249: Thematic Investing in 2026: AI, Defense, Infrastructure, and the Next Phase of Market Transformation

Skilled trades are becoming one of the most important — and overlooked — drivers of the global infrastructure boom. As trillions of dollars flow into energy systems, transportation networks, telecoms, and AI data centers, the constraint is no longer just capital — it’s labor. The scale of the infrastructure buildout is historic, but delivering it depends on the availability of trained workers.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Claire Chamberlain, Global Head of Social Impact and President of the BlackRock Foundation, and Sandra Lawson, Managing Director in Global Corporate Affairs, to explore why skilled trades are central to the next phase of infrastructure investing. With an estimated $85 trillion in global infrastructure investment needed over the next 15 years, demand for electricians, HVAC technicians, grid specialists and plumbers is accelerating.Claire and Sandra explain how apprenticeship-based career pathways offer paid training, competitive wages, and the prospect of long-term financial stability — while also highlighting the growing supply-demand imbalance in the labor market. The conversation explores how philanthropy, employers, unions, schools, and policymakers can work together to expand training capacity and modernize workforce development. As megaforces like AI and infrastructure reshape capital markets, human capital will be just as critical as financial capital in determining long-term economic success.Key moments:00:00 Introduction and meet the guests02:13 WWhat the $85 trillion infrastructure opportunity means for labor markets03:54 Why AI and infrastructure are increasing demand for specialized workers04:45 Why Are These Skilled Jobs Good Jobs?07:15 Training Pipeline Worker Shortage08:43 Philanthropy as Catalyst For The Infrastructure Skilled Trades Requirement10:41 What success looks like for workforce development in an infrastructure-driven economy12:56 Rethinking Going to College vs Apprenticeships and Skilled Trades15:25 How collaboration among employers, unions schools, and philanthropy can expand training capacity17:19 Wrap Up and DisclosureSkilled trades, infrastructure investing, workforce development, capital markets, AI infrastructure, megaforces, economic growth, energy transitionSources: “On the record: Infrastructure and the opportunity in skilled trades”, BlackRock 2026Written Disclosures In Episode Description:This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Powering AI is no longer just a technology story — it’s an energy and infrastructure story reshaping capital markets and the global economy. As artificial intelligence scales from training to real-world inference, electricity demand is accelerating at a pace few anticipated.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Will Su from BlackRock’s Fundamental Equities Group to examine how powering AI is transforming utilities, natural gas markets, renewables, and nuclear power. With data centers expanding rapidly and gigawatt-scale facilities coming online, the AI build-out is driving a structural shift in U.S. electricity demand after more than a decade of stagnation.Will explains why the energy sector sits at the center of AI investing. From the rise of “bring your own power” models to the growing role of natural gas as a dispatchable, scalable fuel source, the infrastructure required to support AI represents one of the largest capital investment cycles in modern history. The conversation also explores renewables, battery storage, and nuclear power — including the limits of restarts and the long timeline for new reactor construction.Key moments:00:00 Introduction Power Is Knowledge: AI’s Exponential Energy Appetite02:31 From Tokens to ‘Yottaflops’: Why Smarter Models Need More Electricity05:04 Training LLMs vs. Inference: The Next Wave of AI Power Demand06:45 Data Centers at City Scale: How Big Is the Load?11:15 Bring Your Own Power (BYOP): Why Natural Gas Is Back in Focus16:04 Renewables Reality Check: Solar Momentum, Wind Headwinds, and Batteries19:14 Nuclear’s Comeback - Restarts Now, New Builds Later21:26 Can AI Beat Humans at Investing? Man + Machine as the Edge23:33 Wrap-Up, What’s NextKey insights from this episode:·      Why natural gas has emerged as a key “here and now” fuel for AI infrastructure·      How renewables and battery storage fit into the AI electricity mix·      The long-term outlook for nuclear power and reactor construction·      What “bring your own power” means for hyperscalers and utilities·      How electrification and reshoring intersect with AI investing·      Why the relationship between compute and energy is reshaping stock market trendsPowering AI 2.0, AI investing, infrastructure, capital markets, energy transition, utilities, stock market trends, megaforcesSources: “From CES 2026 to Yottaflops: Why the AMD Keynote Highlights a Turning Point for AI Compute”, AMD 2026; “The Industrial Revolution, coal mining, and the Felling Colliery Disaster”, Lancaster University, 2026; Bureau of Economic Analysis data 2026; “Stargate's First Data Center Site is Size of Central Park, With At Least 57 Jobs”, Bloomberg 2026; “Energy Demand from AI”, IEA 2026; “Scaling bigger, faster, cheaper data centers with smarter designs”, McKinsey 2025; EEI 2024 Review; “Data Centers Ditching the Power Grid, Mark Carney's Viral Speech, and Some Joy”, Clearview Energy; “2024 North American Energy Inventory”, IER;This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Thematic investing is increasingly shaping how investors interpret markets heading into 2026, as artificial intelligence, geopolitical fragmentation, and infrastructure constraints intersect across the global economy.Jay Jacobs, Head of U.S. Equity ETFs at BlackRock, joins Oscar to discuss why mega forces are becoming harder to ignore—and harder to diversify away from—than in past market cycles. Their conversation explores how AI investing is evolving from a growth narrative into one focused on usage intensity, how national security considerations are reshaping the definition of defense, and why physical infrastructure is emerging as a critical market constraint.Key insights include:·      Why thematic investing is gaining relevance alongside sector and style frameworks·      How AI usage intensity reframes the AI investment conversation·      Where infrastructure and energy constraints may influence adoption timelines·      How geopolitical fragmentation is expanding the definition of defense·      Why overlapping mega forces may shape market outcomes into 2026Key moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction to Thematic Investing in 2026: AI and Market Forces00:40 The Rise of Thematic Investing01:43 Deep Dive into AI's Market Impact05:22 Understanding Token Consumption07:55 Evaluating AI Investments11:12 Geopolitical Fragmentation and Defense13:51 Infrastructure's Evolving Role16:42 Future of AI and Broader Implications18:38 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Thematic investing, AI investing, Capital markets, Infrastructure, Megaforces, Stock market trends, Geopolitical fragmentation, Defense spendingSources: iShares Thematic Outlook, 2026This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Retirement planning is becoming more complex as careers grow less linear, lifespans extend, and financial decisions start earlier in life. From early-career savers to small business owners and those approaching retirement, people are asking how to build financial security while staying flexible in an unpredictable world.In this Ask Me Anything episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido is joined by Jaime Magyera, Head of BlackRock’s U.S. Wealth Advisory and Retirement Businesses, to answer listener-submitted questions on retirement realities. Jaime shares perspectives drawn from her work with individual savers, financial advisors, and small business owners across the country.The conversation reframes retirement as the freedom to choose what comes next, rather than a fixed end point. Jaime discusses the importance of starting early, maintaining discipline through market cycles, and building plans that can adapt as careers, families, and goals evolve. The episode also explores the role of professional advice, the challenges facing non-traditional career paths, and why preparation — not prediction — is central to long-term financial resilience.Key insights include:• Why retirement is best viewed as a transition, not a destination• How starting early and staying invested can shape long-term outcomes• Why flexible planning matters for non-linear careers and families• What advisors should consider when working with small business owners• How professional advice differs from social and digital guidance• Why preparedness and emergency savings support financial resilienceKey moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction to The Bid00:50 Meet Jamie Magyera: Insights on Retirement Planning01:48 Transitioning into Retirement: Key Considerations04:05 Financial Planning for Younger Generations06:41 Non-Traditional Retirement Timelines09:56 Advisors and Small Business Owners: Planning for the Future12:45 How To Build Long-Term Client Relationships15:33 The Value of Professional Financial Advice17:28 Conclusion and Key Takeaways18:16 Closing Remarks and Up Nextretirement planning, financial security, wealth planning, capital markets, long-term investing,Sources: BlackRock’s Read On Retirement Survey, September 2025This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Hedge fund strategies are gaining renewed attention as market volatility rises and traditional stock and bond diversification becomes less reliable. With inflation uncertainty, shifting monetary policy, and growing macro instability, investors are reassessing how different sources of return and risk management show up across capital markets.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido speaks with Mike Pyle, Deputy Head of BlackRock’s Portfolio Management Group, about how hedge fund strategies work and why they are being re-examined in today’s environment. Mike explains what defines hedge fund strategies, how their flexibility seeks to allow managers to express views more precisely, and why they can play different roles within portfolios depending on investor objectives.They explore common misconceptions around hedge fund strategies, including the idea that they are inherently high risk or designed solely to outperform equities. Mike outlines how these strategies span a wide range of risk profiles and can be used for diversification due to their potentially lower correlation to traditional assets. The conversation also examines why macro volatility since 2021 has created a more favorable backdrop for hedge fund strategies, and how their ability to either navigate or reduce macro exposure is shaping investor interest.Key moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction: Navigating Uncertainty in Today's Market03:57 Debunking Myths About Hedge Funds07:36 The Growing Interest in Hedge Funds Strategies12:18 Hedge Funds vs. Other Alternatives16:31 Evolution of the Hedge Fund Industry18:28 Key Takeaways for Investors19:41 Conclusion and Next UpKey insights include:• What hedge fund strategies are and how they differ from traditional investments• Why lower correlation, not market outperformance, is often the core objective• How higher volatility and macro uncertainty are reshaping portfolio construction• How hedge fund strategies compare with other alternatives like private markets and infrastructure• Why scale and multi-strategy platforms are changing the hedge fund landscapehedge fund strategies, capital markets, portfolio diversification, alternatives investing, market volatility, megaforcesThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Global markets are entering 2026 amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty, structural shifts in the global order, and rapid technological change. Recorded live from the World Economic Forum in Davos, this episode of The Bid examines the macroeconomic and geopolitical forces shaping the year ahead.Host Oscar Pulido is joined by Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman of BlackRock, and Tom Donilon, Vice Chairman of BlackRock and Chairman of the BlackRock Investment Institute. Drawing on conversations with political leaders, policymakers, and business executives in Davos, they reflect on an evolving geopolitical landscape and its implications for markets, governments, and global cooperation.The discussion explores how shifts in U.S. policy are reshaping alliances — particularly between the United States and Europe — and why this period may mark a broader transition away from the post–World War II global framework. Philipp outlines the pressures facing Europe, while Tom examines how national security considerations are increasingly shaping economic policy, trade, and global investment flows.Artificial intelligence emerges as a central theme, viewed both as an economic driver and a geopolitical force. The episode considers AI’s role in national security competition, the growing importance of data centers and energy infrastructure, and how concerns around sovereignty, critical minerals, and societal impact are elevating AI from a technological issue to a political one.Key insights·      How current geopolitical developments are reshaping the global outlook entering 2026·      Why Davos remains a key forum for understanding policy and market sentiment·      Where Europe’s macroeconomic challenges and opportunities are most pronounced·      How AI is increasingly intersecting with geopolitics and national security·      What recent U.S.–Europe tensions reveal about future global cooperation·      How investors and policymakers are interpreting uncertainty in today’s environmentGeopolitics, global macro outlook, Europe economy, World Economic Forum Davos, AI and geopolitics, global markets, policy uncertaintyThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

AI investment, evolving earnings leadership, and shifting global dynamics are redefining stock market trends as investors enter 2026. Companies are deploying unprecedented capital toward data centers, compute, and productivity-enhancing technologies, while rate cuts and supply-chain realignment reshape the macro backdrop. These forces are changing how fundamentals, valuations, and sector growth patterns show up in equity markets.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido speaks with Carrie King, Global CIO of BlackRock’s Fundamental Equities group, about the major drivers influencing the 2026 equity outlook. Carrie breaks down why high-level valuations may mask improved corporate quality, how AI-related investment is broadening beyond semiconductors, and why the gap between megacap earnings and the rest of the market may begin to narrow.They also explore how global monetary easing is benefiting emerging markets, why Japan’s structural reforms continue to support its equity story, and how diversification is becoming more challenging in a market shaped by a few powerful megaforces. Carrie explains what this means for sector positioning, volatility, and where long-term investors may find underappreciated opportunities.Key moments in this episode:00:00 Introduction: Can Stocks Maintain Momentum in 2026?03:29 AI's Dominance in the Market09:34 Global Investment Trends and Opportunities12:06 Earnings Growth and Sector Performance15:36 Diversification Strategies for Investors17:10 New Year's Resolutions for Investors18:59 Conclusion and Upcoming EpisodesKey insights include:·      How AI-driven spending is reshaping earnings patterns and stock market trends·      Why equity valuations may be better anchored than headlines suggest·      Where the “other 493” may see accelerating earnings growth·      How global rate cuts and supply-chain shifts are supporting EM and Japan·      Why diversification requires new approaches in a megaforce-driven market·      Which sectors—industrials, travel, and healthcare—may offer overlooked potentialstock market trends, AI investing, megaforces, capital markets, equity markets, global investing, sector rotationSources:Written Disclosures In Episode Description:This content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

This week, the focus is on diversification—and why it’s getting harder to achieve. Portfolio Strategist Natalie Gill explains how the “diversification mirage,” a key theme in BII’s 2026 outlook, is now showing up in real time. A small set of megaforces is increasingly dictating equity performance, meaning traditional attempts to diversify—whether toward equal-weighted indices or new regions—can amount to larger active positions than many investors realize.Natalie also breaks down how rising developed-market bond yields challenge the long-held assumption that long-term bonds reliably balance portfolios. Fiscal strains, shifting central bank stances, and policy divergence between the U.S. and other economies further complicate the diversification picture. As bond volatility rises and a small number of equity drivers dominate returns, investors may need to reconsider how and where true diversification can be found.The episode also highlights the growing disconnect between the Federal Reserve’s policy posture and the more hawkish tone across Australia, Canada, and Japan—where fiscal dynamics and reopening risks are influencing long-term rates. These divergences, paired with delayed U.S. labor data and inflation considerations, shape the macro backdrop as markets enter the new year.Key Insights·      Diversification is increasingly difficult as a handful of megaforces drive global equity performance.·      Traditional diversifiers—such as long-term government bonds—provide less balance amid rising yields.·      Policy divergence between the U.S. and other major central banks is creating new cross-market risks.·      Fiscal concerns are influencing yield curves, particularly in Japan and the UK.·      Portfolios may require more deliberate, active decisions and alternative sources of return to achieve true diversification. diversification, megaforces, capital markets, macro trends, bond yields, portfolio balance, market outlookThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

As The Bid takes a short break for the holidays, we’re introducing listeners to Market Take, the weekly macro podcast from the BlackRock Investment Institute. Market Take offers fast, digestible insights on what’s moving markets - and this week, the focus is squarely on the labor market.Senior Economist Nicholas Fawcett breaks down why softer U.S. labor data is reinforcing expectations for another potential Federal Reserve rate cut. With hiring and labor supply both cooling, policymakers are watching these trends closely as they navigate the balance between inflation control and economic resilience. Nicholas also explores how delayed jobs data complicates the Fed’s visibility into the economy, what markets are pricing in ahead of the December meeting, and how fiscal dynamics in the UK are shaping long-term bond views.Whether you’re tracking monetary policy, macro signals, or broader capital markets trends, this short episode offers a concise view of the forces shaping the economic backdrop.Key Insights·      The U.S. labor market is softening, raising the likelihood of another Fed rate cut.·      Payrolls show a “no hiring, no firing” pattern as labor demand and supply slow.·      Delayed jobs data may create noise, but markets still expect a quarter-point cut.·      Fiscal tightening in the UK influences gilt valuations and long-term yield dynamics.·      Labor market trends, inflation, and rates continue to guide broader market sentimentlabor market, inflation, interest rates, Federal Reserve, capital markets, macro trends, market commentary, economic outlookThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

AI-driven investment, rising leverage and shifting market dynamics are reshaping the 2026 stock market outlook. As companies accelerate spending on data centers, chips and digital infrastructure, micro-level decisions are increasingly influencing the capital markets and broader economy.In this episode of The Bid, host Oscar Pulido speaks with Jean Boivin, Head of the BlackRock Investment Institute, about the major forces shaping the 2026 markets and investing landscape. Jean breaks down how AI-related capital expenditure is transforming growth patterns, why governments and companies may need to leverage up to finance large-scale projects, and how these trends interact with today’s policy and market environment.They also explore the diversification mirage — the idea that in an economy driven by a few powerful megaforces, some strategies that appear diversified may actually be concentrated calls. Jean shares how this affects views on regional equity markets, fixed income trends and the evolving structure of global investing.🔗 Check out this Spotify playlist for more on the AI growth story: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/1rt6kLl0fzg9D7puEkAupqKey moments in this episode:00:00 Introducing AI's Unprecedented Growth in 2025 and Beyond01:11 Introduction to the 2026 Global Outlook02:04 Three Big Market Themes for 202603:33 AI's Dominance and Economic Impact05:39 Is AI in a Bubble?09:44 Leveraging Up: Financing the AI Boom12:30 Diversification Mirage in the AI Era15:06 Future of Finance: Private Credit and Digital Innovation17:30 Investment Opportunities Beyond AI19:28 Conclusion and Final Thoughts🔗 Watch and Subscribe to The Bid on YouTube: https://1blk.co/48iHOs4 🔗 Follow Us on LinkedIn: https://1blk.co/3v09q6Q 🔗 Follow Us on Twitter (or X): https://1blk.co/3NuiIOW 🔗 Learn More About BlackRock: https://1blk.co/41uwhDS Sources: BlackRock Investment Institute 2026 Global Outlook2026 market outlook, AI investing, AI Buildout, AI infrastructure, Capital markets, Megaforces, Stock market trends, Private credit, Global macro outlook, diversification strategiesThis content is for informational purposes only and is not an offer or a solicitation. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the listener. Reference to any company or investment strategy mentioned is for illustrative purposes only and not investment advice. In the UK and non-European Economic Area countries, this is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the European Economic Area, this is authorized and regulated by the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets. For full disclosures, visit blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/bid-disclosures.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.