Ep. 377 - How DO NFL DFS Sims Work, Handbuilders Can Still Win In 2024 & Exploiting Bad Drafters On Underdog w/ Brian Hooper

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $1000 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Justin Phan from Unabated & Underdog to discuss how NBA projections are made, the brand new Unabated NBA betting & DFS projection model, the OKC Thunder, the Philadelphia 76ers, Victor Wembenyama, and much more about the 2024-2025 NBA Season 00:00 2024-2025 NBA Season Preview Intro 3:00 New Unabated NBA Conditional Projection Tool: How Do Conditional Projections Work & the best way to leverage projections to make money in the 2024-25 NBA Season 15:01 Oklahoma City Thunder 2024-25: Are they as good as their odds suggest? How could they fail? How good is Isaiah Hartenstein? 22:02 Denver Nuggets: What Is The Deal? Why did they cheap out on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope? 26:45 The New Look Golden State Warriors: No More Klay Thompson? Who starts? Old vs Young at every position! 35:10 San Antonio Spurs & Victor Wembenyama: It’s A New Era in the NBA as Wemby is perhaps the best player in the NBA 46:10 New York Knicks Trade For Karl Anthony Towns: Who won the trade? The Knicks or the Wolves? 53:30 Anthony Edwards The Next Super Duper NBA Superstar?? 55:01 Boston Celtics: Can They Repeat As Champions? Why or why not? 58:03 It Is The Philadelphia 76ers Season (Or Maybe Not) Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== NBA, zach lowe, justin phan, unabated, underdog, NBA dfs, NBA projections, NBA betting, how to bet on the NBA, NBA picks, NBA talk, NBA season preview, basketball, golden state warriors, thunder, wembenyma, wemby, spurs, knicks, wolves, warriors, curry, klay, dray, KAT, bodega KAT, karl anthony towns, julius randle, NBA projection talk, NBA sports talk, hardwood, nate duncan, duncd on, duncd on NBA podcast, the NBA BIT, mike zakarian, chris paul, jeramy sochan Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Brian Hooper to discuss how sims are changing the NFL DFS landscape, what sims actually do, issues with the public facing sim products and how the field is missing the trick with Underdog Battle Royale contests 00:00 Intro 1:00 State Of The Nation For DFS Sims 3:15 What Are Sims Saying Is +EV This Year 5:50 What Actually Happens Inside Of A DFS Sim 7:30 Issues With Overcorrelations In Sims 11:20 Fragility In Projecting The Field In DFS 14:00 Knowing Ball Vs Knowing Nerd 19:30 Can You Still Win In DFS With A Solver 20:15 Input Volatility (How Do DFS Projections Work) 26:01 Changing Inputs In DFS Projections And How That Effects Sims 31:00 Why DFS Sims Want You To Always Play The Chalk 35:00 How A Handbuilder Should Play DFS In 2024 41:00 Can Sims Tell You When To Swap In DFS? 46:00 Is Battle Royale On Underdog The Last Beatable Daily Fantasy Sports Game? 52:00 God Knowledge Projection For Fantasy Sports 56:30 Anchoring Bias Of DFS Salary Vs Best Ball ADP Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Patrick Daugherty (@Rotopat) from Rotoworld/NBC Sports to discuss the 2024 NFL season so far including Kyle Shanahan, Mike McDaniel, Sam Darnold, Patrick Mahomes, Jayden Daniels, Caleb Williams and much more. 00:00 Pat Daugherty Rotoworld Introduction 3:30 Kyle Shanahan Is A Liar 8:30 What To Make Of The Sam Darnold MVP Season?? 19:30 Mahomes Struggles without Rice 22:00 Amari Cooper To The Chiefs 23:30 Will DeShaun Watson Be Benched? 28:30 What do the Panthers do with Bryce Young? 31:00 Joe Flacco to MIA? 33:00 Mike McDaniel In-Game Adjustments 37:00 Hayden Hurst Medical Retirement 40:30 Nuclear QB Prospect Take 43:00 Is Anthony Richardson just Trey Lance? 47:00 Jayden Daniels vs Caleb Williams Revisionist Takes 55:00 Los Angeles Chargers... what is the deal? Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== rotopat, pat daugherty, rotoworld, good football show, nbc sports universal, rotoworld fantasy football podcast, nbc sports podcast, sam darnold, KOC, kevin o'connel, tua, Mike mcdaniel, patrick mahomes, caleb williams, shane waldron Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Cody Alexander from www.matchquarters.com to figure out what happened to scoring in the NFL. Cody is a supreme knower of defensive ball and breaks down just what is happening at the NFL level that is keeping points from the scoreboard. Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== cody alexander, matchquarters, NFL, NFL defense, NFL offense, what happened to offense, man vs zone, zone vs man, zone blitz, NFL blitz, tampa two, ball knowing, know ball Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Ted Knutson of The Transfer Flow to discuss his work at Statsbomb, modeling soccer for gambling, how he got into soccer gambling, set pieces, the value of a truly great player for gambling like Leo Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo, fixing Chelsea Football Club and much more Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== soccer, football, gambling, soccer gambling, Chelsea, ted knutson, transfer flow, transfer flow podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS to play a game of Buy or Sell for NFL TAKES after Week One of the NFL season. Would you buy or sell a Chiefs NFL future for $2.50? That and more on the show! Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Get $40 Off A 6-Month RotoGrinders Sub HERE: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Davis Mattek is joined by Coach Drew Lieberman. Drew is a private WR coach who has worked with Mohammed Sanu, Brandon Aiyuk, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram, Andrei Iosivias, Chase Brown and many more NFL players. Drew takes Davis into the mind of an NFL athlete training to get better, how he works with these athletes and much more. Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Fantasy Football Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Kevin Cole from Unexpected Points to discuss what will be the biggest storyline of the 2024 NFL season, McShanny QBs, 49ers holdouts, feeling bad for Josh Allen and more. Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Fantasy Football Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Register for the 2024 PME Pick 'Em Contest On Underdog: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSe-uuVk2TqOfJ_u5azwMIAA4CIbsG-MOk9pNSCxdOEPm6kDEA/viewform?usp=send_form Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Pat Mayo from the Mayo Media Network to discuss if any average person uses Chat GPT, the Alien Franchise, their favorite NFL futures sports bets, the Olympics, and much more. Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Fantasy Football Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Deeze from the "We Do A Little" Pod joins the show to discuss Memecoin mania, Ethereum vs Solana, Barron Trump rugpulling a Solana token, and much more. Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Fantasy Football Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices