Kevin Warsh Just Defied Trump And Raised Interest Rates

"If you can get slightly better returns, it can lead to significantly more wealth."   The S&P 500 has averaged around 10% annually over the last century but getting even a few percentage points above that compounds dramatically over decades. This episode puts specific dollar numbers to what beating the market by 3%, 5%, or 7% actually means, then identifies ETFs that have historically delivered those returns.   Jaspreet Singh walks through five ETFs that have outperformed the S&P 500 over the last decade: growth stocks, tech, defense, momentum, and semiconductors. He then covers the two-part strategy that turns long-term ETF investing into a system that benefits from market crashes rather than suffering through them.   In this episode, you'll learn: The compounding math of beating the market: $10,000 invested for 30 years grows to $174,000 at 10%, $395,000 at 13%, $662,000 at 15%, and nearly $1.1 million at 17% without adding another dollar VOOG, the S&P 500 Growth ETF: invests only in the growth companies within the S&P 500, averaging approximately 16% annually over the last 10 years XLK, the S&P 500 Tech ETF: narrows exposure to the tech sector of the S&P 500, roughly 65 to 70 companies, averaging approximately 21% annually over the last decade PPA, the Aerospace and Defense ETF: invests in companies like Lockheed Martin, RTX, and General Dynamics, averaging approximately 19% annually with spending that tends to hold regardless of economic conditions SPMO, the S&P 500 Momentum ETF: targets the top 100 momentum stocks within the S&P 500, averaging a little more than 18% annually over the last 10 years SMH, the Semiconductor ETF: tracks companies building chips that power AI, data centers, and consumer electronics. Averaging approximately 33% annually over the last decade, more than double the S&P 500 QQQ as a bonus pick: gives exposure to the 100 largest non-financial companies (primarily tech) averaging approximately 18% annually, with more volatility in both directions than the broader market The ABB and BTD strategy: always be buying on a fixed schedule, and buy even more aggressively when markets drop because every recession and crash in the last 100 years has eventually recovered   Keywords: ETF investing, beat the S&P 500, semiconductor ETF, NASDAQ, tech investing, defense ETF, momentum investing, long-term investing, wealth building, always be buying   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Below are my recommended tools! Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"The Federal Reserve Bank can either strengthen the dollar or stimulate the economy. They cannot do both at the same time."   This episode breaks down the Federal Reserve's unanimous vote to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023, and why new Fed chairman Kevin Warsh raised rates even though President Trump appointed him expecting cuts. He explains why this decision has a direct impact on mortgage rates, the national debt, the stock market, and retirement accounts.   Jaspreet Singh walks through why the Fed chose to fight inflation instead of stimulating the economy, how that echoes the flip flopping rate decisions of the 1970s, and how higher rates create both pain for over-leveraged borrowers and opportunity for investors sitting on cash.   In this episode, you'll learn: Why Kevin Warsh voted to raise interest rates despite being appointed by President Trump to cut them How higher interest rates make the $40 trillion national debt more expensive to service Why the 2022 Silicon Valley Bank collapse is a preview of what higher rates can do to banks holding Treasuries How the 1970s Fed's cycle of cutting and raising rates let inflation spiral into double digits Why higher interest rates put downward pressure on asset prices without guaranteeing a crash How rising rates benefit savers and cash holders while hurting people who are overleveraged Why the Federal Reserve Bank is losing money for the first time in over a century How the war in the Middle East, oil prices, and a helium driven memory chip shortage are adding to inflation   Keywords: Federal Reserve, interest rates, Kevin Warsh, national debt, inflation, stagflation, Treasury yields, mortgage rates, Silicon Valley Bank, investing   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"The United States dollar runs on trust and faith."   This episode breaks down why the Trump administration stepped in to help bail out the Japanese yen in July 2026, and why a currency crisis on the other side of the world can move US mortgage rates, stock prices, and the dollar. He explains that Japan is the largest foreign owner of US debt, and why protecting that lending relationship became a priority for the US government.   Jaspreet Singh walks through how decades of negative interest rates and an exploding debt to GDP ratio set up Japan's currency problems, how the yen carry trade funneled cheap borrowed money into US stocks and Treasuries, and how the fallout is now showing up in Treasury yields, mortgage rates, and the value of the dollar.   In this episode, you'll learn: Why President Trump helped bail out the Japanese yen in July 2026, and Japan's role as the largest foreign owner of US debt How Japan's debt to GDP ratio grew from about 93% in 1995 to roughly 235% today, compared to the US moving from about 65% to 125% What negative interest rates are and why Japan used them for decades to try to stimulate its economy How the yen carry trade let Wall Street borrow yen at close to 0% interest and funnel it into US stocks, real estate, and Treasuries Why a weakening yen threatens the yen carry trade and removes one source of demand for US assets Why the US dollar's value depends on trust and demand rather than a physical backing like gold How fewer foreign lenders such as Japan and China pushed Treasury yields higher, raising mortgage, auto loan, and credit card rates Why higher borrowing costs slow consumer and business spending and can hurt GDP and the job market   Keywords: yen bailout, Japanese yen, US dollar, national debt, debt to GDP, yen carry trade, Treasury yields, mortgage rates, Bank of Japan, investing   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"You are going to see a crack in the bond market."   This episode breaks down why the bond market, not the stock market, is the one investors should be watching right now, as 30-year US Treasury yields hit their highest levels in about two decades. He explains what a bond actually is, how it differs from a stock, and why the US government has had to start buying its own debt to stabilize the market.   Jaspreet Singh walks through why Treasury yields set mortgage, auto loan, and credit card rates across the economy, and why traditional lenders like the Federal Reserve, foreign governments, and banks have grown more cautious about lending to the US. He also covers the debt to GDP ratio, the risk of a self-reinforcing "doom loop," and how investors might think about positioning their money depending on which direction the economy heads.   In this episode, you'll learn: The core difference between owning a stock and owning a bond, including who gets paid first in a bankruptcy Why the 10-year Treasury yield sets mortgage, auto loan, and credit card rates across the economy Why the Federal Reserve, foreign governments like Japan and China, and banks have become more cautious lenders to the US How the 2022 Silicon Valley Bank collapse was tied to rising Treasury yields and falling bond prices How the Genius Act requires crypto companies like Tether to buy US Treasuries, becoming a fast growing source of demand Why the US debt to GDP ratio has grown from about 55% in 2000 to roughly 125% today The "doom loop" scenario, where rising debt, higher rates, and money printing can feed into each other The two paths forward, the economy outgrowing the debt versus the doom loop, and how that shapes investment decisions   Keywords: bond market, Treasury yields, national debt, mortgage rates, Federal Reserve, Silicon Valley Bank, Genius Act, debt to GDP, doom loop, investing   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"And the dollar only has value if people believe it has value."   This episode breaks down why central banks around the world now hold more gold than US Treasuries for the first time in modern history, and what it signals about global trust in the dollar. He covers France pulling its physical gold out of the US Federal Reserve, talk of Germany doing the same, and Hong Kong's new system for buying gold in Chinese yuan instead of dollars.   Jaspreet Singh traces this shift back to the US leaving the gold standard in 1971, the inflation crisis that followed, and the rise of the petrodollar, then compares it to what is happening today as national debt has climbed from about 55% of GDP in 2000 to roughly 125% now. He also explains how the US freezing Russian assets after the invasion of Ukraine pushed other countries to reconsider holding their wealth in dollars, and what this all means for how investors might position their money.   In this episode, you'll learn: How the world's reserve asset mix has shifted between gold, US Treasuries, the dollar, and the euro since 1971 Why France pulled its physical gold from the US Federal Reserve and why Germany may be considering the same How the US freezing Russian assets after the Ukraine invasion pushed other countries to diversify away from the dollar The history of the petrodollar and how Hong Kong's new yuan based gold settlement system chips away at dollar dominance Why gold pays no interest yet is gaining favor again after decades of Treasuries being the preferred reserve asset Why US debt has grown from about 55% of GDP in 2000 to roughly 125% today Vladimir Putin's comments on how freezing dollar assets undermines global trust in the currency Two ways to think about positioning investments: debasement assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin versus owning US economic growth through the S&P 500   Keywords: reserve currency, gold, US Treasuries, dollar debasement, national debt, petrodollar, debt to GDP, central banks, Bitcoin, investing   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"Because as an investor, anytime money moves, it creates an investment opportunity."   This episode breaks down warnings from Tim Cook and Elon Musk about a historic memory chip shortage driven largely by AI, and why it means phones, laptops, and cars are about to get more expensive. He explains why most people are overlooking this shift and how it has quietly been creating investment opportunities for months.   Jaspreet Singh walks through the four forces converging at once: surging AI demand for memory, a production halt back in 2023, the years it takes to rebuild chip supply chains, and a helium shortage tied to the war in the Middle East. He compares this moment to past supply shocks like the 1970s oil crisis and the 2021 chip shortage, and covers how the US, South Korea, and China are competing to control memory chip production.   In this episode, you'll learn: Why AI data centers require far more memory than before, and why production slowed after a 2023 supply glut How the war in the Middle East disrupted a major helium supply needed to manufacture memory chips Parallels to the 1973 oil shock and the 2021 chip shortage, including their effects on inflation and stock prices Why hedonic adjustments can understate rising phone and computer prices in official inflation numbers How South Korea dominates DRAM and HBM memory production, and why China is racing to catch up The Trump administration's steps to rebuild US chip manufacturing, including tariffs, export restrictions, and Project Vault Example funds like the Roundhill Memory ETF, SMH, and SOXX for exposure to memory and semiconductor companies Why spotting a shift like this early, before it hits headlines, is key to finding investment opportunities   Keywords: memory chip shortage, semiconductor stocks, AI data centers, DRAM, HBM memory, supply chain, inflation, South Korea, China, investing   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"The Federal Reserve Bank cannot fix the economy without causing pain somewhere."   This episode breaks down the decision the Federal Reserve faces on September 16th, caught between President Trump's demand for lower interest rates and a growing inflation problem. He explains why the average American is effectively poorer today than 12 months ago, even after factoring in raises.   Jaspreet Singh walks through how quantitative easing and quantitative tightening have shaped the economy since 2020, why new Fed chair Kevin Warsh's comments at Jackson Hole point toward rates staying higher for longer, and why this economic moment echoes the inflation crisis of the 1970s. He also explains why the Fed deliberately targets 2% inflation and how that policy affects investors differently than workers.   In this episode, you'll learn: The difference between the inflation rate falling and prices actually coming down How quantitative easing and quantitative tightening work, and how the Fed has used both since 2020 Why Kevin Warsh's comments at the Jackson Hole meeting signaled the Fed may keep rates higher or raise them The 1970s parallel: leaving the gold standard, an oil crisis, and interest rates that reached nearly 20% Why $40 trillion in national debt makes lower interest rates so appealing to the Trump administration Why this cycle is unusual, since inflation is a problem even though the economy is not in a recession Why the Federal Reserve deliberately targets 2% inflation instead of 0% How inflation benefits investors over workers, and why that makes becoming an investor matter   Keywords: Federal Reserve, interest rates, inflation, quantitative tightening, national debt, Kevin Warsh, monetary policy, investing, Jackson Hole, dollar devaluation   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus:   Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"The most expensive kind of money is free money." President Trump has promised $5,000 stimulus checks and $2 gas for Americans if Republicans win the midterms. Jaspreet Singh breaks down the math behind that promise, showing that tariff revenue, the funding source Trump has pointed to, brings in about $200 billion a year, nowhere near the $1.25 trillion the checks would actually cost, and walks through the two earlier versions of this same promise that were floated in 2025 and never sent. He explains why sending out that money would mean adding to the $40 trillion national debt and printing more currency through the Federal Reserve, and why that collides directly with the Fed's current fight against inflation. He also connects the recent spike in oil prices from the conflict with Iran to rising gas, grocery, and shipping costs, and shows how the government is quietly becoming a direct investor in rare earth and semiconductor companies as it rebuilds supply chains cut off from China. In this episode, you'll learn: Why a $5,000 stimulus check for every American would cost about $1.25 trillion, while tariffs only bring in roughly $200 billion a year How this is the third stimulus promise from the Trump administration, after a $5,000 DOGE dividend proposed in February 2025 and a $2,000 tariff dividend proposed in November 2025, neither of which was ever sent Why funding the checks would require more government borrowing and money printing, adding to a national debt already at $40 trillion Why the Federal Reserve is stuck choosing between raising interest rates to fight inflation or cutting them to stimulate a slowing job market, and why it can't do both How the attack on Iran disrupted oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz, pushing oil back above $100 a barrel and raising gas, diesel, and grocery prices Why printing money creates more dollars without creating more wealth, a concept Jaspreet calls debasement How the U.S. government is becoming a direct investor in rare earth and semiconductor companies after discovering how reliant American missiles and manufacturing are on Chinese supply chains Why the 1970s oil shock is a useful historical comparison, since the real economic pain showed up months after prices first spiked, not immediately Keywords: stimulus check, tariff revenue, national debt, inflation, Federal Reserve interest rates, oil prices, Strait of Hormuz, rare earth metals, money printing, debasement  Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Below are my recommended tools! Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"The White House is not going to fix your house." The Treasury Secretary just declared that the economy has shifted from a "K-shaped" recovery, where the rich keep getting richer, to a "C-shaped" recovery, where lower income earners are catching up. Jaspreet Singh breaks down the data behind that claim and shows why the Federal Reserve and Bank of America are reporting very different numbers than the White House. He then explains why the debate over which shape the economy takes misses the bigger point: the system is built to reward investors over workers, and understanding that distinction, not government data, is what actually determines whether inflation and spending make you richer or poorer. In this episode, you'll learn: Why the Treasury Secretary claims the economy shifted from "K-shaped" to "C-shaped," with bottom earners' incomes reportedly rising 5.5% against just 1.8% for top earners How Federal Reserve and Bank of America income data conflicts with the White House's numbers, showing top and bottom earners rising at nearly the same rate Why CEOs disagree on which economy we're in: Hilton says incomes are converging while Marriott and McDonald's say lower income consumers are cutting back on basics like breakfast Why spending and inflation both make investors richer rather than workers, using the example of who profits when a Chipotle order gets more expensive How the $40 trillion national debt and Federal Reserve money printing connect directly to inflation and who benefits from it Why the Federal Reserve targets 2% inflation instead of 0%, and how that target favors investors over everyday workers Why market crashes and recessions are guaranteed to keep happening, and how investors have historically built wealth buying through them, from 2008 to 2020 to 2022 Why becoming an investor, not waiting on government policy, is what actually determines financial outcomes Keywords: K-shaped economy, C-shaped recovery, income inequality, inflation, national debt, Federal Reserve, market crash investing, stock market, investing vs saving, wealth building ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Below are my recommended tools! Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------

"But remember, you only lose money if you sell."   This episode breaks down growing concerns from Mark Zuckerberg, Michael Burry, and an internal White House report that AI stocks may be entering bubble territory, and why that matters directly to anyone with a 401k or IRA. He shows just how concentrated most retirement accounts already are in a handful of AI linked tech stocks.   Jaspreet Singh compares today's market to the 2000 dot-com bubble using measures like market concentration, tech sector share, the Buffett indicator, and index fund dominance, while pointing out key differences like real company profits and the risk of circular financing among AI companies. He closes by explaining how long-term investors should think about market downturns instead of panicking.   In this episode, you'll learn: How much of a typical S&P 500 or target date fund investment goes into Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon Four ways today's market resembles the 2000 dot-com bubble: concentration, tech sector weight, the Buffett indicator, and index fund dominance What circular financing among AI companies means and why it raises risk Two key differences between the dot-com era and today, including real revenue and profits versus story based valuations Why the US-China AI race and competition over the dollar are driving continued investment into AI Why you only lose money in a downturn if you sell, and how past market crashes created major buying opportunities The ABB (Always Be Buying) approach to investing through bubbles and downturns instead of panic selling Why a long-term investor with years ahead of them can treat an AI pullback differently than someone near retirement   Keywords: AI bubble, 401k, S&P 500 concentration, index funds, dot-com bubble, circular financing, target date funds, US China AI race, long-term investing, market crash   ✅ Register for my investing Workshop & get Market Briefs as a bonus: Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------