US-UK Trade Deal Begins, Trump Tax Bill, Europe's World-Beating Rally

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: (1) Keir Starmer dramatically abandoned his flagship welfare reforms to avoid a historic defeat, leaving the UK prime minister’s authority badly damaged and his government facing a widening fiscal hole to fill.  (2) The Trump administration is halting the transfer of artillery rounds and air defenses to Ukraine, depriving the country of much-needed weapons as it endures stepped-up missile and drone attacks from Russia. (3) President Donald Trump said Israel has agreed to the conditions needed for a 60-day ceasefire in Gaza, adding that the plan would now be presented to Hamas. (4) AstraZeneca's Chief Executive Officer Pascal Soriot wants to move the drugmaker’s stock listing to the US, the Times reported, in what would be another sign of the UK’s waning status as a magnet for global capital. (5) Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said high interest rates are having less of an impact on inflation because of Britain’s low levels of debt among both businesses and consumers. (6) Banco Santander agreed to buy Banco Sabadell SA’s UK unit for £2.65 billion ($3.64 billion), a deal that will make it the UK’s third-largest lender by some measures. Podcast Conversation: Amazon's Goodreads Is Forgetting Why It ExistsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast: (1) The European Union is willing to accept a trade arrangement with the US that includes a 10% universal tariff on many of the bloc’s exports, but wants the US to commit to lower rates on key sectors such as pharmaceuticals, alcohol, semiconductors and commercial aircraft. (2) President Donald Trump threatened to proceed with ramping up tariffs on Japan, while his top economic adviser said the White House aims to finalize deals with partners after the July 4 holiday. (3) UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer is girding for what could be the most consequential vote of his premiership, with Labour rebels warning that the government’s welfare overhaul still risks defeat despite huge concessions to push it through parliament. (4) Apple is considering using artificial intelligence technology from Anthropic PBC or OpenAI to power a new version of Siri, sidelining its own in-house models in a potentially blockbuster move aimed at turning around its flailing AI effort. (5) Cybersecurity woes are plaguing the US Treasury Department, deepening a rift between the agency responsible for protecting the integrity of the financial system and the banks it regulates. (6) Senate Republican leaders continue to scrounge for votes to pass Donald Trump’s $3.3 trillion tax and spending bill as lingering intraparty fights threaten to upend the legislative centerpiece of the president’s domestic agenda.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: (1) With just 10 days to go until President Donald Trump’s country-specific tariffs are set to resume, the White House appears poised to fall short of the sweeping global trade reforms it promised to achieve during the three months they were on hold.  (2) Canada has withdrawn its digital services tax on technology companies such as Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc. in a move to restart trade talks with the US (3) Senate Majority Leader John Thune is rushing to meet President Donald Trump’s July 4 deadline for pushing through his massive tax and spending bill, but first he has to work through a list of approximately eight Republican senators who have expressed opposition to portions of it.  (4)  President Donald Trump said he has identified a buyer for the US operations of TikTok, the social media app owned by Chinese company ByteDance Ltd., without naming the winning bidder.  (5)  European stocks outperformed their US peers by the biggest margin on record in dollar terms during the first half, the most dramatic sign of how the region’s markets are staging a comeback after more than a decade in the doldrums. (6) Keir Starmer is working to contain the rebellion in his Labour Party ahead of a vote Tuesday on his flagship welfare policy that’s provoked widespread criticism and called his leadership into doubt. Podcast Conversation: UK’s Record-Breaking Sunshine Isn’t All Good News: Lara WilliamsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week. In the US – a look ahead to the June jobs report and commodities outlook. In the UK – a look ahead to the annual summer economic conference in the Southern French city of Aix. In Asia – a look at relations between China and Iran. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: (1) The US Treasury Department announced a deal with G-7 allies that will exclude American companies from some taxes imposed by other countries in exchange for removing the Section 899 “revenge tax” proposal from President Donald Trump’s tax bill. (2) The European Union is prepared for all eventualities in its trade negotiations with the US, including for a breakdown in talks, Ursula von der Leyen said, after discussing the latest proposals from the Trump White House with the bloc’s leaders.  (3) The US and China finalized a trade understanding reached last month in Geneva, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said, adding that the White House has imminent plans to reach agreements with a set of 10 major trading partners. (4) Keir Starmer agreed to pare back a divisive £5 billion ($6.9 billion) cut to welfare to quiet a rebellion by his own party, a decision that will likely leave both Britain’s fiscal plans and the prime minister’s own leadership in need of repair.  (5) The Labour government’s payroll tax is costing the UK jobs, depressing workers’ earnings and pushing up food prices, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said as he warned that the risks to inflation remain “two-sided.” Podcast Conversation: Anna Wintour Is Giving Up Her Daily, Duties at Vogue MagazineCorrection: An early version of this podcast incorrectly stated that the next Bank of England rate decision would be in July, rather than August.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast:(1) NATO leaders agreed to increase defense spending to 5% of GDP and renewed their “ironclad commitment” to mutual security in an historic move to push back against an increasingly belligerent Russia(2) President Donald Trump said the US would hold a meeting with Iran next week but cast doubt on the need for a diplomatic agreement on the country’s nuclear program, citing the damage that American bombing had done to key sites.(3) Worldline SA Chief Executive Officer Pierre-Antoine Vacheron blamed an orchestrated media campaign for the firm’s precipitous share decline in an effort to dig the company out of its current crisis.(4) President Donald Trump said he has three or four people in mind to succeed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell when his term expires next year.(5) Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves should resist the temptation to raise levies on UK companies further because of the risk of strangling economic growth, one of the country’s biggest business lobbies said.(6) The UK is seeking to increase the recognition of British professional certifications abroad, a move aimed at boosting the nation’s service-sector exports by making it easier for highly skilled employees to work for clients overseas.Podcast Conversation: Amazon Says Denis Villeneuve Will Direct Next James Bond FilmSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes.On today's podcast: (1) American airstrikes had only a limited impact on Iran’s nuclear program, according to early US intelligence findings, as the United Nations watchdog urged fresh inspection of the sites.  (2) Donald Trump ensured that NATO’s high-stakes summit would be a nervy affair to the end as he flew in to The Hague fueling doubts about whether the US remains fully committed to defending its allies.  (3) The European Union plans to impose retaliatory tariffs on US imports, including on Boeing aircraft, if President Donald Trump puts a baseline levy on the bloc’s goods as many expect. (4) Chinese companies are ramping up shipments to Britain to levels not seen in years, a possible sign that the Asian factory powerhouse is finding export markets unimpeded by high tariffs like those President Donald Trump has imposed. (5) Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell had plenty of opportunities Tuesday to tell lawmakers definitively the central bank will cut interest rates soon. He didn’t take any of them. (6) Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo conceded to his upstart rival Zohran Mamdani in the Democratic primary in the race to become mayor of New York City after the 33-year-old Queens lawmaker racked up commanding leads across Brooklyn, Queens and Manhattan.Podcast Conversation: Elite Dating Services Are Thriving as Love Defies Economic WoesSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: (1) Iran and Israel appeared to be nearing a pause in their 12-day war after President Donald Trump announced a surprise ceasefire in a conflict that saw key Iranian military leaders and scientists killed, US bombing of Iranian nuclear sites and a salvo of missiles launched at Qatar. (2) An attack on a US air base near Doha on Monday that Iran billed as a retaliation to American airstrikes ordered by President Donald Trump ended with missiles were intercepted in the air, and no one was killed or hurt. The Qataris knew the missile barrage was coming. So did the Americans. The Iranians had told them. (3) Oil extended a slump as US President Donald Trump announced a tentative ceasefire between Iran and Israel. (4) UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer will vow to spend 5% of British economic output on security by 2035, embracing an ambitious NATO target sought by President Donald Trump without providing a path on how to get there. (5) The European Union and Canada have signed a security partnership that moves them closer to cooperation on military purchases, as Prime Minister Mark Carney aims to reduce his country’s dependence on the US for defense. (6) UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer welcomed a three-year program by Amazon.com Inc. to invest £40 billion ($54 billion) in the British economy over the next three years, including opening four new warehouses.Podcast Conversation: Ireland Sees Thousands of Jobs at Risk From US Pharma Tariffs and Stephen meeting Ireland's Finance MinisterSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Your morning briefing, the business news you need in just 15 minutes. On today's podcast: (1) The unprecedented US airstrikes on Iran have set traders and governments worldwide on edge, as the Islamic Republic warns of retaliation and Israel shows no sign of letting up in its assault. (2) Iran warned there would be consequences for US strikes on its key nuclear sites and said it “reserves all options,” while showing restraint in its initial response. (3) The US State Department issued a “Worldwide Caution” alert for American citizens, flagging the potential of travel disruptions and demonstrations following the US strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities. (4) Oil jumped after the US struck Iran’s nuclear sites, stoking concerns that energy supplies from the Middle East could be disrupted. (5) Two supertankers, each capable of hauling about 2 million barrels of crude, U-turned in the Strait of Hormuz after US airstrikes on Iran raised the risk of a response that would ensnare commercial shipping in the region. (6) The UK said its military wasn’t involved in American air strikes on Iran, although a cabinet minister expressed support for their results Bloomberg Opinion:+  To a President With a Midnight Hammer, Everything Is a Nail+ The US Has Two Paths in Iran. Tehran’s Clerics Will Decide Both.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

American bombers struck Iran’s three main nuclear sites overnight, putting the US directly into Tehran’s war with Israel despite President Donald Trump’s longtime promises to avoid new conflicts.Addressing the nation late on Saturday in Washington, Trump said Iran’s “key nuclear enrichment facilities have been completely and totally obliterated.” He threatened “far greater” attacks if Iran doesn’t make peace, raising the specter of even deeper US involvement in a Middle Eastern war that began with Israel’s strikes on the Islamic Republic nine days ago.Trump earlier said US planes dropped bombs on Fordow, a uranium-enrichment site buried deep under a mountain and seen as vulnerable only to “bunker buster” munitions that the US possesses. Natanz and Isfahan, two other sites, were also struck.“Our objective was the destruction of Iran’s nuclear enrichment capacity and a stop to the nuclear threat posed by the world’s No. 1 state sponsor of terror,” Trump said. “Iran, the bully of the Middle East, must now make peace. If they do not, future attacks will be far greater — and a lot easier.”Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, said the US’s move “outrageous and will have everlasting consequences.”“Iran reserves all options to defend its sovereignty, interest, and people,” he said.Tehran’s nuclear regulatory agency said there was no sign of radiation contamination at the sites and that it had take precautions in anticipation of an attack.On this special edition of Bloomberg Surveillance, hosts Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney speak with:- Ethan Bronner, Israel Bureau Chief for Bloomberg News- Joe Mathieu, co-host of Bloomberg Balance of Power- Gautam Mukunda, professor at Yale School of Management and Bloomberg Opinion columnist- Dan Williams, Bloomberg News Jerusalem reporter - Jennifer Lawless, professor at University of VirginiaSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.