TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast podkast

Ten31 Timestamp: Liberty, Equality, Insolvency

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France's debt problem, Europe moving against Chinese exports, Iran under pressure, and the AI and quantum FUD hitting Bitcoin. Marty and John Arnold go through the week.

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In this episode:

  • France's fiscal situation and why short-term debt issuance is spreading
  • Europe pushes back on Chinese exports while the US pulls it closer
  • Iran's economy under sanctions and escalation risk after the Houthi strike
  • The Donroe Doctrine: Greenland, Iceland and Brazil's election
  • Treasury issuance, buybacks and the narrative around US economic data
  • OpenAI revenue numbers, AI math proofs and the quantum FUD aimed at Bitcoin

TIMESTAMPS:

00:00:00 - Touching grass after a weekend of hardware wallet and AI news

00:01:00 - France's debt cycle and the Macron problem

00:02:30 - Short-term issuance and yields across Europe

00:04:58 - Europe moves to block Chinese exports

00:08:17 - Taiwan Strait naval exercises and the US-China meeting

00:09:48 - Iran's economy and the oil minister's exit

00:11:34 - Houthi strike on Saudi airport and escalation risk

00:13:41 - The Donroe Doctrine and the National Security Strategy

00:14:13 - Iceland, Greenland and Brazil's Bolsonaro surge

00:17:07 - US economic data and Treasury issuance

00:20:12 - Bessent's buybacks and the long end of the curve

00:21:26 - OpenAI's revenue run rate and the Anthropic comparison

00:23:39 - AI math proofs and the pace of model progress

00:26:36 - Quantum FUD, Justin Drake and Yehuda Lindell on elliptic curves

00:30:00 - Why Bitcoin researchers are working on new signature schemes

00:33:41 - Wrap-up and next week

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