Ray Dalio Says Higher Interest Rates Will Break The Economy
"Higher interest rates tend to pop the bubble."
This episode responds to the headlines that Ray Dalio and other experts are warning rising interest rates could tip the economy into a recession. He explains that the Fed has raised rates once this year, with more hikes likely at its October 28th and December meetings, and why that makes the recession question worth examining closely.
Jaspreet Singh walks through the five most recent rate-hiking cycles and what happened to stocks and the economy during and after each one. He then covers why private equity and private credit are showing early stress, and how he uses always be buying, market shifts, and market crashes to stay calm and keep building wealth.
In this episode, you'll learn:
- Why Ray Dalio and other experts are warning that higher interest rates raise the risk of a recession
- What the Fed is expected to do at its October 28th and December meetings
- How stocks and the economy performed during the 2022 to 2023 rate-hiking cycle
- Why the 2004 to 2006 and 1999 to 2000 hiking cycles were followed by the Great Recession and the dot-com bust
- Why the 1994 to 1995 and 2015 to 2018 cycles ended without a recession
- Why the pain from rate hikes tends to show up after the hikes, not during them
- Why private equity firms that bought at 20 times earnings and private credit funds that froze withdrawals are under pressure
- How the always be buying approach and market shifts help investors turn fear into opportunity
Keywords: interest rates, rate hikes, recession, Ray Dalio, Federal Reserve, private equity, private credit, stock market, always be buying, market shifts
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