Anthropic's IPO

Nvidia’s board is reportedly preparing to oust CEO Jensen Huang, days after reports he had an affair with an alleged spy whose Singaporean data centre company has been investigated for funnelling Nvidia chips into China. Nvidia makes up almost 10% of the Nasdaq, so almost every Australian super fund is exposed, and the company has no obvious successor waiting in the wings.Meanwhile, Capital Brief revealed this week that Tesla chair Robyn Denholm has sat on Canva’s board for two years, and that Atlassian co-founder Scott Farquhar is selling a chunk of his shares.We discuss:The reports of Huang’s affair with an alleged spy, a second affair with an Nvidia executive, and the board’s apparent change of heart.Why Nvidia’s weight in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 matters for Australian investors.Nvidia’s unusual corporate structure.Huang’s value as a political operator, and why analysts attribute a quarter of Nvidia’s value to him.Infighting in the Trump administration over chip export controls, and a new Democratic Congress spoiling for a fight with big tech.The Cold War-style paranoia about China spreading through Silicon Valley.Inside Canva’s all-hands after its big restructure, and Robyn Denholm’s previously unreported board seat.Why some Canvanauts feel let down.Canva’s earnest company culture, and why it lands so differently in the US than in Australia.Farquhar’s share sale, where the money is going, and Atlassian’s rebound since the SaaSpocalypse.On The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia’s centres of power.Host James Hennessy sits down with Capital Brief’s best journalists to dissect what we’re watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEDT: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

The US midterms delivered a massive blue wave, with Democrats flipping long-held Republican strongholds like Texas and Kansas, and anti-data centre candidates winning convincingly across the board. Meanwhile, Canva announces its biggest workforce shakeup in 13 years, impacting 1,271 roles as the competitive pressure from AI giants, Anthropic and OpenAI, grows.We discuss:The Democrats’ historic midterm results and what it means for Trump’s final two years in office.How the Iran war and cost-of-living pressures fuelled the backlash against Republicans.Anti-data centre candidates sweeping Texas and Michigan, and what it signals for broader AI anxiety.Data centre stocks like IREN selling off on fears the AI buildout could slow.What the result means for MAGA’s futureCanva’s workforce restructure, impacting 1,271 jobs or 22% of the organisation.Why Canva’s freemium SaaS model is being squeezed by rising token costs and competition from Claude and ChatGPT’s image tools.Comparing Canva’s headcount and valuation to Anthropic’s, and what it reveals about the AI arms race.A visit to CDC’s Western Sydney data centre and the physical scale of the AI infrastructure boom.On The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia’s centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief’s best journalists to dissect what we’re watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEDT: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Anthropic has filed its prospectus, and the market is anticipating what could be the biggest IPO in history. We discuss:The headline numbers: revenue up 1,300% in six months, and an $80 billion accounting loss tied to convertible notes.Why Anthropic’s inference business is so profitable once the non-cash losses are stripped out.Customer concentration — just 250 customers spending over $10 million, and how this is perceived in the bull case.Anthropic’s infrastructure commitments and why chip and data centre costs are the key variable to watch.The prospectus’ 90-plus pages of risk factors, from bioweapons to “existential risk”.The unusual corporate structure.Australia’s starring role — the Queensland data centre, Macquarie as an underwriter, and CBA’s stake.The concurrent copyright fight in Canberra.On The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia’s centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief’s best journalists to dissect what we’re watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEDT: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Firmus’ collapsed IPO has spread from financial markets to becoming a national story in Australia. Now it’s found itself at the centre of global investor fears on the strength of the AI industry.Meanwhile, the Joint Select Committee on AI’s copyright recommendations to the Prime Minister appear to have been edited by the PM’s own office, prompting Senator David Pocock to question the committee’s independence.We discuss:Firmus’ failed IPO and the contagion hitting CoreWeave’s bonds overnightThe “tall poppy syndrome” debate and Oliver Curtis’ Singapore comments to The AustralianWhy valuation is what actually killed the Firmus floatDay One’s IPO filing, worker fatality disclosures, and the execution risk haunting data centre builders globallyWhat Firmus’ collapse means for the ASX’s thin IPO pipelineThe Joint Select Committee’s AI letter to the Prime Minister’s office and claims it was edited before being sentDavid Pocock’s concerns about the committee’s independence and the government’s rush on copyright reformHow Pocock is setting the Senate agenda despite losing his balance-of-power voteOn The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia’s centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief’s best journalists to dissect what we’re watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEDT: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Firmus's ASX IPO hangs in the balance as institutional investors grow increasingly sceptic before the book build was due to close. Meanwhile, the Joint Select Committee on AI wraps a big week of hearings, with tech giants including OpenAI, Anthropic, Microsoft and Google facing questions on their responsibilities and the AI opportunity in Australia.We discuss:Firmus' IPO unravelling in real time - a possible repricing or second pull, and why offshore funds are raising their eyebrows.The high debt load bearing down on Firmus.Mass Group's exposure as both an equity holder and construction partner, and why its stock cratered this morning.Why Australian VCs are watching the Firmus float nervously, and the fear of "vaporware" contagion spreading to local tech sector espectations.OpenAI chief strategy officer Jason Kwon fronting the Joint Select Committee on AI and responding to the Services Australia breachAnthropic's Jeff Bleich, Microsoft, Google and the big banks all appearing before the committeeMatt Comyn's pitch for Australia as a "high capability AI nation" — and what that means in practiceHeidi Health's compute-for-equity deal as a blueprint for Australian AI businesses that don't build foundation modelsOn The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia's centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief's best journalists to dissect what we're watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEDT: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Goodman Group has abandoned its $1.2 billion Lane Cove data centre after a fierce community and political backlash, raising questions on if Australia's AI infrastructure boom is hitting its first real  bump. Meanwhile, Firmus confirms its long-rumoured deal with Meta — worth up to USD750 million in annual earnings. Plus Wall Street heavyweight Millennium emerges as a surprise appearance at Firmus’ IPO presentation, as the hedge fund expands its Australian presence.We discuss:Why Goodman Group pulled the plug on its Project Mars data centreWhether Lane Cove is a one-off or the first sign of deeper distaste towards data centres among AustraliansThe role of red tape and bureaucratic hurdles in Goodman’s withdrawal.Firmus' confirmed Meta deal and what it means for its ASX debutThe bull and bear case for Firmus' massive ASX listingWhy Millennium, one of Wall Street's most secretive hedge funds, is building a presence in SydneyWhich Australian stocks Millennium has already bet onOn The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia's centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief's best journalists to dissect what we're watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEST: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese arrived in the United States earlier this week pushing for global guardrails on AI — signing a 22-nation statement on frontier AI regulation, launching Australia's bid for a UN Security Council seat and meeting with Apple chair Tim Cook on child safety. Then, an OpenAI breach into government portals is announced, which may give  Albanese some ammunition for his AI regulation push.Senior political correspondent Katina Curtis reports live from New York on a week that's shed light on where Australia and other global powers sit in the fight to control or not control AI.We discuss:The OpenAI breach of four government systems, including Medicare stats and NSW crime data.Why it took OpenAI months to disclose the hack and Albanese's blunt message to Sam Altman.Deputy Prime Minister Richard Marles' presser confirming no personal data was leaked, and the new taskforce set up to investigate.Whether the timing of the PM's press conference was a coincidence or politically strategic.Apple's extraordinarily tight media rules around Tim Cook's child safety meeting with Albanese.Global leaders like Andy Burnham and Emmanuel Macron praising Australia's social media ban for under 16s.The 22-nation joint statement on frontier AI regulation, and how it clashes with Trump's "super intelligence" doctrine. • • Australia's formal bid for a UN Security Council seat as Albanese formally launches his campaign.

Australia's AI copyright fight reignites as leaked documents reveal the Albanese government's reform plans. Meanwhile, just hours later, Anthropic signs its first Australian data centre lease: a $32 billion project in regional Queensland.We discuss:The two copyright reform proposals in the leaked documents, and the creative sector's response.Why the AI labs want copyright reform, and the risk of Australia becoming a venue for international legal action.The difference between training and inference, and why training is the bigger economic prize.Anthropic's $32 billion Queensland data centre lease.How the data centre build-out will be powered, and Labor's retreat on renewables.The Coalition's mixed messaging on copyright and AI.Firmus' Tasmanian sports sponsorships and the social licence playbook.The AI existential risk debate.On The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia's centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief's best journalists to dissect what we're watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEDT: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Xero's aggressive AI pivot has sent morale inside the accounting software company into freefall, with engineers fearing they're building their own replacements. Meanwhile, the Albanese government's battle against big tech has a new target: the algorithms, with a digital duty of care proposal that would let users opt out of algorithmic feeds.We discuss:Sinking morale at Xero and the forced-ranking performance measurement behind it.Why engineers fear they're training their own replacement.The culture clash between Xero's US-based executive team and its Australian and New Zealand staff.Shareholder anger over Xero CEO Sukhinder Singh Cassidy's $25 million pay packet.An influencer ad and an automated email mishap that has turned off a core segment of Xero’s user base, accountants.Why Atlassian and Salesforce have bounced back from the SaaSpocalypse and Xero hasn’t.What's  in the digital duty of care, and the "My Feed, My Way" campaign.The Coalition and One Nation’s opposition to the proposal.Albanese's algorithm theory of One Nation's rise and whether this policy is the answer to it.The needle Labor has to thread: regulating big tech while courting billions in AI data centre investmentOn The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia's centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief's best journalists to dissect what we're watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEST: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/

Agentic AI in banking has moved from drafting documents to moving money — and there’s an unanswered question on who's liable when bots are actioning transactions. Recorded live at Fintech Australia's Intersekt conference, the Capital Brief newsroom digs into the RBA's fintech regulation review, and where the big banks and the startup ecosystem sit not he agentic AI opportunity.We discuss:The disintermediation threat: what happens to the big banks when your money moves itself to the best providerThe RBA submissions divide — CBA, ANZ and Westpac urge for fast regulation, while NAB, Fintech Australia and the Tech Council say it's too earlyWho's liable when a bot makes a decision its human owner never authorised?Payment authority vs payment execution, and why that distinction is essential to answer the liability question.Why scam education built around human manipulation doesn't translate to agentsWhether public discomfort with handing over financial agency reduces over time.On The Call is a weekly live conversation with the Capital Brief newsroom on the stories driving the agenda in Australia's centres of power.Host Harshdeep Kaur sits down with Capital Brief's best journalists to dissect what we're watching and why it matters, and answer questions from our subscribers live.Subscribe to join our weekly live discussion on Thursdays at 12pm AEST: https://www.capitalbrief.com/on-the-call/Sign up to our free weekly newsletter, The Edition: https://www.capitalbrief.com/newsletters/the-edition/