Everyone is Gambling and No One is Happy

I sat down with President Mary C. Daly, President and CEO of the San Francisco Federal Reserve, and President Tom Barkin, President and CEO of the Richmond Federal Reserve to talk about the current state of the US economy as we go into 2026. We look back to the past, particularly the 1970s and the 1990s, to understand what those periods can teach us about inflation and policy decisions today. We also talk about the persistent uncertainty we are facing in geopolitics and technology, and the growing gap between the economic data and how people feel. We talk about the headwinds we are facing and the tailwinds to be excited about. And finally, we spend time on what’s often missed in these conversations - the sources of resilience and the reasons that there is still room for optimism.Full transcript at kyla.substack.com

Transcript here: https://kyla.substack.com/p/everyone-is-gambling-and-no-one-is

Full transcript on Substack.

How concentrated ownership and automated manipulation reshape democracy

The importance of Fed independence, sticky inflation, AI’s impact on entry-level work, and why she still leans modestly restrictive

Sports betting in the United States of America. Read the full piece here: https://kyla.substack.com/p/gamblemerica-how-sports-betting-apps00:00 - Intro 00:36 - An Excerpt 02:42 - The United States of Gamblemerica 06:09 - In Dialogue with Jon 08:12 - The History of Sports Betting 13:55 - The State, The Platform, the Hen House 17:17 - The Dopamine Business Model 22:11 - The Language of Individual Responsibility 27:03 - The Human Cost28:41 - What Comes After Sports Betting?31:38 - How Do We Fix This?Jon's Book: https://www.amazon.com/Losing-Big-Americas-Reckless-Gambling/dp/B0DGS6G35H

Nvidia just lost $600 billion in value in a single day—the largest single-stock drop in history—and all because of a Chinese AI startup called DeepSeek. But this isn’t just about Nvidia or AI. It’s about how America is battling its own assumptions about innovation, efficiency, and progress. In this video, I'll talk about (1) how DeepSeek built a groundbreaking AI model for just $6 million (2) why U.S. tech companies like Meta and OpenAI are spending billions—and if that’s sustainable (3) the impact of federal funding freezes and policy decisions on America’s innovation pipeline (4) why the U.S. might be stuck in a “cold war” with itself over how progress should look and (5) what this means for the future of AI, talent allocation, and global competition.DeepSeek isn’t just disrupting the AI industry; it’s forcing us to ask some hard questions about how we measure success.00:00 Intro00:58 Our Broader Challenges03:08 What Is DeepSeek?05:00 How did they do it?05:27 Innovation08:40 The State of Tech11:49 Financial Engineering12:58 Talent15:45 Final ThoughtsEIG paper: https://eig.org/exceptional-by-design/Music Used'Shadows and Dust' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au 'Nightfall' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au 'Incantation' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au'Shoulders Of Giants' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au 'Uprising' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au 'Anna's Theme' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au'Parasite' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au 'Shoulders Of Giants' by Scott Buckley - released under CC-BY 4.0. www.scottbuckley.com.au DISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.

Full substack: https://kyla.substack.com/p/the-year-narrative-ate-reality

We talk about the concept of trust as a commodity and discuss how to invest when trust is scarce. Spectra School: http://www.spectramarkets.com/school/Hanks Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d8PndpFPL8g&t=40sHow Trump Won: https://kyla.substack.com/p/how-trump-won-what-happens-next-and00:00 Introduction and Overview00:24 Special Sponsor Segment01:15 Current Global Events and Trust02:40 Investing in Trust Portfolios04:51 Framework for Evaluating Companies06:34 The Cycle of Apathy and Trust10:13 Rebuilding Trust: Individual and Societal Efforts12:11 Actionable Takeaways for Investors14:14 Conclusion and Final ThoughtsDisclaimer: This is not financial advice or a recommendation for any investment. The Content is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

The economics of Thanksgiving and Black Friday!00:00 Intro00:29 Turkeys01:25 Supply Chain 03:18 The Sweet Potato Belt and Pumpkin Capital04:34 Black Friday04:59 The Impact of Smartphones on Shopping05:34 Game Theory and Price Tracking06:37 The Future of Black Friday08:34 ConclusionSourceshttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jjcjvNvvGLchttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bN7mG9srVh4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qsnck0LV8w4https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4h-W6cHWj8https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lL2-HOzByBY https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nk2MBd5hmHQ📚 Want to learn more? Check out:Newsletter: kyla.substack.comBook: "In This Economy?"Podcast: Let's Appreciate🔗 Follow for daily economic insights:TikTok: @kylascanInstagram: @kylascanLinkedIn: @kylascanDISCLAIMER: This video does not provide investment or economic advice and is not professional advice (legal, accounting, tax).  The owner of this content is not an investment advisor.  Discussion of any securities, trading, or markets is incidental and solely for entertainment purposes.  Nothing herein shall constitute a recommendation, investment advice, or an opinion on suitability.  The information in this video is provided as of the date of its initial release.  The owner of this video expressly disclaims all representations or warranties of accuracy.  The owner of this video claims all intellectual property rights, including copyrights, of and related to, this video.