E582 | Alex Bakir, Norrsken Evolve: Resilience, Climate, and Building Europe’s Future

At EUVC Summit 2025, Reece Chowdhry from Concept Ventures made a bold claim:Pre-seed isn’t just a quirky corner of venture. It’s the layer that will define the future of European tech.“Pre-everything. Backing crazy people. No product. No traction. Just vision.”And if that makes your IC uncomfortable? Good.Reece laid it out clearly:No productOften no teamUp to €3M raisesEntry valuations where true upside is unlockedThis is not a place for 60-page memos. It’s a place for conviction, operating instincts, and guts.“If you’re running a market-sizing exercise at pre-seed, you’ve already missed the point.”With a wink, Reece shared some hard truths:“Sorry to our French and German friends—but the UK is trouncing you.”From unicorn creation to capital deployed to founder density, London continues to pull ahead.Backed by data (and a few cheeky slides), he reinforced that high-density talent hubs are gravity wells—and London’s orbit is strong.Reece didn’t sugarcoat it:“Pre-seed is also about luck. Let’s just say it.”And that’s why portfolio construction matters.→ Too many GPs still run over-concentrated portfolios at pre-seed.→ The layer needs larger portfolios, faster deployment, and more acceptance of variance.“You want your winners to carry the fund? You better give yourself enough shots.”One of the most striking trends?“Founders can now go straight from pre-seed to Series A.”Why?AI tools let solo operators do more with lessMVPs are faster, GTMs are leanerSeed rounds are getting compressed—and sometimes skipped entirelyThis means pre-seed is becoming a more critical entry point than ever, and if Europe wants to compete, we need more risk-on LPs and ICs willing to lean into the earliest bets.“If you’re in an IC meeting with a 60-page memo for a pre-seed deal, please… just remember this talk.”Pre-seed is where the crazy ideas live. It’s where the upside is wild. It’s where founders take real swings—and where GPs must be brave enough to back them.“We need more European GPs to take more risk, earlier.”Thank you Reece for the reminder: you don’t de-risk the future by waiting—you do it by backing the people building it.No product? No problem. Just conviction.Defining Pre-Seed: Where the Real Risk LivesThe UK Is (Still) Leading—Sorry, Everyone ElsePre-Seed is High Risk, High Volume—and High RewardThe AI Effect: Shrinking the StackFinal Advice? Just Write the Damn Check.

Welcome back to another episode of the EUVC Podcast, where we gather Europe’s venture family to share the stories, insights, and lessons that drive our ecosystem forward.Today we welcome Alex Bakir, General Partner at Norrsken Evolve, the new €57M pre-seed fund spun out of the legendary Norrsken family of funds. Together with Johan Attby and Rebecka Löthman Rydå, Alex is doubling down on impact-driven founders building Europe’s resilient and sustainable future—with backing from EIF, Saminvest, SmartCap, and operators like Taavet Hinrikus and Sten Tamkivi of Plural.We dive into Alex’s journey - with family roots in Iraq and England to Cambridge, the World Bank, Climate Change Capital, and Planet Labs; his lessons from the clean-tech crash of 2008; why resilience is now the lens for Europe’s industrial strategy; and how Norrsken Evolve is rethinking fund construction with 80 portfolio companies, automated follow-ons, and a sprint model for founder collaboration.Here’s what’s covered:01:38 Alex’s path: Iraqi–English upbringing, Cambridge climate science, World Bank, first-wave cleantech VC04:30 Lessons from the cleantech crash (’08): macro can kill even great theses07:19 Why this time is different: realism, supply chains, energy security10:31 Fundraising the hard way: €40M → €57M; satellites vs. raising a fund12:36 Mistakes & pivots: from naive global to Europe-first resilience15:50 LP profiling: local anchors + institutional validation (Saminvest, EIF)19:00 The trough of despair & team completion with Rebecka Löthman Rydå22:11 The “funky” model: 80 companies, €250K tickets, no boards, automated follow-ons26:06 Sprint model: six-week in-person collaboration (not a school)31:22 Investment focus: The carbon-free economy, the infrastructure of tomorrow, future of Europe40:57 Founder fit: mission-driven, experienced builders with scars and purpose

Welcome back to another episode of the EUVC Podcast, where we gather Europe’s venture family to share the stories, insights, and lessons that drive our ecosystem forward.Today we welcome Olav Ostin, Founder & Managing Partner at TempoCap, one of Europe’s few dedicated secondary direct firms. With a nine-year track record, a 12-person team in London and Berlin (soon Paris), and multiple $500M+ exits, Olav is perfectly placed to explain why secondaries have gone from taboo to the hottest corner of venture.From buying whole portfolios from corporates to cherry-picking strip deals with VCs under LP pressure, TempoCap has built a reputation for navigating complex transactions and delivering liquidity in a market starved of exits. In this conversation, Olav shares what makes secondary directs different, how pricing really works, and why “who isn’t selling?” is the right question in today’s market.🎧 Here’s what’s covered:01:00 TempoCap’s story: founded in 2016, 9 years of secondary directs, team and footprint02:00 What secondary directs really are: single-asset vs. portfolio transactions03:03 What they buy: later-stage, €10–30M ARR, fully funded enterprise software, fintech, cyber & more05:00 Typical deal sizes: €5–20M singles, €20M–€100M+ portfolios06:30 How deals come in: board seats, VC relationships, and corporate inbound09:50 Portfolio deals: cherry-picking vs. full takeovers, strip deals, and tailored solutions15:00 Misconceptions: discounts are not automatic; valuation discipline and liquidity dynamics23:40 How a secondary deal is actually done: NDA, desktop analysis, confirmatory DD, SPA28:20 Who’s selling? Corporates offloading, GPs under DPI pressure, but few fire sales36:00 Notable exits: Onfido ($650M), D-Orbit ($500M), and what they say about today’s market39:20 The future of TempoCap: bigger funds, becoming Europe’s leading secondary direct player

At EUVC Summit 2025, Marius Istrate didn’t come to pitch a fund or debate capital structures.He came to talk about something harder to define—but more urgent than ever: inspirational European leadership.And it wasn’t all comfortable.“It’s great to win together with others. But we should be capable of winning alone if needed.”Marius spoke as someone who’s helped shape ecosystems from the ground up. As the leader of Romania’s largest angel group, he’s seen firsthand what local ambition looks like—and what it lacks.“I don’t want to be the VC who accidentally becomes a politician because no one else stepped up.”But leadership, he argued, isn’t about power. It’s about clarity, empathy, and ownership.“If you pinned every place in Europe that calls itself the ‘Silicon Valley of Europe,’ the map would collapse.”The obsession with copying Silicon Valley is a distraction. What Europe needs isn’t mimicry—it’s confidence in its own identity. And that means policies, capital structures, and culture that reflect our values, not someone else’s blueprint.One of the most poignant parts of Marius’ talk centered on something distinctly European:“It’s not fair that I should work more than my parents. It’s not fair that my retirement is uncertain.”That sense of fairness—a shared European moral compass—isn’t a bug. It’s a feature.And it can inform the kind of political and ecosystem leadership we need now.“People don’t want perfection. They want dignity. And when possible, empathy.”In a time of rising populism and political gridlock, this felt like a quiet manifesto for something different.“It shouldn’t be our job to inspire people—because our political leaders should already be doing that.”Marius wasn’t calling for VCs to become politicians. He was calling for a renaissance of purpose in Europe. For a generation of builders, thinkers, and yes, investors, to step up and fill the vacuum—not with slogans, but with systems, strategy, and soul.“Give us something to hope for—something we can call our own.”This wasn’t a policy talk. It was a wake-up call.And in classic EUVC fashion, it ended with an open invitation: Let’s talk more. Let’s build better. Let’s define what European leadership really means—together.From VC to VisionSilicon Valley of Europe? Please.Fairness, Dignity, EmpathyA Call to Build What’s Ours

Welcome back to another episode of Upside at the EUVC Podcast, where Dan Bowyer, Mads Jensen of SuperSeed, Andrew J Scott of 7percent Ventures, and Lomax unpack the forces shaping European venture capital.This week, veteran journalist Mike Butcher (ex-TechCrunch Europe, The Europas, TechFugees) joins the pod. From the creator economy eating media brands, to Europe’s fragmented ecosystem and the capital gap that just won’t die, we dive into EU-Inc, Draghi’s unfulfilled reforms, ASML’s surprise bet on Mistral, Europe’s defense awakening, Klarna’s IPO, and quantum’s hot streak.Here’s what’s covered:00:01 – Mike’s ResetTechCrunch Europe closes; Mike reflects on redundancy, summer off, dabbling in social and video.03:00 – Media Evolution & Creator EconomyFrom ’90s trade mags → TechCrunch → The Europas & TechFugees. Blogs as early social media; today’s creators (MrBeast, Bari Weiss, Cleo Abram) echo that era. Bloomberg pushes reporters front and center as media becomes personality-driven.06:45 – Europe’s Ecosystem & Debate CultureEurope isn’t Silicon Valley’s 101 highway — it’s dozens of fragmented hubs. Conferences like Slush, Web Summit, VivaTech anchor the scene, but the missing ingredient is debate. US VCs spar on stage then grab a beer; Europe is still too polite.12:00 – All-In Summit DebriefMads’ takeaways from LA: Musk on robotics (the “hand” bottleneck), Demis Hassabis on AGI (5–10 yrs away), Eric Schmidt on US–China AI race, Alex Karp on Europe’s regulatory failures. The Valley vibe captured, but it’s only one voice.17:00 – EU-Inc & Draghi ReportDraghi’s 383 recommendations, just 11% implemented. €16T in pensions sit mostly in bonds; only 0.02–0.03% flows into VC (vs 1–2% in the US). Permitting bottlenecks: 44 months for energy approvals. Panel calls for a Brussels “crack unit,” employee stock option reform, and fixing skilled migration.35:00 – Deal of the Week: ASML × MistralASML leads a €2B round in Mistral at €11B valuation. Strategic and cultural fit (Netherlands ↔ Paris) mattered more than sovereignty. Mads: 14× revenue is a bargain vs US peers. Andrew: proof Europe’s VCs are too small — corporates must fill the gap. Lomax: ASML knows it’s a one-trick pony with 90% lithography share; diversifying into AI hedges risk.49:00 – Defense & Industrial BaseRussian drones hit Poland, NATO urgency spikes. UK pledges defense spend to 2.5% GDP by 2027, but procurement bottlenecks persist. Poland cuts red tape under fire; UK moves at peacetime pace. Andrew: real deterrence is industrial capacity. Mike: primes must be forced to buy from startups; dual-use innovators like Helsing show the way.59:00 – Klarna IPO & the Klarna MafiaKlarna IPOs at $15B (down from $46B peak). Oversubscribed; Sequoia nets ~$3.5B; Atomico 12M → 150M. A new “Klarna Mafia” of angels and operators will recycle liquidity back into Europe’s ecosystem.01:03:00 – Quantum’s Hot StreakPsiQuantum ($7B, Bristol roots), Quantinuum ($10B, Cambridge), IQM (Finland unicorn), Oxford Ionics’ $1B exit. Europe has parity in talent but lacks growth capital. Lomax: “Quantum is hot, but a winter will come.” Andrew: Europe can win here — if the money shows up.01:05:00 – Wrap-upThe pod ends on optimism: Europe may not own AGI, but in quantum it has a fair fight.

At EUVC Summit 2025, one of the most animated sessions wasn’t about regulation or returns—it was about size.Fund size.“You need to back small, early, and smart.”— ChloéWhile some claimed that fund size isn’t predictive of returns, this panel pushed back with a powerful rebuttal: in early-stage venture, size absolutely matters—and skin in the game matters even more.Chloé laid out the logic:The earlier you invest, the lower the probability of hitting a mega outcomeBut the smaller your fund, the greater your exposure to uncapped upside“No one thought a $100M fund was too large in the early 2000s. But back then, a $1B exit was 99th percentile. Today? That’s just 85th. A $20B exit is the new 99th percentile.”In short: outcomes have scaled dramatically—but fund sizes have ballooned even faster.If you want real multiples, you can’t rely on average returns. You need asymmetric upside.“Average venture-backed exit valuation? Still around $100M.”That stat alone makes a strong case for micro-funds.→ A $5B mega fund might get you into elite cap tables—but you’re unlikely to 10x→ A $30–50M fund? One breakout and you’re a rocketshipAnd the panel made it clear: LPs chasing “safe” strategies may be missing the real alpha generators.The panel also poked fun at outdated VC modeling tools:“Can we finally stop using the Page & Associates PDF?”(Amen.)This wasn’t just a critique of stale math—it was a call for more creative, conviction-led underwriting in a world where category winners look radically different than they did two decades ago.“We’re not looking for averagely good returns. We’re backing for uncapped upside.”That’s the ethos driving many LPs toward emerging managers and micro funds.Not to mention the sense of alignment, focus, and nimbleness that often fades in billion-dollar vehicles.This panel had heat—and it wasn’t done.“Happy to do this again. On a podcast. Longer. Louder.”Count us in.The Case for Small Funds: Math, Mindset, and MultiplesThe Uncomfortable Truth: Most VC Exits Are Still SmallPage & Associates: Retire the TemplateFund Size Isn’t Just Capital—It’s PhilosophyComing Soon… A Podcast Debate?

At EUVC Summit 2025, one speaker opened with an unexpected challenge:“Let’s stop munching grass like a herd of sheep—and start looking toward the horizon.”What followed was a deeply tactical session on how VCs and founders can recruit, test, and develop top-tier talent, with lessons drawn from—of all places—English football and cybersecurity unicorns.Will Maunder-Taylor shared the story of Leicester City FC, one of the most improbable sporting triumphs of modern times.In 2008, they were relegated to the UK’s third divisionIn 2010, bought by new ownersIn 2011, hired Steve Walsh as head of recruitmentBy 2016, against 5,000-to-1 odds, they won the Premier LeagueHow? By focusing on:Mindset over CVData over brandTeam chemistry over big-name signingsThey built an entire team for £25M—less than what a competitor paid for one player.“They believed in talent and mindset over character. And they trained accordingly.”Once founders have the confidence to hire ambitiously, the next question becomes: How?The speaker offered a practical framework:Be brutally honest in interviews – Share real concerns and observe how candidates respond. Can they absorb and reflect?Create structured feedback loops – Let people improve in real time, not post-mortem.Test behavior, not polish – Past brand names don’t predict future startup grit.Build in weekly accountability – The only difference in the top-performing teams? They check in—regularly, honestly, and constructively.“If you're a VC or board member and you’re not instilling weekly accountability in your portfolio, you’re missing the biggest lever.”Will Maunder-Taylor called on VCs to get tactical—not just strategic:Ask founders how they’re hiringWho’s mentoring the team?What KPIs exist for internal talent development?How is feedback being delivered?Because talent isn’t just about who you hire—it’s how you coach, test, and level them up.Let’s give founders the confidence to stop hiring like sheep—and start winning like Leicester.Accountability, mindset, and trust in the process win out over pedigree, every time.From Pub Pitches to Premier League: The Leicester City BlueprintWhat This Means for FoundersVC's Role: Push for Accountability, Not Just Hiring

In this episode, Andreas Munk Holm speaks with Dom Hallas, Executive Director of the UK’s Startup Coalition, to explore how the organization is influencing policy at the intersection of startups, venture capital, and government. From immigration reform to capital access and regulatory red tape, Dom brings a candid view on what it takes to create real impact for founders across Europe.They dive into the power of founder-first advocacy, the evolving lobbying landscape in Europe, and the urgent need for a united tech voice across the continent.Here’s what’s covered:01:10 Why Policy is a Competitive Sport03:42 GDPR, Brussels & Lessons from Tech Regulation05:12 What is the Startup Coalition & Who Funds It?07:13 The Three Buckets: Talent, Capital, Regulation11:20 Why Founders Need Their Own Voice in Politics16:31 Making Advocacy Fun, Human & Effective17:56 What Startups Can Learn from Farmers21:30 Time Horizons & Playbooks in Policy Work26:18 How the Coalition Sets its Agenda31:46 A Crossroads for European Tech35:46 The Current Policy Agenda: Talent, Finance & Reg43:27 Funding the Underfunded: Inclusion as Policy47:01 Regulation That Clears the Way for the Next Thing

At the EUVC Summit 2025, the Firm of the Year award didn’t go to a household name—or a partner of the presenter. It went to a firm that’s quietly built one of the most impactful portfolios in European venture over the past decade:Credo Ventures – winner of this year’s Firm of the Year Award.And the irony? They didn’t see it coming.“I never really liked awards like this… but maybe I’m ready to reconsider.”Credo Ventures’ rise hasn’t always been center stage. Based in Central and Eastern Europe, they’ve long bet on founders and ecosystems that many in mainstream venture overlooked.But the results speak for themselves—category-defining companies, global expansion stories, and a consistent track record of backing ambitious founders early.“Maybe having such an award can be a new KPI for us—right next to DPI.”The Credo team kept the moment light, thanking not just their founders and LPs—but even the investors who didn’t back them.“Thank you, Thomas, for not investing in us. Maybe that pushed us forward even more.”This self-awareness is part of what’s made Credo so beloved in the ecosystem: no arrogance, no buzzwords—just clear conviction, strong founder relationships, and outcomes that speak louder than headlines.This award wasn’t just about Credo—it was a signal to every fund building off the beaten path:That it’s possible to build world-class performance from anywhereThat recognition follows consistencyAnd that humility and humor are strengths, not liabilities“The real credit goes to the founders we’ve backed. Their success is why we’re here today.”Congratulations to Credo Ventures—EUVC Firm of the Year 2025.May DPI stay high, and KPIs stay fun.Building Beyond the SpotlightA Touch of Humility. A Lot of Performance.A Win for the Underdogs

At the EUVC Summit 2025, Tom Wilson took the stage to highlight something we often overlook when talking about Europe’s breakout tech stories:“The real engine of growth isn’t just the unicorns. It’s what happens after.”Tom opened with a striking stat:“Over 2,000 startups have been founded by alumni of just 250 European unicorns.”This ripple effect—beautifully documented in the Atomico State of European Tech report—is the unsung compounding force in our ecosystem. Each breakout company doesn’t just create returns—it creates founders. And each founder then builds the next set of teams, products, and outcomes.“Tech is right at the heart of Europe’s growth story. It’s what drives jobs, resilience, and momentum.”While the flywheel is turning, one spoke is still weak: liquidity.“The recycling of capital is still too thin across the ecosystem.”Without steady exits—IPOs, large acquisitions, secondary markets—we limit:Angel reinvestmentEmerging manager formationOperator talent flowing back into early-stage companiesTom called for more policy, infrastructure, and cultural support to celebrate exits—not just fundraises—and to empower alumni to give back as investors, advisors, or future founders.Tom also made a powerful point about non-linear outcomes.“Not every startup becomes a unicorn. But the people who build them still carry value—and often show up in the next big story.”He cited examples of founders who, after shutdowns, joined early teams at Revoo, Vizier, and other category leaders—and played crucial roles in their success.This isn’t just resilience. It’s how ecosystems mature.“We need to do more to recognize and encourage the second act: the angels, the early hires, the operators who cycle back in.”Because Europe’s breakout companies aren’t just wins.They’re launchpads for the next generation.And every reinvested euro—and recycled founder—keeps the flywheel spinning faster.2,000 Startups Later: The Alumni EffectWhat’s Still Missing? Liquidity.Failures That Feed the FutureFinal Message: Celebrate the Cycle