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What a Bond Curve Inversion is Telling Markets About the Neutral Rate

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Jordan Rizzuto explains what a short-term yield curve inversion is telling us about “neutral policy rate” for the Fed. He compares the reactions in the bond and stock markets after the Fed’s 25-basis-point rate cut Wednesday. As far as the path forward, he thinks we’re still in more “wait and see mode” than the Fed wants to project. In stocks, “animal spirits appear strong,” Jordan says, and compares conditions now to the end of the ‘90s.


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