280: What The Polls Tell Us with Jim Gerstein & Dr. Whit Ayers

Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al digest the election results and reflect on why the Democrats underperformed compared to 2020. They call out Biden for refusing to exit gracefully, investigate the declining support among male and Latino voters, warn the country about the increased risk to our remaining abortion rights, and blast Ted Cruz's victory over Colin Allred. More importantly, they outline how the party must immediately begin putting together an organization tasked with keeping the Trump Administration in check and setting up a midterm convention so it can start winning again. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! More from James and Al: Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID is at select theaters in Louisiana and Virginia now before it comes out on Max starting November 14th!  Get tickets now at CarvilleDoc.com/tickets.  You can also get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content by following James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Please Support Our Sponsors: Miracle Made: For 40% off high-quality self-cooling sheets, plus an extra 20% off with 3 free towels, use promo code WARROOM when you go to TryMiracle.com/warroom Washington Post: To access The Washington Post for just 50 cents per week, head to washingtonpost.com/warroom ExpressVPN: Secure your online data, defend your privacy, and protect yourself online with 3 free months on a VPN plan when you go to expressvpn.com/warroom

James and Al Live from The Shubert Theatre in Boston with guest Doris Kearns Goodwin. Its 2 days before the election of a lifetime, Jams, AL and Doris have something to say, about the future and the past. Focusing on the upcoming election, the significance of polling data, and the implications for democracy. The speakers reflect on the qualities of effective leadership, drawing parallels between historical figures like Lincoln and Roosevelt, and emphasize the importance of character in leadership.  They discuss the challenges facing voting rights today and the role of history in understanding contemporary politics, ultimately calling for greater political engagement among young people. In this engaging conversation, Simon Sidi reflects on the importance of storytelling in history, the political landscape surrounding Vietnam, and the future of the Attorney General's office. He discusses the impact of Trump's rhetoric on voter sentiment, the significant role of women in the upcoming election, and the historical context of political divisiveness.  The conversation also delves into the evolution of the Republican Party, insights on historical biographies, the legacy of Teddy Roosevelt, voting rights issues, and the shifting dynamics within the Democratic coalition. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! More from James and Al Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID hits theaters November 1st at the Angelika in D.C.  Get tickets now at CarvilleDoc.com/tickets.  You can also get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content by following James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live show in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al share their takes on the candidates' closing arguments, contextualize Biden’s garbage comment, and examine the effect of Trump’s MSG rally before welcoming pollsters Jim Gerstein and Dr. Whit Ayers. They discuss the numbers going into the final week of the election, explore the most significant issues influencing voters, debate how the undecided might break, compare what we see to recent elections, and weigh the chances Colin Allred has of defeating Ted Cruz in the race for the Texas Senate seat. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! More from James and Al Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID hits theaters November 1st at the Angelika in D.C.  Get tickets now at CarvilleDoc.com/tickets.  You can also get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content by following James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get More From This Week’s Guests:  Jim Gerstein: GBAO Strategies  Dr. Whit Ayres: Twitter | University of Chicago | North Star Opinion | AAPC | Author Please Support Our Sponsors: HelloFresh: Get 10 free meals at hellofresh.com/freewarroom applied across 7 boxes– new subscribers only, varied by plan. Naked Wines: To get 6 bottles of wine for $39.99, head to nakedwines.com/warroom and use code WARROOM for both the code and password.   Laundry Sauce: For 15% off your order, head to laundrysauce.com/warroom and use code WARROOM

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live show in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al explain why Kamala will win the presidency, focusing on demographics, the campaign’s ground game, and excellent surrogates.  Then, they  welcome AP Deputy Bureau Chief Michael Tackett to discuss Mitch McConnell's rise and evolution, his role in the current SCOTUS make-up, and his place in the growing schism in the Republican Party following Trump’s rise. They also speak with Melissa Burke of the Detroit News to break down the election landscape in Michigan, focusing on the importance of the Arab-American and student vote.  Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID hits theaters October 25th at the Laemmle Royal in Santa Monica.  James and Director Matt Tyrnauer will be there after the screenings for a Q&A hosted by political consultant Mike Murphy on the 25th and 26th.  Get tickets now at CarvilleDoc.com/tickets.  Get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content by  following James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Mentioned On The Show: From James:  Three Reasons I’m Certain Kamala Harris Will Win Get More From This Week’s Guests:  Michael Tackett: Twitter | AP | Author of “The Price Of Power” Melissa Burke: Twitter | Detroit News Please Support Our Sponsors: Mint Mobile: Get their new customer offer on a new 3-month premium wireless plan for just 15 bucks a month. Go to mintmobile.com/warroom Miracle Made: For 40% off high-quality self-cooling sheets, plus an extra 20% off with 3 free towels, use promo code WARROOM when you go to TryMiracle.com/warroom Quince: Get 365-day returns and free shipping on high-quality, stylish, and affordable clothing you’ll wear for years to come when you go to quince.com/warroom

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live show in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al raise hell over the danger of fascism if Trump is elected and ask the leaders of our military to call out his rejection of democracy before welcoming Dr. Michael Bitzer to discuss the Democrats' prospects in North Carolina.  They discuss the effect of the hurricane on the vote, the counties and cities with the most predictive value for the results, and what to expect in the state’s down-ballot races.  Then, Al and James welcome historian Max Boot to explain how the Republicans have abandoned Reaganism in favor of Trump and extremism, the threat Trump poses to the Constitution, and why he left the party behind. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID hits theaters in California and Texas this weekend before going nationwide!  Get tickets now at CarvilleDoc.com/tickets.  Get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content by  following James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get More From This Week’s Guests:  Michael Bitzer: Twitter | Catawba College | Old North State Politics | Author of “Redistricting and Gerrymandering in North Carolina” Max Boot: Twitter | Threads | Website | WaPo | CFR | Author  Please Support Our Sponsors: Zbiotics: Get back into action after a night out with 15% off your first order of Zbiotics when you go to zbiotics.com/pwr and use code: PWR Smalls: For 50% off your first order, head to smalls.com/warroom and use code: WARROOM Beam: Sleep better with Beam’s best-selling Dream Powder and get up to 40% off for a limited time when you go to shopbeam.com/warroom and use code: WARROOM

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live show in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al discuss the hurricane response, the dangers of disinformation, and the growing cracks in Trump’s campaign before welcoming the Editor and CEO of The Nevada Independent, Jon Ralston.  They break down the state of the presidential race, looking at the role of the Hispanic vote and its gender divide, the impact of the Culinary Union, the salience of immigration, and the tax-free tip proposal.  They also weigh the merits of ground game and analyze the Dems prospects for the state’s senate seat and the staying power of Harry Reid’s political machine. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID hits theaters starting 10/11 at the IFC Center in Manhattan and then going nationwide.  James and director Matt Tyrnauer will be there after the screenings for a Q&A on the 11th, 12th, & 13th. Get tickets now at CarvilleDoc.com/tickets.  Get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content by  following James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get More From This Week’s Guest:  Jon Ralston: Twitter | The Nevada Independent | Ralston Reports Please Support Our Sponsors: ExpressVPN: Control your data, defend your privacy, and protect yourself online with 3 free months on a VPN plan when you go to expressvpn.com/warroom Miracle Made: For 40% off high-quality self-cooling sheets, plus an extra 20% off with 3 free towels, use promo code WARROOM when you go to TryMiracle.com/warroom Washington Post: To access The Washington Post for just 50 cents per week, head to washingtonpost.com/warroom

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live show in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al react to the VP debate, call on Kamala’s campaign to go on the offensive, and welcome Wisconsin Democratic Party Chair Ben Wikler. They strategize about how to win his state, defend the Blue Wall of northern battleground states, and expose the disastrous impact of Trump’s proposed tariffs on workers and inflation.  Then, they’re joined by tennis legend Martina Navratilova to discuss her activism on behalf of women in sports, the desire to win, her experience defecting to the US from the Soviet Bloc, and the European perspective on the Ukraine War. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial CARVILLE: WINNING IS EVERYTHING, STUPID, comes out 10/5 @ 7 PM EST on CNN. Get updates and some great behind-the-scenes content.  Follow James on Twitter @jamescarville and his new TikTok @realjamescarville James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get More From This Week’s Guests:  Ben Wikler: Twitter | Wisconsin Democratic Party | Website | Wisconsin Donations | MoveOn Martina Navratilova: Twitter | Website | International Tennis Hall of Fame | TopCourt.com Please Support Our Sponsors: Glean: Find answers, generate content, and automate work by connecting and understanding all your company data on Glean’s Work A.I. platform when you go to glean.com/politics 3 Day Blinds: For their buy 1 get 1 50% off deal, head to 3DayBlinds.com/warroom Beam: Sleep better with Beam’s best-selling Dream Powder and get up to 40% off for a limited time when you go to shopbeam.com/warroom and use code: WARROOM

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live shows in Atlanta on 10/12, and Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al discuss the expanding conflict in the Middle East, strategize on the optimal messaging to win over voters based on their perceptions of the economy, tariffs, and tax cuts, and welcome PA Governor Josh Shapiro.  They explain how Kamala is reviving the Obama coalition, the issues deciding the election, why it’s essential to take the campaign to Red areas, the role of the suburbs, and which bellwethers to watch.  Then, WaPo’s Dana Milbank exposes how Republicans in the House are playing the fool and lays out the approach journalists should use when covering politics in the Trump era. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in Atlanta on 10/12 and Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get More From This Week’s Guests:  Governor Josh Shapiro: PA.gov | Twitter | Website | FaceBook  Dana Milbank: Twitter | WaPo | Author of ‘Fools On The Hill’ & Other Books Please Support Our Sponsors: Naked Wines: To get 6 bottles of wine for $39.99 and join the Naked Wines community, head to nakedwines.com/warroom EveryPlate: Join every plate today, pay only $2.99 per meal, and get 50% off your first box of any box size by going to everyplate.com/podcast and entering code: WARROOM299 Miracle Made: For 40% off high-quality self-cooling sheets, plus an extra 20% off with 3 free towels, use promo code WARROOM when you go to TryMiracle.com/warroom

Live at 92NY

Politics War Room ON TOUR  - live shows in NYC on 9/19, Atlanta on 10/12, and Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James and Al welcome former AFL-CIO political director Michael Podhorzer to discuss the current poll numbers and where the Harris campaign should focus. They explain the importance of the Black vote, winning over non-college-educated voters, and ensuring people turn out when a few thousand votes could decide the election. Then, they’re joined by the author of “The Barn”, Wright Thompson, to explore the events surrounding the murder of Emmett Till, the history of the cotton industry and its impact on the Civil War, and the ongoing battle for the soul of the South. Email your questions to James and Al at [email protected] or tweet them to @politicon.  Make sure to include your city– we love to hear where you’re from! Get tickets for the Politics War Room live shows in NYC on 9/19, Atlanta on 10/12, and Boston on 11/2 at politicon.com/tour  Get text updates from Politics War Room and Politicon. Watch Politics War Room & James Carville Explains on YouTube @PoliticsWarRoomOfficial James Carville & Al Hunt have launched the Politics War Room Substack Get More From This Week’s Guest:  Michael Podhorzer: Twitter | AFL-CIO | Center For American Progress | Substack Wright Thompson: ESPN | Website | IMDB | Instagram | Author of ‘The Barn’ & Other Bookes Please Support Our Sponsors: Washington Post: To access The Washington Post for just 50 cents per week, head to washingtonpost.com/warroom Quince: Get 365-day returns and free shipping on high-quality, stylish, and affordable clothing you’ll wear for summers to come when you go to quince.com/warroom Smalls: For 50% off your first order, head to smalls.com/warroom and use code: WARROOM