Playing the Burnham Bounce, ft. Patrick Jay

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi are back after their summer recess for the first show in a new series of Bet The House, the popular political betting podcast. This week, they reflect on the way the polls and betting markets have reacted to party conference season, asking where the value now lies in the Most Seats market. They consider the date of the next election and, via a short detour around the next Lib Dem Leader market, offer an in-depth look at tomorrow's Holborn and St Pancras by-election, in which Neil recommends a MAX BET. Plus, how well do our psephological maestros know the shadow cabinet? We put them to the test.

Nick Luck and Neil Channing here with the latest episode of the insightful political betting podcast, as they turn their attention to the Claction by-election, and wonder whether the Farage furore has been reflected in the markets and whether Count Binface is set for a smaller vote share than received wisdom suggests. Plus, a look at the most least market through the prism of the Burnham Bounce, and why did the Tories briefly go shorter than Reform?

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi return on the day that Andy Burnham becomes Prime Minister. With Burnham bouncing into Downing Street as Nigel Farage's ship lurches perilously, and Badenoch's approval rating improves, could two party politics be set for a return. Veteran commentator Peter Oborne is this week's guest.

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi are joined by Patrick Jay to dissect the events surrounding Andy Burnham's seismic by-election win,, and to seek out betting opportunities in its aftermath.

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the latest edition of the political betting podcast. It's a Triple by-election super-Thursday, but all eyes are on Makerfield as Andy Burnham edges ever closer to parliament and to No 10. Is a Labour win a foregone conclusion, or is there another twist in the tail. Plus, just how big a part will Restore play, here and beyond, and is there any chance Starmer can cling on to his leadership in 2026. This episode also analyses the scope for a result in either of the Scottish by-elections and casts an eye forward to the likely Manchester mayoral contest.

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi join up once again for the popular political betting show, as they ask whether the market strength behind Andy Burnham's candidacy in the Makerfield by election and for the Labour leadership is well founded, or whether the seat's demographics play squarely into the hands of Reform.

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and William Kedjanyi are back with a special edition of the political betting show, looking at how the events of Tuesday May 12th have affected the markets, and wagering opportunities while the King's Speech temporarily suspends hostilities. They also assess the impact of last week's local elections.

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi return with the latest edition of the political betting show on the eve of the Local Elections, with several projections and recommended bets.

Nick Luck, Neil Channing and Will Kedjanyi are back with the popular political betting show. With days to the UK local elections, they assess the markets, focusing particularly on Starmer's exit date in the face of renewed pressure post-Mandelson as well as his likely replacement, where Neil has a 20/1 recommendation. They look at trading positions in the most-seat markets through the prism of next week's likely outcomes, have another dig into Plaid's chances in the Senedd, and have a surprise 10/1 pick in an outer London mayoral contest.

In this episode of the popular political betting podcast, Nick Luck and Neil Channing analyse the instant impact of fledgling party Restore Britain on the betting markets, and ask how it has become such a short price to gain the most seats at the next general election. Nick sits down for a wide ranging interview with party leader Rupert Lowe in a bid to understand his electoral strategy and how it may most effectively impact his rivals.