US Market Open: US equity futures gain into ISM manufacturing; OPEC-8 raised output but paused for Q1'26

European bourses are firmer following constructive EU-China trade developments, US equity futures also gain.USD fractionally higher and now eyes 100.00, CHF hampered by CPI.Bonds are relatively contained into a session of central bank speak and the ISM Manufacturing series.Crude reverses initial gains after OPEC+ opted to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026; XAU essentially flat, whilst base metals digest disappointing Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speakers including Fed’s Daly, Cook, ECB’s Lane & BoC’s Macklem, Supply from BoE Gilt Sale (long-term), US Financing Estimates.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher overnight. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.2%.Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI data disappointed amid a sharp decline in export orders.Fed’s Waller said he still advocates for the Fed to cut rates in December and said data fog does not tell you to stop.Crude futures gained at the open as participants digested the latest OPEC+ decision to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026.In FX, DXY is steady, USD/JPY sits above 154 with Japan away from market, EUR/USD remains on a 1.15 handle, AUD marginally outperforms ahead of RBA this week.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speakers including Fed’s Daly, ECB’s Lane & BoC’s Macklem, Supply from BoE Gilt Sale (long-term), US Financing Estimates.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are on the backfoot; US equity futures mixed, with the NQ boosted by post-earning strength in AMZN +12.8 & AAPL +1.7%.AMZN beat and boosted on strong cloud growth; AAPL strong results and predicts holiday boom in iPhone sales.DXY remains firm post-FOMC. AUD lags post-Chinese PMI.Commodities trade muted as crude awaits OPEC+ meeting.Bonds are under modest pressure given the earnings-driven US risk tone & Meta issuance, Fed speak looms.Looking ahead, Dallas Fed (Sep), Chicago PMI (Oct), (Suspended Releases: US PCE, Employment Costs), ECB Bulletin, Speakers including Fed’s Logan, Bostic, Miran & Schmid, Earnings from AbbVie, AON & Intesa Sanpaolo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Further positive trade rhetoric from the US, mega-cap earnings in focus; AMZN +12.9% after-hours, AAPL +2.7%European futures point to a slightly softer open, US futures rebounded from the Powell pressure amid earnings, NQ leadsDXY paused for breath, EUR/USD beneath 1.16, Antipodeans lackluster after a disappointing Chinese Manufacturing PMIFixed benchmarks subdued, weighed on in part by sizable Meta supplyCrude futures lacked demand, XAU tested the USD 4k/oz mark to the downside, base metals rangeboundLooking ahead, highlights include German Import Prices (Sep), Retail Sales (Sep), EZ Flash HICP (Oct), Italian CPI, Dallas Fed (Sep), Chicago PMI (Oct), (Suspended Releases: US PCE, Employment Costs), ECB Bulletin, Speakers including Fed’s Logan, Bostic, Miran & Schmid, Earnings from Exxon Mobil, Chevron, AbbVie, AON & Intesa SanpaoloClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Trump said the meeting with Xi was amazing & lots of decisions were made, he rated the meeting a 12/10; US-China agree 1-year trade truce.European bourses are broadly lower, US equity futures are mixed; META -8.8%, MSFT -2.3%, GOOGL +6.9% post-earnings.JPY struggles after BoJ kept rates steady and avoided any overt hawkish commentary; Ueda said no pre-set idea about timing of next rate hike. USD manages to hold onto post-FOMC spoils.Global benchmarks (ex-JGBs) remain soft post-FOMC; EGBs pressured into the ECB.XAU returns back above USD 4k/oz following hawkish Fed cut, crude remain rangebound.Looking ahead, Looking ahead, highlights include Japanese Tokyo CPI (Oct) & Unemployment Rate (Sep), (Suspended Releases: US GDP & PCE (Q3), Weekly Claims), Events: ECB Policy Announcement, Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Fed’s Logan & Bowman.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Coinbase, Reddit, MicroStrategy, Cloudflare, Riot Platforms, Eli Lilly, Comcast, Roblox, Mastercard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Fed cut by 25bps as expected, subject to 50bps and U/C dissent, announced it will end the balance sheet drawdown.Chair Powell struck a hawkish tone around December, weighing on stocks, USTs & XAU while the USD benefited.Trump said the meeting with Xi was amazing & lots of decisions were made, he rated the meeting a 12/10.BoJ held rates, Takata & Tamura dissented, favouring a hike; support seen in JGBs afterwards as the statement avoided any overtly hawkish signal.European futures point to a positive cash open, US futures are gradually rebounding following Powell and the first Mag 7 numbers; GOOGL +7% after-hours, MSFT -3%, META -6%Crude benchmarks faded some of the gains seen after the EIA report, XAU hit by Powell but off lows, base metals followed the risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Flash HICP (Oct), German Unemployment (Sep), Flash GDP (Q3), Prelim. CPI (Oct), EZ Final Consumer Confidence (Oct), Japanese Tokyo CPI (Oct) & Unemployment Rate (Sep), (Suspended Releases: US GDP & PCE (Q3), Weekly Claims), Events: ECB Policy Announcement, Comments from BoJ Governor Ueda, ECB President Lagarde, Fed’s Logan & Bowman, Supply from Italy.Earnings from Amazon, Apple, Coinbase, Reddit, MicroStrategy, Cloudflare, Riot Platforms, Eli Lilly, Merck, Comcast, Roblox, Mastercard, Standard Chartered, Shell, Kion, Lufthansa, Volkswagen, Puma & ING.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the meeting with Chinese President Xi will be three hours long before returning back to the US; says things will work out very well with Xi on Thursday.European and US equity futures are mixed; NQ outperforms, boosted by NVIDIA as it nears USD 5tln market cap.USD is firmer in the run-up to FOMC, AUD leads as hot CPI dashes RBA rate cut hopes.Fixed income contained awaiting the FOMC, with a mild bearish bias potentially stemming from positive trade updates.XAU returns back above USD 4k/oz, LME Copper reaches new ATHs amid positive US-China trade optimismUS Pending Homes (Sep), FOMC & BoC Policy Announcements; US President Trump to meet South Korea's Leader, Speakers including Fed Chair Powell & BoC's Macklem, Supply from the US.Earnings from Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, ServiceNow, Starbucks, eBay, Verizon, Boeing, CVS, Caterpillar, Etsy, Centene, Phillips 66.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were predominantly in the green following the tech strength on Wall St, most indices extended to record highs.US President Trump said he had a great trip so far and expects to lower fentanyl-linked tariffs on China. China said to have made soybean purchase.European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.1% after the cash index closed with losses of 0.1% on Tuesday.USD is broadly firmer vs. peers with GBP still under pressure. AUD leads as hot Aus CPI dashes hopes of an RBA rate cut next month.Israeli planes launched strikes on Gaza City. US VP Vance said he thinks peace in the Middle East will hold despite skirmishes.Looking ahead, highlights US Pending Homes (Sep), FOMC & BoC Policy Announcements, US President Trump to meet South Korea's Leader, Fed Chair Powell & BoC's Macklem, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Earnings from Meta, Microsoft, Alphabet, Google, Starbucks, eBay, Verizon, Boeing, CVS, Caterpillar, Phillips 66, UBS, BASF, Mercedes-Benz, Deutsche Bank, Equinor, Santander, GSK & Airbus.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump and Japanese PM Takaichi signed an agreement on the US-Japan alliance and framework for securing the supply of critical minerals and rare earths.European bourses are mostly lower; ES/NQ are flat, whilst the RTY is marginally lower ahead of a slew of earnings.USD flat/lower, JPY boosted on US-Japan trade developments and mild haven allure; GBP lags a touch.Bonds are firmer given the risk tone; USTs await supply.XAU briefly dipped under USD 3.9k/oz with base metals also broadly in the red; crude complex lower with some focus on reports that OPEC+ is looking at another oil production hike.Looking ahead, US Richmond Fed (Oct), US CaseShiller Home Prices (Aug), US Consumer Confidence (Oct), Supply from the US.Earnings from Visa, Electronic Arts, PPG Industries, SoFi, PayPal.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks failed to sustain the momentum from the record highs on Wall St and were mostly subdued.US President Trump and Japanese PM Takaichi signed an agreement on the US-Japan alliance and framework for securing the supply of critical minerals and rare earths.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.6% on Monday.DXY is net negative amid gains in the JPY with USD/JPY slipping below the 152 mark post-Trump and Takaichi meeting.Global fixed income markets are broadly firmer. Crude has struggled for direction following the prior day's choppy performance.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK (Nov), Richmond Fed (Oct), CaseShiller Home Prices (Aug), Consumer Confidence (Oct), ECB SCE (Sept), RBNZ's Richardson, Supply from Italy, UK, Germany & US.Earnings from Visa, Electronic Arts, PPG Industries, UnitedHealth, SoFi, PayPal, UPS, DR Horton, VF Corp, HSBC, BNP Paribas, Novartis, Logitech, Iberdrola & ASM International.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk