The Macro Trading Floor podcast

AI Bubble Popping Or A Boring Pullback?

10/16/2026

The Macro Trading Floor

0:00

30:19

Alf and Brent are back on the show to discuss the recent price action in AI stocks which is also heavily impacting the bond market. Is the AI bubble popping? Are credit fears to be taken seriously, such that the asset allocation has to change? Or is this just a boring pullback like the many others we saw along the way in the AI trade?

More episodes from "The Macro Trading Floor"

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Alf and Brent focus on the sharp sell-off in AI related stocks, and investigate whether it is likely to have repercussions for rates and currencies or it is rather technical in nature.
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Alf and Brent discuss how developments in credit markets are rattling investors from France to the state of the AI credit cycle. The duo covers the implications for equities, currencies and fixed income.
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AI Bubble Popping Or A Boring Pullback?
10/16/2026
30:19
Alf and Brent are back on the show to discuss the recent price action in AI stocks which is also heavily impacting the bond market. Is the AI bubble popping? Are credit fears to be taken seriously, such that the asset allocation has to change? Or is this just a boring pullback like the many others we saw along the way in the AI trade?
6% Yields Next & Will Stonks Handle It?
10/9/2026
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Alf and Brent discuss the relentless bond yield and USD move. Can we get to 6% yields in the US, or even higher? And will stonks be able to handle it?
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Alf and Brent are back to discuss the various macro blowups we are witnessing simultaneously: French spreads, front-end of the bond market, mortgage-backed securities, EM carry and so on. What's the best framework to apply for each of these?
On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades
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Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas.
On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY
8/9/2026
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In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?
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Brent and Alf discuss the n-th injection of the Orange Variable in markets: Trump decided to escalate again with Iran, and even suggested the ceasefire might be over altogether. The duo discusses how to approach these injections of uncertainty, and what are the best trading and risk management frameworks to deploy here.
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Alf and Brent discuss the major market shifts since the Warsh press conference. Is this a big macro shift or just a mini-trend that will ultimately slow down or even reverse?

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