The Disciplined Investor

The Fed cuts and keeps markets guessing. Silver hits a record – up 100% this year. Looking at frameworks and fake transparency. And our guest – Ed Easterling, Founder and President of Crestmont Research NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Ed Easterling is the founder and President of Crestmont Holdings, an Oregon-based investment management and research firm that publishes provocative research on the financial markets at www.CrestmontResearch.com. He has over thirty years of alternative investment experience, including financial markets, private equity, and business operations. Mr. Easterling is the author of recently-released Probable Outcomes: Secular Stock Market Insights and Unexpected Returns: Understanding Secular Stock Market Cycles (Cypress House; 2005). In addition, he is contributing author to Just One Thing (John Wiley & Sons; 2005) and co-author of chapters in Bull‘s Eye Investing by John Mauldin. Mr. Easterling is a Senior Fellow and a Board Member at the Alternative Asset Management Center at SMU‘s Cox School of Business in Dallas, and previously served as a member of the adjunct faculty teaching the course on alternative investments and hedge funds for MBA students. Mr. Easterling holds a BBA in business, a BA in psychology, and an MBA from Southern Methodist University. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (SPY), (QQQ), (NVDA), (IBM)

Quick flip and pivot – Fed in focus. Stagflation alert – inflation remains sticky. Unemployment – ADP show massive losses in one category. Looking into the Prediction Markets with our guest, Andrew Wilkinson – Director of Trading Education at Interactive Brokers.    NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Andrew Wilkinson, Director of Trading Education at Interactive Brokers. Andrew joined Interactive Brokers in 2007 with a background in interest rate and derivative trading in the city of London during the 1990s. Andrew joined IBKR to create market commentary about stocks, options, forex and bonds for the website before helping create the IBKR Campus, which covers Traders’ Insight, Traders’ Academy, webinars, podcasts and a variety of other financial training for investors of all levels. Andrew has an MBA from Rollins College FL. Learn More at http://www.ibkr.com/funds Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ eNVESTOLOGY Info – https://envestology.com/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (BTCUSD), (DIA), (SPY)

Tax Relief Boosts Corporate Earnings S&P 500 Financial Performance Analysis Share Buybacks and Market Indices Guest, Howard Silverblatt – Senior Industry Analyst, Index Investment Strategy, for S&P Dow Jones Indices NEW! Download the AI Generated Show Notes (Guest Segment) Howard Silverblatt (@hsilverb) is Senior Industry Analyst, Index Investment Strategy, for S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI). In addition to general market research and commentary, Howard is responsible for the statistical analysis of S&P DJI’s family of U.S. Indices, including the world’s most followed stock market index, the S&P 500®. Howard has been with Standard & Poor’s since 1977, and has held various analytic, business development, and product positions. He joined S&P Indices in 1983 as an editor, and has since received numerous corporate and industry awards, most notably for his work on the creation and development of Standard & Poor’s core earnings and Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS®). Howard is widely quoted in top tier news publications around the world, providing in-depth analysis and information on a myriad of topics impacting the investment industry. Howard graduated with a B.S. in Business Management from Syracuse University.   Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (DELL), (BTCUSD)

We got numbers! NVIDIA EARNINGS – now we know – remarkable turnaround on the news. Yen at critical levels – global markets should be on alert. This week’s guest – Tim Knight – a self proclaimed Permabear. NEW! Download the AI Generated Show Notes (Guest Segment) Tim Knight has been charting and trading since 1987. His first stock trade was, in fact, on October 19, 1987 – the day of the crash – which perhaps goes a long way explaining his disposition toward bearishness. He has been involved in personal computers since late 1979 and, starting at age 16, began writing a couple dozen books about using and programming computers. His most recent writing has been focused on charting and the history of financial markets, including his newest books, Panic, Prosperity, and Progress, and, more recently, Silicon Valley Babble On and Solid State, his first novel. He has been running Slope since March 29 2005 and has, during that time, written more than 30,000 posts on the site. In 1992 Knight founded Prophet, a web-based technical analysis company that was acquired by Investools (and, later, Ameritrade) in January 2005. Tim served as Senior Vice President of Technology for Investools from 2005 through 2010. Both Barron’s & Forbes consistently named Prophet the #1 website for technical analysis. Besides running the Slope of Hope, Tim also hosts a daily show on the tastylive network, Trading Charts with Tim Knight. You can find Sam Burns & Mill Street Research at https://slopeofhope.com/ and on Twitter at @slopeofhope. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (GLD), (BTCUSD), (MSFT), ($YEN)

The Government is back open – is that a good thing? October’s economic data may be lost forever. Investors questioning valuations and the skinny on robotaxis with our Guest – Ross Gerber of Gerber Kawasaki. NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment)   Ross Gerber is the Co-Founder, President and CEO of Gerber Kawasaki Wealth and Investment Management. Ross oversees Gerber Kawasaki’s corporate and investment management operations as well as serves individual clients. Ross has become one of the most followed investors on social and in traditional media. His investment ideas and advice have made him a regular in the business news and he is featured on CNN, CNBC, Fox Business News, Bloomberg and Reuters as well as a contributing writer for Forbes.com. He has been ranked as one of the most influential investment advisors and Fintech innovators in America*. Ross and the Gerber Kawasaki team oversees well over a billion dollars of investments focused on technology, media and entertainment companies for clients and the firm. Gerber Kawasaki has grown to be a leader in Fintech by leveraging technology to work with a younger generation of clients. Ross is an expert in online marketing and social media as well as co-developed the company’s app for IOS. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – HERE Stocks mentioned in this episode: (NVDA), (TSLA), (AMD), (MSFT), (GOOGL), (GEV), (ORCL), (CRM)

The Emperor New Clothes – looks familiar. A closer look at valuations Tariffs under fire – Supreme court hearings. And our Guest, Manual Blay – The Dow Theory.com  – Newsletter – Home of the Schannep & Blay Timing Indicators. NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Manuel Blay is the editor of TheDowTheory.com, a top-ranked investment letter that has garnered a remarkable reputation for assisting investors in navigating Bear markets while maximizing profits during Bull markets. Mr. Blay’s investment Letter is frequently quoted by Forbes, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance, etc. Furthermore, he has extended the application of the Dow Theory beyond stocks to encompass U.S. bonds and precious metals. Throughout his career, Mr. Blay has actively traded for his personal portfolio. Prior to his endeavors as a trader and investment writer, he held a directorial position at an investment fund management company. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Follow @andrewhorowitz  Stocks mentioned in this episode: (DELL), (AMD), (NVDA), (AAPL), (F), (SPY), (QQQ)

Swiss cheese agreements. Overspending by big tech – could that be their  downfall? A rate cut in the dark and AI’s Impact on Future Workforce. Guest: Vitaliy Katsenelson is discussing the basic math of the markets, including where to actually find bargains. NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Follow @andrewhorowitz Vitaliy Katsenelson, born  and raised in Murmansk, Russia (the home for Russia‘s northern navy fleet, think Tom Clancy‘s Red October). Immigrated to the US from Russia in 1991 with all his  family three brothers, father, and stepmother. His  professional career is easily described in one sentence: He invest, He educates, he writes, and he could not dream of doing anything else. He is Chief Investment Officer at Investment Management Associates, Inc (IMA), a value investment firm based in Denver, Colorado. After he received his  graduate and undergraduate degrees in finance (cum laude) from the University of Colorado at Denver, and finished his  CFA designation, he wanted to keep learning. He figured the best way to learn is to teach. At first he taught an undergraduate class at the University of Colorado at Denver and later a graduate investment class at the same university that he designed based on his  day job. He found that the university classroom was not big enough, so he started writing. He writes a monthly column for Institutional Investor Magazine and he has  written articles for the Financial Times, Barron‘s, BusinessWeek, Christian Science Monitor, New York Post, and the list goes on. He was profiled in Barron‘s, and has  been interviewed by Value Investor Insight, Welling@Weeden, BusinessWeek, BNN, CNBC, and countless radio shows. Vitaliy has authored the Little Book of Sideways Markets (Wiley, 2010) and Active Value Investing (Wiley, 2007). Follow @vitaliyk Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ More information available on Horowitz & Company’s TDI Managed Growth Strategy Stocks discussed this week (ORCL), AMZN), (MSFT), (DIS), (AMD), (NVDA), (NOK)

It’s time to tend to tend to the garden – a little maintenance for the portfolio October does what it usually does Targets raised, analysts are trying to keep up – even if earnings miss And our guest – Danielle DiMartino Booth – the “Fed watcher” NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) As Founder & CEO of Quill Intelligence, Danielle DiMartino Booth set out to launch a #ResearchRevolution, redefining how markets intelligence is conceived and delivered. To build QI, she brought together a core team of investing veterans to analyze the trends and provide critical analysis on what is driving the markets – both in the United States and globally. A global thought leader on monetary policy, economics and finance, DiMartino Booth founded Quill Intelligence in 2018. She is the author of FED UP: An Insider’s Take on Why the Federal Reserve is Bad for America (Portfolio, Feb 2017), has a column on Bloomberg View, is a business speaker, and a commentator frequently featured on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox News, Fox Business News, BNN Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance and other major media outlets. Prior to Quill, DiMartino Booth spent nine years at the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas where she served as Advisor to President Richard W. Fisher throughout the financial crisis. Her work at the Fed focused on financial stability and the efficacy of unconventional monetary policy. DiMartino Booth began her career in New York at Credit Suisse and Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette where she worked in the fixed income, public equity, and private equity markets. DiMartino Booth earned her BBA as a College of Business Scholar at the University of Texas at San Antonio: she holds an MBA in Finance and International Business from the University of Texas at Austin and an MS in Journalism from Columbia University. Follow @DiMartinoBooth Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (AMZN), (GLD), (BTCUSD), (ORCL), (GOOG), (SMR), (CEG), (GEV), (AMD)

Bank earnings – looking good so far (for the big boys). CHINA TRADE WAR – but what that really mean? 10 yr yield tapping on 4% and markets showing another “V” recovery  – or fake out? And our guest, Howard Lindzon, Founder of Social Leverage.  NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Howard Lindzon has over 20 years of experience in both public and private market investing. He previously founded and managed the hedge fund Lindzon Capital, and is currently the founder and General Partner of the early-stage venture capital firm Social Leverage as well as the CEO at Stocktwits, the leading social platform for traders and investors. Through Social Leverage, he and his partners have been seed investors in startups like Robinhood, Beehiiv, and Manscaped to name a few. Howard was the founder of Wallstrip (acquired by CBS). Throughout his career, Howard has strongly advocated for and helped drive the decentralization and democratization of investing. He resides in Phoenix, AZ and Coronado, California. Follow @howardlindzon Learn More at http://www.ibkr.com/funds Follow @andrewhorowitz Looking for style diversification? More information on the TDI Managed Growth Strategy – https://thedisciplinedinvestor.com/blog/tdi-strategy/ Stocks mentioned in this episode: (GE), (BA), (AAPL). (GOOG), (DKNG), (HOOD)

The government is shutdown – How long this time? The Bubble – how much longer can it last? The healthcare sector gets a needed boost…. Guest: Tom Nelson, Franklin Templeton Funds  NEW! DOWNLOAD THIS EPISODE’S AI GENERATED SHOW NOTES (Guest Segment) Tom Nelson is a senior vice president and head of asset allocation portfolio management for Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions. He is a member of the Investment Strategy & Research Committee. He is a portfolio manager of a number of funds offered for sale in various jurisdictions. He is lead portfolio manager of the Franklin NextStep Fund series, the Franklin VolSmart Allocation VIP Fund and numerous model portfolio programs. He is portfolio manager of Franklin LifeSmart Retirement Target Funds, the Franklin Fund Allocator Series available in the United States and several custom institutional portfolio mandates. Mr. Nelson joined Franklin Templeton in 2007 and co-founded the firm’s quantitative research services group upon joining the company. He moved to Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions in 2009. Prior to working at Franklin Templeton, Mr. Nelson worked for Bloomberg LP from 1991 to 2007, where he was most recently manager of the Americas market specialist teams. Mr. Nelson holds a B.S. in accounting from the University of Delaware. He is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) charterholder and a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst (CAIA) charterholder. He is a member of the CFA Institute, the New York Society of Security Analysts and the Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst Association. Check this out and find out more at: http://www.interactivebrokers.com/ Looking to invest in The Disciplined Investor Managed Growth Strategy? Click HERE for the virtual tour. Follow @andrewhorowitz Stocks Mentioned in the Episode: (AMZN), (NFLX), (PLTR)