Joe Manchin on the Fight for America’s Future: Term Limits, Bipartisanship & the 2028 Election

(0:00) Chamath and Jason welcome Senator Joe Manchin! (4:20) Blocking Build Back Better, defending the filibuster while dealing with paid protestors and death threats (19:39) How Biden's staff pushed him to the far left, mental acuity, how he "lost the will to fight," why Obama was an "elusive" president (28:12) Why socialism is on the rise in America, entitlement culture (37:06) Importance of term limits in Congress, Joe's favorite current senators, cascading issues from the loss of bipartisanship (52:25) Breaking the Dem/Rep duopoly by opening up primaries, thoughts on midterms in 2026 (57:18) Expectation vs reality for Obama, Trump and Biden presidencies; thoughts on the 2028 election Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Introducing Jan Sramek (0:51) How California Forever is building America’s next great city Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana’s global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world’s largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Jan: https://x.com/jansramek Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Bestie intros! Dreamforce and another interesting conference take the Bay Area (3:35) State of crime in SF, do they need the National Guard? (20:48) US to impose price floors after China puts export controls on rare earths, can America on-shore a full-stack rare earth industry? (36:15) State of US-China ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting, how we got here, China's elite mercantilism and strong economic history (52:59) AI PR crisis: Recent datacenters get denied Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/10/us/marc-benioff-san-francisco-guard.html https://www.wsj.com/opinion/san-francisco-cleans-up-for-xi-why-not-for-thee-242c67e3 https://x.com/the_jefferymead/status/1978130345200427334 https://www.sfchronicle.com/opinion/nualabishari/article/san-francisco-harm-reduction-managed-alcohol-19489131.php https://www.kqed.org/news/11985941/sf-program-isnt-just-free-beer-for-unhoused-its-backed-up-by-research https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/jb-pritzker-won-14-million-vegas-playing-blackjack-rcna237961 https://www.ft.com/content/ca3b3254-e161-41d1-b459-bc3c83004e4e https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/12/business/china-rare-earth-export-controls.html https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115351840469973590 https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115350455734003647 https://mpmaterials.com/mountain-pass https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-track-meet-xi-south-korea-bessent-says-2025-10-13/ https://chinapower.csis.org/tracker/china-gdp https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-communist-party-holds-plenum-its-next-five-year-plan-what-does-it-mean-2025-10-15 https://www.economist.com/china/2025/10/09/xi-jinping-is-personally-involved-in-chinas-new-five-year-plan https://www.amazon.com/Lee-Kuan-Yew-Insights-international/dp/0262019124 https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/The-Australian-November-18-2005.pdf https://nationalinterest.org/feature/can-china-rise-peacefully-10204 https://www.whitecase.com/insight-alert/china-imposes-extraterritorial-jurisdiction-and-50-rule-export-controls-rare-earth https://www.jdsupra.com/legalnews/commerce-department-issues-affiliates-5215830/ https://www.amazon.com/End-History-Last-Man/dp/0743284550 https://www.amazon.com/Clash-Civilizations-Remaking-World-Order/dp/1451628978 https://www.amazon.com/World-Flat-History-Twenty-first-Century/dp/0374292884 https://x.com/balajis/status/1937517664907460980 https://x.com/chamath/status/1978584886329082098 https://www.datacenterwatch.org/report https://x.com/chamath/status/1977794775148601541

(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Andrew Ross Sorkin to discuss his new book, "1929: Inside the Greatest Crash in Wall Street History--and How It Shattered a Nation" (0:38) Why he chose this time period (3:22) The setup: what led to the 1929 crash (19:24) The characters: major players in the 1929 crash; what kind of bubble are we experiencing in 2025? (26:21) Role of journalist vs market participant; characters of the 2025 market (30:10) AI's potential 1929-like impact on unemployment (35:16) Why socialism is flaring up now more than it did post-1929 (40:34) Does the US need a 2025 "New Deal" on cutting spending, tariff balancing act (46:51) Film rights strategy Buy Sorkin's new book: https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered/dp/0593296966 Follow Andrew Ross Sorkin: https://x.com/andrewrsorkin Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.amazon.com/1929-Inside-Greatest-History-Shattered/dp/0593296966 https://archive.org/details/sim_ladies-home-journal_1929-08_46_8/page/n9/mode/2up

(0:00) Introducing Orlando Bravo (1:53) Orlando’s history, Puerto Rico origins, how he got into private equity (7:10) How he runs Thoma Bravo: small team, outward facing, mentorship, patience in fundraising (9:01) Role of PE in the American economy, public perception, underwriting AI risks (15:23) Deal pricing philosophy, acquiring Boeing’s avionics business (19:24) Thoma Bravo’s operating playbook after acquiring a company (26:16) Thoughts on taking Thoma Bravo public Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana’s global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world’s largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Orlando Bravo: https://x.com/orlandobravotb Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Introducing Bryan Johnson (0:46) Bryan takes the audience through a quick biological age test (5:53) The single best longevity hack from all of his research Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana’s global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world’s largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Bryan Johnson: https://x.com/bryan_johnson Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Introducing Cathie Wood (0:47) Cathie Wood on AI’s once in a lifetime opportunity: doubling GDP, deflation, and more (9:23) Cathie’s bull case for Bitcoin $1M (11:38) Opening up access to innovation for retail (14:32) Cathie explains Ark’s strategies for bull and bear markets (16:01) Thoughts on Elon’s trillion-dollar pay package Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana’s global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world’s largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Cathie Wood: https://x.com/cathiedwood Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Bestie intros: Welcome back Brad Gerstner! (2:48) Israel-Hamas ceasefire, how Trump and his team got the deal done (13:27) National Guard sent to Chicago to protect ICE Agents (44:02) OpenAI's deal with AMD, state of the "AI Bubble" (1:05:45) Circular AI deals: cause for concern or no big deal? (1:15:00) What's behind the Gold rally? (1:20:38) Polymarket receives $2B investment from NYSE owner ICE, future of prediction markets Follow Brad: https://x.com/altcap Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115340993884364431 https://x.com/RapidResponse47/status/1972726021196562494 https://x.com/JasonJournoDC/status/1976080696209760487 https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/2005/05/23/israels-lawyer/7ab0416c-9761-4d4a-80a9-82b7e15e5d22 https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/10/09/gaza-ceasefire-deal-trump-nobel-prize https://x.com/BillAckman/status/1976307397099471229 https://polymarket.com/event/will-hamas-release-all-israeli-hostages-by-october-31?tid=1760021581013 https://www.newsweek.com/ice-rappel-black-hawk-helicopters-chicago-10809228 https://www.chicago.gov/city/en/depts/mayor/press_room/press_releases/2025/october/city-property-executive-order.html https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/10/chicago-mayors-ice-free-zones-shield-violent-criminal-illegals-abandon-citizens https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1965294885373947928 https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1972716966831120601 https://x.com/unlimited_ls/status/1975302286969631204 https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trumps-approval-rating-boost-cities-crime-crackdown-10840101 https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2025/08/20/dc-poll-trump-crime-police/ https://marylandmatters.org/2025/09/05/moore-orders-state-police-to-assist-baltimore-cops-in-crime-reduction-efforts https://www.politico.com/newsletters/west-wing-playbook-remaking-government/2025/04/28/musk-and-doge-have-a-poll-problem-00313461 https://x.com/wallstreetapes/status/1976030014614421936 https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1976020869752508907 https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openai-amd-deal-ai-chips-ed92cc42 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/tether-gold-xaut-hits-1b-080222337.html https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/07/nyse-owner-intercontinental-exchange-2-billion-polymarket-stake.html https://polymarket.com/event/will-polymarket-us-go-live-in-2025?tid=1760113275545

(0:00) Introducing Roelof Botha (1:08) Sequoia’s Scout program and its best-performing funds ever (3:38) State of Venture Capital: Why it’s broken, too much capital, not enough great companies (9:01) Why Sequoia separated from its China business, how they adapt to changing macro landscapes (13:05) Sequoia’s culture, picking partners, investment decision-making, The Sequoia Capital Fund and holding winners (20:18) What makes a great founder, what Roelof learned from Doug Leone and Michael Moritz (26:06) Investing in biotech, importance of expertise in VC Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana’s global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - The world’s largest prediction market. https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Roelof: https://x.com/roelofbotha Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg

(0:00) Introducing YouTube CEO Neal Mohan (1:08) YouTube’s revenue split with creators (7:30) How Neal thinks about enabling monoculture and connective threads at YouTube (11:23) Censorship on YouTube, demonetization decisions, dealing with different regimes and laws globally (19:58) YouTube TV, YouTube Premium, and channel subscriptions (24:00) Generative AI on YouTube: labeling AI, likeness concerns, possibilities Thanks to our partners for making this happen! Solana - Solana is the high performance network powering internet capital markets, payments, and crypto applications. Connect with investors, crypto founders, and entrepreneurs at Solana’s global flagship event during Abu Dhabi Finance Week & F1: https://solana.com/breakpoint OKX - The new way to build your crypto portfolio and use it in daily life. We call it the new money app. https://www.okx.com/ Google Cloud - The next generation of unicorns is building on Google Cloud's industry-leading, fully integrated AI stack: infrastructure, platform, models, agents, and data. https://cloud.google.com/ IREN - IREN AI Cloud, powered by NVIDIA GPUs, provides the scale, performance, and reliability to accelerate your AI journey. https://iren.com/ Oracle - Step into the future of enterprise productivity at Oracle AI Experience Live. https://www.oracle.com/artificial-intelligence/data-ai-events/ Circle - The America-based company behind USDC — a fully-reserved, enterprise-grade stablecoin at the core of the emerging internet financial system. https://www.circle.com/ BVNK - Building stablecoin-powered financial infrastructure that helps businesses send, store, and spend value instantly, anywhere in the world. https://www.bvnk.com/ Polymarket - https://www.polymarket.com/ Follow Neal: https://x.com/nealmohan Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg