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US Market Open: Equities lifted and oil sinks as traders digest Israel’s limited strike on Iran

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  • European bourses are on a firmer footing, traders garnering optimism following the relatively moderate Israeli attack on Iran, which saw the former avoid hitting energy/nuclear facilities; US futures also benefit.
  • USD is mixed, losing vs EUR & GBP but significantly stronger vs JPY after the Japanese general election which has seen the ruling coalition lose its parliamentary majority.
  • Bonds are pressured by the removal of geopolitical risk premia, but have lifted off lows in recent trade given the continued pressure in oil prices.
  • Crude gapped lower overnight and has continued to slip since the European cash open; Brent Jan’25 currently at lows of USD 71/bbl. XAU/base metals are also pressured.
  • Looking ahead, Japanese Unemployment, Comments from BoC Governor Macklem & ECB’s de Guindos, Supply from US, Earnings from Waste Management, Welltower, Ford.

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