NEXT with John Koetsier podcast

Do we really need 400 humanoid robot companies?

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Why aren’t hundreds of millions of intelligent robots already operating in the physical world?


In this episode of NEXT with John Koetsier, John speaks with Seth Winterroth, partner at Eclipse, about the rapidly changing robotics investment landscape, the rise of physical AI, and the race to build the next generation of autonomous machines.


They explore whether the world really needs hundreds of humanoid robotics companies, why timing matters as much as technology, and why some robotics startups may need to build the entire stack ... from hardware and embedded software to AI models, evaluation systems, and deployment infrastructure.


The conversation also covers Genesis AI, Wayve, Project Prometheus, Apptronik, Figure, 1X, autonomous vehicles, delivery drones, industrial automation, surgical robotics, and the future of robots in the home.


Topics include:


• Why robots still aren’t widely deployed

• The five forces driving robotics investment

• Whether 400 humanoid robotics companies are too many

• Full-stack versus platform-based robotics strategies

• The challenge of achieving reliability and safety

• When useful home robots may finally arrive

• Why autonomous vehicles are already robots

• The industries likely to adopt robotics first

• The future of manufacturing, logistics, transportation, and surgery

• What the next major robotics inflection point could be


Seth Winterroth is a partner at Eclipse, an investment firm focused on companies transforming physical industries. Eclipse has backed robotics and automation companies including Genesis AI, Wayve, MiND Robotics, Foxglove, and Third Wave Automation.


Subscribe to NEXT for more conversations about AI, robotics, emerging technology, and the companies shaping the future.


00:00 Why aren’t robots everywhere yet?

00:37 Introducing Seth Winterroth

01:03 The robotics investment landscape

02:00 Seth’s background in applied robotics

03:01 The five forces accelerating robotics

04:04 Are there too many humanoid robot companies?

05:00 Creative destruction in robotics

06:02 How investors pick the winners

06:38 Why robotics companies need velocity

07:00 The danger of being too early or too late

07:51 How Wayve benefited from entering later

08:36 Project Prometheus and the $10 billion seed round

09:05 Why Genesis AI is building full stack

10:01 Full-stack robotics versus foundation-model platforms

11:03 The dirty secret: Where are all the robots?

12:03 Reliability, safety, and deployment friction

12:39 The challenge of vertical integration

14:02 What robotics companies should build themselves

15:03 Capital requirements and the robotics J-curve

16:01 How robotics companies can scale rapidly

16:39 When humanoid robots may reach the market

17:04 Figure, 1X NEO, Unitree, and AgiBot

18:24 A broader definition of robotics

19:04 Are cameras and dishwashers robots?

19:39 Autonomous vehicles as embodied AI

20:23 Why transportation autonomy could be transformational

21:05 Why humanoids still have a long way to go

21:44 One general-purpose robot or many specialized machines?

22:35 What will make home robots successful?

23:39 Finding the minimum viable home robot

24:20 Physical and digital products

25:04 Why the App Store model matters for robotics

26:05 How robots will gain new capabilities over time

26:35 The brutal economics of consumer robotics

27:12 Consumers buy outcomes, not robots

27:48 Robotics beyond humanoids

28:18 Kiva Systems and the modern robotics era

29:05 Why constrained environments win first

30:02 Robotics in automotive manufacturing and logistics

31:02 Eclipse’s robotics portfolio

31:31 When robots will begin walking among us

32:03 The next major robotics inflection point

32:42 Escaping the trough of disillusionment

33:29 Why autonomous transportation is nearly solved

34:04 How self-driving changes cities and society

34:36 The future of robotic surgery

35:01 Delivery drones and regulatory barriers

35:39 Closing thoughts

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