Europe Market Open: Europe points to a mildly firmer open in a week packed with central bank risk

US and China day two talks are underway; overnight, FT reported that there has been a lack of progress, potentially reducing the odds of a Beijing summit. Recently, US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US and China made good progress on technical details.Crude benchmarks are higher amid a softer USD and after President Trump said he is ready to impose sanctions on Russia, once NATO stops buying Russian oil. Most recently, Russia's Kremlin says NATO is fighting Russia.NVIDIA hit in the pre-market, weighing on the NQ and broader sentiment, as China said NVIDIA violated antitrust laws; European bourses off best, but still firmer, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.6%.Fitch downgraded France to A+ (prev. AA-), sparking modest OAT-Bund widening though levels remain orderly. EUR is unreactive, GBP leads with the DXY softer.Gold had an initial upward bias with the focus on geopols, though off best. Base metals capped by soft Chinese data.Looking ahead, NY Fed Manufacturing (Sep), Speakers including ECB's Schnabel, Rehn & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed, with the region somewhat cautious as participants digested disappointing Chinese activity data.The lack of progress in US talks with China on tariffs and fentanyl is said to have reduced the chances of a Beijing summit, according to the FT.Fitch cut France’s sovereign rating from AA- to A+; Outlook Revised to Stable from Negative; OATs -11 ticks.European equity futures indicate a slightly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.1% on Friday.In FX, DXY is steady and FX markets are contained heading into a week, which is set to be dominated by central bank activity.US President Trump said he is ready to impose major sanctions on Russia when all NATO nations have agreed and started to do the same thing, and when all NATO nations stop buying oil from Russia.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Price Index (Aug), NY Fed Manufacturing (Sep), Speakers including ECB's Schnabel, Rehn & Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He and other senior Chinese officials next week in Madrid, while Bessent and He are to discuss key US-China national security, economic and trade issues.US equity futures are lower across the board, RTY lags. European bourses began marginally firmer, but have since waned.USD attempts to recover from the pressure seen on Thursday's data, DXY at highs, while the JPY lags.Fixed income is in the red, though USTs are set to end the week near-enough unchanged. Gilts are the relative outperformer post-GDP.Crude began in the red, extending to a new WTD low before bouncing and recouping some of Thursday's pressure. Metals firmer despite the USD strength.Looking ahead, highlights include US University of Michigan Prelim (Sep), CBR Announcement, Credit Rating Reviews for France & Spain. US President Trump on Fox.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He and other senior Chinese officials next week in Madrid, while Bessent and He are to discuss key US-China national security, economic and trade issues.US President Trump's administration asked the US appeals court to pause a ruling that blocked the removal of Fed's Cook.ECB rate cut debate is said to not be over, but October is seen as too soon, and the next real discussion is more likely in December, according to Reuters sources.APAC stocks were mostly higher following the gains on Wall St; European equity futures indicate a marginally positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.5% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI Final (Aug), UK GDP (Jul), French Final CPI (Aug), Spanish Final CPI (Aug), US University of Michigan Prelim (Sep), CBR Announcement, ECB Publication of ECB staff macroeconomic projections for the euro area, Credit Rating Reviews for France & Spain.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses are modestly firmer, whilst US equity futures are mixed ahead of the ECB and US CPI.DXY is firmer and towards session highs; JPY underperforms, with USD/JPY rising to just shy of the 148.00 mark.USTs and Bunds are a touch softer into ECB/US CPI and a 30-year auction following a strong 3- and 10-year outing earlier this week.Industrial commodities and gold are subdued, awaiting key risk events; some modest upticks seen on Poland, Ukraine & Lithuania, calling the recent Russian drone incursion an “unprecedented” provocation.Looking ahead, US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance stateside, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq printed fresh record highs.US President Trump's administration appealed the court ruling blocking the removal of Fed Governor Cook.US Senate Republicans are aiming to confirm President Trump’s temporary Federal Reserve pick Stephen Miran as soon as Monday, according to Politico, citing two sourcesEU is reportedly very unlikely to impose crippling tariffs on India or China, the main buyers of Russian oil, as US President Trump urged the bloc to do so, according to Reuters citing EU sources.European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures U/C after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Aug) & Jobless Claims, ECB Policy Announcement & Press Conference, CBRT Announcement, IEA & OPEC Monthly Report, Supply from Italy and the US, and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Poland said its airspace was repeatedly violated by drones during today's attack by Russia on Ukraine; Poland shot down Russian drones after 'unprecedented airspace violation'. Polish PM Tusk says Poland asked to evoke Article 4 of NATO treaty.US President Trump reportedly asked the EU to hit China and India with 100% tariffs to pressure Russian President Putin to end the war.US judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Cook.European bourses started off stronger, but then slipped after Polish PM asks to evoke Article 4; Oracle +29% post-earnings.DXY is incrementally lower whilst Antipodeans lead.Bunds briefly bolstered by NATO remarks. Complex awaits US data and supply.Crude and gold rise as NATO member Poland downs drones above its territory.Looking ahead, US PPI (Aug), Wholesale Sales (Jul), Comments from SNB’s Schlegel, Supply from US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Poland said its airspace was repeatedly violated by drones during today's attack by Russia on Ukraine; Poland shot down Russian drones after 'unprecedented airspace violation'.US President Trump reportedly asked the EU to hit China and India with 100% tariffs to pressure Russian President Putin to end the war.US judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Cook.French President Macron appointed Sebastien Lecornu as new PM, according to BFM.European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.1% on Tuesday.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI (Aug), US PPI (Aug), Wholesale Sales (Jul), Comments from SNB’s Schlegel, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Global equity futures are modestly mixed; Anglo American & Teck merge to create a USD 50bln mining giant.USD is a little lower whilst JPY soars amid hawkish BoJ reports.OAT-Bund 10yr spread a little wider in the aftermath of French PM Bayrou’s removal, JGBs hit by BoJ sources.BoJ reportedly sees some chance of hiking this year, despite the political situation, via Bloomberg citing sources; likely to keep rates unchanged on September 19thCrude rebounds and metals non-committal awaiting the next impetus.Looking ahead, US NFP Prelim. Benchmark Revisions, Apple Event, Comments from BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

French PM Bayrou lost the confidence vote in the National Assembly, as expected; French President Macron said he will name a new PM in the coming days.UK Chancellor Reeves is to tell ministers to prioritise the fight against inflation in a Cabinet meeting today, according to FT.US Senate Banking panel to vote on Miran's Fed nomination on September 10th, according to Bloomberg.European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.4% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.8% on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include French Industrial Output, US NFP Prelim. Benchmark Revisions, Apple Event, Comments from BoE's Breeden, Supply from Netherlands, UK, Germany & US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk