Predicting Underdog Lines For Fantasy | Dynasty Fantasy Football Podcast Ep. 885

Value season is here, and finding the guys before the market does is the whole game. On this episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, Garret Price is joined by JJ Zachariason of Late Round QB to trade names they think are badly mispriced heading into the year. 📈 Listen to This Episode:Apple PodcastsSpotifyYouTube JJ opens with Stefon Diggs, and the metrics say the washed label is flat wrong. The fit next to Terry McLaurin might be the cleanest one on the board. Garret counters with Jaylen Waddle, whose new role and volume path could push him from a guy people shrug at into legitimate wide receiver one territory. The two also dig into why chasing the X label is one of the most common mistakes fantasy managers make. Terrance Ferguson carries a downfield profile unlike any tight end in football, Jonah Coleman draws an Alvin Kamara comparison that is hard to unhear, and Wan'Dale Robinson might quietly split targets with Carnell Tate far more evenly than anyone expects. Quinshon Judkins closes it out with a Nick Chubb comp and a path into the running back one conversation. Check your board against the dynasty rankings before these prices move. 🔥 Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 00:00 Start 01:24 Stefon Diggs Is Still Being Undervalued 05:22 Jaylen Waddle Has WR1 Upside 11:27 Terrance Ferguson's Breakout Case 15:51 Why Jonah Coleman Could Take Over 22:45 Wan'Dale Robinson Is Being Overlooked 26:05 Quinshon Judkins Could Smash Expectations Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2026 Fantasy Football Projections: Garret's Full Positional Breakdown Projections season is here, and the numbers do not always match the narrative. Garret Price walks Rich Dotson and Matt O'Hara through his full 2026 projections, and the guys push back hard on more than a few of them. 🏈 Listen to This Episode: 🎧 Apple Podcasts🎙️ Spotify▶️ YouTube Josh Allen projects as the only true difference maker at the position, with Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson right behind him. The bigger takeaway is what happens next. From quarterback two down to quarterback 13, there is barely a two point per game spread. Rich argues Trevor Lawrence and Justin Herbert both deserve a bump, and makes a bold call on Patrick Mahomes missing the top 12 entirely. Jahmyr Gibbs edges Bijan Robinson at the top, with Christian McCaffrey and De'Von Achane completing the elite tier. Rich pounds the table for David Montgomery and Jonathan Brooks as value plays. At receiver, Ja'Marr Chase and Puka Nacua sit well clear of the field. And George Kittle lands at tight end four coming off an Achilles, which surprised everyone in the room. Compare it all to the current Dynasty Rankings. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ The Quarterback Cliff Is RealBackfields, Target Shares, and a Tight End Surprise Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The rankings debate is back, and one host just made a trade the internet is already roasting him for. On this episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price dig into the players where their boards split hardest. 🔥 Listen to This Episode:Apple PodcastsSpotifyYouTube A.J. Brown opens things up with a 20 spot gap between hosts, and the conversation turns into a clinic on how to rank a 29 year old who still produces. Kenneth Walker III gets a surprising comparison to Javonte Williams, and one host argues the Kansas City backfield history matters more than the talent. Then Bryce Young brings out a side of Matt nobody has heard before, and Mark Andrews splits the room on whether the wheels are already coming off. Rich gave up Tyler Shough and Jaylen Waddle for KC Concepcion, and he explains exactly why he is fine getting waxed publicly for it. Jonah Coleman closes the show with an Alvin Kamara comparison that might change how you value him. Stack these takes against your dynasty rankings before your next trade. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 00:00:00 Start 00:03:18 A.J. Brown: Production vs. Age 00:17:00 Kenneth Walker: RB1 Upside in Kansas City? 00:29:06 FFPC 00:30:42 Hello, I'm Ugly 00:32:38 Bryce Young: Is This His Last Chance? 00:38:22 Mark Andrews: Bounceback or Decline? 00:43:49 KC Concepcion: The Massive Overpay Debate 00:55:08 Jonah Coleman: The Next RB1 in Denver? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Training camp season means projection season, and the market does not always agree with the film. On this episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, Garret Price and Andrew Mott play a guess the line game, stacking Garret's season long projections against the posted totals to see who is really out over their skis. 🎯 Listen to This Episode:Apple PodcastsSpotifyYouTube Caleb Williams and Jaxson Dart kick things off, and one of those passing totals is so low that Garret calls it a hard pass on the spot. Ashton Jeanty does not crack a thousand rushing yards in the projection, while rookie Jeremiyah Love lands closer to him than anyone expected. Marvin Harrison Jr. gets a make or break number, and Parker Washington quietly leads every Jacksonville receiver, including Brian Thomas Jr. 😳 The second half is where it turns. Justin Herbert, Malik Willis, Omarion Hampton, Bhayshul Tuten, and Tetairoa McMillan all get graded, and Garret rescues his score in the clutch. Then comes Luther Burden III, whose touchdown number should give the hype train pause. Line up your own guesses against the dynasty rankings and see how you stack up. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 0:00 Start 02:54 Caleb Williams 05:05 Jaxson Dart 08:07 Ashton Jeanty 10:07 Jeremiyah Love 12:32 Marvin Harrison Jr. 14:20 Parker Washington 16:04 Ugly Foods 18:01 Justin Herbert 19:32 Malik Willis 22:03 Omarion Hampton 23:37 Bhayshul Tuten 25:02 Tetairoa McMillan 28:29 Luther Burden Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The first real game action of the year gave us plenty to chew on. Garret Price and Andrew Mott sort through preseason week one and separate the performances that actually matter from the ones you should forget by Thursday. 🏈 Listen to This Episode: 🎧 Apple Podcasts🎙️ Spotify▶️ YouTube De'Zhaun Stribling opened with eight targets and seven catches, and the guys break down what that means in a receiver room where nearly everyone else is 30 or older. DJ Moore looked like the forgotten man of the offseason finally waking up, and Andrew explains what a contender should be willing to pay. Ty Simpson went 21 of 25 with two scores, while Drew Allar threw two touchdowns and ran for another. Garret lays out why he is firmly on Team Allar in that Pittsburgh quarterback race behind Aaron Rodgers. Plus KC Concepcion, Denzel Boston, Ja'Kobi Lane, and Elijah Sarratt all get their moment. Kaytron Allen carried it 23 times for 85 yards and a touchdown, and Garret argues that is actually bad news. Dean Connors flashed but faces a brutal depth chart. And on the injury front, Breece Hall, Jeremiyah Love, and Jordyn Tyson all gave their managers a reason to sweat before real football even starts. Update your board with the latest Dynasty Rankings. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ The Names Worth ChasingThe Reads That Are Not What They Look Like 00:00 Start 00:32 De’Zhaun Stribling Is Building Serious Hype 04:07 The Cleveland Browns Offense 07:37 Is DJ Moore a Dynasty Buy? 09:41 Kaytron Allen: Good Stats, Bad Sign? 12:20 Ty Simpson & Dean Connors Impress 16:00 Hello I'm Ugly 17:13 Drew Allar’s Huge Preseason Debut 20:36 Ravens Rookie WRs Flash 23:25 Breece Hall Injury Concern 25:44 Jeremiyah Love Injury Update 28:33 How Worried Should We Be About Jordyn Tyson? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dynasty Tight End Rankings: The Position Has Never Looked Better The tight end tier that used to hold two names now holds seven. Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price close out the positional primer with the dynasty tight end top 12, plus the dark horses and the one guy they are all steering around. 🏈 Listen to This Episode: 🎧 Apple Podcasts🎙️ Spotify▶️ YouTube Brock Bowers is the unanimous tight end one and the only one Garret would consider in the first round of a superflex startup. Trey McBride has posted wide receiver one numbers two years running, which is the cheat code the crew keeps coming back to. Colston Loveland and Tyler Warren follow, with Loveland carrying the ceiling and Warren the floor. Kyle Pitts is climbing boards mid recording, while Harold Fannin Jr. and Tucker Kraft round out the group. Past tight end eight, the guys say the difference maker window closes entirely. Isaiah Likely, Greg Dulcich, and Mark Andrews get the dark horse nods, with Garret calling Andrews the best value at the position in dynasty. On the avoid side, one popular young tight end has a situation problem that two offseason additions made worse. Check the full board on the current Dynasty Rankings. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ The Top Eight Is Where the Difference Makers LiveDark Horses and One Big Avoid 00:00 Start 03:30 TE Conversation Starts 03:48 Brock Bowers 06:51 Top 4 TEs 09:48 Kyle Pitts 10:13 Top 8 TEs 17:17 Top 12 TEs 23:06 FFPC 24:05 Hello I'm Ugly 27:23 Dark Horse Candidates 27:58 Isaiah Likely 32:02 Greg Dulcich 35:57 Mark Andrews 37:16 TEs to Avoid 38:07 Oronde Gadsen 42:26 Jake Ferguson Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Wide receiver week rolls on, and the top of the dynasty board is starting to feel a lot less settled than it looks. On this episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price build their consensus top 12, hunt for dark horses, and name the guys they are flat out avoiding. 🎯 Listen to This Episode:Apple PodcastsSpotifyYouTube Ja'Marr Chase, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Puka Nacua are locked in, but the real debate starts right behind them. The guys make the case that CeeDee Lamb, Justin Jefferson, and Amon-Ra St. Brown are living on borrowed time at these prices, with a loaded 2027 class waiting to push them down. Malik Nabers, Drake London, Tetairoa McMillan, Garrett Wilson, Emeka Egbuka, and Carnell Tate all get their moment, and one of them draws a Larry Fitzgerald comparison. Check your own board against the dynasty rankings before you listen. Jameson Williams, Denzel Boston, and Rome Odunze headline the top six sleeper picks. Then things get spicy with the avoids, where Alec Pierce, Nico Collins, and DeVonta Smith all get called out, one of them a full round below consensus. 🔥 Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 00:00:00 Start 00:05:47 Consensus Top 12 WRs 00:14:54 The 2027 Rookie Class 00:16:49 Drake London 00:18:52 Garrett Wilson 00:21:14 Young WRs 00:27:11 Age vs. Production in Dynasty 00:31:27 FFPC 00:32:32 Hello I'm Ugly 00:33:58 Dark Horse Candidates 00:35:16 Jameson Williams 00:39:23 Denzel Boston 00:43:54 Rome Odunze 00:46:59 WRs to Avoid 00:47:49 Alec Pierce 00:52:41 Nico Collins 01:00:53 Devonta Smith Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Training camp hype season is here, and every rookie is suddenly a breakout waiting to happen. On this episode of the Dynasty Nerds Podcast, Garret Price and Andrew Mott sort the signal from the noise with a simple 1 to 4 scale, where one means not buying it at all and four means full blown conductor of the hype train. 🚂 Listen to This Episode:Apple PodcastsSpotifyYouTube The show opens with a four, and it belongs to Cyrus Allen. Andrew calls him his most rostered player in dynasty right now, pointing to a Kansas City receiver room with real cracks and a rookie who has been the go to target from the moment he walked in the building. Jacoby Lane draws the loudest beat reporter praise of camp, and the guys explain why Baltimore opportunity is real even if the ceiling talk has gotten out of hand. Carson Beck earns a matching three from both hosts after his Hall of Fame game reps, with a 2027 path that should sound familiar. Not every drumbeat lands. Jonah Coleman, Nick Singleton, Jordan Tyson, and Ted Hurst all get the cold water treatment for very different reasons, and one of them takes a one from the analyst who likes him most. Fire up the episode before your next round of rookie mock drafts. 🔥 Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 00:00 Start 01:09 Cyrus Allen 05:57 Jakobi Lane 10:25 Jonah Coleman 14:44 The Ugly Company 16:08 Carson Beck 19:56 Nick Singleton 25:09 Jordyn Tyson 29:58 Ted Hurst 35:16 Roster Rescue Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

2027 Rookie Mock Draft: Two Rounds Before a Single Snap College football is less than three weeks away, so it is time to put a stake in the ground. Garret Price and Andrew Mott run a full two round superflex tight end premium mock for the 2027 class, and the depth here is going to change how you value your current roster. 🏈 Listen to This Episode: 🎧 Apple Podcasts🎙️ Spotify▶️ YouTube Jeremiah Smith goes 1.01 without debate, and Andrew says teams should already be tanking for him. Cam Coleman follows as the receiver who would headline almost any other class. Then the quarterback run starts with Dante Moore, Arch Manning, and Julian Sayin, and Garret explains why he took the ceiling swing over the safe pick. Quinshon Lacy and Ahmad Hardy come off the board before the first tight end, Jamari Johnson. Jaden Baugh gets a Javonte Williams comparison from Garret, who thinks he could close the gap on the top backs by December. Traeshon Green makes it two potential first round tight ends. And the guys ran out of picks before they ran out of names, which tells you everything about this class. Start building your board with the latest Rookie Big Boards and Rookie Mock Drafts. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 00:00 Start 00:35 1.01-1.06 08:28 1.07-1.12 14:55 Round 1 Recap 16:01 Hello I'm Ugly 17:09 2.01 - 2.06 25:54 2.07-2.12 35:59 Roster Rescue Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dynasty Running Back Rankings: The Top 12, Dark Horses, and Guys to Avoid Part two of the positional primer lands on the most volatile spot in fantasy football. Rich Dotson, Matt O'Hara, and Garret Price lay out the consensus top 12 dynasty running backs and disagree hard on what any of them are actually worth in a trade. 🏈 Listen to This Episode: 🎧 Apple Podcasts🎙️ Spotify▶️ YouTube Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs sit alone at the top, and the crew agrees almost nobody dislodges them. Below that, Ashton Jeanty, De'Von Achane, Jeremiyah Love, and Omarion Hampton form a tier, though Rich is not convinced Hampton belongs in it and would rather have Breece Hall. The real fireworks come over price. Garret will pay three firsts for the top two and two firsts plus for the next tier. Rich has a personal rule against paying multiple firsts for any running back, and explains exactly why. Treveon Henderson gets called the hardest player in the sport to rank. RJ Harvey, Jonathan Brooks, and Bhayshul Tuten get the dark horse nods for a top six finish. On the avoid list, Chase Brown, Josh Jacobs, and one popular rookie whose ADP has climbed past the guys these three would rather roster. Compare their board to the current Dynasty Rankings. Explore more tools and resources to stay ahead of your league. 📊 Rookie Big Boards📝 Rookie Mock Drafts📈 Dynasty Rankings📱 Dynasty Nerds App🧱 IDP Hub 👉 Upgrade your strategy and dominate your dynasty league. FFPC: New Users: Use promo code NERDS for $25 off your first FFPC Startup Team!Check out the Ugly Company: https://www.theuglyco.com/ 00:00 Start 02:02 Bijan Robinson & Jahmyr Gibbs 04:38 Top 6 RBs 22:16 Top 12 RBs 28:45 The Ugly Company 31:37 FFPC 33:36 RJ Harvey 36:51 Jonathon Brooks 41:41 Bhayshul Tuten 47:11 Kyren Williams & Chase Brown 49:09 Josh Jacobs 51:47 Jadarian Price 54:54 Roster Rescue Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices