Lead-Lag Live podcast

Matt Dines on Navigating the End of the Bond Bull Market: Fixed Income Realities and the Promise of Bitcoin

08/05/2024
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Witness the bond market's reality through the eyes of Matt Dines, CIO of Build Asset Management. Matt joins us to dissect the challenges and illusions present in fixed income investments, particularly for the retiring generation that has heavily depended on them. With the end of the 40-year bond bull market hidden behind nominal gains and masked by negative real rates, we confront the truths that every investor needs to hear. Matt reveals how the post-GFC era, zero interest rates, and quantitative easing have distorted the market, leading to significant real losses in purchasing power. Our discussion also delves into the policy tools and market shifts since 2016, including the pandemic's role in exacerbating conditions, signaling a need for a strategic pivot in fixed income investing.

Prepare to navigate the ripple effects of the Federal Reserve's policy changes that are sending shockwaves through the U.S. Treasury and mortgage-backed securities markets. We scrutinize the repercussions for banks, dissecting the intricacies of net interest margins and repo market dynamics. As the yield curve's future remains uncertain, we evaluate the banking sector's response to these fluctuations and consider gold as a beacon of stability during volatile times. In an environment of financial uncertainty, understanding these elements is crucial for grasping the broader economic picture and making informed investment decisions.

Finally, we bridge the gap between traditional financial systems and the disruptive force of Bitcoin. Reflecting on my extensive experience in fixed income credits, we examine gold's historical role in stabilizing sovereign balance sheets and how Bitcoin emerges as a technical solution to age-old monetary issues. As we ponder Bitcoin's resilience and potential to rectify international trade imbalances, we recognize the value of our engaged audience. Your participation, live or at your leisure, enriches our exploration of these complex financial narratives.

The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

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