Oil shocks and the economy: The base case and other scenarios

CIBC Senior Economist, Andrew Grantham, interviews Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, to break down the ramifications of the Iran conflict on global oil prices, explore the intersection of energy markets and American politics, and discuss the expected trajectory for inflation and monetary policy in the U.S. and Canada as oil prices seek a new normal. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC’s Senior Economist, Katherine Judge, interviews Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld about the implications of the US-Israel and Iran war for the North American economy and financial markets. They explore how global markets—especially oil—are reacting to the conflict, what investors are pricing in, and the potential impact on North America’s economy, inflation, and monetary policy. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC Economists Ali Jaffery and Katherine Judge break down how federal and provincial budgets are shaping growth, based on a new measure of the fiscal impulse in Canada, and how manufacturing in Canada compares with the U.S. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC's Senior Economist, Ali Jaffery, interviews Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, about his outlook for the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve. They examine the latest economic data, explore historical policy precedents, and consider how current political developments—including trade negotiations and U.S. Fed leadership changes—may influence central bank decisions. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC’s Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, reviews evidence on why neither cost-push inflation nor diminishing economic slack are likely to pressure the Bank of Canada into a rate hike in the coming year, and is joined by Deputy Chief Economist, Benjamin Tal, to discuss a transition year ahead for the housing market and how “doubling up” trends will affect it. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC's Chief Economist, Avery Shenfeld, and Deputy Chief Economist, Benjamin Tal, discuss the latest trends in Canadian household credit, including rising policy rates and early signs of credit risk. They also break down the U.S. Supreme Court case on tariffs and what its outcome could mean for Canada’s trade future. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

CIBC senior economists Katherine Judge and Ali Jaffery assess the impact of the recent wave of rapid student immigration on the economy and the labor market, and Canada’s economic record over that period. They also consider ideas for where student immigration and population growth could be headed in the future. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Avery Shenfeld, Chief Economist at CIBC, and Lawrence Schembri, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, discuss the outlook of the Canadian economy and challenges in measuring inflation, US monetary policy, and Fed independence. They also explore recent trends in economic growth and Indigenous participation in major projects. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Benjamin Tal, CIBC's Deputy Chief Economist, and Katherine Judge, CIBC Senior Economist, discuss the evolving landscape of Canadian immigration policy, its impact on the housing market, and the critical role of purpose-built rentals in addressing affordability. Drawing on recent research and government initiatives, they explore how shifts in immigration trends are shaping economic productivity, the regional variations in housing market performance and how government initiatives are shaping both immediate and future responses to Canada’s affordability crisis. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Avery Shenfeld, CIBC’s Chief Economist, and Ali Jaffery, CIBC Senior Economist, discuss their recent report on US immigration policy and what this means for population growth, GDP, and fiscal policy, as well as implications for the Fed. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See https://pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.