Dakota Live! Podcast podcast

Inside the AI Infrastructure Super Cycle with EQT Infrastructure CEO Erwin Thompson

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Erwin Thompson, CEO of EQT Infrastructure Company (EQIC) and 17-year EQT veteran, joins Robert Morier on Dakota Live! to break down the AI data center and power build-out, a capital expenditure wave that hyperscalers are expected to push past $4–5 trillion by 2030.

Erwin explains why the U.S. is adding an estimated 15–20 gigawatts of data center demand a year against a fraction of that in new supply, why hyperscalers are now on pace to outspend the U.S. Department of Defense, and how EQT, the first infrastructure investor in data centers with EdgeConneX, is positioning across digital, energy, and environmental services.

He also shares how to tell real, demand-resilient infrastructure from companies "dressed up" as infrastructure, why creativity is the job in private equity, and what the rise of evergreen vehicles means for private wealth investors looking to build a 5–20% infrastructure allocation.

In this episode:
– From Brooklyn to Bloomberg engineering to BlackRock, UBS, and EQT
– How infrastructure investing evolved from privatizations to growth-focused operating companies
– Core, core-plus, and value-add infrastructure explained
– Infrastructure as an inflation hedge and where it fits between credit, real estate, and PE
– The AI CapEx boom, grid capacity, and the data center power gap
– Community pushback, water, and sustainability in AI data centers

Whether you're an allocator sizing an infrastructure sleeve, a fundraiser positioning a strategy, or an advisor fielding questions about how to get real exposure to AI beyond public tech names, this conversation lands at a pivotal moment.

Capital is flooding toward data centers and power; access is widening through evergreen vehicles, and the gap between essential, contracted infrastructure and momentum plays is getting harder to see. Erwin offers a grounded view from one of the firms that got there first, and a framework for separating durable cash flows from a hot trend before you commit capital.

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