Middle East Tensions, Oil Shocks, and What Investors Need to Know

On March 17, BMO hosted a discussion on the Middle East conflict and how it is likely to impact the US and Canadian economies, and energy markets. The panel included: Doug Porter, Chief Economist, who discussed the implications for growth, inflation, and central bank policy, and Randy Ollenberger, Oil and Gas Analyst, who explored whether markets are pricing this as a temporary supply shock or a more persistent geopolitical risk, and what that means for oil, refined products, and volatility ahead. ⁠Click here for transcript⁠ To access our full disclosures, please visit: ⁠https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures

Commodity prices are reacting in a major way to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Please join our analysts, Randy Ollenberger, John McNulty, Joel Jackson, Helen Amos and George Heppel for a group conference call where we discuss our latest thoughts for near- and medium-term impacts on energy, metals, fertilizers, and chemicals markets. ⁠Click here for transcript.⁠ To access our full disclosures, please visit: ⁠https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures⁠

On March 9th, we sat down with Doug Porter and Randy Ollenberger to examine the market and economic implications of the escalating conflict in the Middle East and the resulting energy shock. The conversation traces recent geopolitical developments, reactions across energy commodities and equities, and risks surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. Doug Porter assesses inflation, growth, and central bank implications for Canada and the U.S., while Randy Ollenberger outlines scenarios keeping oil above $100 or pulling it back lower. Click here for transcript To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures

In this special Metal Matters podcast, BMO Commodities Analyst Helen Amos is joined by Ro Dhawan, President and CEO of the ICMM to discuss how the role of sustainable mining is shifting in a world where mining and critical minerals has been thrust into the foreground of global geopolitics. They discuss the new Consolidated Mining Standard which marks a major turning point in harmonising standards across the industry, as well as progress made in tailings management,  gender-based violence, and the urgency around improving safety performance. Ro suggests that the increase in government participation and M&A in mining could bring opportunities for sustainability too. Click⁠ here⁠ for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: ⁠https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures

In this episode, Helen Amos is joined by BMO’s Chief Economist Doug Porter to discuss the impact of big macro shifts on the metals and mining space. They talk everything from rate cuts, the US dollar, AI, de-dollarisation, global trade, and emerging market development Click here for transcript. To access our full disclosures, please visit: ⁠https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures ⁠

With a few months to go in 2025, our expert panel delves into their latest outlook for the US and Canada, exploring GDP, inflation, central bank policy and trade policy. Ernie Tedeschi, Director of Economics at Yale University’s Budget Lab, Doug Porter, Chief Economist, BMO and Dan Philips, Chief Investment Officer, BMO US Wealth Management, each provide their unique perspectives on asset classes, market risks, and the evolving landscape influenced by AI, automation, and de-globalization. Click here for transcript To access our full disclosures, please visit: https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures

In the first episode of our re-launched podcast, we discuss copper back to $10k, iron ore’s resilience, macro shifts, Chinese stockpiling, and the case for a new mining upcycle. BMO clients can view our reports here: ⁠BMO Precious Metals Monitor: Poised for the Cut⁠⁠ PGMs: Picking the Right Basket⁠⁠ Anti-Involution Needs Patience: Copper and Coal Screen Strongest⁠ ⁠Click here for transcript.⁠ To access our full disclosures, please visit: ⁠https://research.bmo.com/public/disclosures

If enforced, President Trump’s introduction of a 50% tariff on copper could significantly impact global copper pricing, supply chains and inventories. Join our Equity Research Analysts, Helen Amos, Matt Murphy, and Katja Jancic, as they discuss anticipated outcomes and implications moving forward. Click here for transcript. Click here for important disclosures.

BMO experts discuss the evolving Canadian political and economic landscape following the election of Prime Minister Mark Carney. Click here for transcript. ⁠Click here for important disclosures⁠.

In a special episode of the Markets Plus podcast recorded on April 30, Camilla Sutton, Managing Director and Head of Equity Research, Canada & UK, BMO Capital Markets, moderates a timely and engaging discussion on the implications of the Canadian election. Joining her on the show: Hon. Brian Tobin, Vice Chair, BMO Financial Group and Hon. Jason Kenney, Senior Advisor, BMO Financial Group. Click here for transcript. ⁠⁠Click here for important disclosures⁠⁠.