The Modern Acre podcast

421: Understanding "The Big Shrink" and Farmer Sentiment in Agriculture

19/08/2025
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Tim and Tyler talk to Matt Woolf about the ag economy in California specialty crops.

Takeaways

  • Post-COVID, nut pricing is stabilizing while vegetable pricing normalizes.
  • USDA estimates can be inaccurate due to abandoned orchards.
  • The Big Shrink report explores the impact of population decline on agriculture.
  • Population growth has historically supported agricultural markets.
  • Fertility rates are declining due to economic and cultural factors.
  • Public policies to reverse population decline have shown little effect.
  • Farmers should focus on quality over quantity in exports.
  • California agriculture faces significant regulatory challenges.
  • Ag tech innovations are rapidly evolving and improving efficiency.
  • Farmer sentiment is low due to high input costs and low commodity prices.

This episode is presented by American AgCredit. Check them out HERE.

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