
The Money, the Court, and the Blackout — with Washington Monthly's Bill Scher
Bill Scher of the Washington Monthly joins Matt Robison to argue about the three stories driving the 2026 midterms: what campaign spending actually reveals about the battlefield, whether the Supreme Court is breaking the republic or quietly saving it, and what happens when the White House bans three news organizations and the networks respond by turning the cameras off. Republicans have booked more than $110 million in ads since August 1 in House districts Trump won by double digits — while cutting money out of Senate races they trail by eight points. Bill reads that as a party bracing for a blue wave. Matt argues most published spending numbers are misleading until you know whether the money is candidate money or super PAC money, because candidate dollars buy roughly three times the airtime.Bill Scher, “If You Don't Like Polls, Follow the Money” — https://washingtonmonthly.com/2026/09/22/if-you-dont-like-polls-follow-the-money/Bill Scher, “The Supreme Court Still Works as the Founders Intended” — https://washingtonmonthly.com/2026/09/18/supreme-court-founders-lifetime-appointments/Bill Scher, “Will It Be a Blue Wave?” — https://washingtonmonthly.com/2026/09/09/will-it-be-a-blue-wave/Matt Robison, “Eight Weeks of Money Headlines Are Coming. Here's How to Read Them.” — https://worthknowing.substack.com/p/eight-weeks-of-money-headlines-areMatt Robison, “The Election You Can't See” — https://worthknowing.substack.com/p/the-election-you-cant-seeMatt Robison, “Trump Is Breaking the Constitution. The Supreme Court Is Breaking the Republic.” — https://worthknowing.substack.com/p/trump-is-breaking-the-constitutionSubscribe to Worth Knowing with Matt Robison — https://worthknowing.substack.comCHAPTERS0:00 Open: the money, the Court, and the media blackout1:00 Bill's money map — read the direction of spending, not the quantity3:00 Minnesota, Kansas, Mississippi: where the map is actually expanding4:30 $110 million into House districts Trump won by double digits5:30 PVI versus “Trump won it by 10” — answering Henry Olsen7:00 What 2018 actually took, and why Democrats start from a better number9:30 Are the Cook race ratings underselling Democrats?12:30 In defense of Cook: what the ratings do and don't claim14:30 Why Mike Rogers should be breaking with Trump in Michigan — and can't17:30 Matt's 2010 story: when breaking with your own president isn't an option18:30 Candidate money versus super PAC money, and who holds the leverage20:30 The rulings that turbocharged party committees and weakened super PACs26:30 The $94 million Texas headline, decoded27:30 $80 per registered voter in dark money in the Maine Senate race30:30 Why Talarico is leading, and Texas Republicans' affordability problem33:00 Missouri's map whiplash, on its way back to the Supreme Court33:30 The debate: is the Court breaking the republic or holding the line?37:30 Mail ballots, three Trump appointees, and Federalist 7839:00 The alternate timeline: what if Democrats had packed the Court first?40:00 Hungary, Orbán, and the cost of losing an independent judiciary41:30 Matt's case: judicial supremacy is younger than Ellen DeGeneres44:30 Alito, Thomas, and a Court that polices its own corruption45:30 The 18-year rotating term — where we agree and where we don't46:30 Is the problem the structure or the people?48:00 Why passing it on a party-line vote invites the next round50:30 Merrick Garland and the senators who had the power and didn't use it51:30 Spend a majority on process, not on a person53:00 Door number one or door number two: the bipartisan path54:00 Lightning round: Trump bans three outlets, the networks black him out55:30 Does less television coverage of Trump actually help him?56:30 The verdict: cover him through November, then shut it off57:30 Where to find Bill Scher#2026Midterms #SupremeCourt #BlueWave #CampaignFinance #DarkMoney #MidtermElections #Politics #PressFreedom #WashingtonMonthly #WorthKnowing
More episodes from "Beyond Politics"



Don't miss an episode of “Beyond Politics” and subscribe to it in the GetPodcast app.








