Yes, We're In A Bubble & Bubbles End Badly | Ted Oakley

Today, we're going to do something a little different on this channel. We're going to interview a highly successful private equity CEO, and yes we'll get his economic & market outlook for 2025. But, we'll also delve into his insights for achieving personal success, in life and business. Graham Weaver is the founder and managing partner of Alpine Investors, a people-driven private equity firm that invests in software and services businesses. He serves on the faculty at Stanford University's Graduate School of Business where he teaches a top-rated strategic management course. And he's also a highly popular personal development influencer, with millions of followers across social media. Graham also happens to be one of my former business school classmates. I witnessed him begin his private equity firm from his dorm room there. He's a truly remarkable individual and I predict you're going to highly enjoy today's discussion. Follow Graham at https://www.grahamweaver.com Or on YouTube at https://www.youtube.com/@UC0QlsANSV3_ZC-uqxLQ_5uA Or on TikTok and Instagram at  @grahamcweaver  Or on LinkedIn at https://www.linkedin.com/in/graham-weaver-2b79/ #privateequity #investing #businesssuccess --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

The Fed sent a shock through markets last week when it announced that fewer rates cuts may be needed to reach its policy goals. The S&P immediately sold off by -3% and the Nasdaq and Russell sold off even harder. It this just a curveball that, once digested, won't a matter much to the bull trend? Or, could it have set up a reversal in trend? To discuss, the advisors at New Harbor Financial give their take and then answer viewer questions live. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Well, this interview is being recorded the day after the Federal Reserve spooked markets by slowing the expected pace of future rate cuts. The S&P instantly dropped 3% on the news and bond yields spiked. Is this just temporary heartburn as the markets digest the news? Or might this signal that markets have just peaked? For perspective, we're fortunate to be joined by Dr. Ed Yardini, President of Yardeni Research. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

The Fed caught markets by surprise this week when it guided that the pace of future rate cuts will be slower than initially expected. Stocks sold off hard on the news and bond yields spiked. Friday saw some recovery, causing investors to wonder: Is a Santa Claus rally still likely? Or could a Grinch bust be in the cards now? Portfolio manager Lance Roberts and I discuss the odds, as well as the latest inflation data, his macro and market outlook for 2025, and his firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Today's guest expert is the second this week to warn that US financial asset prices appear to be in bubble territory. Is that truly the case? And if so, will the bubble burst in 2025? Or inflate further? Investors have much riding on the answer. To discuss, we welcome back to the program macro analyst Jesse Felder, founder & Editor of the respected market research firm: The Felder Report. Jesse has a number of charts of leading indicators that he walks us through that strong suggest stock prices will head lower - perhaps a lot lower - in 2025. Follow Jesse at his website at https://thefelderreport.com/ Or on X at @jessefelder WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Portfolio manager & Fed-watcher Axel Merk shares his immediate take-aways from this week's FOMC release and press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell. He also takes live Q&A from viewers. --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

As 2024 draws to a close, the mood on Wall Street is very jolly. Stocks are back to trading near all-time highs. Positive sentiment -- be it among investors, businesses or consumers -- is suddenly spiking. Is such exuberance merited? Should we expect the market's good times to continue rolling in 2025? Or, is the optimism overlooking risks -- both valuation-based and structural -- that may make next year a much more challenging one for investors? For answers, we turn to the experience and wisdom of financial advisor Ted Oakley, managing partner & founder of Oxbow Advisors. Ted has over 40 years experience helping clients, mostly high net worth families, protect and build wealth through good times and bad. We'll find out how he's currently positioning his clients assets for the coming year. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

I often emphasize that the most useful people to interview are asset managers. Because they don't have the luxury of merely having an opinion on the road ahead -- they have to commit capital to their convictions, and be judged upon the results. Today we have the great fortune of having the return appearance of one of the most respected capital allocators in the business: Jan van Eck Jan is CEO of vanEck, an asset management firm with over $100 billion in assets under management invested across its wide family of ETFs and funds, spanning equity, bond, commodity, digital and regional asset classes. As we've done the past two quarters, Jan and I will spend the next hour discussing his latest macro and market outlooks, as well as where he sees the biggest opportunities for investors right now. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

Stocks have been choppy over recent weeks, as portfolio manager Lance Roberts predicted due to end-of-year rebalancing by the major Wall Street funds. Once that wave is over, does a Santa Claus rally still look likely to occur? Lance and I discuss the odds of this, as well as the recent inflation data, poor price action in bonds, market correction risk in 2025, and Lance's firm's latest trades. For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this new Market Recap. WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support

As we prepare to enter a new year, there's a revived optimism on Wall Street. Excited in part by the pro-business policies of the incoming Trump administration, stocks are back to trading at record highs and investor and business confidence is rising. But that said, the average American household is still struggling under a high cost of living, and a labor market that does not seem as robust as we've been told. How will this dichotomy resolve in 2025? Will consumers eventually catch Wall Street's optimism? Or may stocks have to moderate its expectations for economic growth & corporate profits? For an expert view, we're lucky today to talk with Stephanie Pomboy, economic and market analysis and proprietor of MacroMavens.com. To watch the free 20-minute Q&A session from Stephanie's recent conference with Grant Williams, click the link below and then scroll down: https://www.grant-williams.com/super-terrific-happy-day-virtual-pass/ WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com --- Support this podcast: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/thoughtful-money/support