Europe Market Open: Europe primed for a firmer open ahead of Fed speak, US CPI and bank earnings

EU draws up retaliatory tariffs for US goods in case a trade deal is not reached, including aircraft and booze, according to WSJ.European bourses are modestly firmer, US futures also gain with clear outperformance in the NQ boosted by NVIDIA.NVIDIA (+5% pre-market) to resume H20 sales to China and announces new, fully compliant GPU for China.USD a little lower into US CPI, Antipodeans top the G10 pile given the risk sentiment.USTs flat into CPI & Bowman, Bunds lead, OATs await Bayrou & Gilts await Bailey/Reeves.Crude lower but off worst levels on reports that Trump asked if Ukraine are able to hit Moscow with US weapons.Looking ahead, US & Canadian CPI, OPEC MOMR, Bundesbank Monthly Report, Speakers including Fed's Bowman, Barr, Barkin & Collins, BoE's Bailey & UK Chancellor Reeves. Earnings from JPMorgan, Blackrock, Wells Fargo, Citi.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were ultimately mixed with the region indecisive in the aftermath of the latest Chinese GDP and activity data.European equity futures indicate a marginally higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Monday.DXY has given back some of yesterday's gains, EUR/USD remains on a 1.16 handle, other majors are contained.EU draws up retaliatory tariffs for US goods in case a trade deal is not reached, including aircraft and booze, according to WSJ.Crude futures remained subdued after US President Trump announced 100% tariffs on Russia and secondary sanctions on other countries that buy oil from Russia if a Ukraine deal is not struck within 50 days.The ECB is to discuss a more negative scenario next week than previously envisaged in June after Trump's latest tariff threat, according to Reuters.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Industrial Production, German ZEW, US & Canadian CPI, OPEC MOMR, Bundesbank Monthly Report, Fed's Bowman, Barr, Barkin & Collins, BoE's Bailey & UK Chancellor Reeves, Supply from Germany, Earnings from JPMorgan, Blackrock, Wells Fargo, Citi and Ericsson.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump sent trade letters to the EU and Mexico announcing 30% tariffs from August 1st (separate from sectoral tariffs).The EU is planning to "step up engagement" with other nations impacted by US President Trump's tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.European bourses hampered by US-EU trade developments, US futures also in the red but off worst levels.FX & Fixed markets contained as traders continue to look through Trump tariff threats.Crude modestly boosted by Iran comments, XAU helped by tariff updates.Looking ahead, US President Trump's Comments on Russia, ECB’s Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump sent trade letters to the EU and Mexico announcing 30% tariffs from August 1st (separate from sectoral tariffs).The EU is planning to "step up engagement" with other nations impacted by US President Trump's tariffs, according to Bloomberg sources.APAC stocks were mostly positive but with some cautiousness seen following US President Trump's tariff letters, while the region also reflected on mixed Chinese trade data.European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.6% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.0% on Friday.DXY is marginally firmer, EUR/USD is only slightly softer despite Trump's tariff announcement, other majors are contained.Looking ahead, highlights include US President Trump's Comments on Russia, ECB’s Cipollone, supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced a 35% tariff for Canada and flagged a potential 20% blanket tariff for other countries; US is set to keep the tariff exemption for USMCA goods, according to a US official.Trump also noted the EU will receive a letter by Friday. Ahead of this, European bourses are in the red with sectors (ex-energy, post-BP) following suit.Stateside, futures are lower into a docket headlined by potential trade developments, ES -0.6%.USD extends on its recent recovery, resilient to trade updates. DXY notched a 97.89 peak, G10s broadly under pressure with the JPY lagging.Fixed was lifted by the above updates, since pulled back and moved into the red, a pullback intensified by a hawkish interview with ECB's Schnabel.Choppy trade for crude awaiting developments on numerous in-play factors, precious metals glean from the risk tone while base peers are tarnished.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs, Fitch on Germany, DBRS on Sweden, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone. Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced a 35% tariff for Canada and flagged a potential 20% blanket tariffs for other countries; US is set to keep the tariff exemption for USMCA goods, according to a US official.Brazil's President Lula said the main thing is the reciprocity law, and if US charges 50%, they will charge him 50%.US President Trump noted the EU will receive a letter notifying them of new tariff rates by Friday.APAC stocks were ultimately mixed; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.2% after the cash market finished with losses of 0.1%.Looking ahead, highlights include German WPI, UK GDP Estimate, Canadian Jobs, IEA OMR, Fitch on Germany, DBRS on Sweden, Speakers including ECB's Panetta & Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

European bourses began with modest gains and have gradually increased, largely led by reports of Chinese housing support.US futures are contained as newsflow has been limited, ex-China, since the overnight tariff developments.DXY is marginally firmer but well within Wednesday's band, G10s flat aside from Antipodeans benefiting from metals action and China support; BRL lags on 50% tariffsFixed benchmarks have been gradually drifting from overnight highs, now essentially flatBase metals glean on reports of Chinese stimulus, precious peers also firmer though action has been more gradualLooking ahead, highlights include US Weekly Claims, Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans, Speakers including Fed’s Musalem, Waller & Daly, BoE’s Breeden, Supply from the US. Earnings from Delta & Conagra Brands.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced tariff rates for seven countries and later announced a 50% tariff for Brazil; President Trump also announced the US is to impose a 50% tariff on copper, effective August 1st.The EU is discussing car import quotas and export credits with the US in trade talks, according to sources cited by Reuters.A muted reaction was seen across markets following the FOMC minutes; FOMC Minutes stated that most saw some reduction in the Fed funds rate this year as appropriate.European equity futures indicate a mildly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed with gains of 1.4% on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI final, Norwegian CPI, Swedish GDP, US Weekly Claims, Chinese M2/New Yuan Loans, OPEC WOO, Speakers including Fed’s Musalem, Waller & Daly, ECB’s Cipollone & BoE’s Breeden, Supply from US, Earnings from Delta & Conagra Brands.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump flagged the release of at least 7 tariff letters today. Reports that the EU is closing in on a temporary "framework" agreement, via FT.European bourses began modestly firmer and have been grinding higher since, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.1%; German autos bid on trade nuances, Basic Resources hit by non-US copper performance, Media lags after WPPStateside, futures are in the green and directionally in-fitting with Europe but gains are much more muted, ES +0.2%; updates around AAPL, NVDA, AMZN in focusUSD steady with G10s mixed but essentially flat. RBNZ as expected, no significant NZD move.Fixed benchmarks have a modest upward bias, though they remain markedly lower on the week; today's action in Europe is a retracement of Tuesday's supply-induced pressure rather than a pronounced move higher.Crude has an upward bias, specifics light. XAU softer. Front-running of US copper into potential tariffs has widened the Comex-LME arbitrage to over USD 2,000/t.Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes, Speakers include ECBʼs Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks traded mixed following the similar performance stateside where tariff updates remained in focus.US President Trump said he will announce something on pharmaceuticals very soon and will be announcing semiconductor tariffs, believes the copper tariff will be 50%.President Trump said the US is probably two days off from sending the EU a letter, which means a deal.European equity futures indicate a slightly higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.6% on Tuesday.DXY is a touch higher with the USD mixed vs. peers (stronger vs. havens, weaker vs. antipodeans).RBNZ maintained the OCR at 3.25%, as expected, hinted at future rate cuts ahead.Looking ahead, highlights include BoE FSR, FOMC Minutes, RBA’s Hunter, BoE Governor Bailey, ECB’s Lane, Nagel & de Guindos, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk