What’s the best way to adjust trade size for volatility? | 9.9.24 OVTLYR Trading Room

In this video, we dive into today's market movements following a significant announcement from the Federal Reserve. The market has been on a tear, with stocks surging in response to the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. As you might expect, lower interest rates often lead to a flood of cash into the stock market, and today was no exception. But what does this mean for traders and investors? More importantly, is this rally sustainable, or are we looking at a temporary boost? We'll break down the implications of the Fed's decision, what it means for stocks like SPY, Zillow, and Carvana, and explore key signals that might indicate whether this momentum will hold or fade. The analysis also covers the market's overall sentiment, diving into the balance between fear and greed, and how these emotional extremes can impact the trades you're watching. During today's session, we identified some important buy and sell signals across key stocks, using OVTLYR’s cutting-edge analysis tools. For example, Carvana saw an incredible 29% move, and while some trades hit big wins, not everything was perfect, as shown in a 5.6% loss on Zillow. But that's all part of the process—balancing wins and losses, and adjusting strategies based on real-time data and market conditions. We also discuss the importance of following a plan, keeping calm under market pressure, and why it's critical to not chase every move in a volatile environment. Whether you're trading the SPY or smaller names like Lenar or Sprouts Farmers Market, the focus remains the same: analyzing the market trends, reading investor sentiment, and making informed decisions based on solid data. Throughout the video, you’ll also get a look into the backtesting results on these stocks, examining how past signals have played out in real trades. With tools like the price trajectory oscillator and market breadth indicators, we take a deeper look at how to time entries and exits effectively, focusing on those key moments when greed or fear dominate the market. The video wraps up with a quick peek into OVTLYR’s member community, where traders share their strategies and insights in real-time, supporting each other through the ups and downs of the market. If you're into trading or want to sharpen your skills, it's definitely worth checking out. Get ready for an insightful ride through today’s trading landscape, packed with valuable lessons and actionable insights you can apply in your own trading journey. #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #FedAnnouncement #InterestRates #SPY #Zillow #Carvana #Investing #MarketAnalysis #StockTrading #OVTLYR #FinancialMarkets #DayTrading #StockPicks

In today’s video, we dive into a Fed Day market analysis, reviewing how traders reacted to the latest announcements and highlighting key opportunities. Trading around major economic events can often feel like a rollercoaster, but today’s market was surprisingly stable, closing only 18 basis points from yesterday. Despite this calm, sharp traders found ways to profit by recognizing the right signals. We begin by analyzing the intraday chart, which showed a volume spike that led to a brief rally, followed by a reversal. For those who managed to catch both moves, it was an excellent opportunity for quick gains. We break down these setups so that even if you missed this trade, you’ll learn how to spot similar opportunities in the future. One standout stock today was Zillow ($Z), which saw a 5% spike. If you were watching the 62-strike options, they doubled in price in under 30 minutes. This kind of move, especially on Fed Day, shows why staying engaged with the market pays off. Next, we dive into the Fed’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. This signals more rate cuts are likely, impacting inflation and the broader economy. We explore how this news can influence longer-term trades and how the Fed’s projections on inflation and unemployment could shape various industries. Another surprise mover was Lunar ($LUNR), which shot past $8 after weeks of trading between $3 and $5. It wasn’t on our watchlist, but traders who caught this move saw solid returns. This reinforces the value of watching stocks that may not be in the spotlight but have breakout potential. We also discuss how to use the CME FedWatch tool, which tracks rate hike or cut probabilities. On days like today, even slight changes in expectations can move the market significantly, making it a must-have tool for traders. Market breadth was also notable, with 63 stocks making bullish moves despite the calm market close. We show how to use market breadth indicators to stay ahead of trends, even when broader indices remain flat. For those following our "golden ticket" strategy, we covered how to use moving averages like the 10 over 20 to identify trends. While SPY is showing bullish signals, we also discuss how to watch for potential sell signals to manage risk effectively. Finally, we discuss how to manage risk by adjusting position sizes using ATR (Average True Range) and explore how order blocks can help time entries and exits more effectively. If you want to improve your trading and spot new opportunities, check out the full video, where we cover everything from intraday action to macro trends. #FedDay #Zillow #Lunar #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #Volatility Be sure to like and subscribe, and let us know how your trades went today!

In today’s video, we’re breaking down the power of using simple moving averages to level up your trading game. If you’ve ever wondered how to spot strong trends in the market and avoid getting caught off guard, this is the perfect guide for you. We’ll walk you through the basics of the 10-day, 20-day, and 50-day moving averages and show you how to use them to make smarter, faster trading decisions. We kick things off by diving into the 10-day moving average, which helps you track short-term momentum. Then we move into the 20-day moving average for those intermediate trends and finally hit the 50-day for the long-term view. Along the way, we break down real-world examples, including recent performance from the S&P 500 (SPY) and the incredible uptrend in General Electric (GE). If you’ve been watching GE's price action, you’ll see exactly how it almost doubled in a matter of months—using the same techniques we’re covering in this video. We’re not just throwing numbers at you—this is about how you can actually use these moving averages to find profitable opportunities and avoid common trading mistakes. Whether you’re new to trading or you’ve been in the game for a while, the strategies we talk about will help you spot bullish or bearish trends and time your entries and exits like a pro. Plus, we’ll share some personal stories about the costly lessons learned by going against the trend (spoiler alert: don’t do it!). And of course, we also highlight how OVTLYR’s tools can help you make these strategies even easier by giving you real-time insights on investor behavior and market trends. If you’re looking to save time, reduce risk, and boost your wins, this is a must-watch. So, jump in with us, and by the end, you’ll feel confident using these simple but powerful indicators in your trading. Don’t forget to hit that like button and share this with your fellow traders. Let’s keep learning and winning together! #StockTrading #TradingTips #MovingAverages #DayTrading #SwingTrading #StockMarket #SPYAnalysis #GEStock #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategies #TradeSmarter #OVTLYR

Welcome to the OVTLYR Trading Room, where trading is made simple and effective. In today’s session, we’re diving deep into key market insights and breaking down how you can leverage OVTLYR data to save time, make money, and reduce risk. Let’s start by walking through how OVTLYR works. It’s a 4-step system that tracks how investors are reacting to market changes, price movements, news, and the broader economy. When irrational behaviors like fear and greed hit extremes, OVTLYR steps in with buy and sell signals, giving you the chance to jump into trades right before the big moves happen. Today, the SPY index is giving us a lot to think about. We’re seeing a bullish trend with the 10-over-20 moving average, and the price is holding above the 50-day moving average. But here’s where it gets interesting—while the trend is looking strong, OVTLYR is signaling a potential sell. There’s also bearish market breadth, which means it’s time to play it smart and keep an eye on those multiple signals: market trend, market breadth, and sector analysis. That’s where the real trading edge lies. We also dive into the mindset side of things. One of the biggest lessons here is about trading psychology. The best traders know it’s not just about having a strategy—it’s about how you think. Approaching trades with a mindset of probabilities, avoiding emotional reactions, and always predefining your risk are key. By letting your winners run and knowing when to exit during extreme market conditions, you set yourself up for long-term success. For options traders, there’s a great discussion on rolling up strikes to reduce delta risk. This is a super practical move that helps you take profits while staying in the trade. It’s all about capturing gains without exposing yourself to unnecessary risk—making sure you stay ahead of the game. The session also highlights the importance of discipline in trading. Sticking to your plan, only taking trades that are fully set up, and ignoring market noise are what separate successful traders from the rest. It’s about patience and discipline, both of which lead to more consistent results. Looking to sharpen your trading mindset? Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas is an essential read. It’s a fantastic resource for understanding how to think like a professional trader and manage your mental approach to the market. And don’t miss out—OVTLYR is offering its lowest pricing of the year until September 30th. For just $299 annually (that’s 82 cents a day!), you can get full access to everything OVTLYR offers. Prices are going up soon, so now’s the time to take advantage of this deal and master the market! Click here to get OVTLYR’s Special Offer: https://www.ovtlyrdeal.com/start-here61800575 #StockTrading #Investing #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis #TradingPsychology #GoldenTicketStrategy #SPYAnalysis #MarketTrends #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategies #Finance #InvestSmart #OVTLYR #MakeMoney #SaveTime #StartWinning #LessRisk #TradingMindset

In this video, we’re unlocking one of the most powerful trading secrets: order blocks. If you’ve ever wondered why price hits a certain point and either bounces or breaks through, you’re about to find out exactly what’s going on behind the scenes. Spoiler: it’s all about where the big players are hiding their trades. Once you know how to spot order blocks, you can seriously level up your trading game. We start off with a quick Costco run story (because seriously, who leaves Costco without spending way more than planned?), but after that, we jump straight into the good stuff. The market right now? It's weird. We’re seeing a bullish trend, but bearish market breadth—basically, the market's moving up, but not everything is playing along. That’s a massive red flag for traders looking to dive in without checking all the signals. Then we break down some key stocks like Amazon, Etsy, and Tesla, and this is where it gets wild. You’ll see how order blocks act like invisible walls, stopping or pushing price with pinpoint accuracy. Amazon’s got an order block from January 2023 that’s still holding strong, and Etsy? It keeps bouncing between order blocks from last year. Then we look at Tesla, which has FOUR massive order blocks stacked on top of it—good luck breaking through that anytime soon! Here’s the thing: a lot of traders get caught chasing moves without knowing these hidden zones even exist. That’s why having rules and patience is everything in trading. We talk about how following the rules saves you from bad trades and helps you lock in on the real opportunities. I also share my golden ticket trading strategy, which keeps things super simple. Forget about all the noise—just focus on order blocks, moving averages, and ATR for position sizing. Trust me, it works. We dive into how this strategy helps you cut out the clutter and focus on what really matters. But it doesn’t stop there. We check out GE, where an order block set way back in November 2021 has kept the stock on a huge uptrend—an 84% gain over 159 candles. This isn’t just luck; it’s how the market moves when you know where to look. We even get into a little more advanced stuff like VWAP, MACD crossovers, and Bollinger Bands. But don’t worry, we keep it chill and easy to follow. The main takeaway? You don’t need a million indicators. Just use the ones that help you actually make smart trades. Then we show you how to tweak the sensitivity settings on the order blocks, which can change the game for you. A setting of 50 shows you the bigger, more important order blocks, but dropping it to 28 helps you find hidden opportunities, especially if you’re a day trader looking for those short-term plays. It’s like having a backstage pass to the market. By the end of this video, you’ll not only understand what order blocks are, but you’ll be able to use them to spot high-probability trades and dodge the bad ones. This is a strategy that can completely change the way you approach the market. Also, heads up! If you’re not using OVTLYR yet, now’s your chance to lock in the lowest price of the year until September 30th—just $299 for a full year. That’s less than a dollar a day to get access to AI-powered tools that help you save time, make more money, and lower your trading risk. Don’t miss out on that. #StockTradingSecrets #OrderBlocksExplained #LevelUpYourTrading #AmazonStock #TeslaStock #DayTradingHacks #InvestingForBeginners #OVTLYRTrading #StockMarketAnalysis #SmartInvesting #TechnicalAnalysisTips #BullishVsBearish #InvestingMadeSimple Hit the like button if you're ready to take your trading to the next level, and don’t forget to subscribe so you never miss a video. We’re all about helping you win in the market, and there’s plenty more coming!

Welcome back to the OVTLYR Trading Room! In today’s session, we’re tackling a mix of technical hiccups and market trends, keeping our focus sharp on some interesting stocks. We’re analyzing Citibank (C), Etsy (ETSY), JPMorgan (JPM), and XLF today, so let’s dive right into the juicy details. Today’s star is Etsy (ETSY), catching our eye with a solid 6.93% positive signal—looks like there's potential for more downside action here. General Motors (GM) and Nike (NKE) also popped up on our radar with possible bearish trends, but they didn’t quite meet our trade criteria. As always, our strategy is all about alignment—making sure short-term, intermediate, and long-term trends agree before we make a move. Across the sectors, it's mostly bearish vibes except for real estate and staples. It’s all about keeping that discipline and patience, crucial for navigating these choppy markets. Highlights of Key Stocks: Citibank (C) had some movements but didn’t hit our trading criteria. Etsy (ETSY) presented a clear downtrend, dropping 11% from July to now, signaling more potential for shorts. JPMorgan (JPM) and XLF are on our watch list, but today wasn’t their day for action. General Motors (GM) showed signs of weakness, but it wasn’t enough for a green light on shorts. Nike (NKE) stayed neutral today, so we held off on any trades. Space (SPCE) showed a strong downtrend with a recent sell signal, which could be something to watch closely. We’re strict about our rules here—analyzing the 10, 20, and 50-period moving averages to make sure everything lines up perfectly before we dive into a trade. Today was a bit bumpy with a few tech issues on the platform, but that’s just part of the game. The session was filled with patience, waiting for those perfect setups and ensuring all signals align. Although we had some tech glitches with OVTLYR today, we didn’t let that throw us off. We stayed tuned to the market’s pulse, patiently waiting for the right trading opportunities. Mahesh is on top of the platform updates, which should enhance its performance even more. This session is a great reminder for all traders about the importance of discipline and market awareness. Markets can be unpredictable, and staying patient can really pay off. Remember, not every day is full of action, and sometimes, watching and waiting is just as important as trading. For anyone keen on following structured, rule-based trading strategies, today’s session was packed with insights. And hey, keep an eye out for updates from Mahesh—more live trading insights are on the way to make your trading experience even better. #StockMarket #TradingStrategy #DayTrading #ShortSelling #TechnicalAnalysis #Citibank #EtsyStock #JPMorgan #GeneralMotors #NikeStock #SPCE #XLF #BearishTrends #Investing #StockTrader #OVTLYR #SmartTrading #ProfitHacking

In today’s video, we dive deep into live trading analysis, covering several key stocks including Citibank ($C), General Motors ($GM), Etsy ($ETSY), and Space ($SPCE). We also examine broader market trends and how to remain disciplined while waiting for the right trading opportunities. The session highlights several potential short trades and the importance of following strict trading rules. The main focus of the session was Etsy ($ETSY), which presented a perfect downtrend. With a decline of over 11% since July, Etsy has become an ideal candidate for short trading. The alignment of the 10-, 20-, and 50-period moving averages confirmed the bearish trend. Although technical difficulties in the OVTLYR platform delayed some filters, the manual analysis still revealed Etsy as a strong short opportunity. With a sell signal and performance summary showing a 6.93% gain, Etsy stood out as the best trade of the day. Citibank ($C) was another stock under review. We explored its price movement within an order block, where it recently closed outside of the block, a key signal in technical analysis. Although the opportunity to trade Citibank passed, this example highlighted the importance of understanding price behavior within order blocks. General Motors ($GM), on the other hand, showed signs of weakness but hasn’t fully developed a downtrend. With a 5% drop today, it’s on our watchlist, but without the necessary crossover of technical indicators, we held off on trading. Space ($SPCE) also provided a clear downtrend with a sell signal back on August 29th. Over the past week, Space has dropped 8%, confirming the bearish trend and presenting a solid short trade for those already positioned. The technical indicators were fully aligned, making it a strong example of a proper setup for shorting in a declining market. From a broader perspective, the market remains mostly bearish, with only real estate and consumer staples showing strength. We emphasized the importance of adhering to our trading rules and waiting for full confirmation before entering trades. This discipline is crucial to avoid unnecessary risk, especially in volatile conditions. Looking forward, we will continue to monitor Etsy to see if it holds below the 50-period moving average, which could present another short opportunity. General Motors and Space are also on our radar for potential trades as the week unfolds. Thank you for tuning in to today’s analysis. Make sure to subscribe for more live trading sessions and insights. Staying patient, disciplined, and market-aware is key to successful trading! #StockTrading #ETSYStock #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortSelling #DayTrading #MarketAnalysis #GeneralMotors #SPCEStock #Citibank #TradingRules #BearMarket #StockMarket #TradingStrategy

In this video, we dive into a solid market analysis, focusing on some key stocks and sector trends. The markets have been showing some serious bearish signs lately, and we’re breaking it all down, starting with a sell signal from the $SPY. Most sectors are looking weak, with the exception of staples, so it’s definitely a time to be cautious. Using OVTLYR, the AI trading assistant, we ran through a few stocks that came up in the bearish screener—AD&T, Citibank (C), and APO. After looking deeper into the charts, Citibank stood out as the best opportunity, while the others were filtered out due to some mixed signals. This video covers not just what stocks are looking promising for short trades, but also some helpful tips on how to manage risk using ATR (Average True Range) for position sizing. It's all about finding the best trades while keeping risk low, and OVTLYR makes that a whole lot easier. If you want to see how this analysis plays out and learn how to use these tools to your advantage, be sure to check it out! Stay tuned for more insights and tips to help you navigate the market like a pro! Stocks Covered: 1. Citibank ($C): Potential short trade, but the heat map has stalled, so no trade today. 2. APO & ADNT: Both showed potential but had issues with order blocks. 3. SPY (S&P 500): Sell signal confirmed with bearish market and sector breadth. #StockMarket #TradingSignals #MarketAnalysis #BearMarket #Citibank #StockTrading #StockMarketTips #OVTLYR #TechnicalAnalysis #SectorBreadth #SPY #SellSignal #ATR #RiskManagement #ShortTrades

Welcome back, Outliers! Today’s live trading session was packed with insights, valuable lessons, and some incredible wins in the market. If you’ve been struggling with navigating the volatile conditions, or if the recent sell-off has caught you by surprise, this video is exactly what you need. In this video, we dissect the current market trends, focusing on key signals that helped us secure massive gains. We analyzed stocks like Double D, XLB, and SCENE, securing returns of 22%, 26%, and 34%, respectively. This is not just luck—this is the power of precise, strategic trading combined with the right tools. The S&P 500 took a significant hit, dropping 1% this past Friday due to tech selling and a weak jobs report. However, we were well ahead of the curve. Using Outlier’s AI-powered signals and our trading rules, we avoided the losses and secured profits. With an 84% win rate, an average win of 22.6%, and only a 4.5% average loss, these past 10 days have been some of the best for us. A 41% portfolio gain in less than two weeks – that’s how trading should be! Key Topics Covered in the Video: 1. Trading Signals Breakdown: We dive deep into the trades that delivered outstanding returns over the past two weeks. The importance of following trends and identifying key entry and exit points was the foundation of these wins. 2. Risk Management Rules: A major focus is on why the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a critical signal for exit. If a stock closes under the 20 EMA, it’s a clear rule: get out. This rule alone saved us from major losses and is something every trader should live by. 3. Volatility Mastery: With increased market volatility, traders need to adjust their position sizes based on the Average True Range (ATR). We discuss how volatility expands during market drops, how that impacts your trades, and why it's crucial to size positions correctly to avoid devastating losses. 4. Shorting the Market: We’re preparing for potential shorts as the market continues to show weakness. Get ready because the signals are pointing towards some bearish opportunities next week. 5. The Importance of Position Sizing: Whether you're trading long or short, the size of your positions matters, especially in volatile markets. I break down how ATR can guide you in maintaining safer, yet profitable trades. 6. Educational Breakdown on Puts and Calls: For those newer to trading or needing a refresher, I explain the difference between buying calls and puts and how you can profit from both rising and falling markets. 7. Incredible Community: Shout out to everyone who joined us live! It's your engagement and energy that fuel these sessions. Together, we’re making sure that no one is left behind in the chaos of the markets. Stocks Analyzed: Double D: +22% gain XLB: +26% gain SCENE: +34% gain S&P 500: Tactical moves ahead of the 1% drop Stay tuned for more updates, and if you haven't yet, make sure to subscribe and join the OVTLYR community where we continue to win while others are losing. #StockTrading #MarketTrends #TradingStrategy #S&P500 #VolatilityTrading #ShortingStocks #OptionsTrading #OutlierCommunity #StockMarketAnalysis #TradingRules #AITrading #FinancialSuccess #StockMarketUpdate #WinningTrades #RiskManagement

In today’s video, we’re diving deep into the current state of the stock market and why it might be heading towards a major sell-off. Things are looking a bit shaky, and we’ve got a sell signal on SPY that’s really catching our attention. If you’re watching closely, this could be the beginning of a bigger downturn, so it’s time to buckle up and pay attention to those market trends. We’ll start by breaking down the recent movement in the market, including SPY’s latest signals. Just a couple of days ago, we saw an 8% drop followed by a quick 10% bounce, but now we’re back to seeing that sell signal. What does that mean for traders? Well, if you’ve been holding long positions, it might be a good time to consider getting out or at least pausing to reassess. The video also goes through a detailed market analysis, showing why the market breadth has turned bearish and why we’re not jumping into any short trades just yet. It’s all about waiting for the right confirmations — specifically, the 10-day moving average crossing under the 20-day and then under the 50-day before making any big moves. Along with this market update, we also walk through the OVTLYR platform and how to use it to maximize your trading. The platform is loaded with features like customizable screeners, real-time buy and sell signals, and the behavioral heat map that shows when investors are getting greedy or fearful. If you’re looking to make smarter, more efficient trades, this tool will save you time and help you catch those critical moments to act. We also look at a few stocks showing sell signals today, including BP (British Petroleum) and VVV (Valvoline). Both are showing bearish signs, with red overlays and sell signals triggered by the OVTLYR system. For traders who like to play the downside, these could be solid candidates to keep on your radar. In this video, you’ll also get a breakdown of how to use the golden ticket strategy to time the market, as well as how to interpret those buy and sell signals. You’ll see why not every signal is an instant trade – it’s about reading the context and understanding when it’s time to act or hold off. Plus, we go into how to optimize the platform for your style. Whether you’re focusing on sector ETFs like XLF (Financials) or diving deep into specific stocks, the system’s screener and watchlist features let you set your criteria and get instant results. For those looking at capital efficiency, we’ll explain how OVTLYR helps you make the most out of each trade while minimizing risk. We wrap up with a closer look at what’s working in the market right now, how the bearish trends are developing, and what might be coming next. Whether you’re new to trading or a seasoned pro, this is the place to get the tools and insights you need to stay ahead. Key Stocks Analyzed: SPY (S&P 500 ETF): Sell signal on the table with bearish market breadth. BP (British Petroleum): Bearish signal indicating potential downside. VVV (Valvoline): Another stock showing a bearish trend with a sell signal. If you’re ready to level up your trading game, this video will give you the insights and tools to do just that. #StockTrading #MarketUpdate #SPY #ETFs #AITrading #BearishSignal #TradingStrategy #BPStock #Valvoline #TradingTips #TechnicalAnalysis #BehavioralAnalytics #OVTLYR #CapitalEfficiency Stay tuned and learn how to stay ahead of the market with real-time data and actionable strategies!