Global semiannual fertilizer outlook: Tensions in the Middle East trigger disruptions in the fertilizer market

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran dive into New Zealand's extraordinary 2025/26 dairy season and discuss what lies ahead. They explore the 2026/27 outlook – where resilient supply, uncertain global demand, and rising on-farm costs collide.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.   

In this episode, Michael Harvey and Emma Higgins unpack the key forces shaping the Australian dairy sector as processors prepare to set opening milk prices for the new season by the June 1 deadline.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

In this episode, RaboResearch analysts Vítor Pistóia and Angus Gidley Baird explore the start of Australia's 2026/27 winter cropping season. The discussion highlights an uneven seasonal start and a shift in crop mix, with growers moving away from wheat toward canola, barley, and pulses in response to margin pressure and shifting risk-reward profiles.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join RaboResearch Senior Market Strategist Ben Picton as he examines changes in the Australian federal budget affecting the agriculture space and compares Treasury's forecasts to those from the RBA. Where is the economy headed, and what might that mean for the cash rate?   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Join RaboResearch analysts Paul Joules and Vítor Pistóia as they review how Australian farmland values performed in 2025 and explore the forces that could influence land prices moving forward.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Food prices remain one of the most visible – and frustrating – parts of Australia's inflation story. In this episode, analysts Michael Harvey and Paul Joules focus on where food inflation actually stands today, how it differs across categories, and what matters most looking forward.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Rabobank's Head of Research for South America, Andy Duff, discusses the impact of rising diesel prices on sugar, grain, and soybean production. As Brazil relies heavily on long‑distance truck transport to move agricultural products inland, logistics costs can negatively impact Brazilian farm margins. Sugar prices have been on a roller-coaster ride in recent weeks, and Andy explains why the high probability of an El Niño event is a key price driver to watch.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.

Emma Higgins and Jen Corkran unpack the seasonal shift now reshaping New Zealand dairy and livestock markets, with topics ranging from farmgate conditions to the market signals that may define the months ahead. Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

With the imposition of beef import quotas at the beginning of 2026, China was set to redistribute global beef trade. Angus Gidley-Baird speaks with Chenjun Pan about the impacts this quota may have on China and the current state of the Chinese beef market.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast. 

Agriculture Analyst Paul Joules chats with Bruno Fonseca, Senior Farm Inputs Analyst and recent lead author of RaboResearch's latest Semiannual Fertilizer Outlook, to discuss the key impacts of the Middle East crisis on global fertilizer markets.   Disclaimer: Please refer to our global RaboResearch disclaimer at https://www.rabobank.com/knowledge/disclaimer/011417027/disclaimer for information about the scope and limitations of the material published on the podcast.