US Market Open: Risk off sentiment with US equity futures lower, JPY bid & Antipodeans lag

US is to block NVIDIA's (NVDA) sale of scaled-back AI chips to China, according to The Information.European bourses opened firmer but ultimately conformed to the subdued risk tone, US equity futures also mildly in the red.DXY bid awaiting UoM, trading around 99.78; Kiwi underperforms.Bunds were initially hit by the US risk tone, EGBs then slipped on German data, no reaction to the deteriorating European tone.Commodities rebound from Thursday’s equity-led selloff; XAU firmer and holds above USD 4k/oz.Looking ahead, Canadian Jobs, NY Fed SCE, US University of Michigan Prelim, Speakers including Fed’s Jefferson and Miran, BoE’s Pill, ECB’s Elderson & Nagel.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region took its cue from the risk-off mood stateside, where sentiment was weighed on by weak US labour market proxies and AI concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by weak Chinese trade data.US President Trump said they will need a game plan if the Supreme Court case on tariffs does not go well, and can do other things, but they are slow in comparison.US President Trump added there are no new tariff announcements coming while the SCOTUS case is pending.US is to block NVIDIA's (NVDA) sale of scaled-back AI chips to China, according to The Information.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures +0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.0% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Data, Canadian Jobs, NY Fed SCE, US University of Michigan Prelim, Speakers including Fed’s Williams, Jefferson and Miran, BoE’s Pill, ECB’s Elderson & Nagel, Earnings from Daimler Truck.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Challenger October US Job Cuts jump 175.3% to a 7-month high at 153.074k (prev. 54.064k in September).European bourses are on the backfoot; US equity futures are modestly firmer/flat.Surprise early US Challenger release takes DXY sub-100; NOK gains on Norges, GBP awaits the BoE.Early Challenger lifted USTs to a session high, Gilts await the BoE.Crude benchmarks are higher despite Saudi oil price cuts and US inventory build; focus on Israel declaring the Egyptian border a closed military zone.Looking ahead, US Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicators, BoE & Banxico Policy Announcements, Speakers including Fed’s Williams, Barr, Hammack, Waller, Paulson & Musalem, ECB’s Lane, Nagel, BoE’s Bailey, BoC's Macklem, Rogers & Kozicki.Earnings from Airbnb, ConocoPhillips & Warner Bros.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall St, where all major indices gained amid dip buying.European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures relatively flat after the cash market closed with gains of 0.2% on Wednesday.DXY traded rangebound after having recently snapped a 5-day rally, despite firmer-than-expected ADP and ISM Services data, while catalysts were quiet overnight10yr UST futures saw some slight reprieve after slumping yesterday; Bund futures languished near the prior day's lows.US President Trump is scheduled to make an announcement at 11:00EST/16:00GMT on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production, EZ Retail Sales, Canadian Leading Index, US Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicators, US Challenger Layoffs, BoE, Banxico & Norges Bank Policy Announcements, Speakers including Fed’s Williams, Barr, Hammack, Waller, Paulson & Musalem, ECB’s Lane, Nagel, Schnabel & de Guindos, BoE’s Bailey, BoC's Macklem, Rogers & Kozicki, Supply from Spain & FranceEarnings from Continental, Commerzbank, AstraZeneca, Sainsbury’s, Airbnb, ConocoPhillips & Warner Bros.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are entirely in the red; US equity futures mixed, with the NQ continuing to underperform whilst the RTY takes a breather.Recent USD rally pauses for breath ahead of ADP and ISM services.USTs are contained into a packed agenda, Gilts continue to ease from Tuesday's best.Commodities rebound following Tuesday’s risk-off sell-off.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final PMI, US ADP, US ISM Services PMI, NBP & BCB Policy Announcements, US Supreme Court Tariff hearing begins, Speakers including BoE's Breeden, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, US QRA. Earnings from AMC, Arm, Snap & McDonald’s.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mixed after an early sell-off following the losses stateside, where tech underperformed amid valuation concerns.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.7% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.The USD rally has paused for breath (DXY remains above 100), EUR/USD is unable to reclaim 1.15 status, USD/JPY failed to hold below 153.Global fixed income benchmarks remain supported, crude futures lack direction, Gold remains below USD 4k.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Orders, EZ, UK & US Final PMI, EZ Producer Prices, US ADP, US ISM Services PMI, Riksbank, NBP & BCB Policy Announcements, ECB Wage Tracker, US Supreme Court Tariff hearing begins, Speakers including ECB's Nagel, BoE's Breeden, BoC's Macklem & Rogers, Riksbank's Jansson, US QRA, Supply from Germany.Earnings from BMW, Novo Nordisk, Pandora, AMC, Arm, Snap & McDonald’sRead the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.European bourses are lower across the board with sentiment downbeat; US equity futures are in the red, NQ -1.3%.DXY briefly returned to a 100 handle, GBP slipped post-Reeves, who failed to reiterate her tax-related pledges, Antipodeans lag.Gilts outperform amid tax rise speculation, USTs await Fed speak.WTI and Brent slip to lows given the risk tone, but XAU fails to benefit and sits sub-4k/oz.Looking ahead, US RCM/TIPP, New Zealand Jobs, RBNZ FSR, BoJ Minutes (Sep), French Assembly PLF Vote, Speakers including ECB’s Nagel and Balz, BoE’s Breeden & Fed's Bowman. Earnings from Fresenius MC, Ferrari; AMD, Supermicro, Marathon, Pfizer & Uber.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the mixed lead from Wall St, where the majority of sectors declined but tech outperformed.RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.8% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.3% on Monday.DXY is flat, antipodeans lag with AUD softer post-RBA. JPY outperforms, underpinned by a haven bid and more verbal intervention.In a rare pre-budget press conference today, UK Chancellor Reeves will indicate she is prepared to break Labour’s manifesto promise not to raise income tax, according to The Telegraph.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Trade, US RCM/TIPP, New Zealand Jobs, RBNZ FSR, BoJ Minutes (Sep), French Assembly PLF vote process begins, ECB’s Lagarde, Nagel and Balz, BoE’s Breeden & Fed's Bowman, Supply from UK & Germany.Earnings from Phillips, Evonik, Fresenius MC, Ferrari, BP; AMD, Supermicro, Marathon, Pfizer & Uber.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are firmer following constructive EU-China trade developments, US equity futures also gain.USD fractionally higher and now eyes 100.00, CHF hampered by CPI.Bonds are relatively contained into a session of central bank speak and the ISM Manufacturing series.Crude reverses initial gains after OPEC+ opted to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026; XAU essentially flat, whilst base metals digest disappointing Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI.Looking ahead, highlights include US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speakers including Fed’s Daly, Cook, ECB’s Lane & BoC’s Macklem, Supply from BoE Gilt Sale (long-term), US Financing Estimates.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mostly higher overnight. European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.2%.Chinese RatingDog Manufacturing PMI data disappointed amid a sharp decline in export orders.Fed’s Waller said he still advocates for the Fed to cut rates in December and said data fog does not tell you to stop.Crude futures gained at the open as participants digested the latest OPEC+ decision to raise output again by a modest 137k bpd in December before pausing for Q1 2026.In FX, DXY is steady, USD/JPY sits above 154 with Japan away from market, EUR/USD remains on a 1.15 handle, AUD marginally outperforms ahead of RBA this week.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss CPI, EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI, US ISM Manufacturing PMI, Speakers including Fed’s Daly, ECB’s Lane & BoC’s Macklem, Supply from BoE Gilt Sale (long-term), US Financing Estimates.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk