MacroVoices #556 Luke Gromen: US Midterms & Beyond

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Luke Gromen. They discuss why the economic fallout from the prolonged Strait of Hormuz disruption has been slower than expected, with China’s reduced oil demand and coordinated strategic reserve releases helping cushion the supply shock, and why the bigger credit risk from AI may sit with the consumer. https://bit.ly/4sufi1M   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/    

  MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Dr. Anas Alhajji and Louis-Vincent Gave. They discuss Anas’s takeaways from the Riyadh Energy Week conferences and how the “three seas crisis” in the Gulf, Red Sea, and Black Sea, is reshaping energy security and global supply chains. We also have Louis discussing the recent developments in France. ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Yasir Arafat. They discuss Aalo Atomics’ plan to mass-produce small nuclear reactors, initially for AI data centers, and the scale of the power demand the company hopes to serve. Arafat describes how factory production and repeated designs could lower costs, while identifying supply-chain growth as a major challenge. They also discuss using low-enriched uranium in the near term, the longer-term potential of fast-spectrum reactors and fuel recycling, changing U.S. policies on nuclear energy, and competition with China. https://bit.ly/3TTkNdH   Find out more: https://www.aalo.com/   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Brent Johnson. They discuss the dollar’s recent strength and Johnson’s longer-term bullish outlook, while allowing for a short-term pullback. They consider gold’s support level and the possibility of further declines if the dollar rises, alongside Johnson’s view that the current area could be a buying opportunity. Johnson also outlines his thesis that the Fed and Treasury may work more closely together, including the theoretical possibility of revaluing U.S. gold holdings. https://bit.ly/3Wg8EjB ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome David Rosenberg. They discuss David Rosenberg’s view that energy shocks are unlikely to drive sustained inflation without wage growth, along with the Fed regime shift and higher real yields, potential midterm gridlock and Treasury issuance as bond-market catalysts, Chinese open-source AI and housing weakness as disinflationary forces, the gold outlook, and the ROSY ETF and book news.   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

They discuss how Iran's threats to extend its strikes into the Indian Ocean and a possible 90-day U.S. diesel export ban could deepen the energy crisis, why Washington is rallying allies like Canada and Latin America into a U.S.-led bloc against a China–Russia–Iran–North Korea axis, and how fears of a 2027 Taiwan move, AI supremacy, and tactical nuclear escalation are reshaping markets, capital flows, and national security.   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Michael Every. They discuss how escalating Iran–Middle East and Russia–Ukraine conflicts are weaponizing energy markets, why a looming global diesel crunch could fracture the “one-world” oil system into U.S.-led regional blocs, and how Washington may increasingly use tools like export bans, Arctic basing rights, and even dollar stablecoins as instruments of geopolitical statecraft against China and other rivals. https://bit.ly/4iRZKlX    ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome Harley Bassman. They discuss the Fed’s credibility crisis, the fiscal recklessness behind higher term premiums, and how mortgage convexity, ETFs, and hyperscaler borrowing are rewiring the global bond market. https://bit.ly/46wQwnB    ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Matt Barrie. They discuss the rise of agentic AI and cheap open‑source models, how running AI on your own hardware will reshape enterprises and how this shift will massively disrupt white‑collar work.   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/

MacroVoices Erik Townsend & Patrick Ceresna welcome, Carly Anderson. They discuss the coming “nuclear renaissance” driven by small modular reactors and mass manufacturing and how deep‑tech venture investing and industrial robotics can accelerate this energy transition. https://bit.ly/3Up1SaC    Website: https://timescale.vc Substack: https://timescalevc.substack.com/ (coming soon)   ✅Sign up for a FREE 14-day trial at Big Picture Trading: https://secure.bigpicturetrading.com/membership/signup/fOY4YJYX   🔴 Subscribe to Patrick’s Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@Patrick_Ceresna   🔴 Subscribe to Erik's Substack: https://eriktownsend.substack.com/