May 14, 2024: What Tuesday’s primaries can reveal about November

During the last presidential election cycle, Donald Trump said he would never return to Minnesota should he lose. He is slated to break that promise when he keynotes the Lincoln-Reagan dinner this evening. Moreover, Trump’s fixation on the gopher state seems not to have abated but has intensified since 2020. Does he stand any chance of winning a state with a Democratic trifecta? National political correspondent Adam Wren walks Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza through the situation. All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today. Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza interviews national political correspondent Adam Wren.

In a dizzying turn of events yesterday, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump agreed to two debates well before the election this November — one on CNN in June, and one on ABC in September. Did Democrats box Trump in, or Biden walk right into a carefully laid trap? White House bureau chief Jonathan Lemire offers Playbook co-author Rachael Bade some insights.

When Michael Cohen makes an appearance, it is hard to know whether you will be hearing from a vulgar, bombastic hater or the measured and careful man who took the stand this week. The noticeably restrained Cohen may have delivered a critical blow to his former boss when he alleged Trump specifically approved a plan to pay Stormy Daniels hush money disguised as legal payments to cover up an affair. Could this seal the former president’s fate? What else can we expect from the courtroom? Senior legal affairs corespondent Kyle Cheney joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to walk through the whole situation.

Primary elections are taking place today in Maryland, Nebraska, North Carolina, and West Virginia. In Maryland, there is the ultra-competitive (and ultra-expensive) race for who will take over Ben Cardin’s Senate seat after he retires. In West Virginia, Sen. Joe Manchin’s seat is on the line. Senior campaign and elections editor and chief polling analyst Steve Shepard walks Playbook co-author Rachael Bade through the races to watch and what they can tell us about the presidential election.All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

All eyes today are on the Manhattan courthouse where Michael Cohen will take the stand in the hush money case against former President Donald Trump. Politico reporter Erica Orden — who has been at the courthouse since the beginning — joins Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza to break it all down. All that, and the rest of the news you need to know today.

Mike Johnson has had a big week. Most notably, he survived a long-awaited attempt by Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene to remove him as Speaker. Playbook co-authors Ryan Lizza and Rachael Bade sat down with him shortly after for nearly an hour for Playbook Deep Dive; they join Playbook Editor Mike DeBonis to discuss what they learned, what they were surprised by, and what’s next for Speaker Mike Johnson.

Last night, President Joe Biden drew a clear red line that Israel is rapidly approaching: After months of devastating military efforts, he will halt shipments of bombs and other munitions to Israel if it launches a major military invasion into the southern Gaza city of Rafah. But as Pentagon reporter Lara Seligman tells Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels, Biden’s new conditions may come too late. Plus, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s  (R-Ga.) long-awaited attempt to oust House Speaker Mike Johnson goes down in flames.

President Joe Biden is betting that $1.6 trillion in climate and infrastructure money can transform America, create green jobs, out-compete China — and maybe catapult him to a second term. But according to a POLITICO analysis of public data, only a small portion of that money has been spent. Energy reporter Zack Colman joins Playbook co-author Eugene Daniels to discuss. Plus, the ongoing feud between Rep. Matt Gaetz and Kevin McCarthy, and a Florida judge indefinitely delayed former President Trump's classified document case.

On Monday, Hamas approved a ceasefire deal proposed by Egypt and Qatar. But Israel did not approve of the proposal, which national security reporter Alex Ward tells Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza is “softer” than what Israel wanted. As Israel's invasion of Rafah looms, President Biden finds himself in a bind on how to navigate the increasingly complicated situation. Plus, a look inside the meeting between Marjorie Taylor Greene and Speaker Mike Johnson. Playbook co-author Ryan Lizza interviews national security reporter Alex Ward.

Texas Democratic Congressman Henry Cuellar and his wife have been indicted on bribery charges, and Republicans are looking to squeeze the scandal for all it's worth. This comes mere months after New Jersey Congressman Bob Menendez faced a similar indictment, and the plan, Playbook co-author Rachael Bade is told, is to use the situations as proof of questionable ethics within the party. Also on the agenda this week: Marjorie Taylor Greene says she will force a vote on the motion to vacate Speaker Mike Johnson, and Republicans ramp up the offensive on campus protests. All that, plus the rest of the news you need to know today.