
2025 Recap w/ Matt Odell: Gold's Run, DAT Reckoning, Quantum FUD + 2026 Predictions
The Last Trade: Matt Odell on the 2025 postmortem: why BTC lagged gold, how DATs wrecked sentiment, what the quantum debate gets wrong, and what changes when institutions take the wheel.
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šļø About This Episode
With Matt Odell in the studio, we run a proper 2025 postmortem: why the āOGs are dumpingā narrative never dies, what actually changes when Bitcoinās liquidity deepens, and why itās healthy (not bearish) for long-term supply to distribute over time.
From there, we tackle the elephant in the room: gold and equities ripped while BTC chopped. Mattās take is simple and brutal, retail is broke, capital is hiding in perceived safe havens, and Bitcoin still gets treated like a high-risk tech trade if you donāt understand self-custody. We also dig into the October break in the crypto casino and how forced sellers can pin price even when long-term fundamentals look strong.
Then we get honest about the cultural and structural fallout from āBitcoin treasury companiesā & DATs: how leverage-on-leverage turned into a negative feedback loop, why board seats and influencer incentives distorted the narrative, and why the only benchmark that matters is whether these wrappers can actually beat spot bitcoin over time.
Finally, we hit the quantum panic. Matt lays out a sober framework: upgrade carefully, opt-in where possible, donāt rush into untested cryptography, and donāt even flirt with protocol-level seizures or āfreezingā coins. If Bitcoin compromises neutral property rights to āsaveā the market, itās no longer Bitcoin. We close with what this all implies for 2026: whether cycles are fading, where the next reflexive move could come from, and why the most bearish sentiment is often the best tell.
The Last Trade: a weekly, bitcoin-native podcast covering the intersection of bitcoin, tech, & finance on a macro scale. Hosted by Jackson Mikalic, Michael Tanguma, & Brian Cubellis. Join us as we dive into what bitcoin means for how individuals & institutions save, invest, & propagate their purchasing power through time. It's not just another asset⦠in the digital age, it's The Last Trade that investors will ever need to make.
š§ Chapters
00:00 - Christmas Greetings + Why 2025 Felt So Weird
01:42 - āOGs Dumpingā Bitcoin: Meme Narrative vs. Reality
03:35 - Liquidity, Distribution, & Engagement Bait
06:24 - Sentiment, Macro, & the āQuiet Depressionā View
09:42 - Institutions, ETFs, & How Market Structure Changes the Cycle
12:35 - DATs / Treasury-Co Mania: Why It Took Over 2025
16:27 - Cultural Fragmentation + Incentives
22:36 - Quantum FUD Deep Dive
45:25 - Why the Next Move Will Catch People Offside
48:25 - Centralization Risk, Custodians, & How a Fork Would Play Out
55:28 - Why Quantum Became the āLast Remaining FUDā
59:11 - Stablecoins, Tether, & the Institutional Rails Story
01:02:20 - SBR: Expectations vs. Reality + 2026 Scenarios
01:06:20 - Goldās Run, the Debasement Trade, & the Bitcoin Setup
01:10:27 - 2026 Outlook: Cycle Theories & What Could Flip the Switch
01:29:21 - Outro & Disclaimer
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