Thoughts on Tesla's Stock Crumble 📉

We're just a couple weeks away from Tesla's Q2 delivery report. Prediction market Kalshi is estimating deliveries of 358,000 for the quarter (would represent a 19% decline from 444,000 in Q2 last year). But the truth is ... no one seems to care about Tesla's deliveries. All eyes are on the Robotaxi launch coming late in June (tentatively). The new metric to focus on will be Robotaxi Rides not Cars Delivered. We are entering a new era for Tesla!

Everyone's hyped on OpenAI, ChatGPT, Grok, XAI, etc ... but the company powering them all is making all the guap. Nvidia has printed over $100B in AI profits in the last 6 quarters alone and is showing now signs of stopping. Top-line growth was 69% last quarter. Despite this rapid growth and dominance in AI, Nvidia trades for 43X trailing earnings, and maybe around 30X forward earnings (depending on growth). This is nowhere near bubble territory. With Owner/Operator/Founder Jensen Huang continuing to innovate at a breakneck pace, why is the market skeptical this growth will continue? Isn't the AI revolution just getting started? Maybe it's because Nvidia relies on TSMC to make their chips and Grok/ChatGPT to build the UI for consumers ... let me know your thoughts on Nvidia stock in the comments below.

WOW. The Big Beautiful Bill has opened up an incredible rift between Elon Musk and Donald Trump. In just the past few hours things have escalated to an insane level. The bromance is over, and they appear to be in all out war/enemies. This is a time of peak uncertainty for Tesla shareholders, SpaceX government programs .. and frankly, American politics as a whole. Elon is accusing Trump of hiding the Epstien files because he's in them, and so much more drama. The situation appears to be heating up by the second.The root of the issues stem from Elon Musk's concern America is going bankrupt and the new bill Republicans are passing that will balloon spending. This is going directly against all his work for DOGE and what Donald Trump was elected to do. So now the beef is on. I'm very curious what will happen next & wishing the best for Tesla, SpaceX, Elon and America.

We are less than two weeks away June, when Tesla will be launching its Robotaxi network in Austin, Texas! This marks an exciting new chapter for the company as they begin to rollout an autonomous vehicle service. Elon Musk just went on TV today saying he expects there to be 1,000 Tesla robotaxis within just a few months of launch. This could quickly accelerate Tesla's revenue growth. In addition, Optimus continues to make rapid progress. The potential for Cybercab's to deliver packages with Optimus is very exciting and may be here sooner than we think. I'm getting more excited about Tesla, and FOMO is ramping for not having enough shares as they company enters this exciting new growth phase. Ron Baron said they are on the verge of big profits!! We'll see ...

I sit down with Public Co-Founder/CEO Jannick Malling to discuss the company's breakout 2024, competing with Robinhood, surviving the market/startup crash of 2021/2022, crypto, a new bond offering & so much more! I've been working with Public for years and it's been impressive to see them hit 1M users and continue to double revenue every year (even through the market downturn). I'm excited to see what features they launch next. Testing out alpha has been a lot of fun.Sign up for a new Public account & get $25 for free using my link: https://public.com/hyperchange0:00 0:00 Public’s Breakout 20243:00 History of Public App3:54 The Great Wealth Transfer5:35 Bonds & Interest Rates7:40 $100T in Baby Boomers Portfolios10:12 Disrupting Vanguard & Fidelity, etc12:12 How do you compete with Robinhood?15:12 Alpha: Public’s AI for Investing (like ChatGPT)23:30 What’s The Next Market Trend29:34 Bond/Treasury Ladders31:01 Public’s Next Big FeaturesMy X:   / gfilche  HyperChange Patreon :)   / hyperchange   Disclaimer: I'm an investor in Public personally and through my VC Firm HyperGuap. Nothing in this show is financial advice.

Markets were down huge today on fears of a trade war and recession. Tesla stock traded down 15% to ~$221 per share, it's lowest point of the year. Drama around Elon Musk continues to heat up (per usual), and investors are worried it could impact near term sales. I wanted to share my thoughts as a long term investor holding through turbulent times. Let me know what you think in the comments below!!

Tesla stock's volatility has been heating up. After a massive run post-election, shares are settling back down as markets correct, and Elon Musk protests erupt at Tesla stores (and even SpaceX) across the US. The question on everyones mind is how this sentiment will affect vehicle sales, especially in the US and Europe. This comes at fascinating time for Tesla, with the Robotaxi launch in Austin just months away, and Optimus making more progress than ever. Will excitement about these new products be able to hold the stock up through a period of depressed earnings and cashflow (if that were to happen) and the robotaxi ramp? What are your thoughts??

At Tesla's AI day a few years ago Elon Musk unveiled Optimus, Tesla's humanoid robot program. This has quickly become an even more exciting long-term bull thesis than even the Cyercab, as Elon says it will make Tesla the world's most valuable company by far. In this Bros, Brews and Big Ideas I sit down with Aidan to analyze Tesla's Optimus, and the much hyped Figure Robot, which has created a splash on social media and is let by Bret Adcock. Figure claims to be bringing robots into the home later this year or next, while Tesla plans to have 1,000+ robots walking around its factory this year. Who is ahead in this race? Is Figure to be taken seriously at all? Let me know what you think in the comments below.

Bros, Brews & Big Ideas. Schemin live from Austin, Texas, we break down the future of the self-driving car economy. How Tesla's Cybercab launch in June of this year could quickly scale into millions of rides and become a bigger network than Waymo. Tesla's vertically integrated approach could end up being a major pricing advantage over Waymo who is buying 3rd party cars, using Uber's network, etc ... What are your thoughts on the future of the self-driving revolution? When will Tesla surpass Waymo in terms of Autonomous rides, if ever? Let us know your prediction in the comments below.

A very bittersweet moment. With 90% of my personal capital invested in Tesla & SpaceX (Elon Musk companies), and needing cash to pay rent/my bills in the next 6 months I made the extremely difficult decision to sell a chunk (about 10%) of my Tesla holdings. This comes at a time where I'm more bullish on the companies long term future than ever with Cybercab and Optimus. But with the reality of the world's geopolitical situation and Elon's government involvement ... I realized I would feel a lot better to sell some stock now to have cash rather than be forced to sell in 6 months at a potentially lower price. As always this is not financial advice, just me documenting my investing journey. My support for Tesla, it's employees, and mission is stronger than ever, but personal financial freedom and living stress free is the most important thing in life. Don't really know what to say, because it bums me out so much to make this video, but had to keep it real with y'all.