Rebound or Recession? Market Warning Signs - Jim Welsh #6274

Kerry Lutz and Bob Hoye discuss Canada’s shifting political and economic landscape under the new prime minister’s globalist policies, with a focus on impacts to Alberta’s oil industry and rising tariffs. They explore market-driven solutions for education and culture, the risks of the current “everything bubble,” and the potential for gold mining success amid economic downturns. The conversation covers junior gold stocks, AI skepticism, climate intervention, and political tensions in Alberta and Saskatchewan. They close with support for Pierre Polyev and investment tips for the gold sector. Find Bob's charts here:  https://chartsandmarkets.com/junior-golds Find Kerry here: https://www.financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe/

Kerry Lutz and Jim Welsh discussed the recent market downturn, emphasizing the warning signs that indicated its vulnerability, such as perceptions of tariffs and diverging market indicators. Jim highlighted the psychological effects of a 20% decline, noting that a quick rebound can mitigate its impact. He expressed concerns about the economic divide in the U.S., where a significant portion of consumer spending comes from the top 10% of earners, suggesting that any decline in asset prices could lead to reduced spending. Both speakers agreed that the market is currently in a bear phase, with the S&P likely to revisit its April lows. The conversation also addressed the implications of the tariff war on the economy, with Jim forecasting a slowdown and rising unemployment, while questioning the stock market's preparedness for these outcomes. They discussed the inefficiencies in government spending, referencing a General Accountability Office report on waste and fraud, and commended efforts by individuals like Elon Musk to address these issues. Jim warned of a potential economic slowdown due to reduced spending and uncertainty among CEOs, while also noting the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to interest rates in response to unemployment trends. Both Lutz and Welsh expressed a cautious outlook on economic growth and the potential impacts of a strengthening dollar on gold prices. Find Jim here: MacroTides.com Find Kerry here: https://financialsurvivalnetwork.com and here: https://inflation.cafe

In this episode, we explore how constant exposure to negativity—through media, politics, economics, and global instability—can paralyze people with fear and prevent them from living fully. The host highlights how overwhelming it can be to track endless crises, from inflation and housing costs to censorship and broken small businesses. Yet, the core message is one of empowerment: fear is an illusion ("false evidence appearing real") that must be confronted.  Listeners are urged to take action despite fear, live in the moment, and stop waiting for perfect conditions. Because in the end, inaction is the real dream killer—not failure. Visit Robert @ https://ConquerChange.com for more insights. Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz and Craig Hemke discussed the recent dynamics in the gold and silver markets, highlighting a notable increase in gold prices by nearly $100. Craig expressed skepticism about claims of an overbought market, referencing the commitment of traders report that indicated large speculators had reduced their long positions. He described silver's market conditions as slightly bearish, struggling to gain upward momentum. Both emphasized the importance of maintaining confidence in gold despite previous skepticism, suggesting current trends may affirm their long-term views. Craig analyzed the long-term depreciation of the dollar, noting the significant increase in gold's price over the past fifty years and expressing concern over the current $2 trillion deficit. They discussed the potential for gold prices to reach between $3,500 and $4,500 this year, with implications for the mining sector and a broader trend of funds moving away from dollar-based assets towards alternatives like gold and Bitcoin. The conversation concluded with a reminder for investors to stay informed and consider buying during market dips. Find Craig here: https://tfmetalsreport.com Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz and Alan Hibbard discussed the current market dynamics, emphasizing the volatility linked to the transition towards a new monetary system. Alan highlighted Bitcoin's potential as a high-performing asset, suggesting it could significantly increase in value during market disruptions. They raised concerns about the possibility of governments confiscating digital assets to manage national debt, advising citizens to secure hard assets as a protective measure. The conversation concluded with an agreement that the available options for addressing debt trends towards inflation and asset revaluation. The discussion also covered the geopolitical landscape involving Russia, China, and Ukraine, with Kerry suggesting that a coup in Ukraine may be necessary for a peace deal with Russia, criticizing Zelensky's leadership. They expressed optimism about gold prices, with Alan estimating a potential rise to $10,000, while Kerry offered a more conservative estimate of $4,500 by year-end. Both acknowledged gold's historical performance, noting its outperformance compared to other assets since the dot-com crash. They provided resources for further engagement and education on gold investments, encouraging audience interaction for questions and additional information. Find Alan here: https://goldsilver.com Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz and Ted Thatcher analyzed recent job market data, noting an unemployment rate of 4.2% and the addition of 177,000 jobs, alongside downward revisions of previous job figures. They discussed the reduction in government spending and its beneficial effect on GDP, stressing the importance of monitoring waste and inefficiency in government expenditures. The discussion also covered market uncertainties stemming from fluctuating tariffs and trade negotiations, highlighting the necessity for solid trade agreements to ensure market stability. Furthermore, they examined the challenges posed by high credit card interest rates and their impact on the financial well-being of Americans. Find Ted here: https://www.brightlakewealth.com Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com  and here: https://inflation.cafe

The discussion centered on Marc Adams' journey of overcoming stage four cancer during the COVID-19 pandemic, emphasizing resilience and the importance of valuing each moment. Marc shared that his experience taught him to never give up, especially when faced with the prospect of limited time. He highlighted how the pandemic influenced his perspective on life and health, noting that his recovery was aided by information he sought online. Both Marc and Kerry Lutz reflected on their personal health challenges, underscoring the profound shifts in perspective that arise from confronting mortality. The conversation also delved into the complexities of business succession planning and the challenges of selling a business. Marc outlined a framework for business growth, detailing six phases that entrepreneurs should follow to maximize value and minimize tax burdens during a sale. He emphasized the significance of strategic acquisitions for enhancing profitability as businesses scale. Both men acknowledged the difficulties business owners face in planning for an exit while recognizing the potential for substantial financial rewards through a structured approach. Marc concluded by offering resources for listeners, including a link to access a free PDF version of his book, "Secrets to 10Xing the Value of the Business." Find Marc here: https://marcadams.io  Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

This thought-provoking commentary dives into the emerging reality of asteroid mining and its potential to upend global economic systems, supply chains, and traditional notions of value. Prompted by a March 2025 BBC article, the piece highlights current efforts by NASA, Japan, and private enterprises to extract valuable resources—like platinum, rhodium, and helium-3—from near-Earth asteroids. It also reflects on legislative groundwork laid by Presidents Obama and Trump that legally supports commercial space resource extraction. While timelines remain speculative, the discussion raises profound questions about the consequences of massive off-world wealth, the feasibility of a psychological gold standard backed by “deep storage” extraterrestrial metals, and even the possibility of interplanetary resource conflicts. The author concludes with a grounded stance: when it comes to precious metals, physical possession remains key. Visit Robert @ https://ConquerChange.com for more insights. Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

Kerry Lutz and Kristen Roberts explore the challenges posed by AI in relation to intellectual property theft, emphasizing the ease with which AI can generate works that resemble existing copyrighted materials. Kristen points out that the legal landscape is currently uncertain, with cases in the courts addressing whether AI's training on copyrighted content is fair use. The conversation also touches on the broader implications for societal security and the economy as AI technology advances. Kristen Roberts highlighted the difficulties in passing broad AI legislation due to the current state of Congress and the need for a functioning legislative body. Kerry Lutz pointed out the conservative nature of courts, which are now making decisions on AI-related cases, such as the recent ruling in favor of Thomson Reuters against Ross AI. Both agreed that the legal landscape will continue to evolve slowly as technology advances. Find Kristen here: https://www.trestlelaw.com Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe

The discussion focused on the challenges of the upcoming tax season, with Kerry Lutz emphasizing the need for organization and patience as deadlines approach. Chris Hervochon, a CPA, advised clients to stay informed about potential tax legislation changes, including speculation about tax relief for individuals earning less than $150,000 and the uncertain future of provisions from the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act. Lutz also addressed Florida's property tax elimination proposal, advocating for alternative funding sources and questioning the seriousness of balanced budget efforts. The conversation highlighted the complexities of evolving tax regulations and the mixed effectiveness of digital tools for taxpayers, with Chris noting that while technology aids some, many still face difficulties. Find Chris here: https://betternumbers.cpa Find Kerry here: http://financialsurvivalnetwork.com/ and here: https://inflation.cafe