Netanyahu Fails to Provoke Iranian Attack Pre-Election (Robert Wright, Andrew Day, and Curt Mills)

0:28 A brief message from Bob 0:59 Introductions 2:31 Jensen Huang Resigns from Nvidia 5:31 Who’s Defending Jensen? 10:38 What Did Jensen Do Wrong? 12:52 Was Alice Huang a Chinese Spy? 18:32 Does Decapitation Work? 22:03 The Great Man Theory of Tech 24:27 Where Will AI’s Value Accrue? 27:43 What’s Next for Jensen? 30:02 METR: AI Is Doubling Anthropic’s Research Speed 35:30 AI Is Solving Open Math Problems 37:53 AI Agents Negotiating Deals 40:32 My AI vs. My CPA 43:07 Bob’s AI Caught His Doctor’s Error 44:49 Whatever Happened to Hallucinations? 46:04 Formal Verification and Lean 51:16 Andrew Wiles and the Human Cost 54:39 The All-In Podcast’s Blind Spot 57:44 Can We Formally Verify Alignment? 1:00:24 Yudkowsky vs. Irving at ILIAD 1:01:50 Will Jensen’s Fall Help Anthropic’s IPO? 1:07:17 The March for an AI Treaty 1:08:31 Introducing Walter, a Chinese AI Journalist 1:09:51 How China Reacted to Jensen’s Resignation 1:16:12 Chinese Theories About Anthropic’s Role 1:23:16 How China Censored the Spy Allegation 1:25:02 Does China Trust an AI Pause? 1:27:28 AI Layoffs and a Chili Sauce Boycott 1:33:19 Does Beijing Listen to Public Opinion? 1:37:11 China’s Limits on AI Companions for Kids 01:39:58 Will China Move on Taiwan?Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Liron Shapira (Pause AI, Doom Debates). Recorded November 12, 2026.Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.nonzero.org/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.nonzero.org0:28 Steve’s new book, Big Math: The Hidden Codes that Run Our World 3:43 What is “big math”? And why do we need it? 11:38 The key to the neural network’s power 18:25 AI’s black box problem 23:44 Is human insight going extinct? 32:26 How math has continually changed humanity 42:59 Insight via 100 ants 51:09 The intersecting origins of network theory and a jazz legend 57:26Heading to OvertimeRobert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Steven Strogatz (Cornell University, Infinite Powers, Big Math). Recorded October 13, 2026.Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.nonzero.org0:24 Bob and Danny get experimental 3:20 Danny’s new(ish) book, Imperialist Realism 12:37 Is US imperialism natural? 16:27 America vs other empires 26:13 The three features of imperialist realism 39:46 When did US foreign policy turn cynical? 48:22 Imperialist realism: the video game 52:44 Heading to OvertimeRobert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Daniel Bessner (American Prestige, Imperialist Realism, University of Washington). Recorded October 12, 2026.Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods

This is the public release of the Overtime segment from the episode “The Race to Control AI” with Jeremie Harris originally published October 13, 2026.Titles:Bob’s beef with “kumbaya. ”Will it take an AI Chernobyl to convince the skeptics? Is China-hawkism the safest option?The case for “organic transparency” with China. How alignment progress could backfire. Has China infiltrated US tech? Breaking down Dario’s democracy bloc idea.Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Jeremie Harris (Gladstone AI, Last Week in AI). Recorded October 10, 2026. Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.nonzero.org/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.nonzero.org0:28 Scott’s diverse portfolio of expertise 2:24 Is AI hastening the quantum computing revolution? 9:29 Interpreting the many-worlds interpretation 12:46 Scott tries to make quantum physics coherent 22:04 Many-worlds vs Bohmian mechanics 28:37 Could quantum computing settle quantum questions? 32:49 The Y2K of quantum computing 39:25 Are Bitcoin’s days numbered? 45:44 Why AI scares Scott more than quantum computing 53:43 What kind of AI pause is practical? 59:16 The AI-China question(s) 1:06:01 Heading to OvertimeRobert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Scott Aaronson (University of Texas, Quantum Computing Since Democritus). Recorded November 03, 2026. Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods

0:28 Nonzero Doom returns 3:35 A foom in slow motion 8:16 Is AI winter canceled forever? 11:02 Will Google’s Genie 4 lure us into the Matrix? 17:23 Liron’s bull case for Google stock 25:03 Does Google have big-company disease? 28:57 Could a slowdown actually help Anthropic and OpenAI? 30:41 Was OpenAI’s “pause” just PR? 40:30 Social science judgment day is coming 47:41 Why even AI’s upsides could tear society apart 51:41 Does OpenAI’s alignment approach improve on Asimov? 55:35 Sam and Satya pivot on alignment 59:03 Crypto and the AI hacking threat 1:04:11 Could AI crack the math behind encryption? 1:09:21 Liron’s $1,000-a-day AI coding habit 1:15:52 Explaining the missing productivity boost 1:17:55 Does Anthropic’s S-1 sink the AI bubble thesis? Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Liron Shapira (Pause AI, Doom Debates). Recorded October 30, 2026.Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.nonzero.org/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.nonzero.org0:28 Paul attains potato hegemony 4:17 Bob’s book: Gateway drug to AI doomerism? 7:39 Nathan Fielder’s view of Elizabeth Holmes (via Paul) 22:24 Bob TORCHES Fielder 33:59 Are art and artist really separable? 38:47 What Trump and Musk say about our times 44:17 Heading to Overtime Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Paul Bloom (https://smallpotatoes.paulbloom.net, University of Toronto, The Sweet Spot, Against Empathy). Recorded October 27, 2026.Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods

Andrew Day and Curt Mills of The American Conservative join Robert Wright to talk about the Israeli elections, Benjamin Netanyahu’s escalating rhetorical belligerence, Iran’s strategic calculations and arguable missteps, President Lula’s surprise victory in Brazil, and U.S.-China competition over AI.Robert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True), Curt Mills (The American Conservative), Andrew Day (The American Conservative). Recorded October 26, 2026.Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.nonzero.org/subscribe

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.nonzero.org0:28 Boris’s background and new book, Our Planetary Mirror 3:28 Three ways of seeing the planet—and us 12:32 Resurveying the Gaia “hypothesis” 20:16 Dawkins’s case against Gaia 27:01 Is humanity outgrowing its planetary parent? 32:42 The noosphere: Teilhard vs Vernadsky 48:31 Can we reason our way to global solidarity? 53:43 Heading to OvertimeRobert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True) and Boris Shoshitaishvili (Our Planetary Mirror). Recorded October 15, 2026. Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit www.nonzero.org0:28 Connor’s role with ControlAI 2:04 The AI vibe shift in Washington 11:37 How does ControlAI want to control AI? 16:10 Dario decoded 21:02 Are AI safety evals worth much? 30:01 Why Silicon Valley libertarians can’t escape the state 33:42 On the redefinition of superintelligence and alignment 40:19 Is the China AI race a cover story? 48:03 Connor: What really drives Dario is… 51:34 Heading to OvertimeRobert Wright (Nonzero, The Evolution of God, Why Buddhism Is True), Connor Leahy (ControlAI). Recorded October 16, 2026. Twitter: https://twitter.com/NonzeroPods