Week 1 Overreactions Are Overrated with Brian Hartman

Dynasty Zack made more than 440 dynasty trades in the past year, and he stopped worrying about losing them a long time ago. He joins Jeff to talk about getting past the fear of a bad outcome, why trade values swing faster than rankings, and how to get unstuck when your team is sitting in the middle. With trade deadlines looming, this may be the push you need to finally hit send.💡 Key TakeawaysFear of losing a trade only deserves weight when you’re a contender paying firsts. If a deal is close or even, make it.Zack treats a trade decision as final but its outcome as fixable. When a deal goes wrong, he changes the result by making more trades instead of dwelling on it.Trade values depend on timing and on your league. Brock Bowers cost a first, a second and two young tight ends in one of Zack’s leagues and five firsts in another.Max points for is an excellent barometer for how good your team really is.Stuck in the middle? If you're nearer the top, hold or buy. Nearer the bottom? Sell early while you still have time.String together smaller trades to build toward a bigger one.⏱️ Chapters00:00 – Introduction01:47 – How Zack Became a Prolific Trader08:10 – The Fear of Losing a Trade13:31 – Trade Values Swing Fast: Jaylen Warren, Rachaad White, Emeka Egbuka & Davante Adams24:33 – Trades Zack Regrets & Bad Outcomes vs. Bad Decisions29:04 – Zack’s Trade Process: Contender, Middle or Rebuilder? 34:39 – Selling Aging Stars to a Rival39:57 – Every League Is Its Own Market47:38 – Getting Unstuck: Max Points For & Marginal Moves 52:55 – Rookie Draft Picks' Shifting Values1:00:44 – Zack’s Best Move Right Now🔗 Links MentionedFollow Dynasty Zack on Twitter/X: https://x.com/DynastyZackDynatyze: https://dynatyze.comDynasty Lens Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/@DynastyLensPodJeff’s Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynastyFollow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Andrew Erickson of FantasyPros is one of the few analysts who ranks players for both the rest of the season and dynasty, so he's got insight into when each set of rankings should drive your roster decisions. We dig into the mushy middle of the standings, whether a deep 2027 rookie class changes the tank-or-compete math, and why this is no time to panic-sell Ashton Jeanty.💡 Key TakeawaysDynasty rankings should move slowly. Andrew held Drake Maye steady through a rough first month and makes big moves mainly for injuries and major situation changes.Bet on talent over situation. Depth charts and landing spots change fast, so talented players the market has written off, like Omarion Hampton and Ashton Jeanty, are buy-low targets.In the mushy middle, decide whether you're a contender or a pretender. If a juggernaut stands in your way that no trade can beat, start looking ahead to 2027.In a deep 2027 class, the 1.06 may be worth nearly as much as the 1.04, so trying for the playoffs and falling short may cost less than usual.⏱️ Chapters00:00 – Welcome and Tale of a Sad Barista02:02 – Ranking Two Timelines: Drake Maye, Lamar Jackson & Omarion Hampton07:39 – Keeping the Brains Separate: Makai Lemon, Jadarian Price & Jeremiyah Love13:10 – Which Rankings Should You Use? Contenders, Rebuilders & the Mushy Middle18:28 – Don’t Panic-Sell: Ashton Jeanty & a Rachaad White Lesson24:37 – Tank or Compete? The 2027 Draft Class30:43 – Landing Spot vs. Draft Capital: Eli Stowers, Eli Raridon & De’Zhaun Stribling45:15 – Rethinking Your Season Goal: What Trying and Failing Really Costs54:54 – Can a 5-3 Team Punt? Stefon Diggs, Antonio Williams & Carnell Tate59:20 – Biggest Midseason Mistake & Rest of Season vs. Rest of Career?1:06:11 – Wrap: Andrew’s Best Move Right Now🔗 Links MentionedFollow Andrew on Twitter/X: https://x.com/andrewerickson_FantasyPros: https://www.fantasypros.comJeff’s Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynasty?Follow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Six weeks in, it’s decision time for dynasty managers.  Brian Hartman of Too Much Fantasy Football rejoins Jeff to answer one question: is it time to sell? From Matthew Golden’s hot streak to Marvin Harrison Jr.’s fresh start in Houston to Cam Ward's tepid performance, they separate the sell-high windows from the holds and the cut-bait moves.💡 Key TakeawaysWhen you sell, aim for first-round picks but be willing to accept other fair returns.Move fast, before other rebuilders flood the market with supply and dampen prices.Small trades compound: flipping waiver pickups for fourths and thirds, then tiering up, can turn into firsts by rookie draft season.Matthew Golden, Michael Wilson, and DK Metcalf look like sell-high windows, while Zay Flowers is producing right where he should be.Don’t sell at zero: Marvin Harrison Jr., Brian Thomas Jr., Cam Ward, and Omarion Hampton are worth more as holds than as dumps right now.⏱️ Chapters00:00 – Mindset for Week 7: Relax03:28 – How to Sell: Chasing Firsts and Stacking Small Trades13:21 – Marvin Harrison Jr. and Brian Thomas Jr.18:15 – Ladd McConkey and A.J. Brown23:58 – Jerry Jeudy, Quentin Johnston, Chris Godwin26:09 – Omar Cooper Jr., Luther Burden III, Germie Bernard31:48 – Matthew Golden, Michael Wilson, DK Metcalf, Zay Flowers38:24 – Chuba Hubbard, Bucky Irving, Bhayshul Tuten, Woody Marks45:27 – Cam Skattebo, Omarion Hampton, and Aging Backs50:44 – Bryce Young, Cam Ward, J.J. McCarthy, Jalen Hurts01:00:24 – Jake Ferguson, Oronde Gadsden, T.J. Hockenson, Mark Andrews01:06:31 – Final Advice and Where to Find Brian🔗 Links MentionedToo Much HQ: https://toomuchhq.comToo Much Fantasy Football on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TooMuchFFFollow Brian on Twitter/X: https://x.com/TooMuch_BrianJeff’s Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynastyFollow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Five weeks into the season, Bryce Young is outscoring Justin Herbert by 11 fantasy points per game, Kenneth Walker is shattering expectations, and Kyle Pitts is, well, Kyle Pitts. Jeff Blaylock from Footballguys breaks down some of the recent changes he's made in his dynasty rankings and what dynasty managers can learn from his mistakes. He covers some of his biggest risers and fallers at every position and the reasoning behind each move, so you can apply the same thinking to your own player valuations. 💡 Key TakeawaysDynasty rankings should move when the assumptions behind them break, such as role, scheme, or surrounding talent, not on a few weeks of box scores.Bryce Young, Kenneth Walker, Parker Washington, and Isaiah Likely all earned big jumps with real changes in role and production.Assumptions about the Chargers have collapsed, dragging Justin Herbert, Omarion Hampton, and Oronde Gadsden down together.Malik Nabers is a rebuilder’s target: still regaining trust in his knee, but unlikely to fall below WR8.⏱️ Chapters00:00 – Cold Open00:31 – Welcome: How and Why Dynasty Rankings Move05:01 – Quarterbacks: Drake Maye, Josh Allen, Caleb Williams08:16 – Quarterbacks: Justin Herbert and Bryce Young12:51 – Running Backs: Omarion Hampton, Chase Brown, Kenneth Walker17:33 – Wide Receivers: Parker Washington and Brian Thomas Jr.20:36 – Wide Receivers: Christian Watson and Matthew Golden22:22 – Wide Receivers: Malik Nabers and Jaylen Waddle28:05 – Tight Ends: Isaiah Likely, Oronde Gadsden, Kyle Pitts34:52 – Wrap-Up and Dynasty Waivers of the Future🔗 Links MentionedJeff’s Dynasty Rankings https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynasty?year=2026&userId=978336Follow Jeff on Twitter/X https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

We're three weeks in and some dynasty managers are down on stars they drafted like Drake Maye, De’Von Achane, and Marvin Harrison Jr. Grindberg (Mike Lindberg) from Fantasy Sports Advice Network joins Jeff to evaluate these falling stars through a buy-low lens, separating real windows of opportunity from traps across quarterback, running back, receiver, and tight end.💡 Key Takeaways• A veteran manager's "dip" isn't the same discount as a new dynasty player's. Read who you’re trading with before deciding on a price.• De'Von Achane's torn ACL opens a real buy-low window for non-contenders.• Marvin Harrison Jr. and Brian Thomas Jr. both look like change-of-scenery-or-bust cases right now.• Tucker Kraft is a buy while he's being doubted. Green Bay will get him more involved once he’s fully healthy.• The Chargers backfield and their crowded tight end room are both too muddled to pay up for anyone in either group right now.• George Pickens is a buy even in a timeshare with CeeDee Lamb. The spike weeks and his pending free agency both add value.⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps00:00 – Buying the Dip Explained04:44 – QB Dips: Drake Maye and Justin Herbert12:43 – Bo Nix’s Week 3 Turnaround15:43 – Omarion Hampton and TreVeyon Henderson21:02 – Quinshon Judkins and Jadarian Price28:02 – Injury Discounts: De’Von Achane and Malik Nabers31:49 – WR Buy Windows: Jameson Williams and George Pickens37:21 – Change-of-Scenery Cases: Brian Thomas Jr. and Marvin Harrison Jr.43:33 – Carnell Tate’s Quarterback Problem46:33 – Tight End Dips: Kyle Pitts, Tucker Kraft, and Oronde Gadsden54:16 – Week 4 Advice and Where to Find Grindberg🔗 Links Mentioned• The Dynasty Pulse podcast: https://fsan.com/football/podcasts/the-dynasty-pulse• Fantasy Sports Advice Network: https://fsan.com/home• Follow Grindberg on X: https://x.com/FFCanuck99• Jeff’s Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynasty• Follow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylock• Footballguys: https://www.footballguys.com• Dynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Two weeks in, which player usage and performance signals are real and which are just noise? Nerdboi (Mike Lamoureux) returns to help sort the tells into sell windows on fading names like De’Von Achane and Marvin Harrison Jr., buy windows on ascending pieces like Jalen Coker and Chuba Hubbard, or holds like Drake Maye and the Chargers’ offense.💡 Key Takeaways• Full route or snap share without production is a signal to hold, not sell. The box score lags the role, it doesn't override it.• Give a breakout or a bust three to four games before you trust it. Two-week samples flip in either direction.• Attach to ascending offenses, not just talented players stuck on bad ones. Team context does more work than the individual profile.• A new contract is a real signal worth following, but not an automatic verdict in either direction.• Diagnose the problem before you diagnose the player. A structural issue doesn't get fixed quickly, but a new-scheme learning curve usually does.• Before you write off a player, ask what your assumption is actually betting on, and who benefits if you're wrong.⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps00:00 – It's Just Two Weeks05:26 – Bears WR Room & Bryce Young’s Breakout12:37 – De’Von Achane’s Sinking Value in Miami16:52 – Saints Backfield Timeshare: Alvin Kamara vs. Travis Etienne20:51 – WR Disappointments: Emeka Egbuka, Ladd McConkey, Luther Burden24:39 – Marvin Harrison Jr.’s Sabotage Drop and Trade Fit29:03 – Surprise Top Offenses: Raiders, Panthers, Saints, Texans37:12 – Diagnosing the Chargers’ Offense40:53 – Drake Maye, Trevor Lawrence & Dynasty QB Rankings50:28 – Buy Windows: Jalen Coker, Chuba Hubbard, Parker Washington1:03:09 – Tight End Risers: Dalton Kincaid, Isaiah Likely, Dalton Schultz1:12:43 – Week 3 Advice and Where to Find Nerdboi🔗 Links MentionedDynasty Degens at Dynatyze FF: https://www.youtube.com/@DynatyzeFFDynatyze: https://dynatyze.comJeff’s Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynastyFollow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.

Week 1 is done, and dynasty managers everywhere are already reaching for the panic button. Jeff and Brian Hartman (Too Much Fantasy Football) sort through the real injury concerns, the disappointments that don't matter, and the hot performances that are actually buy-low or sell-high windows.💡 Key TakeawaysDon't overreact to Week 1. One game is a terrible sample size for any big roster decision.Injuries to Brock Bowers, A.J. Brown, and Zay Flowers create real buy-low windows, but the details of each injury matter more than the name.Disappointing stats from tight ends like Colston Loveland and Kyle Pitts are mostly noise at a famously volatile position.Hot performances from players like Jalen Coker and Isaiah Likely are sell-high opportunities more often than they're a new baseline.⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps00:00 – Don't Panic04:11 – Injuries: Brock Bowers, A.J. Brown, Zay Flowers09:46 – Ladd McConkey, Quarterbacks14:54 – Buy Windows: Ja'Kobi Lane, Omar Cooper18:31 – Disappointments: Colston Loveland, Jaylen Waddle21:31 – Terry McLaurin, Ja'Marr Chase, George Kittle, Drake London24:18 – Breakthrough or Outlier: Jalen Coker, Dallas Goedert, Isaiah Likely30:10 – Devaughn Vele, Kalif Raymond, De'Zhaun Stribling35:26 – Best Things Dynasty Managers Can Do Right Now🔗 Links MentionedFollow Brian Hartman on Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/toomuch_brianToo Much Fantasy Football: https://www.youtube.com/@TooMuchFantasyFootballToo Much Movie Night: https://www.youtube.com/@TooMuchMovieNightJeff's Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynastyFollow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Managing a fantasy football roster means decision overload: starts, sits, waivers, trades, IR moves, and more, all at once. Successful dynasty managers don't just smarter decisions. They smartly reduce their options first. Jeff breaks down the three habits that separate savvy dynasty managers from everyone else, so you spend less time buried in options and focus on making fewer moves that actually matter.💡 Key TakeawaysKnow your roster needs before you shop the waiver wire, filtering by position and strategic direction first.Read the usage behind the stats before you acquire or drop a player.Match how far ahead you're looking to your compass direction; each strategy has its own unique timeframes.Reducing lesser options leads to fewer and smarter decisions. You're not constraining yourself—you're navigating better.⏱️ Chapters 00:00 – Make Fewer Decisions This Season 04:04 – Habit 1: Know What You Need Before You Shop 12:16 – Habit 2: Read the Usage, Not Just the Stats 18:25 – Habit 3: Look to Your Horizon24:10 – Tying It All Together🔗 Links MentionedJeff's Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynastyFollow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website: https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the Show If you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Dynasty managers need to look deeper than trade calculators to understand the hidden costs of trades. Jeff Blaylock breaks down the choice between paying up for an elite producer and playing for value instead, using a single hypothetical trade for Ja'Marr Chase to show how the right call depends entirely on your team's strategic direction. Failing to account for collateral damage and opportunity cost can lead to a trade you'll regret in a year.💡 Key TakeawaysPaying up means acquiring a true difference-maker at full market cost; playing for value means accepting a smaller upgrade at a much lower price.Your Dynasty Compass direction should decide which path fits: West pays up, South plays value, and North and East face a harder balancing act.Trade calculators work as a check on your own valuation and a window into your trade partner's thinking, but they shouldn't make the decision for you.Collateral damage, the value lost from the player your addition bumps out of the lineup or off the roster, is easy to calculate but often ignored.Opportunity cost—alternative uses of an asset in a trade—is harder to quantify and grows larger the longer your timeline stretches.A single hypothetical trade for Ja'Marr Chase plays out four different ways depending on whether a roster is heading West, South, North, or East.Playing for value doesn't have to mean settling for less and might be a better net addition.Competing for a playoff spot and contending for a championship are different things, but many managers think of them as being the same.Conviction in your own valuation is the final ingredient; without it, even a well-reasoned choice between paying up and playing value falls apart.⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps00:00 – Welcome & Setting Up Today's Question02:31 – The Four Directions Refresher08:21 – Defining Pay Up or Play Value11:23 – Applying the Compass: Easy Calls and Hard Ones15:31 – Trade Calculators Fall Short19:36 – Two Hidden Value Killers: Collateral Damage and Opportunity Cost26:06 – Considerations for the West and South33:04 – Considerations for teams in the North38:31 – Considerations for Teams Headed East43:22 – Conviction and Wrap-Up🔗 Links MentionedJeff's Dynasty Rankings: https://www.footballguys.com/rankings/ranker/jeff-blaylock/duration/dynastyFollow Jeff on Twitter/X: https://x.com/jeffblaylockFootballguys: https://www.footballguys.comDynasty Compass website https://www.dynastycompass.com👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.

Rosters are set. Now it's time to prepare the manager. Jeff sits down with longtime friend and Footballguys colleague Sigmund Bloom for an unscripted conversation about the mindset side of dynasty: embracing mistakes, navigating obstacles, receiving outcomes instead of fighting them, and separating the finite game of winning from the infinite game of playing. Knowing how to make peace with what you can't control is what keeps you making good decisions when the season doesn't go to plan. The conversation ranges from Sig's zero-RB startup draft to a recent trip to Navajo Nation and what it taught him about permanence and impermanence. This episode is the key to getting your mind right before the season starts. 💡 Key TakeawaysGetting ready for the season means having clarity on your dynasty buys and sells before Week 1 changes the picture entirely.Sig's mantra for managing the unknown: "Don't argue with what is about to happen. Receive it."How you navigate around an obstacle speaks volumes about how you act more than how you think.The heartache isn't making a mistake; it's not learning from it and making it again.The "oblong ball factor" means the game is genuinely unpredictable, so a good process can still produce a bad outcome.Sig took a zero-RB Superflex startup draft to an extreme this year as a deliberate bet that running backs are depreciating assets.Don't get hung up on winning or losing a trade at the margin. What matters is acting on conviction.Scaling to 20+ leagues means knowing your limits before the hobby stops being fun.A recent trip to the Navajo Nation left Sig thinking about permanence, impermanence, and not standing too long on any one notion.⏱️ Chapters/Timestamps0:00 – Welcome & the Dynasty Compass Metaphor6:50 – Pre-Season Prep: Clarity on Buys, Sells, and Receiving What Comes13:57 – Injuries as Obstacles: The Lake in the Way19:08 – What Winning Looks Like: Dynasty vs. Redraft26:58 – The Oblong Ball Factor and the Quantum Uncertainty of Fantasy Football32:07 – Peeking Through Keyholes: Insiders, Cycles, and the Zero-RB Experiment43:05 – Finding Peace with Undetermined Outcomes47:20 – Luck, Preparation, and the Infinite Game52:37 – Having a Plan Without Marrying It58:48 – Improvisation, Sunk Costs, and Letting Go of Trade Math1:06:19 – Scaling Leagues, Self-Discovery, and the Impermanence of It All🔗 Links MentionedThe Audible podcast On the Couch with Sigmund Bloom Follow Sig on Twitter/X Footballguys Jeff's Dynasty Rankings on Footballguys Follow Jeff on Twitter/X 👍 Support the ShowIf you enjoy Dynasty Compass, please consider subscribing, leaving a five-star rating, and sharing the show with another dynasty manager. Reviews on Apple Podcasts help more dynasty players discover the show and help the Dynasty Compass community grow.Visit dynastycompass.com to learn more about the show.