The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman podkast

EP 288: OpenAI's Valuation Debate, Marvell's Network Bets, and the Next Bottlenecks for AI Growth

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On this episode of The Six Five Pod, hosts Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman discuss the latest tech news stories that made headlines. This week's handpicked topics include:

THE DECODE

Big Funding Headline: OpenAI's reported mega-round and valuation
https://www.reuters.com/technology/openai-discussed-raising-tens-billions-valuation-about-750-billion-information-2025-12-18/

https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2001366643436315110 

https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2001362761247527174 

https://x.com/PatrickMoorhead/status/2001267663490646200

https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/17/amazon-reportedly-in-talks-to-invest-10b-in-openai-as-circular-deals-stay-popular/ 

AWS "Circular deal" / Corporate venture logic

AI build-out constraints
https://www.theverge.com/news/846696/electricity-cost-ai-data-center-democrat-investigation

https://www.axios.com/2025/12/17/democrats-data-centers-ai-fight 

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/12/12/arizona-city-rejects-data-center-after-ai-lobbying-push-00688543

Marvell Industry Analyst Day highlights
https://x.com/MoorInsStrat/status/2000359388264161710 

Government "Tech Force" for AI Talent
https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/15/tech/government-tech-force-ai 

Google works to erode Nvidia's software moat (TPU + PyTorch + Meta)
https://www.reuters.com/business/google-works-erode-nvidias-software-advantage-with-metas-help-2025-12-17/

Judge rules Tesla engaged in deceptive marketing for Autopilot and full self-driving features

https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/16/tesla-engaged-in-deceptive-marketing-for-autopilot-and-full-self-driving-judge-rules/

Tesla tests autonomous vehicles without safety drivers in Austin, Tx

https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/15/tesla-starts-testing-robotaxis-in-austin-with-no-safety-driver/ 


Adobe Firefly now supports prompt-based video editing, adds more third-party models

https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/16/adobe-firefly-now-supports-prompt-based-video-editing-adds-more-third-party-models/

https://youtu.be/SjtULo8qs88?si=quE7pEptW8xph1OI 


Google's Opal for vibe coding comes to Gemini

https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/17/googles-vibe-coding-tool-opal-comes-to-gemini/

THE FLIP

OpenAI - Tulip Bubble and Canary in the Coal mine or The Real AI Deal?
https://x.com/danielnewmanuv/status/2001487733823541634?s=46&t=8QBZggR299yC4bcbbox-Xg

https://x.com/danielnewmanuv/status/2001366643436315110?s=46&t=8QBZggR299yC4bcbbox-Xg

BULLS & BEARS

AI infrastructure stocks tumble on debt fears: Oracle, Broadcom, CoreWeave selloff

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/16/cnbc-daily-open-ai-infrastructure-stocks-are-taking-a-beating.html 


Recent Fed rate cut & speculation of another coming soon:

https://x.com/danielnewmanUV/status/2001041850669404473


Oracle earnings (Q2) — CapEx reality check

https://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2025/12/18/whats-happening-with-oracle-stock/


https://finance.yahoo.com/news/oracle-plunges-12-despite-earnings-145626357.html


Micron crushes earnings as AI data center demand tightens memory supply

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-wall-street-expects-micron-183836008.html?guccounter=1&guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAKf8aUugkk7hJbCnmiZWS2q5x1WWjD07AUywz6vzxnw6btX2iK0-aNmQBgg3sU67GWZXIKHz74cGnjnzZYeuBDv1A8_Rwp67iIKAtMI1A94LhJTRlcqdnN2_QYPWB_5ZTkO96ZSpFMjMsAwDUBf1yz-RIQnA-78Yk-zhD6VFqr-


https://x.com/danielnewmanuv/status/2001404328997712349?s=46&t=8QBZggR299yC4bcbbox-Xg


Broadcom earnings (Q4) — custom silicon tension

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/broadcom-q4-earnings-beat-estimates-154300300.html


Databricks raises $4B at $134B valuation as its AI business heats up

https://techcrunch.com/2025/12/16/databricks-raises-4b-at-134b-valuation-as-its-ai-business-heats-up/


Smartphone Prices Set to Jump 6.9% as AI Data Centers Devour Memory Chips:

The shortage of DRAM chips used in both AI servers and smartphones could threaten to cut smartphone shipments by 2.1%. To cope, some manufacturers may downgrade cameras, displays, and audio or reuse older components.

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/16/smartphone-prices-to-rise-in-2026-due-to-ai-fueled-chip-shortage.html 


Adobe Earnings

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/adobe-q4-earnings-beat-estimates-145000488.html


Synopsys Earnings

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/synopsys-q4-earnings-surpass-estimates-153300031.html

 

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