US Market Open: US jobless claims at 232k (w/e 18th Oct); US equity futures lower whilst USD is choppy

China is reportedly mulling new property stimulus measures, including mortgage subsidies, according to Bloomberg sources.European and US equity futures are stronger across the board, with sentiment boosted after strong NVIDIA results and as CEO Huang shrugged off “AI bubble” woes.DXY is firmer into the September NFP report, JPY unreactive to further jawboning.WTI and Brent edge higher, with some strength seen after Russia’s Kremlin said no peace talks with the US are taking place; XAU dips a touch.JGBs lag with stimulus in focus, USTs bearish as the data fog continues.Looking ahead, Highlights include, EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Nov), US NFP (Sep), US Jobless Claims (w/e 15 Nov), New Zealand Trade Balance (Oct), Australian Flash PMIs (Nov), Japanese Nationwide CPI (Oct), SARB Policy Announcement, Fed’s Cook, Barr, Hammack, Paulson, Miran, Goolsbee; BoE’s Dhingra, Mann. Supply from the US. Earnings from Gap and Walmart.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks surged across the board, buoyed by a strong performance in the tech sector following NVIDIA’s solid earnings and guidance, while CEO Huang dismissed concerns of an AI bubble, stating, “We see something different.”FOMC Minutes added little new but emphasised divisions on the December decision, with "many" members expecting no change.Hawkish Fed repricing was seen as the new BLS data schedule shows that the FOMC won't see the October or November jobs reports before the December 10th meeting.China is reportedly mulling new property stimulus measures, including mortgage subsidies, according to Bloomberg sources; Japanese JGB yields continued climbing despite continued verbal intervention.Looking ahead, highlights include German Producer Prices (Oct), EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Nov), US NFP (Sep), US Jobless Claims (w/e 15 Nov), New Zealand Trade Balance (Oct), Australian Flash PMIs (Nov), Japanese Nationwide CPI (Oct), SARB Policy Announcement, Fed’s Cook, Barr, Hammack, Paulson, Miran, Goolsbee; BoE’s Dhingra, Mann. Supply from Spain, France, US. Earnings from Gap, Walmart; ThyssenKrupp; Investec, Halma.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Trump administration has been secretly working in consultation with Russia to draft a new plan to end the war in Ukraine, according to Axios sources; Politico reported that US officials are close to unveiling a major new peace agreement with Russia to end the Ukraine conflict.The White House confirmed that US President Trump is set to speak at the US-Saudi investment forum on Wednesday at 12:00 EST (17:00 GMT) in Washington.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said US President Trump may announce the next Fed Chair before Christmas, via Fox News.European bourses are trading on either side of the unchanged mark, whilst US equity futures gain ahead of NVIDIA.USD is modestly firmer into FOMC Minutes, USD/JPY rises above 156.00 after Finance Minister Katayama said there were no specific discussions on FX with BoJ Governor Ueda.Bonds initially bid by a subdued risk tone, but now hold a downward bias sentiment improves; Gilts briefly boosted by CPI, but then come under marked pressured.Crude complex is modestly lower with Zelensky’s delegation in Turkey, XAU returns above USD 4100/oz.Looking ahead, US International Trade (Aug), FOMC Minutes, Fed’s Williams, Logan, Barkin, Miran; BoE’s Dhingra, supply from the US. Earnings from NVIDIA.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were choppy, cautious, and eventually traded subdued, as the region held a tentative stance ahead of the FOMC minutes and NVIDIA earnings.The Trump administration has been secretly working in consultation with Russia to draft a new plan to end the war in Ukraine, according to Axios sources; Russia said Ukraine attempted to strike targets deep inside Russian territory.BoJ Governor Ueda, Japanese Finance Minister Katayama, and Japanese Economy Minister Kiuchi are set to meet at 09:10 GMT (04:10 EST), according to JiJi; Japanese Finance Minister Katayama is expected to speak to media at 09:30 GMT (04:30 EST).The White House confirmed that US President Trump is set to speak at the US-Saudi investment forum on Wednesday at 12:00 EST (17:00 GMT) in Washington.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said US President Trump may announce the next Fed Chair before Christmas, via Fox News.Looking ahead, highlights include UK CPI, EZ HICP (Final), US International Trade (Aug), FOMC Minutes, Fed’s Williams, Logan, Barkin, Miran; BoE’s Dhingra, supply from the UK & US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Target & Lowe’s.  Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US jobless claims at 232k in the October 18th week, via DOL; continuing claims 1.957mln.European bourses are entirely in the red, US equity futures are modestly lower.USD is choppy amidst early release of weekly jobless claims, JPY digests more verbal intervention.Bonds are benefiting from the risk tone, with some modest price action seen on a surprise jobless claims release.Crude and Copper continue to be dragged by equity selloff as XAU bounces at USD 4k/oz.Looking ahead, US ADP Weekly Estimate, US Factory Orders (Aug), US Durable Goods (Aug), and Japanese Trade Balance. Speakers include BoE’s Pill, Dhingra; Fed’s Barr, Barkin.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks extended losses throughout the session following a similar lead from Wall Street, which had seen heavy losses on Monday. Overall newsflow in APAC hours was quiet, although tech stocks were among the laggards in the region.DXY traded flat for most of the session and eventually drifted lower before dipping under 99.50 despite quiet newsflow, but as haven FX (JPY and CHF) gained amid risk aversion. JGB futures saw limited movement at the short end while the long end continued to weaken, pushing the 20-year yield to its highest level since July 1999. Bitcoin saw deep losses and eventually fell under the USD 90,000 mark to levels last seen in April, whilst Ethereum fell under USD 3,000.European equity futures are indicative of a lower cash open, with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 1.1% after cash closed 0.9% lower on Monday.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly Estimate, US Factory Orders (Aug), US Durable Goods (Aug), and Japanese Trade Balance. Speakers include ECB’s Elderson; BoE’s Pill, Dhingra; Fed’s Barr, Barkin. Earnings include Home Depot, Baidu, Medtronic, PDD; Imperial Brands, Diploma.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses initially opened flat, but have since slipped into the red; US equity futures are mixed.DXY is slightly firmer, whilst Antipodeans slip as the risk tone deteriorates a touch.Bonds are firmer amid the softer European tone but largely awaiting a packed speakers docket, and data later this week.Crude complex started the session in the red, but has since reversed on geopolitical updates; XAU marginally subdued.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed Manufacturing, Construction Spending, Canadian CPI. Speakers include Fed’s Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, Waller; ECB’s Cipollone; BoE’s Mann; BoC’s Kozicki.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the China rare-earths deal will “hopefully” be done by Thanksgiving, according to Fox News.US President Trump said he does not think more tariff rollbacks will be necessary; he said top US officials spoke with their Chinese counterparts on Friday and that he is speaking to China about soybeans, according to Reuters.Apple (AAPL) has intensified succession planning for CEO Tim Cook and is preparing for him to step down as soon as next year, according to the FT.APAC stocks traded mostly lower after the mixed lead from Wall Street; European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful open with Euro Stoxx 50 future U/C after cash closed -0.9% on Friday.Bitcoin briefly erased all 2025 gains, falling to near USD 93k as crypto markets suffered over the weekend.Looking ahead, highlights include US NY Fed Manufacturing, Canadian CPI. Speakers include Fed’s Williams, Jefferson, Kashkari, Waller; ECB’s Lane, Villeroy, de Guindos, Cipollone; BoE’s Mann; BoC’s KozickiClick for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European equities opened broadly lower, with all major indices in the red as sentiment soured following weakness in APAC trade; FTSE 100 lags.US equity futures are weaker across the board in pre-market trade as Tech continues to lag on valuation concerns. GBP/USD is in focus this session following reports that Chancellor Reeves has scrapped plans for an income tax rate hike, a move seen as increasing fiscal risks ahead of the November 26th budget.Gilts experienced a volatile session, with the benchmark plunging from 93.37 to 92.07, but has since rebounded modestly on reports around UK forecasts.UKMTO notes of incident off the coast of UAE's Khor Fakkan [near the Strait of Hormuz], believed to be state activity; Vessel is transiting towards Iranian territorial waters.Looking ahead, speakers include ECBʼs Cipollone & Lane, Fedʼs Bostic, Schmid & Logan. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were pressured following the sell-off stateside, where tech was hit on valuation and China AI race concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by recent hawkish-leaning Fed rhetoric and mixed Chinese activity data.Chinese activity data was mixed, in which Industrial Production disappointed and Retail Sales marginally topped estimates, but both showed a slowdown from the previous, while Chinese House Prices continued to contract.US BLS said it is working on a plan to release the delayed data and stated, "We appreciate your patience while we work to get this information out ASAP, as it may take time to fully assess the situation and finalise revised release dates", according to WSJ.UK PM Starmer and Chancellor Reeves reportedly ditched budget plans to increase income tax rates, according to FT.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.8% on Thursday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Price Index (Oct), French/Spanish CPI Final (Oct), EU Trade Balance (Sep), EU GDP Flash Estimate (Q3), Speakers including ECB’s Cipollone, Elderson & Lane, Fed’s Bostic, Schmid & Logan, Earnings from Swiss Re, Allianz & Siemens Energy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk