Ep. 374 - Soccer Bet Modeling, The Value Of Set Pieces, Numbering Leo Messi's Greatness & More w/ Ted Knutson from The Transfer Flow

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $1000 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek 00:00 Election Consequences Intro 4:30 Is Political Polling dead? 10:44 The Biden Campaign vs The Harris Campaign Strategies 16:30 Comparing the 2024 election to the 1968 election 19:20 There will be no end to inflation 26:30 The Wrong Strategy vs Trump 34:01 Harris did not run a good campaign 45:00 How easy it is to bet on elections? 52:40 Harris not going on Rogan is one of the biggest unforced errors in political history 59:30 If the economy is good, incumbent party wins. If the economy is bad, incumbent party loses. Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $1000 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek 00:00 Ron Stewart Introduction 2:10 Who does Ron blame for the 2-6 New York Jets start? 9:50 How much of the Jets mess should Aaron Rodgers be able to fix? 12:10 How much does Sam Darnold make in free agency? 23:20 Anthony Richardson benched after 10 NFL starts…what the hell is going? 33:01 Anthony Richardson Cope From Ron…Can he turn it around? 39:51 Why was Davante Adams not traded to the Jets earlier? 46:02 DeAndre Hopkins To The Chiefs, Amari Cooper to the bills, who has the biggest impact? 50:02 Just how bad are the Bills coaching staff? Davis Mattek is joined by Ron Stewart to discuss the epic collapse of the 2024 New York Jets, Aaron Rodgers' accountability, Anthony Richardson getting benched, the worst coaches of good NFL teams and much more Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $1000 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Jared Dubin from Last Night In Basketball to predict the 2024 NBA season and get up to speed with what to expect over the next 6 months of hoops. 00:00 Jared Dubin Introduction 1:40 OKC Thunder: Are they going to make an in season trade? 7:55 Are the Boston Celtics a hollow super team? 11:55 Is The Eastern Conference More Fragile at the top? 16:02 The Orlando Magic Are Ready To Make A Run 19:15 What is the NBA trade market like in-season in 2024-25? 22:45 What the hell is going on with the detroit pistons? 27:59 Rookie Of The Year: Who is it? 35:03 The New Orleans Pelicans: Trey Murphy III, Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram… how good can they be? 41:11 Are the aprons working as intended? 46:45 What is the deal with Jamaal Murray? 50:01 Any breakout bench players for the Denver Nuggets? 53:59 Golden State Warriors: No Klay Thompson, Melton/Hield, More minutes for the young guys? 56:00 The Warriors closing lineup: Steph, Draymond Green, Kuminga and….? 1:01:58 The End Of Era: Lebron James Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $1000 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Justin Phan from Unabated & Underdog to discuss how NBA projections are made, the brand new Unabated NBA betting & DFS projection model, the OKC Thunder, the Philadelphia 76ers, Victor Wembenyama, and much more about the 2024-2025 NBA Season 00:00 2024-2025 NBA Season Preview Intro 3:00 New Unabated NBA Conditional Projection Tool: How Do Conditional Projections Work & the best way to leverage projections to make money in the 2024-25 NBA Season 15:01 Oklahoma City Thunder 2024-25: Are they as good as their odds suggest? How could they fail? How good is Isaiah Hartenstein? 22:02 Denver Nuggets: What Is The Deal? Why did they cheap out on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope? 26:45 The New Look Golden State Warriors: No More Klay Thompson? Who starts? Old vs Young at every position! 35:10 San Antonio Spurs & Victor Wembenyama: It’s A New Era in the NBA as Wemby is perhaps the best player in the NBA 46:10 New York Knicks Trade For Karl Anthony Towns: Who won the trade? The Knicks or the Wolves? 53:30 Anthony Edwards The Next Super Duper NBA Superstar?? 55:01 Boston Celtics: Can They Repeat As Champions? Why or why not? 58:03 It Is The Philadelphia 76ers Season (Or Maybe Not) Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== NBA, zach lowe, justin phan, unabated, underdog, NBA dfs, NBA projections, NBA betting, how to bet on the NBA, NBA picks, NBA talk, NBA season preview, basketball, golden state warriors, thunder, wembenyma, wemby, spurs, knicks, wolves, warriors, curry, klay, dray, KAT, bodega KAT, karl anthony towns, julius randle, NBA projection talk, NBA sports talk, hardwood, nate duncan, duncd on, duncd on NBA podcast, the NBA BIT, mike zakarian, chris paul, jeramy sochan Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Brian Hooper to discuss how sims are changing the NFL DFS landscape, what sims actually do, issues with the public facing sim products and how the field is missing the trick with Underdog Battle Royale contests 00:00 Intro 1:00 State Of The Nation For DFS Sims 3:15 What Are Sims Saying Is +EV This Year 5:50 What Actually Happens Inside Of A DFS Sim 7:30 Issues With Overcorrelations In Sims 11:20 Fragility In Projecting The Field In DFS 14:00 Knowing Ball Vs Knowing Nerd 19:30 Can You Still Win In DFS With A Solver 20:15 Input Volatility (How Do DFS Projections Work) 26:01 Changing Inputs In DFS Projections And How That Effects Sims 31:00 Why DFS Sims Want You To Always Play The Chalk 35:00 How A Handbuilder Should Play DFS In 2024 41:00 Can Sims Tell You When To Swap In DFS? 46:00 Is Battle Royale On Underdog The Last Beatable Daily Fantasy Sports Game? 52:00 God Knowledge Projection For Fantasy Sports 56:30 Anchoring Bias Of DFS Salary Vs Best Ball ADP Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Patrick Daugherty (@Rotopat) from Rotoworld/NBC Sports to discuss the 2024 NFL season so far including Kyle Shanahan, Mike McDaniel, Sam Darnold, Patrick Mahomes, Jayden Daniels, Caleb Williams and much more. 00:00 Pat Daugherty Rotoworld Introduction 3:30 Kyle Shanahan Is A Liar 8:30 What To Make Of The Sam Darnold MVP Season?? 19:30 Mahomes Struggles without Rice 22:00 Amari Cooper To The Chiefs 23:30 Will DeShaun Watson Be Benched? 28:30 What do the Panthers do with Bryce Young? 31:00 Joe Flacco to MIA? 33:00 Mike McDaniel In-Game Adjustments 37:00 Hayden Hurst Medical Retirement 40:30 Nuclear QB Prospect Take 43:00 Is Anthony Richardson just Trey Lance? 47:00 Jayden Daniels vs Caleb Williams Revisionist Takes 55:00 Los Angeles Chargers... what is the deal? Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== rotopat, pat daugherty, rotoworld, good football show, nbc sports universal, rotoworld fantasy football podcast, nbc sports podcast, sam darnold, KOC, kevin o'connel, tua, Mike mcdaniel, patrick mahomes, caleb williams, shane waldron Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Cody Alexander from www.matchquarters.com to figure out what happened to scoring in the NFL. Cody is a supreme knower of defensive ball and breaks down just what is happening at the NFL level that is keeping points from the scoreboard. Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== cody alexander, matchquarters, NFL, NFL defense, NFL offense, what happened to offense, man vs zone, zone vs man, zone blitz, NFL blitz, tampa two, ball knowing, know ball Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Ted Knutson of The Transfer Flow to discuss his work at Statsbomb, modeling soccer for gambling, how he got into soccer gambling, set pieces, the value of a truly great player for gambling like Leo Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo, fixing Chelsea Football Club and much more Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 =================== soccer, football, gambling, soccer gambling, Chelsea, ted knutson, transfer flow, transfer flow podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS to play a game of Buy or Sell for NFL TAKES after Week One of the NFL season. Would you buy or sell a Chiefs NFL future for $2.50? That and more on the show! Get $40 Off A Six-Month RotoGrinders Subscription: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Sign Up For THE SOLVER Here: https://thesolver.com?ref=yzk0mda Davis Mattek is joined by Andy Molitor (AndyMSFW) from the Deep Dive Pod and BETSPERTS Try Out UNABATED'S Premium Sports Betting + DFS Pick 'Em Tools: https://unabated.com/?ref=ymjkzgj Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Draft for $1,500,000 on UnderDog Fantasy & Get A $250 Deposit Bonus With A FREE Pick 'Em Bonus Entry: https://play.underdogfantasy.com/p-davis-mattek Get $40 Off A 6-Month RotoGrinders Sub HERE: https://rotogrinders.com/premium/nfl?promo=davis Davis Mattek is joined by Coach Drew Lieberman. Drew is a private WR coach who has worked with Mohammed Sanu, Brandon Aiyuk, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram, Andrei Iosivias, Chase Brown and many more NFL players. Drew takes Davis into the mind of an NFL athlete training to get better, how he works with these athletes and much more. Sign up for premium fantasy football content and get exclusive Discord access: www.patreon.com/davismattek Subscribe to the AutoMattek Absolutes Newsletter: https://automattekabsolutes.beehiiv.com/ Download THE DRAFT CADDY: https://endgamesyndicate.com/membership-levels/?pa=DavisMattek Audio-Only Podcast Feed For All Davis Mattek Fantasy Football Streams: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/grinding-the-variance-a-davis-mattek-fantasy-football-pod/id1756145256 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices