Is a Recession Coming in 2026? How Markets Sleepwalk into Economic Downturns

Analysts are warning that markets are exhibiting 'misplaced euphoria' even as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East threaten an oil-driven economic slowdown. History shows that markets often fail to price in recession risk until it's too late—so how do you know when optimism becomes dangerous complacency?Today's Stocks & Topics: Diamondback Energy, Inc. (FANG), Market Wrap, Trading, Oklo Inc. (OKLO), Zoom Communications, Inc. (ZM), The Stock Market, Is a Recession Coming in 2026? How Markets Sleepwalk Into Economic Downturns, Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX), Becton, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP), Valero Energy Corporation (VLO), Inflation.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

US manufacturing input costs hit their highest level in four years in April, even as the sector broadly held steady—a classic precursor to stagflation where costs rise faster than growth. For investors, stagflation is one of the most difficult macro environments to navigate, and understanding it now could be the most important financial move you make this year.Today's Stocks & Topics: Pacer US Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ), Markt Wrap, Space X IPO, Fiserv, Inc. (FISV), Terex Corporation (TEX), How to Invest During Stagflation: What Rising Manufacturing Costs Mean for Your Portfolio, E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Shopify Inc. (SHOP), Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (ANF), Customers Bancorp, Inc. (CUBI), How Companies Survive Without Profits, Q1 GDP Growth Rate.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Global aluminum supply is tightening fast, and investors are starting to notice. The real question is whether this is just a short-term commodity spike…or the beginning of a major re-rating in aluminum stocks.Today's Stocks & Topics: Carrier Global Corporation (CARR), Market Wrap, Adobe Inc. (ADBE), Bay Area Rental Market, NVR, Inc. (NVR), The Aluminum Crisis of 2026: Why Aluminum Prices are Skyrocketing, Vanguard S&P 500 Growth Index Fund ETF Shares (VOOG), Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares (VTI), Shorting, ASML Holding N.V. (ASML), Private Equity.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

While Western nations grapple with the fallout from the Iran conflict, China's clean tech exporters are cashing in, and its industrial profits are still growing — all while Beijing quietly expands its economic pressure toolkit under cover of a trade truce with Trump. We unpack China's strategic positioning and what it means for global trade and US investors.Today's Stocks & Topics: PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (PDI), Market Wrap, Welltower Inc. (WELL), China's Calculated Play: How Beijing Is Turning the Iran War into an Economic Advantage, WEC Energy Group, Inc. (WEC), Key Benchmark Numbers: Treasury Yields, Gold, Silver, Oil and Gasoline, Chevron Corporation (CVX), Oil Mayors, KPP Newsletter, Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP (KRP), Intel Corporation (INTC).Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Soaring European power prices driven by the Iran conflict are sending governments and investors scrambling toward solar and other renewables at a pace never seen before. We explore whether this energy shock represents a permanent turning point for clean energy investment or just a temporary spike in interest.Today's Stocks & Topics: Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Market Wrap, WisdomTree Enhanced Commodity Strategy Fund (GCC), Will the Iran War Be the Catalyst That Finally Supercharges the Green Energy Transition?, Teck Resources Limited (TECK), The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW), Covered Call Options, Economic Growth Numbers, Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU), GDP Ratio.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Nearly 40% of landlords are now offering concessions to attract tenants — free months of rent, waived fees, gift cards — a sign that the apartment market is fundamentally shifting in favor of renters after years of landlord dominance. We break down what this tells us about housing supply, shelter inflation, and the investment case for real estate right now.Today's Stocks & Topics: Taseko Mines Limited (TGB), Market Wrap, Uber Technologies, Inc. (UBER), iShares Core MSCI EAFE IMI Index ETF (TSX:XEF), The Apartment Concession Wave: What Record Landlord Giveaways Tell Us About the Rental Market, Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT), IonQ, Inc. (IONQ), VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT), Trading.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

The Iran war has reshuffled the global energy order, handing OPEC's coveted swing producer role to the United States. We explore what this geopolitical shift means for domestic energy stocks, oil prices, and long-term energy independence.Today's Stocks & Topics: Williams-Sonoma, Inc. (WSM), Market Wrap, Strategies for Tax Loss Harvesting, America's New Oil Crown: How the Iran War Made the US the World's Swing Producer, Aehr Test Systems Inc. (AEHR), America is Losing Conference on Retirement, Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV), Stock Market Valuation, Dividend Stocks or Price Appreciation.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

SpaceX and OpenAI are heading for the public markets with combined valuations approaching 3 trillion dollars; but by the time retail investors get access, has the real opportunity already passed? We will break down the IPO cycle most investors don't understand, why hype distorts valuation, and the five things you should watch before buying into any mega-IPO.Today's Stocks & Topics: Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK), Market Wrap, VICI Properties Inc. (VICI), Top 5 Technical Indicators, The Mega IPO Setup: What SpaceX and OpenAI Really Mean for Your Money, AstraZeneca PLC (AZN), AbbVie Inc. (ABBV), Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, Inc. (SUNB), Roth vs. Traditional I-R-S.*Correction: In this episode, we incorrectly stated that Robinhood was worth $2 billion. At the time of airing, Robinhood’s market capitalization was approximately $75 billion.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Citadel Securities is reportedly exploring prediction markets as trading scales up, a development that could fundamentally change how financial markets incorporate real-world event probabilities into prices. We will examine what prediction markets are, how they work, and what their mainstream adoption means for investors.Also in this podcast: INTU - Intuit Inc., AMAT - Applied Materials Inc., BKNG - Booking Holdings Inc., AMD - Advanced Micro Devices Inc.; also, a listener question on 'asset allocation'; plus Luke's MARKET WRAP UP, and his topic talking points: “Consumer Sentiment” and “AI Investment Decisions Warning”; and Luke reviewed treasury rates, metal prices, and oil and gas prices. Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

Goldman Sachs data shows hedge funds poured $86 billion into stocks as Iran peace hopes grew, representing one of the largest buying surges in recent memory. We examine what this massive institutional move tells us about market sentiment, and whether retail investors should follow or be cautious when the smart money rushes in.Today's Stocks & Topics: Core & Main, Inc. (CNM), Market Wrap, Trump and the Economy, Hedge Funds Poured $86 Billion Into Stocks — Should You Follow the Smart Money?, VanEck Alternative Asset Manager ETF (GPZ), Medtronic plc (MDT), Abbott Laboratories (ABT), Jobs and Immigration Crackdown, Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. (AQN), The Home Depot, Inc. (HD), The Global Economy.Our Sponsors:* Check out Pebl: https://hipebl.ai* Check out Plaud AI and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://plaud.ai* Check out Quince: https://quince.com/invest* Check out Scribe and use my code scribe.how/invest for a great deal: https://scribe.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands