
David Rosenberg: "The Business Cycle Is Dead"—The Story Investors Today Believe
12/16/2025
0:00
58:51
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The business cycle is dead. Bear markets are no more. Recessions, eliminated. At least, that’s how many investors view the market. But are these safe assumptions?
In this interview with James Connor, economist David Rosenberg pushes back on these dangerous beliefs in investing today. He explains how complacency, hubris, and overconfidence have replaced risk management and why history suggests markets are ignoring forces they can’t repeal, no matter how strong the narrative feels. This isn’t a call to panic. It’s a warning about what happens when investors believe Mother Nature no longer applies to markets
David also breaks down:
* Why rate cuts aren’t actually stimulating the real economy
* How stocks are being priced as if risk no longer exists
* Why the equity wealth effect is masking weakness in the consumer
* How AI-driven capex is distorting economic growth
* Why the labor market is cracking beneath the headlines
💡 Worried today’s market optimism is masking real risk? Diversify with physical gold & silver via Hard Assets Alliance: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH
Chapters:
2:00 - The K-Shaped Economy Buried Underneath the Headlines
6:29 - Why Economic Growth Is Weaker Than Headline GDP Suggests
11:23 - Hiring Down, Layoffs Up: The Labor Market Is Cracking
17:35 - Are These Economic Conditions Setting Us Up for a Recession?
24:02 - ⭐️ Wealthion Golden Nugget: The Fed’s Rate Cuts Are Not Stimulating the Economy. Why?
32:56 - U.S. Equities Are Being Priced As If They’re Risk-Free
38:41 - Is the AI Bubble Starting to Deflate?44:03 - Don’t Buy the Indexes in 2026
51:13 - The Outlook on Canada’s Economy & Currency
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IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields.
While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor.
We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so.
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