Macro impacts of a potential AI equity and CapEx correction

Fixed Interests examines Fitch's approach to rating financial guarantors in EMEA. Sabine Bauer and Inal Kishmariya discuss this niche insurance sector and key rating drivers: diversification, governance, capital adequacy and shareholder support.

Alex Muscatelli from Fitch Ratings joins Aymeric Poizot to unpack a risk scenario on a major AI equity and CapEx correction: 35% share price plunge, US recession, global stagnation, and rate cuts. Not Fitch's base case, but a key risk worth watching.

Explore how the Middle East crisis and rising jet fuel prices are hitting EMEA airlines. Fitch analyst Raman Singla joins Andrei Sandu to discuss Q2 profit declines, why low-cost carriers face greater risk, and the outlook if the conflict drags on.

With long-dated yields at multi-decade highs across major markets, Fitch's Ed Parker examines the fiscal, inflation and supply forces at play, and which sovereigns face the greatest rating risk as debt burdens climb and refinancing costs rise.

Transatlantic view of leveraged finance from Fitch Ratings. Terry Gallagher, Brendan Hoelmer and Leonie Dackham explore the macro backdrop, refinancing waves and rising default forecasts across US and European loan and high-yield markets into Q3

Scott Zuchorski and Monsur Hussain follow the money, exploring how insurers, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, and family offices are financing infrastructure, and why credit ratings are the connective tissue driving global capital flows.

One asset, three routes to capital. In part one, Scott Zuchorski and Monsur Hussain unpack Fitch's latest report on how corporate, project, and structured finance are converging to meet a US$106 trillion global infrastructure need by 2040 and beyond.

Fitch's Terry Gallagher, Josh Clark, and John Kempf examine the gaming, leisure, lodging, and restaurant sector. They discuss sector bankruptcies, maturity, alternative financing, favorable demographics, and strong first-lien creditor recoveries.

Fitch's Sovereign team explores Argentina's turning point. Following its upgrade to 'B-', analysts Shelly Shetty and Chris Dychala discuss the Milei administration's fiscal and reform gains, vulnerabilities, and what to watch ahead of 2027 elections.

Christian Scarafia and Robert Mazzuoli unpack the European Commission's July push to boost EU banking competitiveness, exploring cross-border consolidation, capital fungibility, Basel III lending reforms, deposit protection changes, and key omissions.