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EU Market Open: European equity futures point to a softer open; FOMC cut rates by 25bps with a more dovish vote split than expected

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  • FOMC cut rates by 25bps to 3.50-3.75%, as expected, while the vote split was 9-3, as Miran voted for a 50bps cut. Goolsbee and Schmid voted for unchanged.
  • Fed said it is to assess incoming data, evolving outlook and balance of risks in considering the extent and timing of further adjustment (tweaked from “in considering additional adjustments”), and it will monitor implications of incoming information for the economic outlook.
  • Powell said adjustments to rates since September should help stabilise the labour market and keep pressure down on inflation, while the Fed is well positioned to determine adjustments to rates, and rates are now in a plausible range of neutral.
  • Powell also noted there is a lot of data due before the next meeting, and the Fed can wait and see how the economy evolves when asked about whether the 'risk management' phase of rate cuts is over.
  • APAC stocks were ultimately subdued after failing to sustain the early positive momentum from the dovishly perceived FOMC; US equity futures gave back their post-FOMC spoils as tech/AI concerns were stoked following a slump in Oracle shares.
  • European equity futures indicate a softer cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.2% on Wednesday.
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPI (Nov), US Initial Jobless Claims (6 Dec, w/e), SNB/CBRT Rate Announcements, IEA OMR, OPEC MOMR, Speakers including SNB's Schlegel, BoE's Bailey, ECB's de Guindos, Supply from Italy & US, Earnings from Broadcom, Costco & lululemon.

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