The BashCast 235 - Pessimists Argue That Mortality Continues to Run at 100%

Agenda: 02:40 - Intro - Double Twin Room confusion, Claude on matched betting and the BashCast Mug quiz 14:38 - My betting profits - Exchange value, Arsenal v Fleetwood FGS, Champions League early goals and Nunes SOT 39:01 - Entain vs Outplayed / OddsMonkey - Why the case happened and the latest High Court position 52:36 - Matchbook and BETDAQ merging - Exchange liquidity and competition with Betfair 1:09:59 - Budget review - What the OBR thinks, why Regulus is more pessimistic and why the outcome may still be good news 1:24:36 - How we actually operate BookieBashing - 24-hour site management, global IT issues, outages, refunds, bad actors and UI improvements 1:48:17 - EV drift and the lifecycle of a betting market - Why beating the closing line can be a misnomer #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: SUSPENDED BY THE MATRIX

Agenda: 00:00 - Intro 02:20 - Why I hate all-inclusive holidays 12:08 - £200,000+ Golf Tracker win - breakdown of an each-way double 23:20 - The Betting Overton Window 26:47 - What Tom is betting on right now, and why 43:31 - The Season Engine Simulator - why we have not pushed it live 1:01:02 - BookieBashing is not arbitrage software 1:10:20 - Out-of-Context Colonel Braxton #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: SUSPENDED

Agenda: 00:02:33 --Classic Ibiza at Ragley Hall, Bus Singalongs & the BashCast Mug Question 00:14:36 -- World Cup Player Stats: Variance, Losing Runs & Winning Runs 00:42:52 -- Gambling Commission Risk Checks, the Market of Black, Prediction Markets & the Future of Betting 00:52:49 -- Why We Don't Give BookieBashing Away for Free  01:09:40 -- A KwiffBet Saga - where is the real edge? 01:21:17 -- Terry Gorry: Social Media Bans, Rob Heneghan & Pro Sports Advice #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: NO

Agenda: 00:00 – Intro 02:33 – The cold water swimming story 17:20 – Suspended from X – the real reason and moving forward 36:12 – World Cup simulator: How we found value and the challenges of adding form 59:54 – 2026 review – Horse racing, golf and overall site performance 1:10:51 – UX updates on Bookiebashing 1:20:31 – Member story: Nearly getting stiffed by Ladbrokes on a horse bet 1:22:31 – New joint venture #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: SUSPENDED    

Agenda: We answer questions from the last episode A year in review for 2025. How did we do on golf, on horse racing, DDHH and coupons. What are my top tips and resolutions for 2025? PDC Darts update – we are one week in to the world championships, a look at what I’ve been betting on and some inplay tournament angles A well known Sports Betting Professional announced that the Wincast odds are impossible to work out. So – let’s look at the exact Wincast calculation Betfred have 50% on top of correct score accumulators. Is there any value? Coupons and cuts – how do we deal with them? And your chance to win the final bookiebashing mug of 2025 – I want to know, how many darts will be thrown in the Chisnall vs Sherrock match #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

The BashCast:: Late and Live Budget Special Agenda: Previous weeks questions Budget 2026 – Thoughts from a winning punter perspective PDC Darts World Championships 2026 Why we do Youtube Videos - Golf doubles, trebles, dog walks and editing difficulties. Polymarket – Predictions markets have hit America, but are they the American Dream? The return of a segment that was an old favourite - Why You’re A Prick. #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

Is this Podcast perfect? No, its beautifully imperfect. I'm trying to host, audio engineer, present and produce all live on camera. It's a learning experience, bear with me through the mistakes! Agenda: Scotland make it to the World Cup Finals The EV of EVs – Tom get scammed by a car salesman Enhancements coming up: Player xG, Player stats and a new horse racing tool The state of golf markets this week - Betfred, Ladbrokes, Exchanges and Bet365 Syndicates: What are they, how they work and some logistical tip #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

Agenda: Last weeks questions Anthony Kaminskas is trending above PRINCE ANDREW. Let’s look at the story from a different perspective NFL – as we hit the middle of the season of NFL we take a look at edges and speak to BBC and Guardian journalist Ryan Baldi about whats going on with Field Goals Legal Hour - When should you take a bookmaker to court, and when should you suck it up? Golf doubles – SBC do a golf doubles specials on the same week that I miss out on £33,000 by the click of a button. #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee  

Agenda:   1. The fortnight recap: Haaland, another decent Lucky 15 and the Porguese Villamoura Algarve Open featuring … Me 2. Shops: At what point do profitable shop bettors reject a bet due to cuts? 3. Last Episodes Questions on arbitration, AI and statistical approaches 4. Blogger and Mooshtips – the gambling social media world somehow sinks to new depths 5. We have Peter Webb from GeeksToy on for a chat 6. Testimonials, Clinic calls, Bet history and Smartbash. Some admin to sort out #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee

Agenda: We go through the questions from the first BashCast late and live. Feel free to ask them this time around, but I cannot promise I’m reading the youtube comments. An update from Professor Anthony Kaminskas AKBets golf double update from the BMW PGA Championship and the Procore Championsp After Ladbrokes hit the news for paying out 100,000 euros on a 300,000 horse double, they’ve now implemented some rules on their machines to inform punters. But has it worked, and is this good news? Black market operators – the government rhetoric is that they warn punters away from the Black Market. But are the government the root of the issue? Some inside information from the Ryder cup causes a stir. We delve into different edges on a unique tournament like this A donation to charity story from a bookiebashing member who has enjoyed good years with usAnd finally. A mug. A BashCast mug. It could be yours, just tell me – who is going to score first in the Feyenoord vs Aston Villa game? #bettingat100.1andabove Want to send an email to the mailbag? [email protected] Find out more about the SmartBash: https://smart-bash.com/ Twitter BB: https://twitter.com/bookiebashnet Twitter Tom: https://twitter.com/Tombrownlee