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Fed's Cautious Stance: Supercore Index Signals Sticky Inflation Amid Mixed Data

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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will take center stage at the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, but don't expect a clear interest-rate cut signal just yet, according to Christopher Hodge. With the Fed's dual mandate data pulling in different directions, Hodge says Powell will likely strike a neutral tone in his speech. He also thinks the market is overpricing a September rate cut, and that last year's Jackson Hole meeting is not a reliable indicator for this year's outcome. Hodge shares his concerns about the under-the-surface metric Supercore index, which indicates sticky domestic inflation, and explains why the Fed may prioritize caution over a rate cut.


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