ed Jones, LPL, whoever it is spending billions of dollars on technology, I’m trusting them that they’re boiling the ocean, integrating this stuff, developing their own platforms, and that I’m going to trust them as my partner.” On the flip side, you have advisors that say, “This pace of AI is changing so quickly,” as a future-proof in September, and there’s hundreds of AI FinTech booths that are just all these companies are popping up. So there’s plenty of advisors who say, “I want to be as independent as possible or have the ability to pick and choose AI vendors as they come to market so I can stay ahead of the trend.” So I don’t know.

I feel like there isn’t a right or wrong answer, but AI is absolutely becoming and has become a push factor, pushing people to consider change and a pull factor, meaning it’s how advisors are oftentimes evaluating their top destination, especially with younger advisors or folks with a longer runway.

So let’s do one more question, and then we’ll wrap here. So we’ve shared a lot of numbers, a lot of information, and thank you for that. And we will link this report in the show notes. It will be on our website. So definitely give it a read, run it through your AI system to unpack it. There’s a lot of information in there. But what should an advisor listening really take from this episode if they take a step back from it?

Jason Diamond:

A couple things. I think first of all, I hope that the data does not come across in any way as a sales pitch because it’s not supposed to be. It’s not supposed to suggest that advisors need to move in order to achieve their best business life. It’s supposed to show advisors where the puck is heading at an industry level, at a firm level. And I hope that’s how people use it is just to be empowered with that data. And also we try to sprinkle in our commentary. I think we speak to as many or more advisors than anybody and just try to conclude the things that come up the most as pain points, so meaning why are advisors leaving? But then also on the flip side, when advisors are evaluating or joining a firm, what are the things they’re looking to achieve, and what are they really looking for?

That’s what I hope advisors will take from the report. And then I’d be remiss if didn’t mention, always seems to be the most popular section is the representative deals where we highlight a couple of the major moves from the year. So I won’t run through them here, you’ll have to read the report, but one that I did find interesting that I’ll talk about for two seconds was Twin Harbor Private Wealth going from Merrill to Wells Fargo FiNet. These are the types of deals we highlight, and we just provide some rationale as to why a team might leave a big wirehouse like Merrill to join the independent channel of Wells Fargo, reasons like continuing to operate under a big brand. You mentioned a big recruiting deal, I’m sure was certainly a part of it and more. So the representative deals I think have become a really good lens into advisor mindset via real firsthand stories.

Louis Diamond:

There’s a lot of cool takeaways from this, but I think one of my biggest ones to sum it up is every firm is recruiting, gunning for similar types of advisors. Every firm is clearly losing advisors, some more than others, but the common through line is successful teams, advisors in general have more credible destinations for their business than ever before. So there’s going to be pluses, there’s going to be minuses. Who’s going to win in the end? It’s the advisor. And that’s what makes our job great is advisors I think are always in the influence control position. Those who control the gross control the game I’ve heard people say. And I think this report and over 200 different firms won a wirehouse team in the first half of the year, and just seeing the quality of teams in transition should be really good news for any advisor listening to this episode.

So thank you for being our resident data expert and data scientist and for giving some really good takeaways on this data and making it interesting and not boring. And we’ll invite everyone to download the report. Again, it’ll be in the show notes. It’s on our website or reach out to Jason or I, and we’re happy to send it to you personally. So, Jason, thanks for doing this today.

Jason Diamond:

Thank you. This was great, Louis. Really appreciate it.

Mindy Diamond:

As a financial advisor, you hold yourself to the highest standards of integrity, honesty, and credibility. You are successful because you take your professional responsibility seriously and are dedicated to your clients. But are you living your best business life? Are your goals aligned with your firms or could a better option exist? Should I Stay or Should I Go? Is a book written with you in mind? It’s a self-guided journey that walks you through the key steps that we take with our advisor clients. This strategic thought process and roadmap to professional self-discovery is designed to help you ask the right questions and think critically and objectively whether you’re considering change or not. Learn how to get your copy at diamond-consultants.com/thebook.

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