Don Durrett: Gold’s Delivery Dilemma – A Price Hike Catalyst?

In this podcast episode of Palisades Gold Radio, your host Tom Bodrovics welcomes back Michael Oliver from Momentum Structural Analysis. A length discussion on the outlook for silver and gold, stock market trends, and broader economic factors ensues. Oliver explains his $250 target for silver as realistic, noting historical precedents where silver outperformed gold during bull markets. He highlights the spread between silver and gold, emphasizing that silver could reach 2% of gold’s price, a significant move from its current level of around 1.13%. This would translate to a substantial increase in silver prices if gold rises significantly. Oliver believes gold will lead the way up but notes silver and gold miners may outperform due to their lower valuations relative to gold. He shows charts indicating gold’s strength against the S&P 500, with gold currently at about 45% of the index compared to a peak of 60%. Gold’s momentum remains strong despite minor pullbacks. Oliver warns that the stock market bubble is set to burst. He expects asset managers to shift funds into gold and related assets as the market weakens. The gold miners index (XAU) is undervalued compared to gold, suggesting significant potential gains once investors begin to reallocate capital. Oliver discusses the dollar’s potential decline, noting a critical momentum level that could signal a broader downtrend. A weaker dollar would likely boost commodities and gold, though he cautions against tying this directly to political factors like Trump’s policies. Reflecting on his book on anarcho-capitalism, Oliver suggests a shift away from statism toward market-driven solutions. He speculates that events like the stock market crash could catalyze significant policy changes, including tax reforms or central bank abolition. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Silver & Targets6:25 - Flight To Gold vs S&P9:33 - Gold Weekly Momentum12:17 - Equities & Bubbles16:18 - The Decline Grind?18:18 - XAU & Miners24:06 - Equity Selloff & Metals27:16 - Dollar Effects & Momentum33:30 - WTI Crude & Economic Reality38:25 - Cuts & Changes in Nations44:40 - Pain Points as Catalysts?48:18 - Large Long-Term Trends51:10 - DOGE & Ayn Rand54:06 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://www.olivermsa.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSAAmazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/y2roa7p5Free Report email: [email protected] Email MSA above, and they will send you this week's report for free, which covers many of the topics from this interview. J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton's International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City's Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton's Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s, Mike began to develop his proprietary momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992, the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank's Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical analysis. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.

Tom welcomes back Chris Rutherglen to take a very deep dive into a few gold charts. Chris is a PhD Scientist/Engineer, Level 3 CFA, and Publisher of the Gold Investor Research Substack. Chris explains how the long-term outlook for gold prices involves several key factors that influence its trajectory over time. One important aspect is the mid-cycle level of gold, which reflects the balance between the amount of gold available above ground and the overall money supply. When the money supply increases, this can raise the mid-cycle level, potentially leading to higher gold prices. Currently, gold is trading above this mid-cycle line, suggesting that a correction downward might be possible in the near term. Chris shows his charts for the debt-to-money supply ratio. Historically, this ratio has remained relatively stable at around 2.5% from the 1920s up until the late 1970s. However, after the financial crisis of 2008, it began to rise and has been declining since then. If this downward trend continues, it could drive gold prices higher as more money would be needed to support existing debt levels. Looking at long-term historical patterns, there is a suggestion that gold might reach a high point around $8,000 to $10,000 in the early 2030s. This projection is influenced by ongoing monetary expansion and economic conditions that favor safe-haven assets like gold. Despite these indicators Chris, expects predicting the future of gold prices with certainty is challenging due to a variety of factors, including inflation rates, global political and economic events, and policies set by central banks such as the Federal Reserve. Key elements to watch include quantitative easing measures and the levels of government debt, both of which play significant roles in shaping the growth of the money supply and their impact on gold demand. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction1:04 - Timeframes & Cycle Lengths7:52 - Long End Curve?11:58 - Levels and Zones21:00 - Gold Mid-Cycles Levels24:04 - Cycles & Calendar Periods30:15 - Probabilities & Targets32:35 - Gold & Equities Pullback33:42 - S&P GDP Ratio + CPI37:03 - Gold & Inflation42:35 - Gold Silver Ratio44:46 - Silver Price Outlook46:55 - Silver Timing & QE's51:16 - HUI Miners Vs. Gold54:15 - Major Miner Charts1:00:43 - Patience & Majors Costs1:07:30 - Long-Term Gold Timeline1:10:42 - All Sector Debt/US M21:18:12 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/CRutherglenSubstack: https://giresearch.substack.com Chris Rutherglen is a private investor whose primary occupation is in science & engineering with a focus on novel semiconductor devices for microwave and mm-wave applications. He began investing in the precious metal space in 2003 and has done well following a value-oriented investment approach. Although he has never been employed in the finance/investment field professionally, he did complete level 3 of the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) program in 2011. Chris has a BS in physics from the California Institute of Technology and a Ph.D. in Electrical Computer Engineering from the University of California, Irvin

Tom welcomes back Jan Nieuwenhuijs to explore the dynamics of the global gold market and its implications for global monetary systems. Key topics include the movement of gold from London to Comex, driven by concerns over tariffs and geopolitical shifts. Jan explains that this flow reflects both physical arbitrage and strategic reshuffling of gold reserves, with banks moving gold into the U.S. for potential future use or resale in Asia. The discussion also delves into the lack of transparency around U.S. gold audits, particularly at Fort Knox. Jan highlights issues with the auditing process, noting that compartments have been reopened multiple times without proper justification, raising questions about the integrity of the audits. He argues for an independent audit to ensure accountability and reassurance regarding the nation's gold holdings. Another significant point is the valuation of U.S. gold reserves at $42 per ounce, a relic from the Bretton Woods era aimed at demonetizing gold. Jan suggests that revaluing gold could unlock substantial funds but warns this would be inflationary. He also touches on the role of gold in China's financial strategy, noting that while official reports understate their purchases, they are actively accumulating gold to diversify away from the dollar. The conversation concludes with Jan emphasizing the importance of tracking central bank gold buying and developments in alternative payment systems like the BRICS M-Bridge, which could challenge the dollar's dominance. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:54 - Tariffs & LBMA Flows5:30 - Gold Demand & Lease Rates9:01 - Import Code Changes10:30 - U.S. Gold Reserve Audits20:14 - Time Req'd to Audit21:37 - Encumbrance Concerns24:35 - $42 U.S. Gold Valuation26:36 - U.S. Dollar Vs. Gold29:09 - Revaluing & Funding32:10 - Sovereign Wealth Fund?33:25 - Uncertainties & Credit37:50 - Deleveraging & Dollar41:00 - Eastern Perspective44:32 - China's Gold Holdings46:30 - Gold & Dollar Flight49:49 - Concluding Thoughts51:30 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Twitter: https://x.com/JanGold_Website: https://moneymetals.com Originally a sound engineer in the Dutch movie industry, Jan Nieuwenhuijs has devoted the last decade to in-depth gold market research. His commentary and analysis has earned him international recognition as a top expert on the Chinese gold market, the COMEX futures market, the London Bullion Market, and the Turkish gold market. At Money Metals, he writes about the international monetary system, central bank gold policies, the mechanics of the global gold market, the gold price, and economics in general.

Tom welcomes back Martin Armstrong from Armstrong Economics for a discussion on the never ending news cycle. Martin begins by reflecting on the current political landscape, comparing it to the challenges faced during the first Trump administration. Armstrong highlights how President Trump has learned from past mistakes, particularly in assembling a cabinet that is not tied to the "deep state." This shift, Armstrong argues, is crucial for enacting meaningful reforms. The conversation then turns to government waste and corruption, with Armstrong referencing specific examples of misallocated funds, such as support for a transgender opera in Columbia. He emphasizes the importance of transparency and accountability, especially given the staggering levels of debt that governments worldwide are accumulating. Armstrong warns that the current system is unsustainable and that a reckoning is inevitable when buyers for new debt no longer exist. Armstrong also delves into the global reserve currency status of the US dollar, explaining how its dominance emerged post-World War II. He discusses the manipulation of economic indicators, such as CPI adjustments, to hide the true state of fiscal health. Armstrong's firm has successfully forecasted economic trends and events, including Brexit, by focusing on raw data rather than political narratives. The interview then shifts to geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in Ukraine. Armstrong critiques the handling of the crisis, arguing that it is being used as a diversion from deeper economic problems. He suggests that the war serves the interests of certain European leaders who seek to weaken Russia and strengthen their own power. Armstrong also touches on the potential consequences of tariffs and trade policies under Trump, warning against the risks of contagion in global markets. He further discusses the Epstein files controversy, suggesting that the case is more about political manipulation than mere scandal. Armstrong posits that Epstein's activities were likely part of a broader espionage or blackmail scheme involving high-profile individuals. Finally, Armstrong offers advice to listeners, urging them to pay attention to developments in Europe and the flow of capital during times of conflict. He emphasizes the importance of understanding global economic trends and avoiding the pitfalls of mainstream media narratives. The interview concludes with a call for critical thinking and awareness of the complex interplay between politics, economics, and global security. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Trump & News Cycle3:18 - Government Waste7:52 - Leadership & Information12:12 - Trump & Mkt. Optimism?18:30 - Resource Deals & Peace23:10 - Europe Preps for War30:43 - Capital Flight & War35:08 - European Basket Case36:34 - U.S. 'Monetization'42:53 - Creation of the Fed47:00 - Fed Can't Stop Inflation49:12 - A Global Perspective53:05 - Trump & Tariff Impacts57:50 - Canada - U.S. Takeover?1:01:43 - Epstein Honey Trap1:09:37 - Watch Europe & Ukraine1:13:20 - Wrap Up Guest Links:Website: http://armstrongeconomics.comTwitter: https://x.com/strongeconomicsFacebook: https://facebook.com/martin.armstrong.167Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/ybtrslr9 Martin Armstrong is the Owner and Researcher for the website Armstrong Economics. He is the former chairman of Princeton Economics International Ltd. He is best known for his economic predictions based on the Economic Confidence Model, which he developed. At age 13, Armstrong began working at a coin and stamp dealership in Pennsauken, New Jersey. After buying a bag of rare Canadian pennies, he became a millionaire in 1965 at the age of 15. He continued to work on weekends through high school, finding the real-world exciting, for this was the beginning of the collapse of the gold standard. Martin became captivated by this shocking revelation that there were not just booms and busts,

Tom welcomes back Lawrence Lepard from Equity Management Associates to discuss his new book, "The Big Print: What Happened to America and How Sound Money Will Fix It." Lepard explains that the book aims to simplify complex monetary issues for the average reader, highlighting how the broken monetary system has fueled inflation, wealth inequality, and economic dysfunction. Lepard emphasized that the U.S. monetary system began deteriorating with Nixon's abandonment of the gold standard in 1971, leading to persistent inflation and debt accumulation. He argued that sound money — gold, silver, and Bitcoin — is essential to fix these issues. Gold provides stability, while Bitcoin offers a digital solution to scarcity and divisibility, though it is still volatile. The interview explored how inflation affects everyday life, with Lepard noting that the government's reported inflation rates often underestimate real costs. He criticized the Federal Reserve for prioritizing debt servicing over economic fairness, leading to a cycle of printing money that disproportionately harms wage earners. Lepard also discussed the political challenges in transitioning to sound money, suggesting that widespread public awareness and grassroots support are needed to push for systemic change. He warned against complacency, noting that the U.S. is on a trajectory toward a debt crisis unless decisive action is taken. The conversation concluded with Lepard encouraging listeners to engage with his book to better understand these issues and advocating for a future where sound money restores economic health and fairness. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - The Big Print7:20 - Where It All Went Wrong10:00 - CPI Chart 1800-200512:00 - Inflation a Key Issue15:00 - The Wealth Gap18:30 - Next Monetary Crisis21:20 - A Moral Imperative23:00 - Debt System Origin26:00 - Top Vs. Bottom Wealth27:00 - Why All Fiats Fail31:00 - Lies & Inflation Stats34:50 - Deflation Boogeyman38:00 - Solutions & Outcomes45:00 - Peg to Real Assets48:45 - Bitcoin Advantages52:20 - Resets & Reserve Currency56:30 - Book & Wrap Up Guest Links:Newsletter: http://eepurl.com/gOf1dTWebsite: http://www.ema2.comX: https://twitter.com/LawrenceLepard (Account is back)Book - The Big Print: https://tinyurl.com/4p4k6htt Lawrence W. Lepard is the Founder and Managing Partner of Equity Management Associates. He has spent his entire 38-year career as an investor, principally focusing on venture capital opportunities. Before co-founding EMA, Mr. Lepard spent 13 years at Geocapital Partners, in Fort Lee, NJ. There he was one of two Managing General Partners and was responsible for several venture capital funds. Before Geocapital, Mr. Lepard spent seven years at Summit Partners in Boston and California, where he was a General Partner at Summit I and Summit II. Mr. Lepard received his BA in Economics from Colgate University, and he received an MBA with Academic Distinction from Harvard Business School.

Tom welcomes back an always interesting guest who dives deeply into various financial topics; John Titus. Several key topics were discussed, including the banking crisis of March 2023, federal debt, central bank independence, and the implications of the Fed's policies. Titus began by revisiting his prediction of the banking crisis, attributing it to the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program during the pandemic. He explained that this led to a surge in commercial bank deposits, which ultimately caused instability when large deposits were withdrawn from banks like Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). Titus emphasized that these massive deposits, often exceeding $1 billion, were uninsured and posed significant risks when withdrawn rapidly. He discussed how the Fed's actions during the pandemic injected liquidity into non-bank entities, leading to a buildup of deposits in commercial banks. This created a situation where the failure of SVB was inevitable due to the withdrawal of large deposits. Moving on to federal debt, Titus expressed concern about the growing U.S. debt and its sustainability. He highlighted that the Fed's policies have led to a system where debt is used to finance government operations, creating a cycle of borrowing to cover interest payments. This spiral could lead to fiscal insolvency if not addressed. The discussion then turned to central bank independence and the implications of a Biden administration memo emphasizing central bank autonomy. Titus argued that in the U.S., the Federal Reserve is not truly independent but rather an agency under Congress, which has the constitutional authority to oversee it. He warned against efforts to model the Fed after systems like the European Central Bank, which operate independently of national governments, as this could erode democratic accountability. Titus also previewed his new series, "The War for Bankocracy," which explores the history and power dynamics of central banks. He emphasized the importance of constitutional governance over monetary policy, arguing that Congress must maintain control to prevent abuses of power by central bankers. Throughout the interview, Titus stressed the need for public awareness and engagement in monetary policy decisions, urging listeners to stay informed and advocate for transparency and accountability in how debt and money are managed. His analysis highlighted the interconnected risks posed by federal debt, banking instability, and central bank autonomy, emphasizing that these issues require immediate attention to prevent further economic crises. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:48 - Predicting Bank Failures4:12 - Bank System in 20256:43 - Risks or Manipulation10:06 - Fed, Deficits, & Austerity12:43 - Fed & Fiscal Dominance15:05 - The Debt Spiral20:15 - Extinguish Debt?23:40 - C.B. Gold Reserves25:57 - U.S. Rates & Debt Rollover27:07 - Treasury Dealers31:25 - Fed & Inflation34:59 - Neverending Puzzle36:30 - Debt Solutions?40:00 - Reverse Repo Status45:15 - Fed 'Independence'50:00 - Biden Memo Concerns52:26 - C.B. Independence55:20 - Bankocracy Series Guest Links:SubStack: https://bestevidence.substack.com/Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1843407Odysey: https://odysee.com/@BestEvidence:bYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BestEvidenceBankocracy Series Episodes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y-fPI_tleUo&list=PLXr4cxq6ih6DbS8NIMK3nAiEM8AggZ_DQ John Titus holds a masters degree in electrical engineering as well as a law degree and he uses these to pursue his "day job". However, John is also a staunch critic of central banking the federal reserve system and his diligent research has uncovered numerous lies and deceptions from the U.S. Federal Reserve regarding their actions/policies since 2008. John is the creator and executive producer of the "BestEvidence" YouTube channel and all of his documentaries can be found there. BestEvidence seeks to chronicle major financial forces and legal changes be...

Tom welcomes back economist John Williams, the founder of Shadow Government Statistics to discusses the current state of the economy and inflation under the Trump administration. Williams highlights the disconnect between market optimism and underlying economic weakness, emphasizing that while GDP growth appears strong, key indicators like retail sales, industrial production, and housing are lagging or negative year-over-year. He critiques the government's reporting methods, arguing that metrics such as GDP and CPI are manipulated to downplay inflation and inflate economic health. For instance, Williams points out that the consumer price index (CPI) has been redefined since the 1980s to suppress reported inflation rates by about 8 percentage points. This manipulation masks the true cost of living increases, particularly felt in housing costs. Williams also discusses the role of the Federal Reserve, noting its focus on maintaining banking stability over controlling inflation or economic growth. Despite efforts to reduce liquidity, the money supply remains excessively high, fueling inflationary pressures. He warns that this could lead to hyperinflation and a potential collapse of the dollar's value, with gold serving as a key indicator of these risks. Looking ahead, Williams predicts continued inflation and economic stagnation, with the possibility of a market crash or deeper recession within the next year. He underscores the importance of understanding inflation through alternative measures like gold prices, which reflect true economic conditions more accurately than official reports. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:34 - Trump & Weak Economy4:53 - GDP Comparisons8:09 - Stats & Market Reactions10:50 - Past Five Year Inflation16:14 - CPI Numbers & Gold18:30 - Inflationary Outlook21:03 - CPI Vs. Gold24:49 - Gold & New Highs?26:25 - Concluding Thoughts Guest Links:Website: https://shadowstats.comE-Mail: [email protected] Walter J. "John" Williams was born in 1949. He received an A.B. in Economics, cum laude, from Dartmouth College in 1971, and was awarded a M.B.A. from Dartmouth's Amos Tuck School of Business Administration in 1972, where he was named an Edward Tuck Scholar. During his career as a consulting economist, John has worked with individuals as well as Fortune 500 companies.

Tom welcomes a new guest Eric Yueng to explore the current state of the gold market, focusing on the LBMA's physical delivery delays, the surge in physical gold demand at the COMEX, and the implications for investors. Yueng explains that the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) has seen significant delays in physical gold deliveries, increasing from T+2 or T+4 to T+30 or even T+60. This has led to a surge in physical gold delivery requests at the COMEX, with volumes reaching 15 times normal levels in December and January, and continuing to rise in February. He attributes this surge to investors seeking physical metal rather than cash-settled contracts, driven by concerns over the LBMA's ability to deliver. Yueng discusses the role of exchange-for-physical (EFP) trading pairs, where arbitrageurs typically profit from price differences between COMEX and LBMA markets. However, the current demand for physical delivery has disrupted this mechanism, potentially leading to a "short squeeze" as those unable to secure physical gold are forced to cover their positions at higher prices. He suggests that large institutions, possibly acting on behalf of the U.S. government, are driving much of the physical gold demand. This aligns with reports of significant imports into the U.S., which he believes could be part of efforts to repatriate gold ahead of potential audits or revaluation. Yeung also touches on the role of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) like GLD, noting that borrowing rates have surged as institutions withdraw physical gold. This, combined with the LBMA's reported attempts to borrow gold from foreign central banks, highlights growing concerns about the availability and allocation of physical gold. Looking at China, Yeung notes that the country is preparing for higher gold prices through initiatives like the Gold Accumulation Program, which encourages retail investment in physical gold, and allowing insurance companies to invest in it. These moves are expected to significantly increase institutional demand for gold in China. Yueng contrasts this with the West, where sentiment toward gold remains lukewarm despite high prices, partly due to competition from cryptocurrencies. He predicts that if gold prices continue to rise, particularly beyond $3,500 per ounce, there could be a significant shift in investor behavior and increased demand for mining stocks. Finally, Eric addresses silver, suggesting that its price suppression may end as the U.S. seeks to support domestic mining interests amid manufacturing reshoring efforts. He highlights the growing deficit in silver supply and questions the LBMA's reported inventories. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:40 - EFP Premiums & LBMA3:44 - Demand & Deliveries9:19 - Who's Long/Short10:38 - U.S. Taking Delivery?17:53 - Remonetizing Assets?19:40 - ETFs & GLD Demand23:52 - LBMA & Availability26:48 - Change in U.S. Policy28:25 - China's Gold Strategy33:14 - Sentiment West/East36:43 - Expectations for Gold40:07 - Demand & The Miners42:05 - Margins & Sentiment45:37 - China & Silver Suppression51:13 - Wrap Up Guest Links:X.com: https://x.com/KingKong9888

Tom welcomes back Francis Hunt, known as "The Market Sniper," to discuss the importance of understanding various time frames in market analysis, particularly for gold and silver. He emphasizes that being bullish or bearish can vary across short-term, medium-term, and long-term perspectives. Hunt highlights the technical patterns he uses to predict market movements, such as head-and-shoulder setups and falling wedges, which help identify key entry and exit points. Hunt is long-term bullish on gold due to its role as a hedge against debt-based economic collapse. He warns that while gold may experience short-term corrections, it remains a strategic investment for preserving wealth. He advises investors to avoid putting lump sums into the market at current highs and instead use dollar-cost averaging or wait for pullbacks. Francis touches on silver, noting that it has broken out of a significant resistance level but could face volatility. Hunt suggests maintaining a diversified portfolio with a focus on gold as the primary investment, while considering silver when specific technical indicators align. Additionally, he mentions platinum as a potential high-performing asset due to its scarcity and current technical setup. Hunt cautions against the risks of totalitarianism and loss of privacy in the coming economic crisis. He advises listeners to prepare for both financial and societal challenges by reducing debt, preserving capital, and staying informed about global trends. He emphasizes the importance of adapting strategies based on changing market conditions and highlights the need for a holistic approach to wealth preservation. The interview concludes with Hunt encouraging listeners to stay vigilant and proactive in their financial planning, emphasizing that while times ahead may be challenging, careful preparation can help navigate the storm. Talking Points From This Episode0:00 - Introduction0:37 - Confusion & Timeframes15:12 - Accelerating Cycles/Debt21:00 - Yields & U.S. Tariffs25:40 - Debt & Dollar Balance28:37 - Gold & Oil Dynamics36:33 - Fed & Economic Data40:19 - Rates & Market Forces44:19 - Chart of Silver50:20 - Platinum Outlook54:30 - Preps & Wrap Up Guest LinksTwitter: https://twitter.com/themarketsniperTwitter: https://twitter.com/thecryptosniperWebsite: https://themarketsniper.com/YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/TheMarketSniper Francis is a trader, first and foremost. Unlike most educators in the trading space, Francis walks the walk and talks the talk, with 30 years of experience trading his personal capital on various markets and instruments. Through this passion for trading and his relentless study of markets and economic theory, he uses the Hunt Volatility Funnel trading methodology, a systemized approach, to answer the critical question: What is the next most profitable trade? He believes the actual price of an asset is the most accurate reflection of all the factors that influence it. Practical technical analysis, the study of price action over time, is needed to formulate profitable trade ideas. Indeed, with all the market manipulation and high-frequency trading operations currently in play, technical analysis is all that can be relied upon when it comes to formulating future price trends. A trained eye can often spot such manipulative practices, as is the case with HVF traders. Therefore, the HVF methodology is based purely on technical analysis. Francis is passionate about sharing his knowledge and understanding of markets by utilizing his HVF trading methodology. With entertaining anecdotes and the careful guidance of his students, he has already trained a large community of hundreds of traders and helped them transform from complete newbies to seasoned trading professionals. He genuinely loves sharing his knowledge and strategies with others who are committed to finding freedom through trading. Plus, teaching strengthens his trading abilities while helping to build a v...

Tom welcomes back Peter Schiff, the CEO and Chief Economist of Euro Pacific Asset Management, Chairman of Schiff Gold, and host of Schiff Radio to the show. Peter discusses inflation, central banking policies, and the implications of stagflation on the economy. He emphasizes that inflation is fundamentally caused by an expansion in the money supply and credit, rather than rising prices alone. Schiff argues that the Federal Reserve's actions, including quantitative easing and low interest rates, have fueled inflation and exacerbated economic instability. Schiff critiques the government's handling of inflation, noting that it often deflects blame onto businesses or labor unions instead of addressing the root causes. He warns that continued deficit spending and debt accumulation will lead to higher inflation and potentially a financial crisis. Schiff also highlights the role of tariffs and trade policies in affecting prices and trade deficits, though he doubts their effectiveness in fundamentally altering the economic landscape. The discussion turns to gold and precious metals as a hedge against inflation. Schiff notes that despite record earnings from gold mining companies, investor sentiment remains cautious, with many preferring speculative assets like cryptocurrencies or AI stocks. He believes this presents an opportunity for investors to capitalize on undervalued gold mining stocks before prices rise significantly. Schiff also touches on the potential impact of rising interest rates in Japan and the yen carry trade, warning that unwinding these positions could disrupt global markets. Additionally, he discusses the role of central banks in buying gold as a form of portfolio insurance and predicts continued demand for precious metals as investors seek safe havens amid economic uncertainty. Time Stamp References:0:00 - Introduction0:45 - Causes of Inflation9:40 - Fed Inflation Targets15:09 - Fed & Data Dependence17:37 - Lower Dollar Problem22:10 - Deepseek AI & China24:33 - Overvaluations27:36 - Tariff Threats & Trade31:18 - Japanese Bond Yields34:40 - LBMA & Lease Rates38:33 - Country of Origin41:47 - Gold Chinese Insurers48:38 - Miners and Earnings58:12 - Thoughts on Silver1:00:59 - Wrap Up Tallking Points From This Episode Inflation is caused by money supply expansion, not just rising prices, and central banks are the primary culprits. Gold and precious metals offer protection against inflation, with mining stocks currently undervalued despite strong fundamentals. Economic instability and stagflation risks loom large, driven by debt, deficits, and ineffective monetary policies. Guest Links:Podcast: https://schiffradio.com/Website: https://schiffgold.com/Website: https://schiffsovereign.com/Website: https://europac.com/Twitter: https://twitter.com/PeterSchiffYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCIjuLiLHdFxYtFmWlbTGQRQ Peter Schiff is an honorary chairman of SchiffGold, founder of Euro Pacific Asset Management, and host of The Peter Schiff Show. Peter is an economic forecaster and investment advisor influenced by the free-market Austrian School of economics. He is one of the few forecasters who accurately and publicly predicted the 2007 housing market collapse and subsequent 2008 financial crisis. His latest best-selling book, The Real Crash: America's Coming Bankruptcy - How to Save Yourself and Your Country, warns that the 2008 crisis was just the prelude to a larger sovereign debt crisis in the United States that may lead to a collapse of the US dollar. Peter recommends long-term investment in foreign markets with sound fiscal policies, as well as global commodities including buying gold, silver and other physical precious metals.